• 한국정밀공학회지
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• 제20권5호
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• pp.196-203
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• 2003

This paper demonstrates that an improved hybrid neural-genetic multimodel parameter estimation algorithm can be applied to the structured system identification of an electro-hydraulic servo system. This algorithm is consists of a recurrent incremental credit assignment (ICRA) neural network and a genetic algorithm, The ICRA neural network evaluates each member of a generation of model and the genetic algorithm produces new generation of model. We manufactured an electro-hydraulic servo system and the improved hybrid neural-genetic multimodel parameter estimation algorithm is applied to the task to find the parameter values, such as mass, damping coefficient, bulk modulus, spring coefficient and disturbance, which minimize total square error.

• 한국정밀공학회지
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• 제19권11호
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• pp.192-199
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• 2002

This paper demonstrates that hybrid neural-genetic multimodel parameter estimation algorithm can be applied to structured system Identification of electro-hydraulic servo system. This algorithm are consist of a recurrent incremental credit assignment (ICRA) neural network and a genetic algorithm. The ICRA neural network evaluates each member of a generation of model and genetic algorithm produces new generation of model. We manufactured electro-hydraulic servo system and the hybrid neural-genetic multimodel parameter estimation algorithm is applied to the task to find the parameter values(mass, damping coefficient, bulk modulus, spring coefficient) which minimize total square error.

• 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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• 제9권6호
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• pp.442-447
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• 2003

This paper demonstrates that a modified hybrid neural-genetic multimodel parameter estimation algorithm can be applied to structured system identification of an electro-hydraulic servo system. This algorithm is consists of a recurrent incremental credit assignment(ICRA) neural network and a genetic algorithm. The ICRA neural network evaluates each member of a generation of model and genetic algorithm produces new generation of model. The modified hybrid neural-genetic multimodel parameter estimation algorithm is applied to an electro-hydraulic servo system the task to find the parameter values such as mass, damping coefficient, bulk modulus, spring coefficient and disturbance, which minimizes the total square error.

• 한국가스학회지
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• 제1권1호
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• pp.87-94
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• 1997

화학공장에는 수많은 장치들이 있고 매우 복잡한 구조를 가지고 있다. 이러한 화학공장은 장치집약적인 특징으로 인해 항상 장치의 고장 또는 조업자의 실수로 인한 사고가 일어날 가능성을 안고 있다. 따라서 화학공정에서의 사고를 예방하고 안전을 확보하기 위해서는 잠재적인 사고 가능성 및 위험요인을 사전에 분석하고 예방하는 것이 중요하다. HAZOP 분석은 정성적인 평가 방법 중 가장 체계적이고 논리적인 방법으로 평가받고 있다. 이러한 HAZOP 분석과 같은 안정성 평가를 위해서는 많은 인력, 자원, 시간이 필요하다 따라서 전문가의 인력과 시간을 줄이며 일관된 결과를 얻기 위해 위험성 평가의 자동화가 요구된다. 그리고 자동화를 위한 여러 연구와 방법론이 있었으나 나름대로의 한계가 있었다. 본 연구에서는 기존 방법론의 한계를 극복하기 위해서 화학공정의 안정성 분석자동화 시스템을 구축하고자 한다. 이를 위해 일반적인 위험성 평가에 필요한 지식을 모델링한 다중모델 접근방법을 사용하여 물질지식베이스, 구조지식베이스, 장치지식베이스로 분하여 모델링 하였고, 안전성 분석을 수행하는 세가지의 추론 알고리듬 Deviation Analysis Algorithm, Malfunction Analysis Algorithm, Accident Analysis Algorithm을 개발하여 화학공저의 안정성 분석 자동화 시스템 AHA(Automated Hazard Analyzer)를 구축하였다 이것은 전문가 개발 도구인 G2를 이용하여 구축하였고, 제안된 시스템을 Olefin dimerization 공정의 feed section에 적용하여 유용성을 확인하였다.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제52권7호
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• pp.1443-1451
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• 2020

The objective of this study is to design a robust power control system for a small pressurized water reactor (PWR) to achieve stable power operations under conditions of external disturbances and internal model uncertainties. For this purpose, the multiple-input multiple-output transfer function models of the reactor core at five power levels are derived from point reactor kinetics equations and the Mann's thermodynamic model. Using the transfer function models, five local reactor power controllers are designed using an H infinity (H_∞) mixed sensitivity method to minimize the core power disturbance under various uncertainties at the five power levels, respectively. Then a multimodel approach with triangular membership functions is employed to integrate the five local controllers into a multimodel robust control system that is applicable for the entire power range. The performance of the robust power system is assessed against 10% of full power (FP) step load increase transients with coolant inlet temperature disturbances at different power levels and large-scope, rapid ramp load change transient. The simulation results show that the robust control system could maintain satisfactory control performance and good robustness of the reactor under external disturbances and internal model uncertainties, demonstrating the effective of the robust power control design.

• 한국가스학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국가스학회 1997년도 추계학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.142-147
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• 1997

• 한국가스학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국가스학회 1998년도 추계학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.41-46
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• 1998

• 한국가스학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국가스학회 2001년도 추계학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.154-157
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• 2001

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제27권1호
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• pp.109-128
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• 2020

A climate-impact projection usually consists of several stages, and the uncertainty of the projection is known to be quite large. It is necessary to assess how much each stage contributed to the uncertainty. We call an uncertainty quantification method in which relative contribution of each stage can be evaluated as uncertainty decomposition. We propose a new Bayesian model for uncertainty decomposition in climate change impact assessments. The proposed Bayesian model can incorporate uncertainty of natural variability and utilize data in control period. We provide a simple and efficient Gibbs sampling algorithm using the auxiliary variable technique. We compare the proposed method with other existing uncertainty decomposition methods by analyzing streamflow data for Yongdam Dam basin located at Geum River in South Korea.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2009년도 학술발표회 초록집
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• pp.1147-1151
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• 2009

In this study, we address the problem of producing probability forecasts of summer seasonal rainfall, on the basis of Hindcast experiments from a ensemble of GCMs(cwb, gcps, gdaps, metri, msc_gem, msc_gm2, msc_gm3, msc_sef and ncep). An advanced Hierarchical Bayesian weighting scheme is developed and used to combine nine GCMs seasonal hindcast ensembles. Hindcast period is 23 years from 1981 to 2003. The simplest approach for combining GCM forecasts is to weight each model equally, and this approach is referred to as pooled ensemble. This study proposes a more complex approach which weights the models spatially and seasonally based on past model performance for rainfall. The Bayesian approach to multi-model combination of GCMs determines the relative weights of each GCM with climatology as the prior. The weights are chosen to maximize the likelihood score of the posterior probabilities. The individual GCM ensembles, simple poolings of three and six models, and the optimally combined multimodel ensemble are compared.