• Title/Summary/Keyword: Multi-Criteria

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Impact of Emission Inventory Choices on PM10 Forecast Accuracy and Contributions in the Seoul Metropolitan Area (배출량 목록에 따른 수도권 PM10 예보 정합도 및 국내외 기여도 분석)

  • Bae, Changhan;Kim, Eunhye;Kim, Byeong-Uk;Kim, Hyun Cheol;Woo, Jung-Hun;Moon, Kwang-Joo;Shin, Hye-Jung;Song, In Ho;Kim, Soontae
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.497-514
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    • 2017
  • This study quantitatively analyzes the effects of emission inventory choices on the simulated particulate matter (PM) concentrations and the domestic/foreign contributions in the Seoul Metropolitan Area (SMA) with an air quality forecasting system. The forecasting system is composed of Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF)-Sparse Matrix Operator Kernel Emissions (SMOKE)-Community Multi-Scale Air Quality (CMAQ). Different domestic and foreign emission inventories were selectively adopted to set up four sets of emissions inputs for air quality simulations in this study. All modeling cases showed that model performance statistics satisfied the criteria levels (correlation coefficient >0.7, fractional error <50%) suggested by previous studies. Notwithstanding the apparently good model performance of total PM concentrations by all emission cases, annual average concentrations of simulated total PM concentrations varied up to $20{\mu}g/m^3$ (160%) depending on the combination of emission inventories. In detail, the difference in simulated annual average concentrations of the primary PM coarse (PMC) was up to $25.2{\mu}g/m^3$ (6.5 times) compared with other cases. Furthermore, model performance analyses on PM species showed that the difference in the simulated primary PMC led to gross model overestimation in general, which indicates that the primary PMC emissions need to be improved. The contribution analysis using model direct outputs indicated that the domestic contributions to the annual average PM concentrations in the SMA vary from 44% to 67%. To account for the uncertainty of the simulated concentration, the contribution correction factor method proposed by Bae et al. (2017) was applied, which resulted in converged contributions(from 48% to 57%). We believe this study shows that it is necessary to improve the simulated concentrations of PM components in order to enhance the accuracy of the forecasting model. It is deemed that these improvements will provide more accurate contribution results.

정보통신연구개발사업의 우선순위 설정과 적정자원 배분 - 다기준의사결정(MCDA) 방법의 적용사례 -

  • 황용수;장진규
    • Proceedings of the Korea Technology Innovation Society Conference
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    • 1999.05a
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    • pp.539-563
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    • 1999
  • 이 논문은 정보통신정책 목표와의 연관성 속에서 정보통신연구개발사업의 우선순위를 설정함과 아울러 비용효과성에 바탕을 둔 적정 자원배분 도출하는데 주안점을 두고 있다. 복합적인 목표를 가진 연구개발사업에 대해 사업부문별 그리고 기술분야별로 객관적이면서도 설득력있는 자원배분지침을 마련하기 위하여 본 연구는 다기준의사결정(MCDA: Multi-criteria Decision Analysis) 방법을 채택하고 있다. 이 방법론에서는 사업의 목표와 우선순위 판단기준 및 사업대안이 계층적으로 연계된 분석구조를 설계하여 사업대안의 우선순위를 먼저 설정하고, 여기에 정수계획법(Integer Programming)을 결합하여 사업의 목표와 연계된 비용-편익 관계(Cost-benefit relationship)를 최적화하는 바탕 위에서 사업대안별 자원배분 시나리오를 제시하게 된다. 이러한 절차로 사업부문별 및 기술분야별로 각각 도출된 8개의 자원배분 시나리오는 자원배분 경향치의 안정성(Stability) 분석과 자금지원의 과부족에 대한 현실적 적합성(Relevance) 분석을 거쳐 최종적으로 하나의 적정 자원배분방안으로 수렴되도록 하였다. 우선순위 설정에 기초가 되는 사업대안의 편익에 대한 자료는 전문가의 정성적 판단을 통해 수집되었는데, 이를 위해 정보통신기술 부문에서 활동 중인 중견 이상의 총 58명의 산학연 전문가를 대상으로 한 조사를 실시하였다. 먼저, 기초기반ㆍ전략기술개발사업, 연구ㆍ기술인력양성사업, 산업응용기술개발사업, 기술기반조성사업 등 4대 사업부문에 대해서는 (ⅰ) 정보통신 기술능력의 축적, (ⅱ) 정보통신산업의 경쟁력 강화, (ⅲ) 정보통신기반의 기술고도화, (ⅳ) 정보화를 위한 기술역량의 제고 등 주요 사업의 편익을 나타내는 4개 기준으로 우선 순위를 판단하였고, 정보통신망기술, 전파 및 RF 기술, 정보처리기술, 반도체 소자/설계 기술 등 13개 기술분야에 대해서는 (ⅰ) 공공정책적 임무에 대한 기여, (ⅱ) 기술자립기반의 확충, (ⅲ) 기술발전성과 기술적 파급효과, (ⅳ) 기술적 산물의 시장잠재력 등 기술분야 연구개발을 통한 편익을 나타내는 4개 기준으로 우선순위를 판단하였다. 우선순위는 사업대안에 대한 가중치로 표시되었고, 적정 자원배분방안은 추정된 총예산 규모에 따라 지원수준에 대한 일정한 제약조건 하에서 비용-편익 관계에 따른 자원의 최적 할당량으로 제시되었다. 본 연구는 총예산 규모의 가변성, 사업 및 기술분야 대안의 분류체계에 대한 공감대 부족, 사업목표의 상호연관성과 우선순위 판단기준의 부분적 중첩성 등 여러 제약요인이 있어 도출된 구체적인 수치보다는 방향성에 더 큰 의미를 부여하는 것이 바람직하다. 그러나, 이러한 연구의 한계에도 불구하고 도출된 우선순위와 적정 자원배분방안은 문제해결의 실행타당성을 감안하여 비교적 객관적이고 균형있는 결과로 판단된다.

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Aggregation of Decision Inputs with Ordered Weighted Averaging Operators and Application to the Multiple Criteria Decision Making Problems (순위가중치평균법에 의한 의사전략 결합 및 다기준의사결정 문제로의 적용)

  • Oh, Se-Woong;Park, Jong-Min;Yang, Young-Hoon;Seo, Ki-Yoel;Lee, Cheol-Young;Suh, Sang-Hyun
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.537-543
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    • 2007
  • It's an important part to calculate the weights between criterions and to aggregate the decision inputs in a MCDM(Multi criterion decision making) This paper presents a method for aggregation cf decision inputs and application to the MCDM. We incorporate the fuzzy set theory and the basic nature of subjectivity due to ambiguity to achieve a flexible decision approach suitable for uncertain and fuzzy environments. To obtain the scoring that corresponds to the best alternative or the ranking of the alternatives, we need to use a total order for the fuzzy numbers involved in the problem. In this article, we consider a definition of such a total order, which is based on two subjective aspects: the degree of optimism/pessimism reflected with the ordered weighted averaging(OWA) oprators. A numerical example, expecially location analysis for anchorage area, is given to illustrate the approach.

Establishment of Simultaneous Analysis Method for the Detection of Multi-Pesticide Residue Used in Golf Courses (골프장 농약 검사를 위한 다성분 동시분석방법 확립에 관한 연구)

  • Yun, Jeong-Ki;Lee, Min-Hyo;Noh, Hoe-Jung;Park, Jong-Gyum;Kim, Hyuk;Kim, Chan-Sub
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.18-24
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    • 2006
  • The possibility of multiresidue analysis of 24 pesticides out of 30 residual pesticides which are subjected to test in the golf courses was examined. The utility of multiresidue method for pesticide residue test was evaluated by recovery test through a standard addition method of pesticides in water, soil, and lawn grass. The experimental results of the recovery test for individual pesticides are as follows : The number of pesticide of which average recovery rate was over 70% regardless of media was 16 pesticides. These pesticides were composed of 8 organophosphorus pesticides (chlorpyrifos, chlorpyrifosmethyl, diazinon, EPN, fenitrothion, phenthoate, phosalone, and toclofos-methyl). 4-organochlorinated pesticides (daconil, captan, endosulfan, and tetradifon), 2-pyrethroid pesticides(fenpropathrin, lambda-cyhalothrin) and 2 other pesticides (bromopropylate, pendimethalin). On the other hand, in case of dicofol, average recovery rate was over 70% for water and lawn grass but only 53.3% for soil. Therefore, the multiresidue method applied in this experiment is not appropriate for analysis of dicofol in soil. Furthermore, among 7 pesticides, 2 pesticides(amitraz and pyraclofos) showed that theirs average recovery rate deviated from criteria($70{\sim}130%$) in almost ail media, while 5 pesticides(bensulide, deltamethrin, iprodione, phosphamidon and tralomethlin) were not detected from all media by GC/NPD or GC/ECD.

Validating the Structural Behavior and Response of Burj Khalifa: Synopsis of the Full Scale Structural Health Monitoring Programs

  • Abdelrazaq, Ahmad
    • International Journal of High-Rise Buildings
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.37-51
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    • 2012
  • New generation of tall and complex buildings systems are now introduced that are reflective of the latest development in materials, design, sustainability, construction, and IT technologies. While the complexity in design is being overcome by the availability and advances in structural analysis tools and readily advanced software, the design of these buildings are still reliant on minimum code requirements that yet to be validated in full scale. The involvement of the author in the design and construction planning of Burj Khalifa since its inception until its completion prompted the author to conceptually develop an extensive survey and real-time structural health monitoring program to validate all the fundamental assumptions mad for the design and construction planning of the tower. The Burj Khalifa Project is the tallest structure ever built by man; the tower is 828 meters tall and comprises of 162 floors above grade and 3 basement levels. Early integration of aerodynamic shaping and wind engineering played a major role in the architectural massing and design of this multi-use tower, where mitigating and taming the dynamic wind effects was one of the most important design criteria established at the onset of the project design. Understanding the structural and foundation system behaviors of the tower are the key fundamental drivers for the development and execution of a state-of-the-art survey and structural health monitoring (SHM) programs. Therefore, the focus of this paper is to discuss the execution of the survey and real-time structural health monitoring programs to confirm the structural behavioral response of the tower during construction stage and during its service life; the monitoring programs included 1) monitoring the tower's foundation system, 2) monitoring the foundation settlement, 3) measuring the strains of the tower vertical elements, 4) measuring the wall and column vertical shortening due to elastic, shrinkage and creep effects, 5) measuring the lateral displacement of the tower under its own gravity loads (including asymmetrical effects) resulting from immediate elastic and long term creep effects, 6) measuring the building lateral movements and dynamic characteristic in real time during construction, 7) measuring the building displacements, accelerations, dynamic characteristics, and structural behavior in real time under building permanent conditions, 8) and monitoring the Pinnacle dynamic behavior and fatigue characteristics. This extensive SHM program has resulted in extensive insight into the structural response of the tower, allowed control the construction process, allowed for the evaluation of the structural response in effective and immediate manner and it allowed for immediate correlation between the measured and the predicted behavior. The survey and SHM programs developed for Burj Khalifa will with no doubt pioneer the use of new survey techniques and the execution of new SHM program concepts as part of the fundamental design of building structures. Moreover, this survey and SHM programs will be benchmarked as a model for the development of future generation of SHM programs for all critical and essential facilities, however, but with much improved devices and technologies, which are now being considered by the author for another tall and complex building development, that is presently under construction.

A Window-Based Permit Distribution Scheme to Support Multi-Class Traffic in ATM Passive Optical Networks (ATM 기반 광 가입자망에서 멀티클래스 트래픽의 효율적인 전송을 위한 윈도우 기반 허락 분배 기법)

  • Lee, Ho-Suk;Eun, Ji-Suk;No, Seon-Sik;Kim, Yeong-Cheon
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea TC
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.12-22
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    • 2000
  • This paper presents the window-based permit distribution scheme for efficient medium access control to support multiclass traffic in APON(ATM over passive optical network). The proposed MAC protocol considers the characteristics of QoS(Quality of Service) for various traffic classes. A periodic RAU(request access unit) in upstream direction, includes dedicative request fields for each traffic category within the request slot. The transmission of upstream cell is permitted by the proposed window-based spacing scheme which distributes the requested traffic into several segments in the unit of one spacing window. The delay sensitive traffic source such as CBR or VBR with the stringent requirements on CDV and delay, is allocated prior to any other class. In order to reduce the CDV, so that the permit arrival rate close to the cell arrival rate, Running-Window algorithm is applied to permit distribution processing for these classes. The ABR traffic, which has not-strict CDV or delay criteria, is allocated flexibly to the residual bandwidth in FIFO manner. UBR traffic is allocated with the lowest priority for the remaining capacity. The performance of proposed protocol is evaluated in terms of transfer delay and 1-point CDV according to various offered load. The simulation results show that our protocol has the prominent improvement on CDV and delay performance with compared to the previous protocol.

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Efficacy and Safety of Micro Current Tape on Chronic Low Back Pain: One Group Pre-Post Test Design, Multi Center Pilot Study (만성 요통 통증 완화에 대한 미세전류 테이프의 안전성 및 유효성 평가)

  • Park, Hyun-Gun;Kim, Jong-Yeon;Yi, Woon-Sup;Lee, Sin-Ji;Chung, Won-Suk;Kim, Ho-Jun;Lee, Jong-Soo
    • Journal of Korean Medicine Rehabilitation
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.185-194
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    • 2013
  • Objectives The aim of this study was to evaluate the efficacy and safety of micro current taping therapy (MTT) on patients with chronic low back pain (CLBP). Methods We included 50 participants who met the inclusion criteria and 5 participants dropped out during the sessions due to the following reasons: 3 participants were personal reasons, 1 participant was taking medication, 1 participant was fore arm fracture. We attached "I" shaped 40 cm, 2 tapes along the erector muscles of the spine starting from both iliac crest and another "I" shaped 30 cm, 1 tape on the painful site horizontally. This procedure was done 8 times and participants visited a total of 9 times including a final visit for evaluation. We measured visual analog scale (VAS), range of motion (ROM) and schober's test on every visit. Participants completed a questionnaire of oswestry disability index (ODI) and Beck's depression inventory (BDI) on the first and last visits. Results In VAS for pain intensity and bothersomeness, there were significant decreases after 1st, 6th treatments. In range of extension, there was significant increase after 3rd treatment at first. In range of flexion, there was significant increase after 2nd treatment at first. In range of left flexion, there was significant increase after 4th treatment at first. In range of right flexion, there was significant increase after 3rd treatment at first. in schober's test, there was significant increase after 2nd treatment at first. In VAS, ROM, schober's test, BDI, ODI, there were significant improvement after all treatments had done. Conclusions There was a significant effect of MTT on CLBP. And there was no adverse effect.

The Study on the Characteristics of Mode I Crack for Cross-ply Carbon/Epoxy Composite Laminates Based on Stress Fields (응력장을 이용한 직교적층 탄소섬유/에폭시 복합재 적층판의 모드 I 균열 특성 연구)

  • Kang, Min-Song;Jeon, Min-Hyeok;Kim, In-Gul;Woo, Kyeong-Sik
    • Composites Research
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    • v.32 no.6
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    • pp.327-334
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    • 2019
  • The delamination is a special mode of failure occurring in composite laminates. Several numerical studies with finite element analysis have been carried out on the delamination behavior of unidirectional composite laminates. On the other hand, the fracture for the multi-directional composite laminates may occur not only along the resin-fiber interface between plies known as interply or interlaminar fracture but also within a ply known as interyarn or intralaminar fracture accompanied by matrix cracking and fiber bridging. In addition, interlaminar and intralaminar cracks appear at irregular proportions and intralaminar cracks proceeded at arbitrary angle. The probabilistic analysis method for the prediction of crack growth behavior within a layer is more advantageous than the deterministic analysis method. In this paper, we analyze the crack path when the mode I load is applied to the cross-ply carbon/epoxy composite laminates and collect and analyze the probability data to be used as the basis of the probabilistic analysis in the future. Two criteria for the theoretical analysis of the crack growth direction were proposed by analyzing the stress field at the crack tip of orthotropic materials. Using the proposed method, the crack growth directions of the cross-ply carbon/epoxy laminates were analyzed qualitatively and quantitatively and compared with experimental results.

Goral(Nemorhaedus caudatus) Habitat Suitability Model based on GIS and Fuzzy set at Soraksan National Park. (GIS와 퍼지집합을 이용한 산양(Nemorhaedus caudatus)의 서식지적합성모형 개발: 설악산 국립공원을 대상으로)

  • 최태영;양병이;박종화;서창완
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association of Geographic Inforamtion Studies Conference
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    • 2003.04a
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    • pp.472-477
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    • 2003
  • 멸종위기종의 서식지를 효율적으로 관리하기 위해서는 해당 종의 서식 가능한 지역의 분포를 알아야 한다. 본 연구의 목적은 GIS와 퍼지집합을 이용하여 산양(Nemorhaedus caudatus)의 서식지적합성모형을 개발하여 멸종 위기종의 서식지를 관리하기 위한 정보를 제공하는 것이다. 산양의 서식지적합성모형 개발을 위한 본 연구의 주요내용은 다음과 같다. 첫째, 산양 서식지 이용에 관한 기존 연구를 바탕으로 산양의 잠재적 서식지 환경변수를 분류하였으며, 분석 대상지의 산양 흔적 조사를 통해 서식지 환경변수의 재분류 및 x²검정(Chi-square test)을 통한 변수들의 유용성을 파악하고, 쌍체비교를 통한 환경변수별 가중치를 계산하였다. 둘째, 기존 부울논리(boolean logic)의 단점을 보완하기 위해 현장 조사의 결과를 바탕으로 퍼지논리(fuzzy logic)에 의한 산양 서식지의 각 환경변수별 주제도를 작성하고, 주제도들의 상관관계를 분석하여 상호 관련성이 높은 변수들의 중복을 피하였다. 셋째, 환경변수별 주제도와 변수별 가중치를 바탕으로 다기준평가기법(MCE, Multi-Criteria Evaluation)을 이용하여 분석대상지의 산양 서식지적합성모형을 개발하였다. 마지막으로, 개발된 서식지적합성모형의 타당성을 검증하기 위해 분석대상지 외부 지역을 대상으로 검증을 실시하였다. 분석 결과 분석대상지의 분류정확도는 서식가능성 0.5를 기준으로 93.94%의 매우 높은 분류정확도를 나타내었으며, 검증대상지에서는 95.74%의 분류정확도를 나타내어 본 모형의 분류정확도는 일관성이 높은 것으로 판단되었다. 또한 전체 공원구역에서 서식가능성 0.5이상의 면적은 59%를 차지하였다.퇴적이 우세한 것으로 관측되었다.보체계의 구축사업의 시각이 행정정보화, 생활정보화, 산업정보화 등 다양한 분야와 결합하여 보다 큰 시너지 효과와 사용자 중심의 서비스 개선을 창출할 수 있는 기반을 제공할 것을 기대해 본다.. 이상의 결과를 종합해볼 때, ${\beta}$-glucan은 고용량일 때 직접적으로 또는 $IFN-{\gamma}$ 존재시에는 저용량에서도 복강 큰 포식세로를 활성화시킬 뿐 아니라, 탐식효율도 높임으로써 면역기능을 증진 시키는 것으로 나타났고, 그 효과는 crude ${\beta}$-glucan의 추출조건에 따라 달라지는 것을 알 수 있었다.eveloped. Design concepts and control methods of a new crane will be introduced in this paper.and momentum balance was applied to the fluid field of bundle. while the movement of′ individual material was taken into account. The constitutive model relating the surface force and the deformation of bundle was introduced by considering a representative prodedure that stands for the bundle movement. Then a fundamental equations system could be simplified considering a steady state of the process. O

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Application of Multi-Criteria Analysis and GIS to the Coastal Assessment (GIS와 다기준분석법(MCA)을 활용한 연안지역 평가방법 연구)

  • 최희정;윤진숙;황철수
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association of Geographic Inforamtion Studies Conference
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    • 2003.04a
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    • pp.510-516
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    • 2003
  • 연안관리 정책을 결정하기 위해서는 다양한 정보의 수집과 이를 체계적으로 관리하고 분석할 수 있는 기법이 필요하다. 특히, 다양한 이해집단과 목적들이 상충하는 지역의 특성을 파악하기 위해서는 환경, 사회, 경제적인 기준 및 의사결정자의 가치체계가 반영될 수 있어야 하며, 선호도가 반영된 요소를 효율적으로 분석할 수 있어야 한다. 이에, 본 연구에서는 공간자료의 처리 및 분석이 용이한 GIS 환경에 다기준 분석법, 그 중에서도 AHP 모형을 결합하는 방법을 다루어 보았다. 분석과정을 살펴보면, 본 연구에서는 지역에 영향을 미치는 사회ㆍ경제적인 지표, 환경 지표를 정하였고, 이런 지표들의 데이터를 GIS라는 도구를 통하여 분석이 용이하도록 변환시켰다. 한편, 이 지역에 영향을 미치는 각 기준들의 중요성을 파악하여 의사결정자의 의견을 반영할 수 있도록 다기준 분석법의 하나인 AHP를 이용하여 가중치를 산정하였다. 다음으로, 다양한 출처의 자료를 표준화하여 GIS의 래스터 자료로 구축한 후, 가중치를 적용한 개별 레이어를 지도대수와 중첩분석을 이용하여 최종 결과 레이어를 생성하였다. 생성된 최종 결과 레이어 상의 공간의 대안인 각 셀 값을 비교ㆍ분석하였다. 이로 인한 결과는 연안의 유한한 자원과 공간의 다양한 이용상태를 관리하기 위한 해안과 육상의 정보를 제공할 수 있다. GIS와 다기준 분석을 통합함으로써 다양한 출처의 공간정보를 분석하고 연안의 현 상태를 밝힐 수 있다. 또한, 이것은 분석 결과가 단순하고 명확하게 설명되어 정책 결정자에게 유용한 정보를 제공할 뿐만 아니라, 이 정보를 이용하여 실질적인 연안관리계획을 수립하는데 도움이 된다.가능성 0.5이상의 면적은 59%를 차지하였다.퇴적이 우세한 것으로 관측되었다.보체계의 구축사업의 시각이 행정정보화, 생활정보화, 산업정보화 등 다양한 분야와 결합하여 보다 큰 시너지 효과와 사용자 중심의 서비스 개선을 창출할 수 있는 기반을 제공할 것을 기대해 본다.. 이상의 결과를 종합해볼 때, ${\beta}$-glucan은 고용량일 때 직접적으로 또는 $IFN-{\gamma}$ 존재시에는 저용량에서도 복강 큰 포식세로를 활성화시킬 뿐 아니라, 탐식효율도 높임으로써 면역기능을 증진 시키는 것으로 나타났고, 그 효과는 crude ${\beta}$-glucan의 추출조건에 따라 달라지는 것을 알 수 있었다.eveloped. Design concepts and control methods of a new crane will be introduced in this paper.and momentum balance was applied to the fluid field of bundle. while the movement of′ individual material was taken into account. The constitutive model relating the surface force and the deformation of bundle was introduced by considering a representative prodedure that stands for the bundle movement. Then a fundamental equations system could be sim

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