• Title/Summary/Keyword: Multi-Criteria Decision Making Analysis

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Study on the Selection of the Tsunami Shelter Using AHP and GIS analysis (AHP와 GIS분석을 이용한 지진해일 대피소 선정)

  • Choi, Jong-Ho;Kang, In-Joon;King, Sang-Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.30 no.6_1
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    • pp.503-509
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    • 2012
  • The cities keep growing due to industrialization and the risk of disaster gets higher as the society gets sophisticated. The center of current disaster plan has spent more efforts on post processing of disaster and it is the current status that the plan for shelter that minimizes the life and property damage has not been established effectively. Especially, the whole area of Noksan Industrial Complex at Noksan-dong, Gangseo-gu, Busan Metropolitan City was designated as danger area of tsunami, but the shelter has not been selected. Thus, this paper is willing to select the shelter using AHP analysis and GIS method that is multi criteria decision making analysis after grasping the buildings that can be selected as the shelter.

The Prediction of DEA based Efficiency Rating for Venture Business Using Multi-class SVM (다분류 SVM을 이용한 DEA기반 벤처기업 효율성등급 예측모형)

  • Park, Ji-Young;Hong, Tae-Ho
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.139-155
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    • 2009
  • For the last few decades, many studies have tried to explore and unveil venture companies' success factors and unique features in order to identify the sources of such companies' competitive advantages over their rivals. Such venture companies have shown tendency to give high returns for investors generally making the best use of information technology. For this reason, many venture companies are keen on attracting avid investors' attention. Investors generally make their investment decisions by carefully examining the evaluation criteria of the alternatives. To them, credit rating information provided by international rating agencies, such as Standard and Poor's, Moody's and Fitch is crucial source as to such pivotal concerns as companies stability, growth, and risk status. But these types of information are generated only for the companies issuing corporate bonds, not venture companies. Therefore, this study proposes a method for evaluating venture businesses by presenting our recent empirical results using financial data of Korean venture companies listed on KOSDAQ in Korea exchange. In addition, this paper used multi-class SVM for the prediction of DEA-based efficiency rating for venture businesses, which was derived from our proposed method. Our approach sheds light on ways to locate efficient companies generating high level of profits. Above all, in determining effective ways to evaluate a venture firm's efficiency, it is important to understand the major contributing factors of such efficiency. Therefore, this paper is constructed on the basis of following two ideas to classify which companies are more efficient venture companies: i) making DEA based multi-class rating for sample companies and ii) developing multi-class SVM-based efficiency prediction model for classifying all companies. First, the Data Envelopment Analysis(DEA) is a non-parametric multiple input-output efficiency technique that measures the relative efficiency of decision making units(DMUs) using a linear programming based model. It is non-parametric because it requires no assumption on the shape or parameters of the underlying production function. DEA has been already widely applied for evaluating the relative efficiency of DMUs. Recently, a number of DEA based studies have evaluated the efficiency of various types of companies, such as internet companies and venture companies. It has been also applied to corporate credit ratings. In this study we utilized DEA for sorting venture companies by efficiency based ratings. The Support Vector Machine(SVM), on the other hand, is a popular technique for solving data classification problems. In this paper, we employed SVM to classify the efficiency ratings in IT venture companies according to the results of DEA. The SVM method was first developed by Vapnik (1995). As one of many machine learning techniques, SVM is based on a statistical theory. Thus far, the method has shown good performances especially in generalizing capacity in classification tasks, resulting in numerous applications in many areas of business, SVM is basically the algorithm that finds the maximum margin hyperplane, which is the maximum separation between classes. According to this method, support vectors are the closest to the maximum margin hyperplane. If it is impossible to classify, we can use the kernel function. In the case of nonlinear class boundaries, we can transform the inputs into a high-dimensional feature space, This is the original input space and is mapped into a high-dimensional dot-product space. Many studies applied SVM to the prediction of bankruptcy, the forecast a financial time series, and the problem of estimating credit rating, In this study we employed SVM for developing data mining-based efficiency prediction model. We used the Gaussian radial function as a kernel function of SVM. In multi-class SVM, we adopted one-against-one approach between binary classification method and two all-together methods, proposed by Weston and Watkins(1999) and Crammer and Singer(2000), respectively. In this research, we used corporate information of 154 companies listed on KOSDAQ market in Korea exchange. We obtained companies' financial information of 2005 from the KIS(Korea Information Service, Inc.). Using this data, we made multi-class rating with DEA efficiency and built multi-class prediction model based data mining. Among three manners of multi-classification, the hit ratio of the Weston and Watkins method is the best in the test data set. In multi classification problems as efficiency ratings of venture business, it is very useful for investors to know the class with errors, one class difference, when it is difficult to find out the accurate class in the actual market. So we presented accuracy results within 1-class errors, and the Weston and Watkins method showed 85.7% accuracy in our test samples. We conclude that the DEA based multi-class approach in venture business generates more information than the binary classification problem, notwithstanding its efficiency level. We believe this model can help investors in decision making as it provides a reliably tool to evaluate venture companies in the financial domain. For the future research, we perceive the need to enhance such areas as the variable selection process, the parameter selection of kernel function, the generalization, and the sample size of multi-class.

Trend Analysis based Strategy Evaluation for Launch Vehicle Industry in Korea (한국의 우주발사체 산업 발전을 위한 우주발사서비스 시장진입 전략 평가)

  • Hong, Seulki;Ahn, Jaemyung
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.43 no.10
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    • pp.936-942
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    • 2015
  • This paper suggests the significant strategies and their priority to deal with space transportation market trends. First, market trends related with technical improvement and change in demand are analyzed by the literature research. The three key trends are obtained: 'Increasing Demand of High-Performance Launch Vehicles', 'Rising of Low-Price Launch Vehicles', and 'Rising of Dual/Multi-Launch'. And then, strategies for developing the launch vehicle industry in Korea are selected from several studies about commercialization of Korean launch vehicle. The strategies are evaluated by the experts through pairwise comparison matrix and the criteria for this process is how significantly does the strategy effect on the launch vehicle industry through market assessment. As a result, reliable order of priority among the strategies are obtained. Under the three key trends, strategy to enhance reliability is most important. And, strategy to have price competitiveness has secondary priority to deal with 'Rising of Low-Price Launch Vehicles' trend and 'Rising of Dual/Multi-Launch' trend. On the contrary, strategy of government's support is secondary under 'Increasing Demand of High-Performance Launch Vehicles' trend.

Technical Entrepreneurship Education Service Quality Evaluation System based on FAHP (FAHP에 기반을 둔 기술창업교육서비스품질 평가 시스템)

  • Joun, Hyang-Soon;Lee, Sang-Yong
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.13 no.10
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    • pp.509-516
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    • 2015
  • Intangibility, measurement difficulty and irreversibility, which are the characteristics of service, have such problems as obscurity and uncertainty in quality evaluation. Technical entrepreneurship education, a sort of public service, also contains such characteristics of service. To objectively evaluate the service quality of technical entrepreneurship education, this paper drew up factors as hierarchical structure, centered on FAHP technique, and conducted pre-processing, inputted those factors into triangular fuzzy number fuzzy judgement matrix, and calculated their weights. In this manner, this paper proposed a TESE system, through which an analysis can be conducted by drawing relative importance and priorities of the factors. The proposed system can efficiently evaluate the qualitative technical start-up education service quality factors quantitatively in the diversely changing technical start-up environment in view of the highest result quality (41%), which means performance in the relative importance of major factors. Namely, this paper confirmed that clear decision making can be made through an experiment.

Evaluation of Non-point source Vulnerable Areas In West Nakdong River Watershed Using TOPSIS (TOPSIS를 이용한 서낙동강 유역 비점오염 취약지역 평가 연구)

  • KAL, Byung-Seok;PARK, Jae-Beom;KIM, Ye-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.26-39
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    • 2021
  • This study investigated the characteristics of the watershed and pollutants in the Seonakdong River basin in the lower stream of the Nakdong River Water System, and evaluated the areas vulnerable to nonpoint pollution by subwatershed according to the TOPSIS(Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution) method. The selection method consists of selection of evaluation factors, calculation of weights and selection of areas vulnerable to non-point pollution through evaluation factors and weights. The entropy method was used as the weight calculation method and TOPSIS, a multi-criteria decision making(MCDM) method was used as the evaluation method. Indicator data were collected as of 2018, and national pollution source survey data and national statistics were used. Most of the vulnerable watersheds were highly urbanized had a large number of residents and were evaluated as having a large land area among industrial facilities and site area rate. Through this study, it is necessary to approach a variety of weighting methodologies to assess the vulnerability of non-point pollution with high reliability, and scientific analysis of the factors that affect non-point pollution sources and consideration of the effects are necessary.

Preference Analysis for U-City Services (U-City 분야별 서비스에 대한 선호도 분석)

  • Kim, Jong-Ki;Nam, Soo-Tai
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.51-63
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    • 2010
  • U-City applies ubiquitous information technologies such as RFID, GPS, USN to various components of city functions and services. The concept of U-City was popularized especially in Korea and currently more than 40 projects have been carrying out all over country. U-City incorporates advanced information communication technologies into ubiquitous information services to provide better quality of life. The purpose of this study is to analyze preferences for the U-City services by surveying experts in U-City developing companies. This study employs Analytic Hierarchy Process which is very useful tool for performing multi-criteria decision making. Total of 28 responses were used in the analysis. The results indicated that the first 7 most preferred items were from transportation and safety area and environment and healthcare area and 4 out of 6 items in transportation and safety area were ranked among them. It implies that respondents consider countering anxiety caused by congested traffic, natural disasters, crimes, etc most important aspect that U-City should deal with. On the other hand, U-Port, U-Convention, U-Logistics, U-Public Administration and U-City Portal were listed as the least preferred services.

Intelligent Data Governance for the Federated Integration of Air Quality Databases in the Railway Industry (철도 산업의 공기 질 데이터베이스 연합형 통합을 위한 지능형 데이터 거버넌스)

  • Minjeong, Kim;Jong-Un, Won;Sangchan, Park;Gayoung, Park
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.50 no.4
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    • pp.811-830
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: In this paper, we will discuss 1) prioritizing databases to be integrated; 2) which data elements should be emphasized in federated database integration; and 3) the degree of efficiency in the integration. This paper aims to lay the groundwork for building data governance by presenting guidelines for database integration using metrics to identify and evaluate the capabilities of the UK's air quality databases. Methods: This paper intends to perform relative efficiency analysis using Data Envelope Analysis among the multi-criteria decision-making methods. In federated database integration, it is important to identify databases with high integration efficiency when prioritizing databases to be integrated. Results: The outcome of this paper aims not to present performance indicators for the implementation and evaluation of data governance, but rather to discuss what criteria should be used when performing 'federated integration'. Using Data Envelope Analysis in the process of implementing intelligent data governance, authors will establish and present practical strategies to discover databases with high integration efficiency. Conclusion: Through this study, it was possible to establish internal guidelines from an integrated point of view of data governance. The flexiblity of the federated database integration under the practice of the data governance, makes it possible to integrate databases quickly, easily, and effectively. By utilizing the guidelines presented in this study, authors anticipate that the process of integrating multiple databases, including the air quality databases, will evolve into the intelligent data governance based on the federated database integration when establishing the data governance practice in the railway industry.

Aggregation of Decision Inputs with Ordered Weighted Averaging Operators and Application to the Multiple Criteria Decision Making Problems (순위가중치평균법에 의한 의사전략 결합 및 다기준의사결정 문제로의 적용)

  • Oh, Se-Woong;Park, Jong-Min;Yang, Young-Hoon;Seo, Ki-Yoel;Lee, Cheol-Young;Suh, Sang-Hyun
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.537-543
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    • 2007
  • It's an important part to calculate the weights between criterions and to aggregate the decision inputs in a MCDM(Multi criterion decision making) This paper presents a method for aggregation cf decision inputs and application to the MCDM. We incorporate the fuzzy set theory and the basic nature of subjectivity due to ambiguity to achieve a flexible decision approach suitable for uncertain and fuzzy environments. To obtain the scoring that corresponds to the best alternative or the ranking of the alternatives, we need to use a total order for the fuzzy numbers involved in the problem. In this article, we consider a definition of such a total order, which is based on two subjective aspects: the degree of optimism/pessimism reflected with the ordered weighted averaging(OWA) oprators. A numerical example, expecially location analysis for anchorage area, is given to illustrate the approach.

The Establishment of an Evaluation Model and Analysis of Perceived Differences between Appraisers for Scenic Roads (경관도로의 평가모형 구축 및 중요도 인식 분석)

  • Kim, Hyeong-Cheol;Jo, Eung-Rae;Jang, Seung-Il
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.31-40
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this study is to formulate an evaluation model and to select evaluation factors for designing scenic roads and designating existing roads as scenic roads. The definition of a "scenic road" contains the purpose not just of travel or access but visiting itself. The value of a scenic road can be enhanced through the preservation of natural environment along the road or the installation of artificial facilities. In order to promote objective scenic road selection and evaluation, the authors used Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), which is a multi-criteria decision making method. The weighting value was 0.382 for the value of landscape along the road, 0.154 for the value of landscape in the road, 0.269 for the characteristics of the road, and 0.196 for the management of the road.

Decision Making for Priority of Water Allocation during Drought by Analytic Hierarchy Process (계층분석과정(AHP)에 의한 가뭄시 용수배분 우선순위 위사 결정)

  • Lee, Hyun-Jae;Shim, Myung-Pil
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.35 no.6
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    • pp.703-714
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    • 2002
  • During drought, there have been a number of conflicts because of the limited and insufficient water to allocate for the numerous water users. To solve the problems, the decision on the priority of water use should be made with social rationality A rational and systematic procedure needs to be implemented in order to decide the priority of water use. First, a criteria level is made of the main and detailed drought impacts which come from the economic, environmental, and social aspects. Four alternatives are then identified for priority of water use. Second, survey to the two group(professional, residents) has been done with using pair wise comparisons. Finally, the relative weights and the priority of alternatives are determined by means of the Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP) which is one of the Multi-Attributed Decision Method(MADM). By using AHP, it has been concluded that the water allocation during drought should be accomplished in order of domestic, irrigation, industrial, and river maintenance water. If the AHP method were improved for inconsistency which may be generated with survey analysis, a number of applications will be used for the solutions of problem in water resources systems.