• 제목/요약/키워드: National Safety Assessment

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베이지안 네트워크를 이용한 아차사고 평가 모델 개발 및 주요 원인 도출 (Development of Near miss Assessment Model Using Bayesian Network and Derivation of Major Causes)

  • 하선영;이미정;백종배
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제38권4호
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    • pp.54-59
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    • 2023
  • The relationship between near misses and major accidents can be confirmed using the ratios proposed by Heinrich and Bird. Systematic reviews of previous national and international studies did not reveal the assessment process used in near-miss management systems. In this study, a model was developed for assessing near misses and major factors were derived through case application. By reviewing national and international literature, 14 factors were selected for each dimension of the P2T (people, procedure, technology) model. To identify the causal relationship between accidents and these factors, a near-miss assessment model was developed using a Bayesian network. In addition, a sensitivity analysis was conducted to derive the major factors. To verify the validity of the model, near-miss data obtained from the ethylene production process were applied. As a result, "PE2 (education)," "PR1 (procedure)," and "TE1 (equipment and facility not installed)" were derived as the major factors causing near misses in this process. If actual workplace data are applied to the near-miss assessment model developed in this study, results that are unique to the workplace can be confirmed. In addition, scientific safety management is possible only when priority is given through sensitivity analysis.

사용후핵연료저장조의 확률론적안전성평가 수행을 위한 시스템엔지니어링 프로세스 적용 연구 (Systems Engineering Process Approach to the Probabilistic Safety Assessment for a Spent Fuel Pool of a Nuclear Power Plant)

  • 최진태;차우창
    • 시스템엔지니어링학술지
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.82-90
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    • 2021
  • The spent fuel pool (SFP) of a nuclear power plant functions to store the spent fuel. The spent fuel pool is designed to properly remove the decay heat generated from the spent fuel. If the cooling function is lost and proper operator action is not taken, the spent fuel in the storage pool can be damaged. Probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) is a safety evaluation method that can evaluate the risk of a large and complex system. So far, the probabilistic safety assessment of nuclear power plants has been mainly performed on the reactor. This study defined the requirements and the functional architecture for the probabilistic safety assessment of the spent fuel pool (SFP-PSA) by applying the systems engineering process. And, a systematic and efficient methodology was defined according to the architecture.

Ivermectin, praziquantel, tamiflu, triclosan의 환경위해성평가 (Environmental Risk Assessment for Ivermectin, Praziquantel, Tamiflu and Triclosan)

  • 류태권;김정곤;김경태;이재우;김지은;조재구;윤준헌;이재안;김필제;류지성
    • 한국환경보건학회지
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    • 제44권2호
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    • pp.196-203
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    • 2018
  • Objectives: The purpose of this study was to assess environmental risk on the emerging contaminants of concern, such as ivermetin, parziquantel, tamiflu and triclosan. Furthermore, we tried to provide a more efficient management practice and a basis for future studies of risk assessment on those substances. Methods: Predicted no effect concentration (PNEC) and predicted environmental concentration (PEC) were determined through modeling and literature reviews. Environmental risk assessment was evaluated by calculating HQ (hazard quotient) by a comparison of PEC (or measured environmental concentration (MEC)) and PNEC. Results: HQ value of tamiflu calculated from MEC was 1.9E-03. For ivermectin and triclosan, the HQ values were not available because these were not detected in the aquatic environment. The toxicity of ivermectin and triclosan showed a very low value, indicating a high level of HQ. However, praziquantel can be categorized into the material that do not require management since they have less than HQ 1. Conclusion: Based on the results of the initial risk assessment, it is assumed that the ivermectin and triclosan have potential to cause direct adverse effects on the aquatic environment. To conduct an accurate environmental risk assessment, the further study on PEC estimation of such contaminants should be actively carried out.

기관실화재 인명위험성평가에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Life Risk Assessment of Ship's Engine Room Fire)

  • 한상국;조대환;박찬수
    • 해양환경안전학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 해양환경안전학회 2006년도 추계학술발표회
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    • pp.283-289
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    • 2006
  • 이 연구에서는 국제적으로 관심이 집중되고 있는 FSA를 선박의 화재 안전 분야에 도입하기 위한 준비과정으로 화재안전도의 가장 중요한 지표인 사망확률의 근거가 되는 피난계산을 실습선의 모의훈련에 의해 계산하여 피난시간의 계산 및 성능기준 화재의 안전설계를 검토하였다. 그 결과 승선인원과 대피 통로의 폭과는 일정한 상관관계가 있으며 최적의 폭을 산정할 수 있음을 보였다. 그러나 선박 내부의 좁은 통로와 선박의 종류에 따른 특수한 구조를 고려할 때 일괄적인 적용은 어렵다. 또한 대피시간을 모의실험에 의해 추정하고 유출계수를 구한 결과 공용실의 유출계수와 비교하여 기관실의 인명위험성이 약 4배이상 높게 나타났다.

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복합화력발전소 내 수소연료 저장설비의 안전관리 체계 구축을 위한 Bow-tie 기법을 활용한 반정량적 위험성 평가 (Semi-quantitative Risk Assessment using Bow-tie Method for the Establishment of Safety Management System of Hydrogen Fuel Storage Facility in a Combined Cycle Power Plant)

  • 박희경;정시우;최유정;이민철
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제39권2호
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    • pp.75-86
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    • 2024
  • Hydrogen has been selected as one of the key technologies for reducing CO2 emissions to achieve carbon neutrality by 2050. However, hydrogen safety issues should be fully guaranteed before the commercial and widespread utilization of hydrogen. Here, a bow-tie risk assessment is conducted for the hydrogen fuel supply system in a gas turbine power plant, which can be a mass consumption application of hydrogen. The bow-tie program is utilized for a qualitative risk assessment, allowing the analysis of the causes and consequences according to the stages of accidents. This study proposed an advanced bow-tie method, which includes the barrier criticality matrix and visualized maps of quantitative risk reduction. It is based on evaluating the importance of numerous barriers for the extent of their impact. In addition, it emphasizes the prioritization and concentrated management of high-importance barriers. The radar chart of a bow tie allows the visual comparison of risk levels before/after the application of barriers (safety measures). The risk reduction methods are semi-quantitatively analyzed utilizing the criticality matrix and radar chart, and risk factors from multiple aspects are derived. For establishing a secure hydrogen fuel storage system, the improvements suggested by the bow-tie risk assessment results, such as 'Ergonomic equipment design to prevent human error' and 'Emergency shutdown system,' will enhance the safety level. It attempts to contribute to the development and enhancement of an efficient safety management system by suggesting a method of calculating the importance of barriers based on the bow-tie risk assessment.

퍼지추론을 이용한 해체공정 중 리스크 요인의 통합 평가 (Comprehensive Assessment on Risk Factors using Fuzzy Inference in Decommissioning Process)

  • 임현교;김현정
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제29권4호
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    • pp.184-190
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    • 2014
  • Decommissioning process of nuclear facilities consist of a sequence of problem solving activities, because there may exist not only working environments contaminated by radiological exposure but also industrial hazards such as fire, explosions, toxic materials, and electrical and physical hazards. Therefore, not a few countries in the world have been trying to develop appropriate counter techniques in order to guarantee safety and efficiency of the process. In spite of that, there still exists neither domestic nor international standard. Unfortunately, however, there are few workers who experienced decommissioning operations a lot in the past. As a solution, it is quite necessary to utilize experts' opinions for risk assessment in decommissioning process. As for an individual hazard factor, risk assessment techniques are getting known to industrial workers with advance of safety technology, but the way how to integrate those results is not yet. This paper aimed to find out an appropriate technique to integrate individual risk assessment results from the viewpoint of experts. Thus, on one hand the whole risk assessment activity for decommissioning operations was modeled as a sequence of individual risk assessment steps which can be classified into two activities, decontamination and dismantling, and on the other, a risk assessment structure was introduced. The whole model was inferred with Fuzzy theory and techniques, and a numerical example was appended for comprehension.

Damage scenarios and an onboard support system for damaged ships

  • Choi, Jin;Lee, Dongkon;Kang, Hee Jin;Kim, Soo-Young;Shin, Sung-Chul
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.236-244
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    • 2014
  • Although a safety assessment of damaged ships, which considers environmental conditions such as waves and wind, is important in both the design and operation phases of ships, in Korea, rules or guidelines to conduct such assessments are not yet developed. However, NATO and European maritime societies have developed guidelines for a safety assessment. Therefore, it is required to develop rules or guidelines for safety assessments such as the Naval Ship Code (NSC) of NATO. Before the safety assessment of a damaged ship can be performed, the available damage scenarios must be developed and the safety assessment criteria must be established. In this paper, the parameters related to damage by accidents are identified and categorized when developing damage scenarios. The need for damage safety assessment criteria is discussed, and an example is presented. In addition, a concept and specifications for the DB-based supporting system, which is used in the operation phases, are proposed.

AHP 분석을 이용한 기계식 주차설비 건설 중 위험성 평가방안 연구 (Risk Assessment of Mechanical Parking Facility during Construction based on AHP Analysis)

  • 이정한;김용곤;이재원;김종훈
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제37권5호
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    • pp.33-41
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    • 2022
  • As the number of automobile registrations increases yearly, parking spaces that are located in downtown areas are increasing, and mechanical parking facilities are also increasing. Therefore, there is a high risk of accidents when installing and repairing a mechanical parking facility. In the preceding six years (from 2012 to 2018), the statistics that pertain to accidental disasters indicated that a total of 137 disaster victims were generated by the construction sector, 33 accidents occurred, and 10 people died. However, only the safety management items pertaining to accidents that occur during maintenance work and the use of the installed mechanical parking facilities are being studied; furthermore, there is no ongoing research with respect to the risk management that is conducted at the construction site. In 2017, the Korea Occupational Safety and Health Agency (KOSHA) announced the "Guidelines for Safe Installation and Maintenance of Mechanical Parking Equipment"; however, it is a safety guideline that is limited to the installation of basic protective equipment and to facility installation. There is no model for mechanical parking facilities that is indicated in the "Risk Assessment Model by Construction Industry Type", which is issued by the Safety and Health Corporation and is widely utilized for risk assessment in the construction industry; moreover, elevator installation work CODE N0: 22 is the only major example of a disaster. In this study, "risk assessment through a focus group interview" was performed, and data was derived from the "risk assessment of Article 41 (2) of the Industrial Safety and Health Act", which reflects the characteristics of the construction industry based on AHP analysis. The results of this study can be utilized for the risk assessment that is conducted during the construction stage of mechanical parking facilities.

한국어 퍼지 언어변수를 이용한 리스크 평가 (Risk Assessment using Fuzzy Linguistic Variables in Korean)

  • 임현교;변상훈;김현정
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제30권4호
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    • pp.151-158
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    • 2015
  • Usually risk assessment is performed for the safety of diverse industries though, many kinds of risks cannot be analyzed effectively by using classical probability models due to lack of experience data and impreciseness of human decision making. For these reasons, fuzzy risk assessment utilizing subjective judgment and experience of skillful experts has been considered as a solution. In this study, to comprehend the relationship between conventional fuzzy theory and human conceptual images on risks, linguistic variables were reviewed with reference to fuzzy membership functions, especially in the Korean language. As interviewees, about a hundred people including students as well as safety engineers voluntarily participated. The research results showed that most people were in favor of adjective expressions decorated with adverbs rather than naive expressions such as "high" or "low", and that directly translated linguistic variables were not appropriate for the Korean people in risk assessment as far. Therefore, with consideration of the selection tendency by the Korean people in linguistic variables, it could be concluded that 5 level expressions would be most favorable for linguistic variables in risk assessments in Korea.

인증표준물질을 이용한 중금속류와 플루오르화물 전처리방법 비교 연구 (Evaluation of analytical methods for several metals and fluoride by certified reference materials)

  • 전태완;정다위;신선경;최훈근;정영희
    • 분석과학
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.172-180
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    • 2006
  • 본 연구는 유해폐기물에 의한 환경오염을 예방하기 위해 폐기물 시험방법과 신규 항목을 설정하기 위해 수행하였다. 국내외 유해폐기물의 규제기준, 시험항목 등을 조사검토하여 유해물질에 대한 우선순위를 선정하였다. 선정한 Ba, Be, Cr(VI), F, Ni, Sb, Se, V 8종의 유해물질을 함유한 오니, 폐유, 소각재 등 폐기물 인증표준물질을 사용하여 전처리방법을 비교분석하였다. 이 결과를 통해 시험방법(안)을 확립하고, 관련 항목 배출 가능성이 있는 표본사업장을 선정하여 시료 37건을 채취분석하였다.