• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제18권6호
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• pp.859-869
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• 2011

영화의 흥행 결정 요인에 대한 학문적 연구와 함께 상업적 시각에서 개별 영화의 흥행 예측에 대한 관심이 증대되고 있다. 본 연구는 2010년 한국에서 개봉된 영화를 대상으로 영화 흥행에 영향을 미치는 요인들과 영화 흥행 성과간의 관계를 분석하였다. 제작 전 투자 의사결정단계에서 영화 장르, 관람등급, 감독, 배우가 통계적으로 유의한 결과를 보였으며, 배급편성의 의사결정단계에서는 배우효과, 스크린수, 배급사파워, 소셜미디어가 통계적으로 유의한 결과를 나타내고 있다. 선택확률개념을 이용한 다항로짓모형을 통해 영화 흥행작의 성과에 영향을 미치는 요인을 검증하였으며, 인공신경망, 판별분석과 비교하여 다항로짓모형의 흥행영화 예측력을 입증하였다.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제11권1호
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• pp.83-90
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• 2000

이원분할표의 두 범주형 변수에 대한 독립성을 검정할 때 흔히 카이제곱 검정통계량이 사용된다. 표본추출 모형이 다항이나 곱다항인 경우 이 검정통계량이 독립성 가정하에서 근사적으로 카이제곱 분포를 따르게 되는 것은 잘 알려진 사실이다. 두 주변값이 모두 주어진 경우 독립성 가정하에서 표본추출 모형은 다중 초기하분포가 되며 앞의 모형과 마찬가지로 카이제곱 통계량에 근거한 검정을 사용할 수 있다. 이 연구에서는 주변값이 주어진 경우에 카이제곱 통계량의 소표본 분포를 대표본 분포인 카이제곱 분포와 비교하고자 한다. 표본크기가 작은 몇 개의 경우에 대해 카이제곱 통계량의 소표본 분포를 직접 계산해보았다. 표본크기가 큰 몇 개의 경우는 간단한 몬테칼로 알고리듬을 통해 소표본 분포를 생성하고 카이제곱 확률도와 콜모고로브-스미노브 단일표본 검정을 이용하여 대표본 분포와의 일치성을 알아보았다.

• 한국해양공학회지
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• 제5권2호
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• pp.183-183
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• 1991

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• 제11권1호
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• pp.25-35
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• 1982

A problem of selecting the least probable cell in a multinomial distribution is studied in a Bayesian framework. We consider two loss components the cost of sampling and the difference in cell probabilities between the selected and the least probable cells. A Bayes sequential selection rule is derived with respect to a Dirichlet prior, and it is compared with the best fixed sample size selection rule. The continuation sets with respect to the vague prior are tabulated for certain cases.

• 한국정보처리학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국정보처리학회 2009년도 추계학술발표대회
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• pp.335-336
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• 2009

In this paper, I propose an automatic approach to annotating images dynamically based on MBRM(Multiple Bernoulli Relevance Models) using GLCM(Grey Level Co-occurrence Matrix). MBRM is more appropriate to annotate images compare with multinomial distribution. The model is used in limited test set, MSRC-v2 (Microsoft Research Cambridge Image Database). The results show that this model is significantly outperforms previously reported results on the task of image annotation and retrieval.

• 노동경제논집
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• 제31권3호
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• pp.47-74
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• 2008

본 연구는 임금과 생산성의 관계에 대한 선행 연구에서 근호자의 생산성 지표로서 인사고과 정보를 활용한 Medoff and Abraham과 Flabbi and Ichino의 연구를 한국 대기업의 인사데이터(2000년, 제조업 근로자)에 적용하여 재현하였다. 임금함수의 OLS 추정과 임금 및 인사고과 분포를 활용한 다항로짓함수 추정을 통해 분석한 결과, 근로자 개인의 생산성을 통제한다고 하더라도 연공임금은 계속 나타났다. 이는 선행연구와 동일하게 연공임금을 설명함에 있어 인적자본 이론보다는 인센티브 이론이 더 적절하다는 것을 시사한다.

• 한국조경학회지
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• 제36권1호
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• pp.1-11
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• 2008

Factors for promoting the resident participation in mountain villages are suggested to introduce the activity-oriented program of green tourism using a multinomial logit model(MNLM). Direct surveying, using a structured questionnaire was performed on local residents in the different types of rural tourism villages such as mountain villages, agricultural themed villages, and the mixed types of villages. The MNLM revealed that participation intention in the program was significantly higher for males, those with lower education, and residents in mountain villages. The participation intention of the program had a negative relationship with the increase of expected problems not from the program itself, but from the results of the program such as income distribution and nature destruction. Participation intention also increased with the indirect effects of an investment by the Village Development Project, such as local cooperativeness, public mind, etc. It was suggested that to introduce the activity-oriented program in mountain villages, negative effects from the results had to be minimized, and positive effects from the indirect changes between local residents had to be maximized through better communication and policy endeavors.

• Management Science and Financial Engineering
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• 제20권2호
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• pp.27-31
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• 2014

This paper studies the assortment optimization problem in online retailing by using a multinomial logit model in order to take consumer choice behavior into account. We focus on two unique features of online purchase behavior: first, there exists increased amount of uncertainty (e.g., size and color of merchandize) in online shopping as customers cannot experience merchandize directly. This uncertainty is captured by the scale parameter of a Gumbel distribution; second, online shopping entails unique shopping-related disutility (e.g., waiting time for delivery and security concerns) compared to offline shopping. This disutility is controlled by the changes in the observed part of utility function in our model. The impact of changes in uncertainty and disutility on the expected profit does not exhibit obvious structure: the expected profit may increase or decrease depending on the assortment. However, by analyzing the structure of the optimal assortment based on convexity property of the profit function, we show that the cardinality of the optimal assortment decreases and the maximum expected profit increases as uncertainty or disutility decreases. Therefore, our study suggests that it is important for managers of online retailing to reduce uncertainty and disutility involved in online purchase process.

• 한국항해항만학회지
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• 제31권2호
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• pp.133-139
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• 2007

Relative importance of maritime transport that takes charge of main current of freight in country' economy is very large. Especially, port and facility carry out important role which treats freight of import and export smoothly and improves international trade as turning point, to achieve key role on connection and association between sea and land. For such reason, enlargement of port facilities or development of port needs to grasp exactly the utilization of port, attributes and selective factors of shipper. On the other hand, the amounts of physical distribution on Mokpo port located in Korean west coast are increasing, with fast economic growth of East Asian including China. This study uses discrete choice model that is measuring to analyze attribute and characteristic of Mokpo port, and analyzes port selection by decision factors of shipper. This paper composed a questionnaire using the result of preceding research, to decide port selection factor among competitive ports. Through factor analysis on a basis of the questionnaire' result, five principal components were extracted. These are resorted out by Logit model, to grasp competitive elements of port. This research fin present direction which raises competitive power of ports in west coast of Korea, especially on alternative and concentration of middle-class port as Mokpo may be useful.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제8권12호
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• pp.391-397
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• 2021

One of the sustainable development goals is to promote good health and well-being for all people. Child health is a top priority since their health issues can have a detrimental impact on human capital development, which is a critical input for the growth model. This paper applies the health production model to explore the determinants that influence the health of children under the age of five. The results of a survey of 203 households in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam, were examined. Child health is measured using anthropometric indicators such as weight-for-age, height-for-age, and weight-for-height (ZWFH). Three separate multinomial logistic models are regressed to examine the drivers of child health as proxied by z-score weight for age, z-score height for age, and z-score weight for height. The significance of input variables relating to a child's attributes, household, and environment was validated by the findings. The inclusion of overweight besides under-nourished indexes is novel because it reflects the current trend of child over-nutrition. The findings of the study highlight the importance of a wide range of initiatives to enhance child health. Moreover, the genetic effect is found to be crowded out by environmental and household factors. The finding verifies that despite their parents' moderate height, the future generation of Vietnamese can achieve the desired height.