• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• 제16권7호
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• pp.2857-2870
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• 2015

Although the incidence of breast cancer in Asia remains lower than in North America, Western Europe, and Oceania, rates have been increasing rapidly during the past few decades, and Asian countries now account for 40% of breast cancer cases diagnosed worldwide. Breast cancer mortality has also increased among Asian women, in contrast to decreased mortality in Northern America, Western Europe, and Oceania. These increased rates are associated with higher prevalence of breast cancer risk factors (e.g., reduced parity, delayed childbirth, increased obesity) that have accompanied economic development throughout the region. However, Asian regions (western, south-central, south-eastern, and eastern) and countries differ in the types and magnitude of changes in breast cancer risk factors, and cannot be viewed as a single homogeneous group. The objective of this paper was to contrast the heterogeneous epidemiology of breast cancer by Asian regions and countries, and to suggest potential avenues for future research.

• 보험의학회지
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• 제29권2호
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• pp.18-21
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• 2010

Background: The kidney transplantation is increasing. The kidney donation of a living donor is more common in Korea than in other countries. Underwriters may encounter a case of a kidney donor. So we need to determine medical risk for a living kidney donor. Methods: Comparative mortality figures were calculated from a source article using mortality analysis methods. Results: Mortality Ratio of a living kidney donor was estimated to 106%, and Excess Death Rate was 0.89 per 1000. Discussion: A healthy kidney donor is quite within standard, even better in terms of medical risk.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제29권6호
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• pp.679-694
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• 2022

Mortality risk is a significant threat to individual life, and quantifying the risk is necessary for making a national population plan and is a traditionally fundamental task in the insurance and annuity businesses. Like other advanced countries, the sustainability of life pensions and the management of longevity risks are becoming important in Asian countries entering the era of aging society. In this study, mortality and pension value sustainability trends are compared and analyzed based on national population and mortality data, focusing on four Asian countries from 1990 to 2017. The result of analyzing the robustness and accuracy of generalized linear/nonlinear models reveals that the Cairns-Blake-Dowd model, the nonparametric Renshaw-Haberman model, and the Plat model show low stability. The Currie, CBD M5, M7, and M8 models have high stability against data periods. The M7 and M8 models demonstrate high accuracy. The longevity risk is found to be high in the order of Taiwan, Hong Kong, Korea, and Japan, which is in general inversely related to the population size.

• Journal of Ginseng Research
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• 제27권4호
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• pp.158-164
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• 2003

Recently, there are much concerns about ginseng as disease therapeutics. There are no epidemiologic study on relationship between ginseng intake and all cause mortality based from general population Cohort. This study sought to examine relationships between ginseng intake and all cause mortality from Kangwha Cohort data. From March 1985 through December 1999, 2696 males and 3595 females who were aged 55 or over as of 1985 were followed up. We calculate the mortality rate, standardized mortality ratio and risk ratios by ginseng intake. Cox proportional hazard model was used to adjust various confounding factors. Ginseng intake group had the lower all cause mortality(Risk ratio(RR)=0.88, 95%Confidence Interval(CI)=0.79-0.97) among males. Increasing ginseng intake, lower all cause mortality(Low ginseng intake: RR=0.88, 95%CI=0.79-0.98; high ginseng intake : RR=0.87, 95%CI=0.75-1.00) among males. There is no statistically significant difference between ginseng intake and mortality among females. The results of this study suggests that ginseng intake may prolong the human life among males.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• 제17권5호
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• pp.2643-2648
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• 2016

Background: High-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) levels are lower in Japanese compared with Western subjects. Since it is uncertain whether hsCRP is a potent predictor of mortality at low CRP concentrations, the present study examined associations with all-cause and cause-specific mortality in a large population of Japanese. Materials and Methods: Subjects were 4,737 men and 6,343 women aged 49-76 years participating in the baseline survey of an ongoing cohort study of lifestyle-related diseases between February 2004 and July 2006. Hazard ratios for all-cause and cause-specific mortality associated with hsCRP levels were estimated using Cox proportional hazards regression. Results: A total of 436 all-cause deaths occurred during a median follow-up of 8 years. The main cause of death was cancer. In men, hsCRP levels were positively associated with the risk of all-cause mortality as well as deaths from cancer and cardiovascular disease (CVD). All-cause mortality hazards for the 2nd (0.34-0.84 mg/L) and the 3rd (${\geq}0.85mg/L$) tertiles of hsCRP were 1.27 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.93-1.73) and 1.75 (1.30-2.37), respectively (p for trend=0.001). In women, increased risk of all-cause and cause-specific mortality associated with elevated hsCRP levels was observed, but the associations were not statistically significant. Conclusions: HsCRP may be an independent predictor of all-cause, cancer and CVD mortality in apparently healthy Japanese men, but not women. The differential effect of hsCRP in predicting mortality risk by sex warrants further investigation.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제28권3호
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• pp.393-406
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• 2015

본 논문은 2요인(two-factor) 사망률 모형에 평균회귀모형(mean reverting process)을 적용하여 2요인의 확률적 변동을 모형화하여 사망률리스크(mortality risk)와 장수리스크(longevity risk)를 분석하였다. 최근 고령사회로 진입한 국가들에서 사망률 개선의 둔화가 관측되고 있는 시점에서 기존의 선형증가 또는 감소의 사망률 개선 모형을 보완함에 그 목적을 두었다. 영국의 1991~2015년 사망률 자료를 이용하여 제시한 모형의 모수를 메트로폴리스 알고리듬을 이용해 추정하였고 추정된 모수 값을 이용하여 다수 시뮬레이션을 통하여 장기간의 미래 사망률 예측값을 계산하였다. 평균회귀 모형의 특성으로 인해 약 60년의 시간이 지난 뒤부터는 사망률 개선이 거의 사라져 사망률이 일정한 값에 근접하였다. 사망률 개선이 둔화되는 현상이 관측되는 특정 집단(국가, 사회)의 경우 2요인 평균회귀 모형은 장기간 사망률 예측방법의 대안으로 간주될 것으로 기대되며, 모형의 응용으로서 평균회귀율의 추정결과로부터 사망률 개선의 속도를 계량화하는 기준을 제시하였다. 끝으로, 2014년~2040 기간의 사망률 예측값을 이용하여 25년 만기 장수채권의 발행가격을 산출하였다.

• 보건행정학회지
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• 제14권4호
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• pp.1-20
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• 2004

This study is to examine relationships of several socioeconomic position indicators with mortality risk in a nationwide longitudinal study of South Korea. The Korea Labor & Income Panel Study, conducted on a probability sample of urban South Korean households by Korea Labor Institute, contains date of death information for the decedents which were used to estimate relative risks of mortality and their $95\%$ confidence intervals (CI) with Cox regression analysis. A total of 125 men and women among 8,415 subjects died between 1998 and 2002. Socioeconomic differentials in mortality were observed after adjustment for sex and age. Those with less than 12-year education had 1.90 times $(95\%\;CI=1.25-2.91)$ greater mortality risk than those with 12-year education or more. Greater mortality risks were also found among those with low occupational class and manual occupation. The magnitude of differentials in mortality risks between occupational class were similar in two different approaches to measuring women's occupational class: (1) approach 1 where women, married or not, retain their own occupational class, and (2) approach 2 where married women are assigned their husbands' occupational class. Relative risks of dying among those with low household Income were 1.62 $(95\%\; CI=1.08-2.42)$ compared with the counterparts. Those who reported economic hardship at the time of survey in 1998 had greater risk of mortality $(RR=1.83,\;95\%\;CI=1.21-2.78)$ than those who did not. In conclusion, increased social discourse and policy discussions about these health inequalities are needed in Korean society. Future studies should explore the causes and mechanisms of socioeconomic mortality inequalities.

• 한국환경보건학회지
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• 제40권5호
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• pp.346-354
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• 2014

Objectives: Although a number of epidemiologic studies have examined the association between air pollution and mortality, data limitations have resulted in fewer studies of particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter of ${\leq}2.5{\mu}m$ ($PM_{2.5}$). We conducted a time-series study of the acute effects of particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter of ${\leq}10{\mu}m$($PM_{10}$) and $PM_{2.5}$ on the increased risk of death for all causes and cardiovascular mortality in Seoul, Korea from 2006 to 2010. Methods: We applied the generalized additive model (GAM) with penalized splines, adjusting for time, day of week, holiday, temperature, and relative humidity in order to investigate the association between risk of mortality and particulate matter. Results: We found that $PM_{10}$ and $PM_{2.5}$ were associated with an increased risk of mortality for all causes and of cardiovascular mortality in Seoul. A $10{\mu}g/m^3$ increase in the concentration of $PM_{10}$ corresponded to 0.44% (95% Confidence Interval [CI]: 0.25-0.63%), and 0.95% (95% CI: 0.16-1.73%) increase of all causes and of cardiovascular mortality. A $10{\mu}g/m^3$ increase in the concentration of $PM_{2.5}$ corresponded to 0.76% (95% CI: 0.40-1.12%), and 1.63% (95% CI: 0.89-2.37%) increase of all causes and cardiovascular mortality. Conclusion: We conclude that $PM_{10}$ and $PM_{2.5}$ have an adverse effect on population health and that this strengthens the rationale for further limiting levels of $PM_{10}$ and $PM_{2.5}$ in Seoul.

• 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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• 제17권4호
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• pp.845-873
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• 2008

이 연구에서는 회피행위의 다목적성(결합생산) 문제를 최소화할 수 있는 암 검진 행위라는 회피행위 자료에 대해 표본선택편의를 극복할 수 있는 모형을 적용하여, 사망위험 감소에 대한 지불의사금액의 도출과 더불어 확률적 인간생명가치(value of statistical life : VSL)를 추정하였다. 간암 사망위험을 감소시키기 위한 비용 및 시간 등과 관련된 자료를 이용하여 건강 및 안전에 대한 가계생산함수모형의 틀에서 사망위험 감소를 위한 한계편익을 추정하였다. 간암 검사를 받을 확률을 높아지도록 하는 변수는 남성인 경우, 연령이 많을수록, 교육받은 기간이 길수록, 유배우자인 경우, 현재 흡연자인 경우, 가구소득이 높을수록, 건강염려 정도가 높을 때인 것으로 나타났다. 간암 검진과 관련된 비용은 조기 검진으로 인하여 감소하는 사망위험의 크기 및 성별, 교육받은 기간, 유배우자 여부, 가구 소득에 의해서도 예상한 대로 유의한 영향을 받았다. 암 검진에 의한 사망위험 감소 크기(risk)의 한계효과는 321,097원이다. 교육년수(edu)의 경우 1년 증가하면 간암 검진비용이 905원, 가구 소득(hinc)이 100만 원 증가하면 간암 검진비용이 1,743원 증가한다. 한편 남성인 경우가 여성에 비해 간암 검진비용으로 12,310원을, 유배우자가 무배우자에 비해 7,969원을 더 부담하고 있다. 암 검진으로 인한 조기사망위험 감소로부터 도출된 확률적 인간생명가치는 평균 사망위험 감소 수준 및 평균 암 검진 비용 수준에서 3억 2,110만 원이다. 또한 암 검진 소요비용과 암 검진 효과에 대한 불확실성을 위해 민감도 분석의 결과에서는 확률적 인간생명가치가 1억 6,055만 원~6억 4,219만 원으로 추정되었다.

• 보건교육건강증진학회지
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• 제20권4호
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• pp.51-65
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• 2003

Objectives： To examine the regional mortality differences in The Republic of Korea according to geographic location. Methods： All 232 administrative districts of the Republic of Korea in 1998 were studied according to their geographic locations by dividing each district into three categories； "metropolis," "urban," and "rural". Crude mortality rates for doth sexes from total deaths as well as the three major causes of death in Korea (cardiovascular disease, cancer, and external causes) were calculated with raw data from the "1998 report on the causes of death statistics" and resident registration data. Standardized mortality ratios (SMR) were calculated using the indirect standardization method. Poisson regression analyses were performed to examine the effects of geographic locations on the risk of death. To correct for the socioeconomic differences of each region, the percentage of old ($\geq$ 65 years old) population, the number of privately owned cars per 100 population, and per capita manufacturing production industries were included in the model. Results： Most SMRs were the lowest in the metropolis and the highest in the rural areas. These differences were more prominent in men and in deaths from external causes. In deaths from cancer in women, the rural region showed the lowest SMR. In Poisson regression analysis after correcting for regional socioeconomic differences, the risk of death from all causes significantly increased in both urban (OR＝1.111) and rural (OR＝1.100) regions, except for rural women, compared to the metropolis region. In men, the rural region showed higher risk (OR＝1.180) than the urban region (OR＝1.l51). For cardiovascular disease and cancer, significant differences were not found between geographic locations, except in urban women for cardiovascular disease (OR＝1.151) and in rural women for cancer (OR＝0.887), compared to metropolis women. In deaths from external causes, the risk ratios significantly increased in both urban and rural regions and an increasing tendency from the metropolis to the rural region was clearly observed in both sexes. Conclusions： Regional mortality differences according to geographic location exist in The Republic of Korea and further research and policy approaches to reduce these differences are needed. to reduce these differences are needed.