• Journal of Trauma and Injury
• /
• 제25권4호
• /
• pp.139-144
• /
• 2012

Purpose: Hypovolemic shock is the leading cause of death in multiple trauma patients with pelvic bone fracures. The purpose of this study was to develop a simple prediction method for injury severity and amount of hemorrhage via an analysis of the correlation between the site of pelvic bone fracture and the amount of transfusion and to verify the usefulness of the such a simple scoring system. Methods: We analyzed retrospectively the medical records and radiologic examination of 102 patients who had been diagnosed as having a pelvic bone fracture and who had visited the Emergency Department between January 2007 and December 2011. Fracture sites in the pelvis were confirmed and re-classified anatomically as pubis, ilium or sacrum. A multiple linear regression analysis was performed on the amount of transfusion, and a simplified scoring system was developed. The predictive value of the amount of transfusion for the scoring system as verified by using the receiver operating characteristics (ROC). The area under the curve of the ROC was compared with the injury severity score (ISS). Results: From among the 102 patients, 97 patients (M:F=68:29, mean $age=46.7{\pm}16.6years$) were enrolled for analysis. The average ISS of the patients was $16.2{\pm}7.9$, and the average amount of packed RBC transfusion for 24 hr was $3.9{\pm}4.6units$. The regression equation resulting from the multiple linear regression analysis was 'packed RBC units=1.40${\times}$(sacrum fracture)+1.72${\times}$(pubis fracture)+1.67${\times}$(ilium fracture)+0.36' and was found to be suitable (p=0.005). We simplified the regression equation to 'Pelvic Bleeding Score=sacrum+pubis+ilium.' Each fractured site was scored as 0(no fracture) point, 1(right or left) point, or 2(both) points. Sacrum had only 0 or 1 point. The score ranged from 0 to 5. The area under the curve (AUC) of the ROC was 0.718 (95% CI: 0.588-0.848, p=0.009). For an upper Pelvis Bleeding Score of 3 points, the sensitivity of the prediction for a massive transfusion was 71.4%, and the specificity was 69.9%. Conclusion: We developed a simplified scoring system for the anatomical fracture sites in the pelvis to predict the requirement for a transfusion (Pelvis Bleeding Score (PBS)). The PBS, compared with the ISS, is considered a useful predictor of the need for a transfusion during initial management.

• 수산해양기술연구
• /
• 제57권3호
• /
• pp.236-245
• /
• 2021

In this study, a drifting test using a experimental vessel (2,966 tons) in the northern waters of Jeju was carried out for the first time in order to obtain the fundamental data for drift. During the test, it was shown that the average leeway speed and direction by GPS position were 0.362 m/s and 155.54° respectively and the leeway rate for wind speed was 8.80%. The analysis of linear regression modes about leeway speed and direction of the experimental vessel indicated that wind or current (i.e. explanatory variable) had a greater influence upon response variable (e.g. leeway speed or direction) with the speed of the wind and current rather than their directions. On the other hand, the result of multiple regression model analysis was able to predict that the direction was negative, and it was demonstrated that predicted values of leeway speed and direction using an experimental vessel is to be more influential by current than wind while the leeway speed through variance and covariance was positive. In terms of the leeway direction of the experimental vessel, the same result of the leeway speed appeared except for a possibility of the existence of multi-collinearity. Then, it can be interpreted that the explanatory variables were less descriptive in the predicted values of the leeway direction. As a result, the prediction of leeway speed and direction can be demonstrated as following equations. Ŷ₁= 0.4031-0.0032X₁+0.0631X₂-0.0010X₃+0.4110X₄ Ŷ₂= 0.4031-0.6662X₁+27.1955X₂-0.6787X₃-420.4833X₄ However, many drift tests using actual vessels and various drifting objects will provide reasonable estimations, so that they can help search and rescue fishing gears as well.

• 응용통계연구
• /
• 제31권4호
• /
• pp.447-461
• /
• 2018

국내 영화 산업 매출은 매년 증가하고 있다. 극장은 영화의 1차 판매 경로이며, 극장을 이용하는 관객 수는 부가판권에 영향을 준다. 따라서 극장을 이용하는 관객의 수는 영화 산업 매출에 직결되는 중요한 요소이다. 본 논문에서 특정일의 관객 수를 예측하기 위하여 다중선형회귀모형과 Bass 모형을 결합한 Hybrid 모형을 고려한다. 두 모형을 결합함으로써 회귀분석의 예측값을 Bass 모형의 예측값으로 보정하였다. 분석에는 개봉일이 모두 다른 세 영화를 이용하였다. All subset regression 방법을 이용해 모든 가능한 조합을 생성하고 5중 교차검증(5-fold cross validation)을 통해 5번 모형을 추정한다. 이 때 제곱근평균오차가 가장 작은 모형으로 예측값을 구한 뒤 Bass 모형의 예측값과 결합해 최종 예측값을 구하게 된다. 과거데이터가 존재할수록 Bass 모형의 가중치는 증가하면서 예측값에 보정효과를 준다는 것을 확인할 수 있었다.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
• /
• 제33권4호
• /
• pp.411-433
• /
• 2004

The shrinkage preliminary test ridge regression estimators (SPTRRE) based on Wald (W), Likelihood Ratio (LR) and Lagrangian Multiplier (LM) tests for estimating the regression parameters of the multiple linear regression model with multivariate Student's t error distribution are considered in this paper. The quadratic biases and risks of the proposed estimators are compared under both null and alternative hypotheses. It is observed that there is conflict among the three estimators with respect to their risks because of certain inequalities that exist among the test statistics. In the neighborhood of the restriction, the SPTRRE based on LM test has the smallest risk followed by the estimators based on LR and W tests. However, the SPTRRE based on W test performs the best followed by the LR and LM based estimators when the parameters move away from the subspace of the restrictions. Some tables for the maximum and minimum guaranteed efficiency of the proposed estimators have been given, which allow us to determine the optimum level of significance corresponding to the optimum estimator among proposed estimators. It is evident that in the choice of the smallest significance level to yield the best estimator the SPTRRE based on Wald test dominates the other two estimators.

• 대한소아치과학회지
• /
• 제34권3호
• /
• pp.430-437
• /
• 2007

현재 혼합치열 분석 방법으로 가장 널리 사용되고 있는 Moyers의 예측표나 Tanaka와 Johnston의 예측방정식은 북유럽 인종의 백인 자료를 바탕으로 만들어졌기 때문에 한국인에게 적용하기에는 무리가 있다. 또한 최근에는 이들이 제시한 하악 전치에 기초한 방법이 미맹출 견치와 소구치 폭경의 합을 예측하기 위한 최적의 예측인자인지에 대해서도 의문이 제기되고 있다. 본 연구의 목적은 한국인 집단을 대상으로 미맹출 견치와 소구치의 근원심 폭경을 예측하기 위한 최적의 예측인자가 어떤 치아의 조합인지 밝히고, 그 조합을 이용한 예측 방정식을 제시하며, 새로운 예측 방정식의 임상 적용을 위해 그 타당성을 검증하는 것이다. 완전한 영구치열을 가진 성인 178명(남자 108명, 여자 70명, 평균 나이 21.63세)의 자료를 기초로 예측방정식을 도출하였으며, 53명의 청소년(남자 25명, 여자 28명, 평균 나이 14.22세)으로 검증집단을 구성하여 그 타당성을 검증하였다. 그 결과 다음과 같은 결론을 얻었다. 1. 한국인 혼합치열기 청소년에서 미맹출 견치와 소구치 폭경의 합을 예측하기 위한 최적의 치아 조합은 상악 중절치, 하악 측절치, 상악 제1대구치 폭경의 합이었다($r=0.65{\sim}0.80$). 2. 상악 중절치, 하악 측절치, 상악 제1대구치 폭경의 합을 기초로 하고 부가적인 설명 변수로 성별과 악궁을 포함시켜 계산한 예측 방정식은 다음과 같이 계산되었다. 남자, 상악: $Y\;=\;0.332{\times}X_0\;+\;6.195$ 남자, 하악: $Y\;=\;0.332{\times}X_0\;+\;5.269$ 여자, 상악: $Y\;=\;0.332{\times}X_0\;+\;5.929$ 여자, 하악: $Y\;=\;0.332{\times}X_0\;+\;5.003$ 예측 방정식의 설명력은 64%였으며 표준오차(SEE)는 0.71mm였다. 3. 새로운 예측 방정식을 검증 집단에 적용하여 검증한 결과, 약 97%에서 실제 측정한 견치와 소구치 폭경의 합과 예측치와의 차이가 1mm 이하였다.

• Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
• /
• 제23권7호
• /
• pp.848-854
• /
• 2010

The objectives of this study were to estimate genetic parameters for the carcass price and carcass traits contributing to carcass grading and to investigate the influence of each carcass trait on the carcass price using multiple regression and path analyses. Data for carcass traits and carcass prices were collected from March 2003 to January 2009 on steers of Korean cattle raised at private farms. The analytical mixed animal model, including slaughter house-year-month combination, linear and quadratic slaughter age as fixed effects and random animal and residual effects, was used to estimate genetic parameters. The effects of carcass traits on the carcass price were evaluated by applying multiple regression analyses. Heritability estimates of carcass traits were $0.20{\pm}0.08$ for carcass weight (CWT), $0.33{\pm}0.10$ for back fat thickness (BFT), $0.07{\pm}0.05$ for eye-muscle area (EMA) and $0.25{\pm}0.10$ for marbling score (MS), and those of carcass prices were $0.21{\pm}0.10$ for auction price per 1 kg of carcass weight (AP) and $0.13{\pm}0.07$ for total price (CP). Genetic correlation coefficients of AP with CWT and MS were $-0.35{\pm}0.29$ and $0.99{\pm}0.04$, respectively, and those of CP with CWT and MS were $0.59{\pm}0.22$ and $0.39{\pm}0.29$ respectively. If an appropriate adjustment for temporal economic value is available, the moderate heritability estimates of AP and CP might suggest their potential use as the breeding objectives for improving the gross incomes of beef cattle farms. The large genetic correlation estimates of carcass price variables with CWT and MS implied that simultaneous selection for both CWT and MS would be also useful in enhancing income.

• 한국작물학회지
• /
• 제50권4호
• /
• pp.268-275
• /
• 2005

Early predictions of crop yields call provide information to producers to take advantages of opportunities into market places, to assess national food security, and to provide early food shortage warning. The objectives of this study were to identify the most useful parameters for estimating yields and to compare two model selection methods for finding the 'best' model developed by multiple linear regression. This research was conducted in two 65ha corn/soybean rotation fields located in east central South Dakota. Data used to develop models were small temporal variability information (STVI: elevation, apparent electrical conductivity $(EC_a)$, slope), large temporal variability information (LTVI : inorganic N, Olsen P, soil moisture), and remote sensing information (green, red, and NIR bands and normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), green normalized difference vegetation index (GDVI)). Second order Akaike's Information Criterion (AICc) and Stepwise multiple regression were used to develop the best-fitting equations in each system (information groups). The models with $\Delta_i\leq2$ were selected and 22 and 37 models were selected at Moody and Brookings, respectively. Based on the results, the most useful variables to estimate corn yield were different in each field. Elevation and $EC_a$ were consistently the most useful variables in both fields and most of the systems. Model selection was different in each field. Different number of variables were selected in different fields. These results might be contributed to different landscapes and management histories of the study fields. The most common variables selected by AICc and Stepwise were different. In validation, Stepwise was slightly better than AICc at Moody and at Brookings AICc was slightly better than Stepwise. Results suggest that the Alec approach can be used to identify the most useful information and select the 'best' yield models for production fields.

• 한국산학기술학회논문지
• /
• 제21권9호
• /
• pp.199-209
• /
• 2020

본 연구는 다문화 구성원의 의료만족도에 영향을 미치는 요인을 파악하고 이에 대한 통합적 이해를 바탕으로 다문화 구성원의 의료서비스 개선 및 보건의료 지원 사업에 필요한 기초자료를 제공하기 위한 서술적 조사연구이다. 연구 자료는 경기도 A시 소재의 외국인 근로자 센터와 다문화 센터 이용자 301명을 대상으로 2019년 9월1부터 11월30일까지 수집하였으며 수집된 자료는 t-test, ANOVA, Multiple linear regression으로 분석하였다. 의료진, 의료환경, 진료비용에 대한 만족도를 살펴보면 의료진에 대한 만족도의 평균은 3,65로 가장 높았고, 의료환경의 평균은 3.55, 진료비용의 평균은 3.08순으로 나타났다. 의료진에 대한 만족도에 영향을 주는 요인은 나이와 건강보험이었으며, 이에 대한 설명력은 28%로 나타났다. 의료환경에 대한 만족도는 나이와 직업이었으며, 이에 대한 설명력은 17%로 나타났다. 진료비용에 대한 만족도는 다문화 형태, 교육수준, 직업이었으며, 이에 대한 설명력은 33%로 나타났다. 이상의 결과로 다문화 구성원의 건강문제를 해결하고 보건의료 향상을 위해서는 다문화 구성원의 건강상태 및 건강행위와 관련된 보건의료이용실태 및 만족도를 살펴보고 의료이용 만족도를 높일 수 있는 전략과 프로그램을 개발하고 제공하여야 한다.

• 대한토목학회논문집
• /
• 제37권1호
• /
• pp.61-72
• /
• 2017

자연재난에 따른 인명 및 재산피해의 증가로 재난 예방 및 대응에 대한 관심이 증가하고 있다. 우리나라에서도 1994년에서 2013년까지 지난 20년간 자연재해에 의한 피해액은 약 12조 원 중 대설에 의한 피해가 약 13%로 대설도 강우나 태풍보다는 작은 규모이나, 의미 있는 규모의 피해를 야기하고 있다는 것을 알 수 있다. 그러므로 본 연구에서는 대설피해액 추정을 위해 강원지역을 대상으로 기후관련 요인(최심적설량, 평균습도, 최저기온), 사회 경제적 요인(농촌지역인구밀도, 지역총생산량)을 독립변수로 하는 동시입력방식의 다중회귀모형을 구축하였다. 적용결과, 극한 값들에 대한 설명력이 다소 낮기는 하지만, 수정결정계수가 0.7 이상인 경우도 다수 존재하는 등 대설 발생 시 신속한 재난 대응에 활용하기에는 적용성이 충분하다고 판단된다.

• International Journal of Contents
• /
• 제13권2호
• /
• pp.35-43
• /
• 2017

This study sought to measure the influence of HIMs' work environment changes on job stress, and to explore measures for improving job satisfaction among them. A total of 275 hospital HIMs' were surveyed using a structured questionnaire. Significant job stress impact variables were sorted out using a simple linear regression analysis. Then, through multiple linear regression analysis, multicollinearity was tested. Significant impact factors were identified from among the control variables, and job stress impact was measured. The survey revealed that in public hospitals where the EMR system has been implemented for a longer period, depression scores in HIMs' were increased. HIMs' job stress level was found to be affected by the following factors: computerization of their working environment, experience of depression, unemployment, and manpower reduction, as well as, their lifestyles, including leisure activities. The results of this study suggest that HIMs' job stress can be reduced through work environment improvement and improvement of their personal lifestyle habits.