• Title/Summary/Keyword: Natural hazard

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Analysis of Rainfall Change at Seoul City by Applying Multiple Intervention Model (중복간섭모형을 이용한 서울시 강우량 변화분석)

  • Kim, Eung-Seok;Lee, Jeong-Ho;Kim, Joong-Hoon;Park, Moo-Jong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.4 no.3 s.14
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    • pp.33-41
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    • 2004
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the relationship between El Nino phenomena and the monthly rainfall variations of Seoul city which is composed of 30 year data during $1967{\sim}1996$. In this study, the monthly rainfall data at Seoul city is analyzed by applying an intervention model. As it is unavailable to get the data of El Nino phenomena, the point of intervention have been decided from the literature survey of the data observed to be the years of 1972, 1976, 1979, 1982, 1986 and 1991. As a results the El Nino was revealed more significant to the monthly rainfall at Seoul. In addition, monthly rainfall varied between the maximum 53.41mm and the minimum 2.50mm. To prevented future natural disaster, long term water planning and management is requied in consideration El $Nin\tilde{o}$.

Establishment of Integrated Health Evaluation Criteria for Coastal Aquaculture System (살포식 패류 양식어장 건강도 평가기준 설정)

  • Young-Shin Go;Dong-Hun Lee;Young-Jae Lee;Won-Chan Lee;Un-Ki Hwang
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.56 no.4
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    • pp.462-472
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    • 2023
  • We investigated the physio-chemical and geochemical parameters in the spraying shellfish aquacultures (Yeoja and Gangjin Bay) to establish the systematic strategy for effective environmental management. Spatial variation of each parameter showed partially significant difference (P<0.05) between Yeoja and Ganjin Bay, inferring the discriminative progress (i.e., accumulation and degradation) of the autochthonous organic matter within the aquaculture environments. We additionally integrated various properties (e.g., water/sediment quality, natural hazard, and biological health) which may affect the biological growth within the aquaculture habitats based on the biogeochemical cycles related to environmental components and aquaculture species. We used a screening approach (i.e., one out-all out; OOAO) which can permit the assessment of the health levels of aquaculture species, the scoring for other parameters (seawater, sediment, and natural hazard) as three levels (excellent, moderate and poor) depending on the complex interactive properties occurring in the aquaculture environments. Actual, discriminative scores obtained via our case studies may confirm that these stepwise processes are effectively evaluated for optimal health conditions within the aquaculture habitats. Thus, this approach may provide valuable insights for effective environmental management and sustainable growth of aquaculture operation.

Radionuclide concentrations in agricultural soil and lifetime cancer risk due to gamma radioactivity in district Swabi, KPK, Pakistan

  • Umair Azeem;Hannan Younis;Niamat ullah;Khurram Mehboob;Muhammad Ajaz;Mushtaq Ali;Abdullah Hidayat;Wazir Muhammad
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.56 no.1
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    • pp.207-215
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    • 2024
  • This study focuses on measuring the levels of naturally occurring radioactivity in the soil of Swabi, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan, as well as the associated health hazard. Thirty (30) soil samples were collected from various locations and analyzed for 226Ra, 232Th, and 40K radioactivity levels using a High Purity Germanium detector (HPGe) gamma-ray spectrometer with a photo-peak efficiency of approximately 52.3%. The average values obtained for these radionuclides are 35.6 ± 5.7 Bqkg-1, 47 ± 12.5 Bqkg-1, and 877 ± 153 Bqkg-1, respectively. The level of 232Th is slightly higher and 40K is 2.2 times higher than the internationally recommended limit of 30 Bqkg-1 and 400 Bqkg-1, respectively. Various parameters were calculated based on the results obtained, including Radium Equivalent (Raeq), External Hazard (Hex), Absorbed Dose Rate (D), Annual Gonadal Equivalent Dose (AGDE), Annual Effective Dose Rate, and Excess Lifetime Cancer Risk (ELCR), which are 170.3 ± 24 Bqkg-1, 0.46 ± 0.06 Bqkg-1, 81.4 ± 2.04 nGy h-1, 582 ± 78.08 µSvy-1, 99.8 ± 13.5 µSv Gy-1, and 0.349 ± 0.04, respectively. These values are below the limits recommended by the United Nations Scientific Committee on the Effects of Atomic Radiation (UNSCEAR) in 2002. This study highlights the potential radiation threats associated with natural radioactivity levels in the soil of Swabi and provides valuable information for public health and safety.

Application of Geomorphological Features for Establishing the Preliminary Landslide Hazard (초기 산사태 위험도 구축을 위한 지형요소의 활용)

  • Cha, A Reum;Kim, Tai Hoon;Gang, Seok Koo
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.23-29
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    • 2015
  • Due to the characteristics of landslide disasters including debris flow, the rapid speed to downward and difficulty to respond or evacuate from them, it is imperative to identify their potential hazards and prepare the reduction plans. However, the current landslide hazards generated by a variety of methods has been raised its accuracy because of the complexity of input data and their analyses, and the simplification of the landslide model. The main objective of this study is, therefore, to evaluate the preliminary landslide hazard based on the identification of geomorphological features. Especially, two methodologies based on the statistics of the directional data, Vector dispersion and Planarity analyses, are used to find some relationships between geomorphological characteristics and the landslide hazard. Results show that both methods well discriminate geomorphological features between stable and unstable domains in the landslide areas. Geomorphological features are closely related to the landslide hazard and it is imperative to maximize their characteristics by adapting multiple models rather than individual model only. In conclusions, the mechanism of landslide is not determined solely by a simple cause but the complex natural phenomenon caused by the interactions of the numerous factors and it is of primary importance to require additional researches for the outbreaking mechanism that are based on various methodologies.

A Comparison on the Identification of Landslide Hazard using Geomorphological Characteristics (지형특성을 활용한 산사태 위험도 판단을 위한 비교)

  • Cha, Areum
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.67-73
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    • 2014
  • Landslide disasters including debris flows are the one of the most frequent natural disasters in Korea, and losses of lives and property damages due to these catastrophic events have been increased every year. Various mitigation programs and related policies have been conducted in order to respond and prepare landslide disasters. Most landslide reduction programs are, however, focused on recovery actions after the disasters and lead to unrealistic consequences to the affected people and their properties. The main objective of this study, therefore, is to evaluate the landslide hazard based on the identification of geomorphological features, which is for the preparedness of the landslide disasters. Two methodologies, SINMAP and vector dispersion analyses are used to simulate those characteristics where landslides are actually located. Results showed that both methods well discriminate geomorphic features between stable and unstable domains. This proves that geomorphological characteristics well describe a relationship with the existing landslide hazard. SINMAP analysis which is based on the consecutive model considering external factors like infiltration is well identify the landslide hazard especially for debris flow type landslides rather than vector dispersion focusing on a specific area. Combining with other methods focusing specific characteristics of geomorphological feature, accurate landslide hazard assessments are implemented.

Policy Suggestions for Geological and Geotechnical Information Management in Earthquake Hazard Mitigation Measures by Local Governments (지자체 지진방재 대책을 위한 지질과 지반정보관리 정책 제언)

  • Lim, Hyunjee;Song, Cheol Woo;Ha, Sangmin;Kim, Min-Cheol;Son, Moon
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.43 no.1
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    • pp.176-187
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    • 2022
  • Due to recent mid-scale earthquakes in the Korean Peninsula, the Korean central and local governments are preparing new measures for earthquake hazard mitigation. Geological and geotechnical information is essential for earthquake hazard assessment. Thus, related data have been collected and assimilated as DBs by various national organizations. However, several problems arise when local governments intend to use this information to establish earthquake hazard mitigation measures. In the case of the geological information, small-scale geological maps make it difficult to acquire detailed information, whereas lithofacies and faults do not often match at the boundaries of large-scale geological maps. Significant geotechnical information is lost due to lack of digitalization. Present study proposes four policy plans for geological and geological information management. First, it is necessary to link industry-academictechnology fields to use the information that has already been or to be produced more efficiently and professionally. Second, local government regulations are required to be enacted and revised to accumulate a lot of geological and geotechnical information. Third an expert system should be prepared to improve the quality of the information. Fourth, it is necessary to establish a dedicated department and expand budget support for efficient information management.

Hydrological drought risk assessment for climate change adaptation in South Korea (기후변화 적응을 위한 우리나라 수문학적 가뭄 위험도 평가)

  • Seo, Jungho;Chi, Haewon;Kim, Heey Jin;Kim, Yeonjoo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.6
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    • pp.421-435
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    • 2022
  • As natural disasters have been increasing due to climate change, sustainable solutions are in need to alleviate the degree of drought hazard, assess and project the drought influence based on future climate change scenarios. In assessing drought risk, socio-economic factors of the region must be considered along with meteorological factors. This study categorized drought hazard, exposure, and vulnerability as three major components of drought risk according to the Intergovernmental panel on Climate Change (IPCC) risk assessment framework, and selected indices for each component to quantify the drought risk in South Korea according to the mid-size basins. Combinations of climate scenarios (Representative Concentration Pathway; RCP 2.6 and RCP 8.5) and socio-economic scenarios (Shared Socio-economic Pathways; SSP 1, SSP2 and SSP3) for the near future (2030-2050) ant the far future (2080-2099) were utilized in drought risk analysis, and results were compared with the historical data (1986-2005). In general, the drought risks for all scenarios shows large increases as time proceeds to the far furture. In addition, we analyzed the rank of drought hazard, exposure, vulnerability for drought risk, and each of their contribution. The results showed that the drought hazard is the most contributing component to the increase of drought risk in future and each basin shows varying contributing components. Finally, we suggested countermeasures for each basin according to future climate change scenarios, and thus this study provides made the basis for establishing drought management measures.

Assessing Markov and Time Homogeneity Assumptions in Multi-state Models: Application in Patients with Gastric Cancer Undergoing Surgery in the Iran Cancer Institute

  • Zare, Ali;Mahmoodi, Mahmood;Mohammad, Kazem;Zeraati, Hojjat;Hosseini, Mostafa;Naieni, Kourosh Holakouie
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.441-447
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    • 2014
  • Background: Multi-state models are appropriate for cancer studies such as gastrectomy which have high mortality statistics. These models can be used to better describe the natural disease process. But reaching that goal requires making assumptions like Markov and homogeneity with time. The present study aims to investigate these hypotheses. Materials and Methods: Data from 330 patients with gastric cancer undergoing surgery at Iran Cancer Institute from 1995 to 1999 were analyzed. To assess Markov assumption and time homogeneity in modeling transition rates among states of multi-state model, Cox-Snell residuals, Akaikie information criteria and Schoenfeld residuals were used, respectively. Results: The assessment of Markov assumption based on Cox-Snell residuals and Akaikie information criterion showed that Markov assumption was not held just for transition rate of relapse (state 1 ${\rightarrow}$ state 2) and for other transition rates - death hazard without relapse (state 1 ${\rightarrow}$ state 3) and death hazard with relapse (state 2 ${\rightarrow}$ state 3) - this assumption could also be made. Moreover, the assessment of time homogeneity assumption based on Schoenfeld residuals revealed that this assumption - regarding the general test and each of the variables in the model- was held just for relapse (state 1 ${\rightarrow}$ state 2) and death hazard with a relapse (state 2 ${\rightarrow}$ state 3). Conclusions: Most researchers take account of assumptions such as Markov and time homogeneity in modeling transition rates. These assumptions can make the multi-state model simpler but if these assumptions are not made, they will lead to incorrect inferences and improper fitting.

Study on the Estimation Method of Safely Index for Community Disaster (지역안전도 진단 방법 개선에 관한 연구)

  • Jang, Dae-Won;Jeong, Sang-Man;Park, Moo-Jong;Kim, Hung-Soo;Seoh, Byung-Ha
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.7 no.5
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    • pp.119-127
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    • 2007
  • We reconstructed the community disaster risk and patterns of damage magnitude using 'Annual Report of National Disaster Data'. And we developed the inspection index for damage reduction capacity of each facility or each damage prevention measure. The inspection indices include climatic and hydrological vulnerabilities, and disaster probability components. Also we considered all indices and components for DB construction on the GIS system. Then we constructed 'Inspection for Safety Degree of Community System(ISDCS)' according to the facility's criteria from the combination of damage reduction capacity of facility and damage magnitude. The safety index has designed a system that encourages communities to carry out a list of activities in the raw from natural disaster. The activities ultimately saves lives, reduce property damage, and protect disaster facilities. Damage patterns were also analyzed according to damage type using pattern analysis and GIS.

Evaluation of Drought Risk in Gyeongsang-do Using EDI (EDI를 활용한 경상도 지역의 가뭄위험도 평가)

  • Park, Jong Yong;Yoo, Ji Young;Choi, Minha;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.31 no.3B
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    • pp.243-252
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    • 2011
  • The change of rainfall pattern due to recent climate change increases the occurrence probability of drought in Korea. Unlike other natural disasters, a drought has long duration, extensive area subject to damage, and greater socioeconomic damage than other disasters. In order to evaluate drought severity, meteorological drought indices are mainly used in practice. This study presents a more realistic method to evaluate drought severity considering drought climate factors as well as socioeconomic factors which are vulnerable to disaster. To perform a spatial evaluation of drought risk in Gyeongsang-do, drought risk was defined and analyzed through the hazard index and the vulnerability index. The drought hazard index was spatially assessed using the drought index and GIS. The drought vulnerability index was also spatially assessed using the 5 socioeconomic factors. As a result, the drought risks were compared and used for evaluating regional drought risk considering regional characteristics of Gyeongsang-do.