• 제목/요약/키워드: Mortality Prediction

검색결과 131건 처리시간 0.029초

Development of a Risk Index for Prediction of Abnormal Pap Test Results in Serbia

  • Vukovic, Dejana;Antic, Ljiljana;Vasiljevic, Mladenko;Antic, Dragan;Matejic, Bojana
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제16권8호
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    • pp.3527-3531
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    • 2015
  • Background: Serbia is one of the countries with highest incidence and mortality rates for cervical cancer in Central and South Eastern Europe. Introducing a risk index could provide a powerful means for targeting groups at high likelihood of having an abnormal cervical smear and increase efficiency of screening. The aim of the present study was to create and assess validity ofa index for prediction of an abnormal Pap test result. Materials and Methods: The study population was drawn from patients attending Departments for Women's Health in two primary health care centers in Serbia. Out of 525 respondents 350 were randomly selected and data obtained from them were used as the index creation dataset. Data obtained from the remaining 175 were used as an index validation data set. Results: Age at first intercourse under 18, more than 4 sexual partners, history of STD and multiparity were attributed statistical weights 16, 15, 14 and 13, respectively. The distribution of index scores in index-creation data set showed that most respondents had a score 0 (54.9%). In the index-creation dataset mean index score was 10.3 (SD-13.8), and in the validation dataset the mean was 9.1 (SD=13.2). Conclusions: The advantage of such scoring system is that it is simple, consisting of only four elements, so it could be applied to identify women with high risk for cervical cancer that would be referred for further examination.

교통사고 심각 정도 예측을 위한 TATI 모델 제안 (Proposed TATI Model for Predicting the Traffic Accident Severity)

  • 추민지;박소현;박영호
    • 정보처리학회논문지:소프트웨어 및 데이터공학
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    • 제10권8호
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    • pp.301-310
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    • 2021
  • TATI 모델이란 Traffic Accident Text to RGB Image 모델로, 교통사고 심각 정도 예측을 위한 본 논문에서 제안하는 방법론이다. 교통사고 치사율은 매년 감소하는 추세이나 OECD 회원국 중 하위권에 속해있다. 교통사고 치사율 감소를 위해 많은 연구들이 진행되었고, 그 중에서 교통사고 심각 정도를 예측하여 발생 및 치사율을 줄이기 위한 연구가 꾸준하게 진행되고 있다. 이와 관련하여 최근에는 통계 모델과 딥러닝 모델을 활용하여 교통사고 심각 정도 예측을 하는 연구가 활발하다. 본 논문에서는 교통사고 심각 정도를 예측하기 위해서 교통사고 데이터를 컬러 이미지로 변환하고, CNN 모델을 통해 이를 수행한다. 성능 비교를 위해 제안하는 모델과 다른 모델들을 같은 데이터로 학습시키고, 예측결과를 비교하는 실험을 진행했다. 10번의 실험을 통해 4개의 딥러닝 모델의 정확도와 오차 범위를 비교하였다. 실험 결과에 따르면 제안하는 TATI 모델의 정확도가 0.85로 가장 높은 정확도를 보였고, 0.03으로 두 번째로 낮은 오차 범위를 보여 성능의 우수성을 확인하였다.

물고기의 성장도를 예측하는 FGRS(Fish Growth Regression System) (FGRS(Fish Growth Regression System), Which predicts the growth of fish)

  • 원성권;심용보;손수락;정이나
    • 한국정보전자통신기술학회논문지
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    • 제16권5호
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    • pp.347-353
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    • 2023
  • 양식장에서 물고기의 성장을 측정하는 작업은 아직도 사람의 손이 많이 가는 방식을 사용한다. 이 방식은 많은 노동력이 필요하고, 물고기가 스트레스를 받아 폐사율에 악영향을 준다. 이러한 문제를 해결하기 위해 물고기의 성장도를 자동화하기 위한 시스템 FGRS(Fish Growth Regression System)를 제안한다. FGRS는 두 개의 모듈로 구성된다. 첫째는 Yolo v8 기반의 물고기를 디텍팅하는 모듈이고, 둘째는 물고기 영상 데이터를 CNN 기반의 신경망 모델을 이용하여 물고기의 성장도를 예측하는 모듈로 구성된다. 시뮬레이션 결과 학습전에는 예측 오차가 평균 134.2일로 나왔지만 학습 이후 평균 오차가 39.8일 까지 감소했다. 본 논문에서 제안한 시스템을 이용해 생육일을 예측하여 물고기의 성장예측을 활용해 양식장에서의 자동화에 기여할 수 있고, 많은 노동력 감소와 비용 절감 효과를 가져 올 수 있을 것이라 기대한다.

급성호흡곤란증후군 환자에 있어서 B-type Natriuretic Peptide의 유용성 (Utility of B-type Natriuretic Peptide in Patients with Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome)

  • 이진국;주영빈;김석찬;박성학;이숙영;고윤석;김영균
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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    • 제62권5호
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    • pp.389-397
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    • 2007
  • 연구배경: B-type natriuretic peptide(BNP)는 심인성 및 다른 쇼크 상태를 포함하는 심혈관 질환에서 사망을 예측하는 좋은 인자 중의 하나로 알려져 있다. 그러나, 급성호흡곤란증후군환자에서 이런 관계가 잘 알려져 있지 않는 바, 저자들은 BNP가 급성호흡곤란증후군 환자에서 사망을 예측할 수 있는 지를 연구하였다. 방 법: 본 연구는 전향적 관찰로 시행되었다. 급성호흡곤란증후군으로 진단된 환자들에게 심초음파 검사를 시행한 후, 좌심실 구획률이 50% 미만이거나 확장성 심부전 양상을 보인 환자들을 제외하였다. 2003년 12월부터 2006년 2월까지 총 47명의 환자가 채택되었다. 등록된 환자들은 24시간 내로 BNP를 포함한 여러 검사실 수치를 얻었으며, APACHE(Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation) II 점수를 구하였다. 결 과: BNP와 APACHE II 점수 평균값은 생존자군과 사망자군에서 유의한 차의를 보였다(BNP: $219.5{\pm}57.7pg/mL$ vs $492.3{\pm}88.8pg/mL$; p=0.013, APACHE II 점수: $17.4{\pm}1.6$ vs $23.1{\pm}1.3$, p=0.009). BNP 는 혈중 크레아티닌 수치와 양의 상관관계를 보였으나(r=0.374, p=0.01), 좌심실 구획률과는 유의한 관계가 없었다. Receiver operating characteristic 곡선상, BNP 수치를 585 pg/mL로 잡았을 때 사망을 예측하는데 있어서 94%의 특이도를 보였으며, APACHE II 점수의 경우에는 15.5를 기준으로 하였을 때 87%의 민감도를 보였다. 이 두 요소를 결합하여 '아파치II 점수+$11{\times}logBNP$' 수치를 계산하여 기준점을 46.14로 했을 경우, 사망 예측에 있어서 민감도 63%, 특이도 82%의 결과를 얻을 수 있었다. 결 론: 좌심실 기능 부전을 보이지 않는 급성호흡곤란증후군 환자에서 BNP 수치는 생존자군과 사망자군에서 유의한 차이를 보였으며 사망을 예측할 수 있었다. 향후 급성호흡곤란증후군 환자에 있어서 BNP와 관련된 연구가 더 필요하다고 생각된다.

DIAGNOSING CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE FROM HRV DATA USING FP-BASED BAYESIAN CLASSIFIER

  • Lee, Heon-Gyu;Lee, Bum-Ju;Noh, Ki-Yong;Ryu, Keun-Ho
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2006년도 Proceedings of ISRS 2006 PORSEC Volume II
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    • pp.868-871
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    • 2006
  • Mortality of domestic people from cardiovascular disease ranked second, which followed that of from cancer last year. Therefore, it is very important and urgent to enhance the reliability of medical examination and treatment for cardiovascular disease. Heart Rate Variability (HRV) is the most commonly used noninvasive methods to evaluate autonomic regulation of heart rate and conditions of a human heart. In this paper, our aim is to extract a quantitative measure for HRV to enhance the reliability of medical examination for cardiovascular disease, and then develop a prediction method for extracting multi-parametric features by analyzing HRV from ECG. In this study, we propose a hybrid Bayesian classifier called FP-based Bayesian. The proposed classifier use frequent patterns for building Bayesian model. Since the volume of patterns produced can be large, we offer a rule cohesion measure that allows a strong push of pruning patterns in the pattern-generating process. We conduct an experiment for the FP-based Bayesian classifier, which utilizes multiple rules and pruning, and biased confidence (or cohesion measure) and dataset consisting of 670 participants distributed into two groups, namely normal and patients with coronary artery disease.

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A novel nomogram of naïve Bayesian model for prevalence of cardiovascular disease

  • Kang, Eun Jin;Kim, Hyun Ji;Lee, Jea Young
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.297-306
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    • 2018
  • Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of death worldwide and has a high mortality rate after onset; therefore, the CVD management requires the development of treatment plans and the prediction of prevalence rates. In our study, age, income, education level, marriage status, diabetes, and obesity were identified as risk factors for CVD. Using these 6 factors, we proposed a nomogram based on a $na{\ddot{i}}ve$ Bayesian classifier model for CVD. The attributes for each factor were assigned point values between -100 and 100 by Bayes' theorem, and the negative or positive attributes for CVD were represented to the values. Additionally, the prevalence rate can be calculated even in cases with some missing attribute values. A receiver operation characteristic (ROC) curve and calibration plot verified the nomogram. Consequently, when the attribute values for these risk factors are known, the prevalence rate for CVD can be predicted using the proposed nomogram based on a $na{\ddot{i}}ve$ Bayesian classifier model.

Comparing the Performance of 17 Machine Learning Models in Predicting Human Population Growth of Countries

  • Otoom, Mohammad Mahmood
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.220-225
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    • 2021
  • Human population growth rate is an important parameter for real-world planning. Common approaches rely upon fixed parameters like human population, mortality rate, fertility rate, which is collected historically to determine the region's population growth rate. Literature does not provide a solution for areas with no historical knowledge. In such areas, machine learning can solve the problem, but a multitude of machine learning algorithm makes it difficult to determine the best approach. Further, the missing feature is a common real-world problem. Thus, it is essential to compare and select the machine learning techniques which provide the best and most robust in the presence of missing features. This study compares 17 machine learning techniques (base learners and ensemble learners) performance in predicting the human population growth rate of the country. Among the 17 machine learning techniques, random forest outperformed all the other techniques both in predictive performance and robustness towards missing features. Thus, the study successfully demonstrates and compares machine learning techniques to predict the human population growth rate in settings where historical data and feature information is not available. Further, the study provides the best machine learning algorithm for performing population growth rate prediction.

얼굴영상의 초해상도화 및 Tanh-polar 변환 기반의 인지나이 예측 (Perceived Age Prediction from Face Image Based on Super-resolution and Tanh-polar Transform)

  • 안일구 ;이시우
    • 대한의용생체공학회:의공학회지
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    • 제44권5호
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    • pp.329-335
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    • 2023
  • Perceived age is defined as age estimated based on physical appearance. Perceived age is an important indicator of the overall health status of the elderly. This is because people who appear older tend to have higher rates of morbidity and mortality than people of the same chronological age. Although perceived age is an important indicator, there is a lack of objective methods to quantify perceived age. In this paper, we construct a quantified perceived age model from face images using a convolutional neural network. The face images are enlarged to super-resolution and the skin, an important feature in perceived age, is made clear. Moreover, through Tanh-polar transformation, the central area of the face occupies a relatively larger area than the boundary area, helping the neural network better recognize facial skin features. The experimental results show mean absolute error (MAE) of 6.59, showing that the proposed model is superior to existing method.

앙상블 기법을 활용한 RNA-Sequencing 데이터의 폐암 예측 연구 (A Study on Predicting Lung Cancer Using RNA-Sequencing Data with Ensemble Learning)

  • Geon AN;JooYong PARK
    • Journal of Korea Artificial Intelligence Association
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    • 제2권1호
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    • pp.7-14
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    • 2024
  • In this paper, we explore the application of RNA-sequencing data and ensemble machine learning to predict lung cancer and treatment strategies for lung cancer, a leading cause of cancer mortality worldwide. The research utilizes Random Forest, XGBoost, and LightGBM models to analyze gene expression profiles from extensive datasets, aiming to enhance predictive accuracy for lung cancer prognosis. The methodology focuses on preprocessing RNA-seq data to standardize expression levels across samples and applying ensemble algorithms to maximize prediction stability and reduce model overfitting. Key findings indicate that ensemble models, especially XGBoost, substantially outperform traditional predictive models. Significant genetic markers such as ADGRF5 is identified as crucial for predicting lung cancer outcomes. In conclusion, ensemble learning using RNA-seq data proves highly effective in predicting lung cancer, suggesting a potential shift towards more precise and personalized treatment approaches. The results advocate for further integration of molecular and clinical data to refine diagnostic models and improve clinical outcomes, underscoring the critical role of advanced molecular diagnostics in enhancing patient survival rates and quality of life. This study lays the groundwork for future research in the application of RNA-sequencing data and ensemble machine learning techniques in clinical settings.

[Reivew]Prediction of Cervical Cancer Risk from Taking Hormone Contraceptivese

  • Su jeong RU;Kyung-A KIM;Myung-Ae CHUNG;Min Soo KANG
    • 한국인공지능학회지
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.25-29
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    • 2024
  • In this study, research was conducted to predict the probability of cervical cancer occurrence associated with the use of hormonal contraceptives. Cervical cancer is influenced by various environmental factors; however, the human papillomavirus (HPV) is detected in 99% of cases, making it the primary attributed cause. Additionally, although cervical cancer ranks 10th in overall female cancer incidence, it is nearly 100% preventable among known cancers. Early-stage cervical cancer typically presents no symptoms but can be detected early through regular screening. Therefore, routine tests, including cytology, should be conducted annually, as early detection significantly improves the chances of successful treatment. Thus, we employed artificial intelligence technology to forecast the likelihood of developing cervical cancer. We utilized the logistic regression algorithm, a predictive model, through Microsoft Azure. The classification model yielded an accuracy of 80.8%, a precision of 80.2%, a recall rate of 99.0%, and an F1 score of 88.6%. These results indicate that the use of hormonal contraceptives is associated with an increased risk of cervical cancer. Further development of the artificial intelligence program, as studied here, holds promise for reducing mortality rates attributable to cervical cancer.