• Title/Summary/Keyword: Monte-Carlo 시뮬레이션

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Development of an Evaluation Technique for Incentive Level of Direct Load Control using Sequential Monte Carlo Simulation (몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 이용한 직접부하제어의 적정 제어지원금 산정기법 개발)

  • Jeong, Yun-Won;Kim, Min-Soo;Park, Jong-Bae;Shin, Joong-Rin;Kim, Byung-Seop
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2003.07a
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    • pp.636-638
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    • 2003
  • This paper presents a new approach which is able to determine the reasonable incentive levels of direct load control using sequential Monte Carlo simulation techniques. The economic analysis needs to determine the reasonable incentive level. However, the conventional methods have been based on the scenario methods because they had not considered all cases of the direct load control situations. To overcome there problems, this paper proposes a new technique using sequential Monte Carlo simulation. The Monte Carlo method is a simple and flexible tool to consider large scale systems and complex models for the components of the system. To show its effectiveness, numerical studies were performed to indicate the possible applications of the proposed technique.

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Reliability Analysis of Hybrid Rocket using Monte-Carlo Simulation (몬테 카를로 시뮬레이션을 이용한 하이브리드 로켓의 신뢰성 분석)

  • Moon, Keunhwan;Kim, Wanbeom;Lee, Jungpyo;Choi, Jooho;Kim, Jinkon
    • Journal of Aerospace System Engineering
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2013
  • In this study, probabilistic reliability analysis was conducted for hybrid rocket performance using Monte-Carlo Simulation. For the accuracy, reliability analysis was performed with experimental data. To simplify the analysis process, the oxidizer was supplied with constant pressure, so that pressure variation with time can be eliminated. And time-space averaged regression rate model was used. The regression rate is obtained with a series of experiments. For reliability analysis of thrust, constant exponent of regression rate is assumed that has probabilistic character. So, the efficiency of characteristic velocity has also probabilistic values. As a results, probability distribution of the thrust is obtained by Monte-Carlo simulation using random samples of the input parameter and validated under the 95% confidence level.

Applying Monte Carlo Simulation for Supporting Decision Makings in Software Projects (소프트웨어 프로젝트 의사결정 지원을 위한 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션의 활용)

  • Han, Hyuk-Soo;Kim, Cho-Yi
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.123-133
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    • 2010
  • There are many occasions on which the critical decisions should be made in software projects. Those decisions are basically related to estimating and predicting project parameters such as costs, efforts, and duration. The project managers are looking for methods to make better decisions. The decisions about project parameters are recommended to be performed based on historical data of Similar projects. The measures of the tasks in past projects may have different shapes of distributions. we need to add those measures to get a predicted project measures. To add measures with different shapes of distribution, we need to use Monte Carlo Simulation. In this paper, we suggest applying Monte Carlo Simulation for supporting decision makings in software project. We implemented best-fit case and scheduling estimations with Cristal Ball, a commercial product of Monte Carlo simulation and showed how the suggested approach supports those critical decision makings.

Diagnostic X-ray Spectra Detection by Monte Carlo Simulation (진단용 X-선 스펙트럼의 몬테칼로 전산모사 측정)

  • Baek, Cheol-Ha;Lee, Seung-Jae;Kim, Daehong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.289-295
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    • 2018
  • Most diagnostic devices in the medical field use X-ray sources, which emit energy spectra. In radiological diagnosis, the quantitative and qualitative analyses of X-rays are essential for maintaining the image quality and minimizing the radiation dose to patients. This work aims to obtain the X-ray energy spectra used in diagnostic imaging by Monte Carlo simulation. Various X-ray spectra are simulated using a Monte Carlo simulation tool. These spectra are then compared to the reference data obtained with a tungsten anode spectral model using the interpolating polynomial (TASMIP) code. The X-ray tube voltages used are 50, 60, 80, 100, and 110 kV, respectively. CdTe and a-Se detector are used as the detectors for obtaining the X-ray spectra. Simulation results demonstrate that the various X-ray spectra are well matched with the reference data. Based on the simulation results, an appropriate X-ray spectrum, in accordance with the tube voltage, can be selected when generating an image for diagnostic imaging. The dose to be delivered to the patient can be predicted prior to examination in the diagnostic field.

Estimation of Dose Distribution on Carbon Ion Therapy Facility using Monte Carlo Simulation (몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 이용한 중입자 치료실의 선량분포 추정)

  • Song, Yongkeun;Heo, Seunguk;Cho, Gyuseok;Choi, Sanghyun;Han, Moojae;Park, Jikoon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.437-442
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    • 2017
  • Heavy ion therapy has a high cure rate for cancer cell. So many countries are introducing heavy ion therapy facility. When treating a cancer using heavy ion therapy, neutrons and gamma rays are generated and affect electronic equipment. A budget of about KRW 200 billion is needed to build a heavy ion therapy facility, and it takes more than five years to build it. Therefore it is important to observe the dose distribution in the treatment room using the monte carlo simulation before construction. In this study, we used the FLUKA of monte carlo simulation to investigate the dose distribution in the heavy ion treatment room.

Development of SW-STEAM Education Program Using Monte Carlo Simulation: Focusing on Mendelian Inheritance (몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 활용한 SW융합교육 프로그램 개발: 멘델의 유전 원리를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Bongchul;Yoo, Hyejin;Oh, Seungtak;Namgoong, Dongkook;Kim, Jonghoon
    • Journal of The Korean Association of Information Education
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.97-104
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    • 2022
  • As the era of digital transformation begins in earnest, the importance of convergent thinking based on software, artificial intelligence, and big data is increasing. In line with these social needs, this study developed a 5th hour SW-STEAM education program using Monte Carlo simulation techniques for Mendelian inheritance in the field of life science. By programming and implementing Mendelian inheritance using Monte carlo simulation, the program was organized so that not only convergent thinking skills but also related knowledge could be understood in depth. In order to verify the validity of the developed education program, 11 experts in related fields were requested to test the content validity, and the validity was verified by meeting the CVR reference value of 0.59 suggested by Lawshe.

Response of an Elastic Pendulum under Random Excitations (불규칙 가진을 받는 탄성진자의 응답 해석)

  • Lee, Sin-Young
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.187-193
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    • 2009
  • Dynamic response of an elastic pendulum system under random excitations was studied by using the Lagrangian equations of motion which uses the kinetic and potential energy of a target system. The responses of random excitations were calculated by using Monte Carl simulation which uses the series of random numbers. The procedure of Monte Carlo simulation is generation of random numbers, system model, system output, and statistical management of output. When the levels of random excitations were changed, the expected responses of the pendulum system showed various responses.

Impacts of Combined Hydrogeological and Chemical Heterogeneities on the Transport of Leachate through Landfill Sites (수리지질학적, 화학적 특성의 복합 불균질성이 매립지반 내 침출수 이동에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Kun-Sang
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.300-307
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    • 2009
  • The transport of landfill leachate in the subsurface formations of unlined landfill sites is considered. The impacts of hydrogeological and chemical heterogeneities on the leachate transport are assessed by examining the results from a series of Monte-Carlo simulations. The landfill system simulated in this study is hypothetically represented with three levels of spatial variability for the hydrogeological and chemical parameter; (1) homogeneous hydraulic conductivity (K) and distribution coefficient ($K_d$), (2) K heterogeneity only, and (3) combined heterogeneities of K and $K_d$. To calculate the transport of leachate through negatively-correlated random hypothetical K-$K_d$ fields generated using geostatistical input parameters, a saturated flow model is linked with a contaminant transport model. Point statistic values such as mean, standard deviation, and coefficient of variation of the concentration were obtained from 100 Monte-Carlo trials. Results of point statistics show that the heterogeneities of K and $K_d$ in the landfill site prove to be an important parameter in controlling leachate concentrations. Consideration of combined K and $K_d$ heterogeneities results in enhancing the variability of contaminant transport. The variability in the leachate concentration for different realizations also increases as the distance between source and monitoring well increase.

Assessment of RMR with the Monte Carlo Simulation and Stability Analysis of Rock Slopes (Monte Carlo Simulation 기법을 이용한 RMR의 역산 및 그에 의한 암반시면의 안정성 분석)

  • 최성웅;정소걸
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.97-107
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    • 2004
  • Various kinds of rock mass properties, which can be obtained from laboratory tests as well as field tests, can be reasonably applied to the design of earth structures. An extrapolation technique can be used for this application and it generally guarantee its quality from a sufficient amount of test results because it is based on the RMR value in most cases. When the confident RMR can not be obtained because of the insufficient testing results, the Monte Carlo Simulation technique can be introduced fer deducing the proper RMR and this assessed RMR can be reused fur the major input parameters. Authors' proposed method can be verified from the comparison between the results of numerical analysis and the evidences of field site.

Development of Electron Beam Monte Carlo Simulation and Analysis of SEM Imaging Characteristics (전자빔 몬테 카를로 시물레이션 프로그램 개발 및 전자현미경 이미징 특성 분석)

  • Kim, Heung-Bae
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.554-562
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    • 2012
  • Processing of Scanning electron microscope imaging has been analyzed in both secondary electron (SE) imaging and backscattered electron (BSE) image. Because of unique characteristics of both secondary electron and backscattered electron image, mechanism of imaging process and image quality are quite different each other. For the sake of characterize imaging process, Monte Carlo simulation code have been developed. It simulates electron penetration and depth profile in certain material. In addition, secondary electron and backscattered electron generation process as well as their spatial distribution and energy characteristics can be simulated. Geometries that has fundamental feature have been imaged using the developed Monte Carlo code. Two, SE and BSE images generation process will be discussed. BSE imaging process can be readily used to discriminate in both material and geometry by simply changing position and direction of BSE detector. The developed MC code could be useful to design BSE detector and their position. Furthermore, surface reconstruction technique is possibly developed at the further research efforts. Basics of Monte Carlo simulation method will be discussed as well as characteristics of SE and BSE images.