• Title/Summary/Keyword: Modeling Operator

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A Stochastic Pplanning Method for Semand-side Management Program based on Load Forecasting with the Volatility of Temperature (온도변동성을 고려한 전력수요예측 기반의 확률론적 수요관리량 추정 방법)

  • Wi, Young-Min
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.64 no.6
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    • pp.852-856
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    • 2015
  • Demand side management (DSM) program has been frequently used for reducing the system peak load because it gives utilities and independent system operator (ISO) a convenient way to control and change amount of electric usage of end-use customer. Planning and operating methods are needed to efficiently manage a DSM program. This paper presents a planning method for DSM program. A planning method for DSM program should include an electric load forecasting, because this is the most important factor in determining how much to reduce electric load. In this paper, load forecasting with the temperature stochastic modeling and the sensitivity to temperature of the electric load is used for improving load forecasting accuracy. The proposed planning method can also estimate the required day, hour and total capacity of DSM program using Monte-Carlo simulation. The results of case studies are presented to show the effectiveness of the proposed planning method.

Daylight background radiation modeling for the system of ocean-atmosphere with multi-layer clouds

  • Sushkevich, Tamara A.;Strelkov, Sergey A.;Volkovich, Alexander N.;Kulikov, Alexey K.;Maksakova, Sveta V.
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • v.2
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    • pp.680-683
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    • 2006
  • A one-dimensional planar model is considered of the atmosphere with multi-layer clouds illuminated by a mono-directional parallel flux of solar radiation. A new approach is proposed to radiation transfer modeling and daylight background formation for the atmosphere with such clouds that is represented as a heterogeneous multi-layer system each layer of which is described by different optical characteristics. The influence functions of each layer are determined by solutions of the radiation transfer boundary problem with an external monodirectional wide flux while the contribution of multiple scattering and absorption in the layer is taking into account.

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PREDICTION MEAN SQUARED ERROR OF THE POISSON INAR(1) PROCESS WITH ESTIMATED PARAMETERS

  • Kim Hee-Young;Park You-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.37-47
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    • 2006
  • Recently, as a result of the growing interest in modeling stationary processes with discrete marginal distributions, several models for integer valued time series have been proposed in the literature. One of these models is the integer-valued autoregressive (INAR) models. However, when modeling with integer-valued autoregressive processes, the distributional properties of forecasts have been not yet discovered due to the difficulty in handling the Steutal Van Ham thinning operator 'o' (Steutal and van Ham, 1979). In this study, we derive the mean squared error of h-step-ahead prediction from a Poisson INAR(1) process, reflecting the effect of the variability of parameter estimates in the prediction mean squared error.

Automatic Generation of Analysis Model Using Multi-resolution Modeling Algorithm (다중해상도 알고리즘을 이용한 자동 해석모델 생성)

  • Kim M.C.;Lee K.W.;Kim S.C.
    • Korean Journal of Computational Design and Engineering
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.172-182
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    • 2006
  • This paper presents a method to convert 3D CAD model to an appropriate analysis model using wrap-around, smooth-out and thinning operators that have been originally developed to realize the multi-resolution modeling. Wrap-around and smooth-out operators are used to simplify 3D model, and thinning operator is to reduce the dimension of a target object with simultaneously decomposing the simplified 3D model to 1D or 2D shapes. By using the simplification and dimension-reduction operations in an appropriate way, the user can generate an analysis model that matches specific applications. The advantage of this method is that the user can create optimized analysis models of various simplification levels by selecting appropriate number of detailed features and removing them.

Protection Systems Modeling and Fault Diagnosis of Power System Using Petri Nets (페트리네트를 이용한 전력계통의 보호시스템 모델링과 고장진단)

  • Choi, Jin-Mook;Rho, Myong-Gyun;Hong, Sang-Eun;Oh, Yong-Taek
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1999.07c
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    • pp.1136-1138
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    • 1999
  • This paper describes a new method of the modeling of protection system and fault diagnosis in power systems using Petri nets. The Petri net models of protection system are compose of the operating process of protective devices and the fault diagnosis process. Fault diagnosis model which makes use of the nature of Petri net is developed to overcome the drawbacks of methods that depend on operator knowledge. The proposed method can reduce processing time and increase accuracy when compared with the traditional methods. And also this method covers online processing of real-time data from SCADA.

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2-Dimensional Model Development for Water Quality Prediction

  • Paik, Do-Hyeon
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.489-497
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    • 2005
  • A numerical method for the mathematical water modeling in 2-dimensional flow has been developed. The model based on a split operator technique, in which, the advection term is calculated using the upwind scheme. The diffusion term is one- dimensionalized and calculated using Crank-Nicholson's implicit finite difference scheme to reduce the numerical errors from large time steps and variable spacings. It also provides a relatively simple and economic method for more accurate simulation of pollutant dispersion. Water depths and flow velocities in the Boreyong reservoir during the normal water periods were predicted by numerical experiments with a 2-dimensional flow model so as to provide current field data for the study of advection and diffusion of pollutants. Developed 2-dimensional water quality model is applied to Boreyong reservoir to simulate a spatial and periodical changes of water quality.

Settlement Comparison for Frequency Regulation ESS in Eletricity Markets (해외 주파수조정용 ESS에 관한 정산방식 비교분석)

  • Lee, Eun-Jeong;Kim, Jin-Ho;Lee, Jae-Hee
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2015.07a
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    • pp.463-464
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    • 2015
  • 발전소마다 발전기의 효율이 달라서 출력을 조정할 때 발전소의 효율이 나빠지거나 발전기기의 고장률이 높아진다는 문제점을 가지고 있고 주파수 제어가 불가능한 신재생에너지자원이 증가하면서 주파수제어문제가 화두가 되고 있다. 이로 인해 주파수조정용 ESS(Energy Storage System: 에너지저장장치)의 필요성에 의견이 실리고 있다. 이미 주파수조정용 ESS는 미국의 여러 ISO(Integrated System Operator: 전력계통운영자)와 RTO에서 활용하고 있고 얼마 전 2015년 4월 송전사업자(한전)가 전력의 안정적 공급을 위해 ESS를 활용하여 주파수조정(F/R)에 참여를 할 수 있도록 하는 '전력시장운영규칙'을 개정하였다. 또한 정부가 신산업 육성을 위해 이와 관련한 제도를 정비해 나가려고 하고 있다. 이미 미국에서의 적용된 사례를 조사하여 국내에 주파수조정용 ESS를 적용하여 정산 시 고려할 사항을 알아보고자한다.

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Empirical Approach for Evaluating or Upgrading EOP Strategies Using the Decision theory and Simulator

  • Kim, Sok-Chul;Lee, Duck-Hun;Kim, Hyun-Jang
    • Proceedings of the Korean Nuclear Society Conference
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    • 1998.05a
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    • pp.833-837
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    • 1998
  • This paper presents preliminary findings regarding a modeling framework under development for use in a multi-attribute decision model for advanced emergency operating procedures(EOPs). This model provides a means for optimal decision making strategy for advanced emergency operating procedures conceptualizing the dynamic coordination of responsibilities and information in the human system interactions with advanced reactor systems. For the purpose of evaluation of the applicability of this modeling framework, an empirical case study for a post-cooldown strategy during an steam generator tube rupture (SGTR) accident was carried out. As a result, it was found empirically that the multi-attribute decision model is a useful tool for establishing advanced EOPs that reduce the operator's cognitive and decision making burden during the accident mitigation process.

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Modified GOMS-Model for Mobile Computing (모바일 작업을 위한 수정된 GOMS-model에 대한 연구)

  • Lee, Suk-Jae;Myung, Ro-Hae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.85-93
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    • 2009
  • GOMS model is a cognitive modeling method of human performance based on Goal, Operators, Methods, Selection rules. GOMS model was originally designed for desktop environment so that it is difficult for GOMS model to be implemented into the mobile environment. In addition, GOMS model would be inaccurate because the original GOMS model was based on serial processing, excluding one of most important human information processing characteristics, parallel processing. Therefore this study was designed to propose a modified GOMS model including mobile computing and parallel processing. In order to encompass mobile environment, an operator of 'look for' was divided into 'visual move to' and 'recognize' whereas 'point to' and 'click' were combined into 'tab.' The results showed that newly introduced operators were necessary to estimate more accurate mobile computing behaviors. In conclusion, modified-GOMS model could predict human performance more accurately than the original GOMS model in the mobile computing environment.

Numerical Simulation of Turbulence-Induced Flocculation and Sedimentation in a Flocculant-Aided Sediment Retention Pond

  • Lee, Byung Joon;Molz, Fred
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.165-174
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    • 2014
  • A model combining multi-dimensional discretized population balance equations with a computational fluid dynamics simulation (CFD-DPBE model) was developed and applied to simulate turbulent flocculation and sedimentation processes in sediment retention basins. Computation fluid dynamics and the discretized population balance equations were solved to generate steady state flow field data and simulate flocculation and sedimentation processes in a sequential manner. Up-to-date numerical algorithms, such as operator splitting and LeVeque flux-corrected upwind schemes, were applied to cope with the computational demands caused by complexity and nonlinearity of the population balance equations and the instability caused by advection-dominated transport. In a modeling and simulation study with a two-dimensional simplified pond system, applicability of the CFD-DPBE model was demonstrated by tracking mass balances and floc size evolutions and by examining particle/floc size and solid concentration distributions. Thus, the CFD-DPBE model may be used as a valuable simulation tool for natural and engineered flocculation and sedimentation systems as well as for flocculant-aided sediment retention ponds.