• Title/Summary/Keyword: Multiple Model

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Optimal Electric Energy Subscription Policy for Multiple Plants with Uncertain Demand

  • Nilrangsee, Puvarin;Bohez, Erik L.J.
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.106-118
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    • 2007
  • This paper present a new optimization model to generate aggregate production planning by considering electric cost. The new Time Of Switching (TOS) electric type is introduced by switching over Time Of Day (TOD) and Time Of Use (TOU) electric types to minimize the electric cost. The fuzzy demand and Dynamic inventory tracking with multiple plant capacity are modeled to cover the uncertain demand of customer. The constraint for minimum hour limitation of plant running per one start up event is introduced to minimize plants idle time. Furthermore; the Optimal Weight Moving Average Factor for customer demand forecasting is introduced by monthly factors to reduce forecasting error. Application is illustrated for multiple cement mill plants. The mathematical model was formulated in spreadsheet format. Then the spreadsheet-solver technique was used as a tool to solve the model. A simulation running on part of the system in a test for six months shows the optimal solution could save 60% of the actual cost.

Multiple Regression Technique for Productivity Analysis of the Jointed Plane Concrete Pavement (JPCP)

  • Yoo, Wi-Sung
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.268-276
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    • 2008
  • In highway construction projects, concrete pavement productivity has been challenged with constructors and decision-makers; at present there are few methods available to accurately evaluate the factors impacting on it. Any inefficient method to analyze it leads to the excessive schedule, higher rehabilitation costs, shorter service life, and reduction of ride quality. To implement these negative outcomes, constructors or decision-makers need a systematic tool that can be used to categorize the factors related to construction productivity. This paper applies multiple regression technique for productivity analysis of the Jointed Plane Concrete Pavement (JPCP), identifies the significant factors, and provides a predictive model assisting in monitoring and managing the productivity of the JPCP construction process. The completed and progressive projects are employed to derive and assess the proposed model. The results are analyzed to illustrate its capabilities.

A Study of Simple Rock Mass Rating for Tunnel Using Multivariate Analysis (다변량분석을 이용한 터널에서의 간편 RMR에 관한 연구)

  • 위용곤;노상림;윤지선
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.493-500
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    • 2000
  • Rock Mass Rating has been widely applied to the underground tunnel excavation and many other practical problems in rock engineering. However, Rock Mass Rating is hard to make out because it is difficult to estimate each valuation items through all kind of field situations and items of RMR have interdependence. So the experts of tunnel assessment have problems with rating rock mass. In this study, using multivariate analysis based on domestic data(1011EA) of water conveyance tunnel, we presented rock mass rating system which is objective and easy to use. The constituents of RMR are decided to RQD, condition of discontinuities, groundwater conditions, orientation of discontinuities, intact rock strength, spacing of discontinuities in important order. In each step, we proposed the best multiple regression model for RMR system. And using data which have been collected at other site, we examined that presented multiple regression model was useful.

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Kinetic Models for Growth and Product Formation on Multiple Substrates

  • Kwon, Yun-Joong;Engler, Cady R.
    • Biotechnology and Bioprocess Engineering:BBE
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.587-592
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    • 2005
  • Hydrolyzates from lignocellulosic biomass contain a mixture of simple sugars; the predominant ones being glucose, cellobiose and xylose. The fermentation of such mixtures to ethanol or other chemicals requires an understanding of how each of these substrates is utilized. Candida lusitaniae can efficiently produce ethanol from both glucose and cellobiose and is an attractive organism for ethanol production. Experiments were performed to obtain kinetic data for ethanol production from glucose, cellobiose and xylose. Various combinations were tested in order to determine kinetic behavior with multiple carbon sources. Glucose was shown to repress the utilization of cellobiose and xylose. However, cellobiose and xylose were simultaneously utilized after glucose depletion. Maximum volumetric ethanol production rates were 0.56, 0.33, and 0.003 g/L h from glucose, cellobiose and xylose, respectively. A kinetic model based on cAMP mediated catabolite repression was developed. This model adequately described the growth and ethanol production from a mixture of sugars in a batch culture.

Development of Energy Consumption Estimation Model Using Multiple Regression Analysis (다중회귀분석을 활용한 하수처리시설 에너지 소비량 예측모델 개발)

  • Shin, Won-Jae;Jung, Yong-Jun;Kim, Ye-Jin
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.24 no.11
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    • pp.1443-1450
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    • 2015
  • Wastewater treatment plant(WWTP) has been recognized as a high energy consuming plant. Usually many WWTPs has been operated in the excessive operation conditions in order to maintain stable wastewater treatment. The energy required at WWTPs consists of various subparts such as pumping, aeration, and office maintenance. For management of energy comes from process operation, it can be useful to operators to provide some information about energy variations according to the adjustment of operational variables. In this study, multiple regression analysis was used to establish an energy estimation model. The independent variables for estimation energy were selected among operational variables. The $R^2$ value in the regression analysis appeared 0.68, and performance of the electric power prediction model had less than ${\pm}5%$ error.

A Multi-target Tracking Algorithm for Application to Adaptive Cruise Control

  • Moon Il-ki;Yi Kyongsu;Cavency Derek;Hedrick J. Karl
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • v.19 no.9
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    • pp.1742-1752
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    • 2005
  • This paper presents a Multiple Target Tracking (MTT) Adaptive Cruise Control (ACC) system which consists of three parts; a multi-model-based multi-target state estimator, a primary vehicular target determination algorithm, and a single-target adaptive cruise control algorithm. Three motion models, which are validated using simulated and experimental data, are adopted to distinguish large lateral motions from longitudinally excited motions. The improvement in the state estimation performance when using three models is verified in target tracking simulations. However, the performance and safety benefits of a multi-model-based MTT-ACC system is investigated via simulations using real driving radar sensor data. The MTT-ACC system is tested under lane changing situations to examine how much the system performance is improved when multiple models are incorporated. Simulation results show system response that is more realistic and reflective of actual human driving behavior.

Bayesian Procedure for the Multiple Test of Fraction Nonconforming (부적합률의 다중검정을 위한 베이지안절차)

  • Kim, Kyung-Sook;Kim, Hee-Jeong;Na, Myung-Hwan;Son, Young-Sook
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.73-77
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, the Bayesian procedure for the multiple test of fraction nonconforming, p, is proposed. It is the procedure for checking whether the process is out of control, in control, or under the permissible level for p. The procedure is as follows: first, setting up three types of models, $M_1:p=p_0,\;M_2:pp_0$, second, computing the posterior probability of each model. and then choosing the model with the largest posterior probability as a model most fitted for the observed sample among three competitive models. Finally, the simulation study is performed to examine the proposed method.

Application of Multiple Imputation Method in Analyzing Data with Missing Continuous Covariates

  • Ghasemizadeh Tamar, S.;Ganjali, M.
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.659-664
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    • 2008
  • Missing continuous covariates are pervasive in the use of generalized linear models for medical data. Multiple imputation is the most common and easy-to-do method of dealing with missing covariate data. However, there are always serious warnings in using this method. There should be concern to make imputed values more proper. In this paper, proper imputation from posterior predictive distribution is developed for implementing with arbitrary priors. We use empirical distribution of the posterior for approximating the posterior predictive distribution, to sample from it. This method is preferable in comparison with a presented imputation method of us which uses a full model to impute missing values using available software. The proposed methods are implemented on glucocorticoid data.

Reliability Analysis of Interleaved Memory with a Scrubbing Technique (인터리빙 구조를 갖는 메모리의 스크러빙 기법 적용에 따른 신뢰도 해석)

  • Ryu, Sang-Moon
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.443-448
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    • 2014
  • Soft errors in memory devices that caused by radiation are the main threat from a reliability point of view. This threat can be commonly overcome with the combination of SEC (Single-Error Correction) codes and scrubbing technique. The interleaving architecture can give memory devices the ability of tolerating these soft errors, especially against multiple-bit soft errors. And the interleaving distance plays a key role in building the tolerance against multiple-bit soft errors. This paper proposes a reliability model of an interleaved memory device which suffers from multiple-bit soft errors and are protected by a combination of SEC code and scrubbing. The proposed model shows how the interleaving distance works to improve the reliability and can be used to make a decision in determining optimal scrubbing technique to meet the demands in reliability.

Is it Possible to Predict the ADI of Pesticides using the QSAR Approach?

  • Kim, Jae Hyoun
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.38 no.6
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    • pp.550-560
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    • 2012
  • Objectives: QSAR methodology was applied to explain two different sets of acceptable daily intake (ADI) data of 74 pesticides proposed by both the USEPA and WHO in terms of setting guidelines for food and drinking water. Methods: A subset of calculated descriptors was selected from Dragon$^{(R)}$ software. QSARs were then developed utilizing a statistical technique, genetic algorithm-multiple linear regression (GA-MLR). The differences in each specific model in the prediction of the ADI of the pesticides were discussed. Results: The stepwise multiple linear regression analysis resulted in a statistically significant QSAR model with five descriptors. Resultant QSAR models were robust, showing good utility across multiple classes of pesticide compounds. The applicability domain was also defined. The proposed models were robust and satisfactory. Conclusions: The QSAR model could be a feasible and effective tool for predicting ADI and for the comparison of logADIEPA to logADIWHO. The statistical results agree with the fact that USEPA focuses on more subtle endpoints than does WHO.