• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제6권2호
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• pp.29-39
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• 1995

A model used in the past may be altered at will in modeling for the future. For this situation, the multiprocess dynamic model provides a general framework. In this paper we consider the multiprocess discount normal model with parameters having a time dependent non-linear structure. This model has nice properties such as insensitivity to outliers and quick reaction to abrupt changes of pattern.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제10권2호
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• pp.329-340
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• 1999

We consider a Bayesian forcasting method for the analysis of repeated surveys. It is assumed that the parameters of the superpopulation model at each time follow a stochastic model. We propose Bayesian prediction procedures for the finite population total under multiprocess dynamic generalized linear models. The multiprocess dynamic model offers a powerful framework for the modelling and analysis of time series which are subject to a abrupt changes in pattern. Some numerical studies are provided to illustrate the behavior of the proposed predictors.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• 제27권3호
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• pp.279-288
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• 1998

We propose a multiprocess dynamic Poisson model for the analysis of Poisson process with the covariates. The algorithm for the recursive estimation of the parameter vector modeling time-varying effects of covariates is suggested. Also the algorithm for forecasting of numbers of events at the next time point based on the information gathered until the current time is suggested.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제4권1호
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• pp.193-205
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• 1997

The multiprocess dynamic model provides a good framework for the modeling and analysis of the time series that contains outliers and is subject to abrupt changes in pattern. In this paper we consider the multiprocess discount generalized model with parameters having a dependent non-linear structure. This model has nice properties such as insensitivity to outliers and quick reaction to abrupt change of pattern in parameters.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제3권1호
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• pp.155-168
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• 1996

In this paper we consider the multiprocess dynamic normal model with parameters having a time dependent non-linear structure. We develop and study the recursive estimation procedure for the proposed model with normality assumption. It turns out thst the proposed model has nice properties such as insensitivity to outliers and quick reaction to abrupt changes of pattern.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• 제25권4호
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• pp.567-576
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• 1996

The multiprocess dynamic survival model is proposed for the application of the regression model on the analysis of survival data with time-varying effects of covariates : where the survival data consists of numbers of deaths at certain time-points. The algorithm for the recursive estimation of a time-varying parameter vector is suggested. Also the algorithm of forecasting of numbers of deaths of each group in the next time interval based on the information gathered until the end of current time interval is suggested.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• 제26권2호
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• pp.277-288
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• 1997

For the analysis of survival data including covariates whose effects vary in time, the multiprocess discount survival model is proposed. The parameter vector modeling the time-varying effects of covariates is to vary between time intervals and its evolution between time intervals depends on the perturbation of the next time interval. The recursive estimation of the parameter vector can be obtained at the end of each time interval. The retrospective estimation of the survival function and the forecasting of the survival function of individuals of the specific covariates also can be obtained based on the information gathered until the end of the time interval.