• 제목/요약/키워드: NCEP reanalysis data

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북반구 하부성층권 극기온의 경년변화와 수십년주기변화의 수치모의 (A Numerical Simulation of the Interannual and Decadal Variations of the Northern Lower Stratospheric Polar Temperature)

  • 최우갑;김유진;김동준
    • 대기
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.79-91
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    • 2009
  • Seoul National University General Circulation Model (SNUGCM) has been run for 100 years to obtain daily temperature and meridional velocity at the Northern lower stratosphere. The model results are compared with the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data. The polar temperature and the eddy heat flux from the model show that the model-produced climatology has well-known cold bias and weaker planetary wave activities. The model climatology also has a lag in the seasonal evolution. The relationship between the model-produced polar temperature and the eddy heat flux is investigated with respect to the interannual and decadal time scales. The interannual variation of the polar temperature is related with both total and stationary eddy heat flux in January and March, which is in agreement with observation. The model, however, does not reproduce the relationship between the decadal variation of the polar temperature and transient eddy heat flux, which is revealed in the observed data.

2011년 1월의 동아시아 한랭 아노말리 특성 (Characteristic Features Observed in the East-Asian Cold Anomalies in January 2011)

  • 최우갑;정지연;전종갑
    • 대기
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.401-412
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    • 2013
  • East Asia experienced extremely cold weather in January 2011, while the previous December and the following February had normal winter temperature. In this study National Centers for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCEP/NCAR) reanalysis data are used to investigate the characteristic features observed in the meteorological fields such as temperature, sea-level pressure, geopotential height, and wind during this winter period. In January the planetary-wave pattern is dominated by stationary-wave form in the mid-to-high latitude region, while transient waves are significant in the previous month. To understand the planetary-wave features quantitatively, harmonic analyses have been done for the 500-hPa geopotential height field. In the climatological-mean geopotential heights the wave numbers 1, 2, and 3 are dominant during the whole winter. In January 2011 the waves of number 1, 2, and 3 are dominant and stationary as in the climatological-mean field. In December 2010 and February 2011, however, the waves of number 4, 5, and 6 play a major role and show a transient pattern. In addition to the distinctive features in each month the planetary-wave patterns dependent on the latitude are also discussed.

Estimates of Latent Heat and Sensible Heat Fluxes using Satellite data

  • Kim, Young-Seup;Jang, Jae-Dong;Chung, Hyo-Sang;Cha, Joo-Wan
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 1998년도 Proceedings of International Symposium on Remote Sensing
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    • pp.37-42
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    • 1998
  • Latent and sensible heat fluxes over the global oceans are estimated using SSM/I (Special Sensor Microwave Imager) and AVHRR MCSST (Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer Multi-Channel Sea Surface Temperature). The heat fluxes are computed from SSM/I wind speeds and surface humidity, the MCSST, and NCEP Reanalysis sea level pressures and 2-m temperatures from 1996 to 1997. The diabatic conditions bulk formula (Kondo, 1975) is used to compute the heat fluxes. To validate, the derived fluxes are compared to the measurements of 3 JMA buoys. The wind speeds and surface humidity derived from SSM/I have accuracies of 1.37m/s and 1.7g/kg, respectively. The heat fluxes were estimated these factors and the standard error of the latent and sensible heat fluxes are 5.53 W/m$^2$ and 3.33 W/m$^2$. The latest El-Nino phenomenon started at the beginning of 1997 and this event was larger than any others. We compare the heat fluxes in 1997 with the fluxes in 1996 and investigate the spatial movement of meteorological factors as well as the heat fluxes associated with El-Nino appearance.

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MJO의 다중스케일 분석을 통한 수십년 변동성 (A multi-scale analysis of the interdecadal change in the Madden-Julian Oscillation)

  • 이상헌;서경환
    • 대기
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.143-149
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    • 2011
  • A new multi-timescale analysis method, Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD), is used to diagnose the variation of the MJO activity determined by 850hPa and 200hPa zonal winds from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCEP/NCAR) Reanalysis data for the 56-yr period from 1950 to 2005. The results show that MJO activity can be decomposed into 9 quasi-periodic oscillations and a trend. With each level of contribution of the quasi-periodic oscillation discussed, the bi-seasonal oscillation, the interannual oscillation and the trend of the MJO activity are the most prominent features. The trend increases almost linearly, so that prior to around 1978 the activity of the MJO is lower than that during the latter part. This may be related to the tropical sea surface temperature(SST). It is speculated that the interdecadal change in the MJO activity appeared in around 1978 is related to the warmer SST in the equatorial warm pool, especially over the Indian Ocean.

MODIS 위성자료를 이용한 전구 및 동아시아의 가강수량 분석 (Analysis of Precipitable water over Global and East Asia using MODIS satellite data)

  • 이상훈;박선기;배덕효
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2010년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.1635-1639
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    • 2010
  • 기후변화가 수자원에 미치는 영향을 파악하기 위해서는 물 순환 및 물 수지의 변화 경향 파악이 필수적이며, 대기 중의 가강수량 파악은 가뭄 호우 등에 대한 기본 조사로서 수자원 연구에 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 MODIS 위성자료로부터 가강수량을 산출하여 검증하고, 전구 및 동아시아의 분포 특성 및 변화 경향을 분석하였다. MODIS 위성자료는 NASA의 홈페이지로부터 입수하여 가강수량을 산출하였고, 산출한 가강수량은 NCEP Reanalysis2 자료를 이용하여 검증하였다. MODIS 위성자료를 이용하여 전구 가강수량의 경년변화 및 분포 분석을 실시한 결과 가강수량의 분포는 ITCZ의 움직임과 잘 일치하였고, 6월에 가장 많은 가강수량을 나타내며 10월에 가장 적은 가강수량을 나타냈다. 경년변화는 2000년대 중반까지는 증가하는 경향을 보이고 있었지만 최근 3년 정도는 감소하는 추세를 보이고 있다. MODIS 위성자료를 이용하여 동아시아 지역 가강수량의 경년변화 및 분포 분석을 실시한 결과 가강수량의 분포는 계절적인 특징을 잘 나타내고 있으며, 7월에 가장 많은 가강수량을 나타내고 있으며 11월에 가장 적은 가강수량을 나타내고 있고, 경년변화는 큰 변화는 보이지 않았다. MODIS 위성으로부터 산출한 가강수량과 표면온도를 비교한 결과 가강수량은 계절적인 특징은 거의 비슷한 변화를 가지고 있으며 년 변화에서는 동아시아 가을의 변화가 통계적으로 유의한 양의 상관관계를 가지고 있었으며, 동아시아 가을의 가강수량은 표면온도와 함께 증가하는 경향을 나타내고 있다.

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INTRODUCTION OF J-OFURO LATENT HEAT FLUX VERSION 2

  • Kubota, Masahisa;Hiroyuki, Tomita;iwasaki, Shinsuke;Hihara, Tsutomu;Kawatsura, Ayako
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2007년도 Proceedings of ISRS 2007
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    • pp.306-309
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    • 2007
  • Japanese Ocean Flux Data Sets with Use of Remote Sensing Observations (J-OFURO) includes global ocean surface heat flux data derived from satellite data and are used in many studies related to air-sea interaction. Recently latent heat flux data version 2 was constructed in J-OFURO. In version 2 many points are improved compared with version 1. A bulk algorithm used for estimation of latent heat flux is changed from Kondo (1975) to COASRE 3.0(Fairall et al., 2005). In version 1 we used NCEP reanalysis data (Reynolds and Smith, 1994) as SST data. However, the temporal resolution of the data is weekly and considerably low. Recently there are many kinds of global SST data because we can obtain SST data using a microwave radiometer sensor such as TRMM/MI and Aqua/AMSR-E. Therefore, we compared many SST products and determined to use Merged satellite and in situ data Global Daily (MGD) SST provided by Japan Meteorological Agency. Since we use wind speed and specific humidity data derived from one DMSP/SSMI sensor in J-OFURO, we obtain two data at most one day. Therefore, there may be large sampling errors for the daily-mean value. In order to escape this problem, multi-satellite data are used in version 2. As a result we could improve temporal resolution from 3-days mean value in version 1 to daily-mean value in version 2. Also we used an Optimum Interpolation method to estimate wind speed and specific humidity data instead of a simple mean method. Finally the data period is extended to 1989-2004. In this presentation we will introduce latent heat flux data version 2 in J-OFURO and comparison results with other surface latent heat flux data such as GSSTF2 and HOAPS etc. Moreover, we will present validation results by using buoy data.

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Simulation of Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall and Circulations with Regional Climate Model

  • Singh, G.P.;Oh, Jai-Ho
    • 한국제4기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국제4기학회 2004년도 하계학술대회
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    • pp.24-25
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    • 2004
  • It is well known that there is an inverse relationship between the strength of Indian summer monsoon Rainfall (ISMR) and extent of Eurasian snow cover/depth in the preceding season. Tibetan snow cover/depth also affects the Asian monsoon rainy season largely. The positive correlation between Tibetan sensible heat flux and southeast Asian rainfall suggest an inverse relationship between Tibetan snow cover and southeast Asian rainfall. Developments in Regional Climate Models suggest that the effect of Tibetan snow on the ISMR can be well studied by Limited Area Models (LAMs). LAMs are used for regional climate studies and operational weather forecast of several hours to 3 days in future. The Eta model developed by the National Center for Environmental Prediction (NCEP), the Fifth-Generation NCAR/Penn State Mesoscale Model (MM5) and Regional Climate Model (RegCM) have been used for weather prediction as well as for the study of present-day climate and variability over different parts of the world. Regional Climate Model (RegCM3) has been widely . used for various mesoscale studies. However, it has not been tested to study the characteristics of circulation features and associated rainfall over India so far. In the present study, Regional Climate Model (RegCM-3) has been integrated from 1 st April to 30th September for the years 1993-1996 and monthly mean monsoon circulation features and rainfall simulated by the model at 55km resolution have been studied for the Indian summer monsoon season. Characteristics of wind at 850hPa and 200hPa, temperature at 500hPa, surface pressure and rainfall simulated by the model have been examined for two convective schemes such as Kuo and Grell with Arakawa-Schubert as the closure scheme, Model simulated monsoon circulation features have been compared with those of NCEP/NCAR reanalyzed fields and the rainfall with those of India Meteorological Department (IMD) observational rainfall datasets, Comparisons of wind and temperature fields show that Grell scheme is closer to the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis, The influence of Tibetan snowdepth in spring season on the summer monsoon circulation features and subsequent rainfall over India have been examined. For such sensitivity experiment, NIMBUS-7 SMMR snowdepth data have been used as a boundary condition in the RegCM3, Model simulation indicates that ISMR is reduced by 30% when 10cm of snow has been introduced over Tibetan region in the month of previous April. The existence of Tibetan snow in RegCM3 also indicates weak lower level monsoon westerlies and upper level easterlies.

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Wind Vector Retrieval from SIR-C SAR Data off the East Coast of Korea

  • Kim, Tai-Sung;Park, Kyung-Ae;Moon, Woo-Il
    • 한국지구과학회지
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    • 제31권5호
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    • pp.475-487
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    • 2010
  • Sea surface wind field was retrieved from high-resolution SIR-C SAR data by using CMOD algorithms off the east coast of Korea. In order to extract wind direction information from SAR data, a two-dimensional spectral analysis method was applied to the normalized radar cross section of the image. An $180^{\circ}$-ambiguity problem in the determination of wind direction was solved by selecting a direction nearest to the wind vector of the ECMWF reanalysis data. Comparison of the wind retrieval patterns with the ECMWF and NCEP/NCAR dataset showed RMS errors in the range of 1.30 to $1.72\;ms^{-1}$. In contrast, comparison of wind directions revealed large errors of greater than $60^{\circ}$, which is enormously higher than the permitted limit of about $20^{\circ}$ for satellite scatterometer winds. Compared with wind speed results from different algorithms, wind vectors based on commonly-used CMOD4 algorithm showed good agreement with those derived by other algorithms such as CMOD_IFR2 and CMOD5, particularly at medium winds from 4 to $8\;ms^{-1}$. However, apparent discrepancy appeared at low winds (< $4\;ms^{-1}$). This study also addressed an importance of accurate wind direction data to improve the accuracy of wind speed retrieval and discussed potential causes of wind retrieval errors from SAR data.

Environmental Analysis in Asian Dust Source Region Using Satellite Remotely Sensed Data

  • Kyung, Hye-Mee;Kim, Young-Seup;Kim, Sang-Woo
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.223-231
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    • 2003
  • With the negative influences and damage from Asian dust increasing, it's getting important to investigate the climate and soil condition of the source region of Asian dust. There is a high possibility that the desertification and the drastic decrease of plants in China and Mongolia make worse the situation (bad effects of Asian Dust). To detect the movement of Asian dust caused by air circulation, we need to watch the state of the source region to get useful information for the prevention of the dust pollution, and to predict what part of China will become the source region. Therefore, using TOMS aerosol index data, NCEP reanalysis data that is Remote Sensing data from 1981 to 2000 (except 1993~1996, 4 years), for 16 years, examined the relation between the dust occurrence and weather elements. Dust occurrence appeared much in spring season from March to May in study areas. It had a dry climate during that season as follows : relative humidity about 20~40%, temperature about -5~5$^{\circ}C$, precipitation about 33-180 mm, wind speed about 4-10 ms-1. Dust occurrence and weather element annual change in study areas decreased gradually till 1990, but in Gobi desert the incidence of dust occurrence increased since 1997. As a result, found out that the more the precipitation, the less dust occurrence, because the precipitation and surface wind speed had a direct influence on the soil of the source region of dust.

강우장의 시공간적 특성 추출을 위한 기하학적 모멘트 기반 등가타원 모형 개발 (Development of Geometric Moments Based Ellipsoid Model for Extracting Spatio-Temporal Characteristics of Rainfall Field)

  • 권현한;소병진;김민지;박세훈
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제31권6B호
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    • pp.531-539
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    • 2011
  • 기상학적으로 극치강수사상의 특성을 정확하게 이해하기가 어렵고 이를 모형을 통해서 구현하기는 더욱이 어려운 것이 현실이다. 이러한 점에서 본 연구는 극치사상과 연관된 대규모 기상장을 이해하기 위한 수단으로서 과거자료를 바탕으로 한강수장 추출기법을 개발하였다. 본 연구에서 관심을 가지는 수문기상학적 특성은 강수장의 위치, 크기, 방향 등이며 이를 전지구자료로부터 추출할 수 있는 알고리즘을 개발하였다. 본 연구에서는 극치강수량에 따른 강우의 이동을 평가하기 위하여 NOAA에서 제공하는 NCEP 전지구기상자료를 활용하였으며 바람벡터자료와 비습도를 활용하여 우선적으로 강우장을 정의하였다. 본 연구에서는 정의된 강수장의 특성을 정의하기 위해서 감시 구역내 강우장의 1, 2차모멘트를 계산하고 이를 토대로 강우장의 공분산을 추정하여 최종적으로 기하학적 타원체를 기본으로 하는 정의방법을 개발하였다. 합성자료를 대상으로 모형의 적합성을 평가한 결과 정규화된 분포를 가지는 강우장의 형태뿐만 아니라 불규칙하게 분포된 강우장에 대해서도 모멘트개념에 근거한 타원체를 통해서 강우장의 특성을 효과적으로 정의할 수 있었다. 마지막으로 실제 강우장을 대상으로 모멘트개념에 근거한 타원체를 정의하여 강우장의 위치, 이동방향, 영향반경 등을 효과적으로 추출할 수 있음을 확인할 수 있었다.