• Title/Summary/Keyword: Multiple Dependent states

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A Reliability Model of Process Systems with Multiple Dependent Failure States (다중 종속 고장상태를 갖는 공정시스템의 신뢰성 모델)

  • Choi, Soo Hyoung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.37-41
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    • 2018
  • Process safety technology has developed from qualitative methods such as HAZOP (hazard and operability study) to semi-quantitative methods such as LOPA (layer of protection analysis), and quantitative methods are actively studied these days. Quantitative risk assessment (QRA) is often based on fault tree analysis (FTA). FTA is efficient, but difficult to apply when failure events are not independent of each other. This problem can be avoided using a Markov process (MP). MP requires definition of all possible states, and thus, generally, is more complicated than FTA. A method is proposed in this work that uses an MP model and a Weibull distribution model in order to construct a reliability model for multiple dependent failures. As a case study, a pressure safety valve (PSV) is considered, for which there are three kinds of failure, i.e. open failure, close failure, and gas tight failure. According to recently reported inspection results, open failure and close failure are dependent on each other. A reliability model for a PSV group is proposed in this work that is to reproduce these results. It is expected that the application of the proposed method can be expanded to QRA of various systems that have partially dependent multiple failure states.

A Control Chart for Gamma Distribution using Multiple Dependent State Sampling

  • Aslam, Muhammad;Arif, Osama-H.;Jun, Chi-Hyuck
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.109-117
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    • 2017
  • In this article, a control chart based on multiple dependent (or deferred) state sampling for the gamma distributed quality characteristic is proposed using the gamma to normal transformation. The proposed control chart has two pairs of control limits, which can be determined by considering the in-control average run length (ARL). The shift in the scale parameter of a gamma distribution is considered and the out-of-control ARL is evaluated. The performance of the proposed chart has been shown for different levels of the parameters of the proposed control chart. It is also shown that the proposed chart is better than the Shewhart chart in terms of ARLs. A case study with a real data has been included for the practical usage of the proposed scheme.

Did the Timing of State Mandated Lockdown Affect the Spread of COVID-19 Infection? A County-level Ecological Study in the United States

  • Trivedi, Megh M.;Das, Anirudha
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.54 no.4
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    • pp.238-244
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    • 2021
  • Objectives: Previous pandemics have demonstrated that several demographic, geographic, and socioeconomic factors may play a role in increased infection risk. During this current coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, our aim was to examine the association of timing of lockdown at the county level and aforementioned risk factors with daily case rate (DCR) in the United States. Methods: A cross-sectional study using publicly available data was performed including Americans with COVID-19 infection as of May 24, 2020. The United States counties with >100 000 population and >50 cases per 100 000 people were included. The independent variable was the days required from the declaration of lockdown to reach the target case rate (50/100 000 cases) while the dependent (outcome) variable was the DCR per 100 000 on the day of statistical calculation (May 24, 2020) after adjusting for multiple confounding socio-demographic, geographic, and health-related factors. Each independent factor was correlated with outcome variables and assessed for collinearity with each other. Subsequently, all factors with significant association to the outcome variable were included in multiple linear regression models using stepwise method. Models with best R2 value from the multiple regression were chosen. Results: The timing of mandated lockdown order had the most significant association on the DCR per 100 000 after adjusting for multiple socio-demographic, geographic and health-related factors. Additional factors with significant association with increased DCR include rate of uninsured and unemployment. Conclusions: The timing of lockdown order was significantly associated with the spread of COVID-19 at the county level in the United States.

Modeling Partially Dependent Double Failure States of Pressure Safety Valves (압력안전밸브의 부분적 종속 이중 고장상태 모델링)

  • Choi, Soo Hyong
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.40-43
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    • 2018
  • For pressure safety valves, open failure and close failure are partially dependent on each other. A method is proposed in this work that uses a Markov process model and a Weibull distribution model in order to construct a reliability model for two kinds of failure. A pressure safety valve model is obtained from a known open failure model, an induced close failure model, and a simultaneous failure model that reproduces recently reported inspection results. It is expected that the application of the proposed method can be expanded to quantitative risk assessment of various systems that have partially dependent multiple failure states.

Energy separation and carrier-phonon scattering in CdZnTe/ZnTe quantum dots on Si substrate

  • Man, Min-Tan;Lee, Hong-Seok
    • Proceedings of the Korean Vacuum Society Conference
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    • 2015.08a
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    • pp.191.2-191.2
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    • 2015
  • Details of carrier dynamics in self-assembled quantum dots (QDs) with a particular attention to nonradiative processes are not only interesting for fundamental physics, but it is also relevant to performance of optoelectronic devices and the exploitation of nanocrystals in practical applications. In general, the possible processes in such systems can be considered as radiative relaxation, carrier transfer between dots of different dimensions, Auger nonradiactive scattering, thermal escape from the dot, and trapping in surface and/or defects states. Authors of recent studies have proposed a mechanism for the carrier dynamics of time-resolved photoluminescence CdTe (a type II-VI QDs) systems. This mechanism involves the activation of phonons mediated by electron-phonon interactions. Confinement of both electrons and holes is strongly dependent on the thermal escape process, which can include multi-longitudinal optical phonon absorption resulting from carriers trapped in QD surface defects. Furthermore, the discrete quantized energies in the QD density of states (1S, 2S, 1P, etc.) arise mainly from ${\delta}$-functions in the QDs, which are related to different orbitals. Multiple discrete transitions between well separated energy states may play a critical role in carrier dynamics at low temperature when the thermal escape processes is not available. The decay time in QD structures slightly increases with temperature due to the redistribution of the QDs into discrete levels. Among II-VI QDs, wide-gap CdZnTe QD structures characterized by large excitonic binding energies are of great interest because of their potential use in optoelectronic devices that operate in the green spectral range. Furthermore, CdZnTe layers have emerged as excellent candidates for possible fabrication of ferroelectric non-volatile flash memory. In this study, we investigated the optical properties of CdZnTe/ZnTe QDs on Si substrate grown using molecular beam epitaxy. Time-resolved and temperature-dependent PL measurements were carried out in order to investigate the temperature-dependent carrier dynamics and the activation energy of CdZnTe/ZnTe QDs on Si substrate.

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Methodological Challenges of Empirical Studies on Government-Nonprofit Service Delivery: Toward a Dynamic Approach

  • Cho, Sung-Sook
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.199-218
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    • 2008
  • Empirical studies have shown that government and human service nonprofit organizations have maintained active partnerships to deliver human services for the past several decades. However, the previous researches on resource dependent government-nonprofit service delivery have revealed serious methodological limitations to adequately demonstrate the dynamic relationship between both sectors over time. Since the dynamics underlying the government-nonprofit service delivery is a complex process, in which multiple factors dynamically interact over time, the assumptions of system dynamics can help improve these methodological drawbacks. This study aims to explore methodological issues and weaknesses observed in empirical studies on resource dependent government-nonprofit service delivery in the United States, and further attempts to provide insights on future research toward a dynamic approach, bringing the assumptions of system dynamics to the challenges of the previous researches.

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Impact of multiple component deterioration and exposure conditions on seismic vulnerability of concrete bridges

  • Ghosh, Jayadipta;Padgett, Jamie E.
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.3 no.5
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    • pp.649-673
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    • 2012
  • Recent studies have highlighted the importance of accounting for aging and deterioration of bridges when estimating their seismic vulnerability. Effects of structural degradation of multiple bridge components, variations in bridge geometry, and comparison of different environmental exposure conditions have traditionally been ignored in the development of seismic fragility curves for aging concrete highway bridges. This study focuses on the degradation of multiple bridge components of a geometrically varying bridge class, as opposed to a single bridge sample, to arrive at time-dependent seismic bridge fragility curves. The effects of different exposure conditions are also explored to assess the impact of severity of the environment on bridge seismic vulnerability. The proposed methodology is demonstrated on a representative class of aging multi-span reinforced concrete girder bridges typical of the Central and Southeastern United States. The results reveal the importance of considering multiple deterioration mechanisms, including the significance of degrading elastomeric bearings along with the corroding reinforced concrete columns, in fragility modeling of aging bridge classes. Additionally, assessment of the relative severity of exposure to marine atmospheric, marine sea-splash and deicing salts, and shows 5%, 9% and 44% reduction, respectively, in the median value bridge fragility for the complete damage state relative to the as-built pristine structure.

A Simple Analytical Model for the Study of Optical Bistability Using Multiple Quantum Well p-i-n Diode Structure

  • Jit, S.;Pal, B.B.
    • JSTS:Journal of Semiconductor Technology and Science
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.63-73
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    • 2004
  • A simple analytical model has been presented for the study of the optical bistability using a $GaAs-Al_{0.32}Ga_{0.68}As$ multiple quantum well (MQW) p-i-n diode structure. The calculation of the optical absorption is based on a semi-emperical model which is accurately valid for a range of wells between 5 and 20 nm and the electric field F< 200kV/cm . The electric field dependent analytical expression for the responsivity is presented. An attempt has been made to derive the analytical relationship between the incident optical power ( $(P_{in})$ ) and the voltage V across the device when the diode is reverse biased by a power supply in series with a load resistor. The relationship between $P_{in}$ and $P_{out}$ (i.e. transmitted optical power) is also presented. Numerical results are presented for a typical case of well size $L_Z=10.5nm,\;barrier\;size\;L_B=9.5nm$ optical wave length l = 851.7nm and electric field F? 100kV/cm. It has been shown that for the values of $P_{in}$ within certain range, the device changes its state in such a way that corresponding to every value of $P_{in}$ , two stable states and one unstable state of V as well as of $P_{out}$ are obtained which shows the optically controlled bistable nature of the device.

Stochastic Reliability Analysis of Armor Units of Rubble-Mound Breakwaters Subject to Multiple Loads (다중하중에 따른 경사제 피복재의 추계학적 신뢰성 해석)

  • Lee, Cheol-Eung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.138-148
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    • 2012
  • A stochastic reliability analysis model has been developed for evaluating the time-dependent stability performance of armor units of rubble-mound breakwaters subjected to the multiple loads of arbitrary magnitudes which could be occurred randomly. The initial structural capacities and the damage rates of armor units of rubble-mound breakwaters could be estimated as a function of the incident wave height with a given return period by using the modified Hudson's formula and Melby's formula. The structural stability performances of armor units of rubble-mound breakwaters could be analyzed in detail through the lifetime reliability investigations according to the limit states such as the serviceability or ultimate limit state and the conditions of multiple loads. Finally, repair intervals for the structural management of armor units of rubble-mound breakwaters could quantitatively be evaluated by a new approach suggested in this paper that has been based on the target probability for repair and the accumulated probabilities of failure obtained from the present stochastic reliability analysis model.

Olig2 Transcription Factor in the Developing and Injured Forebrain; Cell Lineage and Glial Development

  • Ono, Katsuhiko;Takebayashi, Hirohide;Ikenaka, Kazuhiro
    • Molecules and Cells
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.397-401
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    • 2009
  • Olig2 transcription factor is widely expressed throughout the central nervous system; therefore, it is considered to have multiple functions in the developing, mature and injured brain. In this mini-review, we focus on Olig2 in the forebrain (telencephalon and diencephalon) and discuss the functional significance of Olig2 and the differentiation properties of Olig2-expressing progenitors in the development and injured states. Short- and long-term lineage analysis in the developing forebrain elucidated that not all late Olig2+ cells are direct cohorts of early cells and that Olig2 lineage cells differentiate into neurons or glial cells in a region- and stage-dependent manner. Olig2-deficient mice revealed large elimination of oligodendrocyte precursor cells and a decreased number of astrocyte progenitors in the dorsal cortex, whereas no reduction in the number of GABAergic neurons. In addition to Olig2 function in the developing cortex, Olig2 is also reported to be important for glial scar formation after injury. Thus, Olig2 can be essential for glial differentiation during development and after injury.