• Title/Summary/Keyword: Modeling Demand

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Modeling Demand Response by Using Registration and Participation Information of Demand Resources (수요자원의 등록 정보 및 참여 정보를 이용한 수요 반응 모델링)

  • Kwag, Hyung-Geun;Kim, Jin-O;Shin, Dong-Joon;Rhee, Chang-Ho
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.60 no.6
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    • pp.1097-1102
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    • 2011
  • This paper proposes the registration information, the participation information for classifying demand resources participate in demand response program. Modeling demand resources from them, it evaluates values of demand resources. Specially assuming that ignore the loss in power system, they take a role as generation. This paper proposes how to evaluate demand resources' values. Case study shows that demand response operators schedule efficiently demand response program by using index of such as the registration information the participation information of demand resource.

Performance Analysis of Electricity Demand Forecasting by Detail Level of Building Energy Models Based on the Measured Submetering Electricity Data (서브미터링 전력데이터 기반 건물에너지모델의 입력수준별 전력수요 예측 성능분석)

  • Shin, Sang-Yong;Seo, Dong-Hyun
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Architectural Sustainable Environment and Building Systems
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.627-640
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    • 2018
  • Submetering electricity consumption data enables more detail input of end use components, such as lighting, plug, HVAC, and occupancy in building energy modeling. However, such an modeling efforts and results are rarely tried and published in terms of the estimation accuracy of electricity demand. In this research, actual submetering data obtained from a university building is analyzed and provided for building energy modeling practice. As alternative modeling cases, conventional modeling method (Case-1), using reference schedule per building usage, and main metering data based modeling method (Case-2) are established. Detail efforts are added to derive prototypical schedules from the metered data by introducing variability index. The simulation results revealed that Case-1 showed the largest error as we can expect. And Case-2 showed comparative error relative to Case-3 in terms of total electricity estimation. But Case-2 showed about two times larger error in CV (RMSE) in lighting energy demand due to lack of End Use consumption information.

Modeling Procedure to Adapt to Change of Trend of Water Demand: Application of Bayesian Parameter Estimation (물수요의 추세 변화의 적응을 위한 모델링 절차 제시:베이지안 매개변수 산정법 적용)

  • Lee, Sangeun;Park, Heekyung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.241-249
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    • 2009
  • It is well known that the trend of water demand in large-size water supply systems has been suddenly changed, and many expansions of water supply facilities become unnecessary. To be cost-effective, thus, politicians as well as many professionals lay stress on the adaptive management of water supply facilities. Failure in adapting to the new trend of demand is sure to be the most critical reason of unnecessary expansions. Hence, we try to develop the model and modeling procedure that do not depend on the old data of demand, and provide engineers with the fast learning process. To forecast water demand of Seoul, the Bayesian parameter estimation was applied, which is a representative method for statistical pattern recognition. It results that we can get a useful time-series model after observing water demand during 6 years, although trend of water demand were suddenly changed.

Modeling Demand for Rural Settlement of Urban Residents (도시민의 농촌이주 수요모형 분석: 정착자금 지원효과를 중심으로)

  • Lee, Hee-Chan
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.97-110
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    • 2009
  • The objective of this research was to develop a rural settlement demand model to analyze the determinants of settlement demand of urban residents. The point aimed at from model development was deriving stated preference of potential consumers towards rural settlement through setting a hypothetical market, and using settlement subsidy as a surrogate variable for price in the demand model. The adequate demand model deducted from hypothetical market data was derived from the basis of Hanemann's utility difference theory. In the rural settlement demand model, willingness to accept was expressed by a function of settlement subsidy. Data utilized in the analysis was collected from surveys of households nationwide. According to inferred results of the demand model, settlement subsidy had a significant influence on increasing demand for rural settlement. A significant common element was found among variables affecting demand increase through demand curve shift. The majority group of those with high rural settlement demand sought agricultural activity as their main motive, due to harsh urban environments aggravated by unstable job market conditions. Subsequently, restriction of income opportunities in rural areas does not produce an entrance barrier for potential rural settlers. Moreover, this argument could be supported by the common trend of those with high rural settlement demand generally tending to have low incomes. Due to such characteristics of concerned groups of rural settlement demand, they tended to react susceptibly to the subsidy provided by the government and local autonomous entities.

A Study on Simulator for Computing Demand Rate Considering a Transformer Capacity (변압기 용량을 고려한 수용률 산출 시뮬레이터 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Young-Il
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers P
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    • v.56 no.4
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    • pp.179-185
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, the method of computing demand rate with respect to a transformer capacity is proposed and addressed to predict a future demand rate. The simulation data are taken from switchgears of a real medium voltage transformer. Data taken from the electrical instrument at 22.9 kVY power receiving panels are employed to evaluate the correlation between demand rate and power usage of transformer. It is verified a usefulness with respect to an proposed index of demand rate for transformer by using a least square error of regressive modeling, As a result of investigation and simulation on the spot to a few buildings, it is considered that there is necessity to make a partial amendment of demand rate being applicable currently for electrical energy saving in domestic.

Probabilistic Generation Modeling in Electricity Markets Considering Generator Maintenance Outage (전력시장의 발전기 보수계획을 고려한 확률적 발전 모델링)

  • Kim Jin-Ho;Park Jong-Bae
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.54 no.8
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    • pp.418-428
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, a new probabilistic generation modeling method which can address the characteristics of changed electricity industry is proposed. The major contribution of this paper can be captured in the development of a probabilistic generation modeling considering generator maintenance outage and in the classification of market demand into multiple demand clusters for the applications to electricity markets. Conventional forced outage rates of generators are conceptually combined with maintenance outage of generators and, consequently, effective outage rates of generators are newly defined in order to properly address the probabilistic characteristic of generation in electricity markets. Then, original market demands are classified into several distinct demand clusters, which are defined by the effective outage rates of generators and by the inherent characteristic of the original demand. We have found that generators have different effective outage rates values at each classified demand cluster, depending on the market situation. From this, therefore, it can be seen that electricity markets can also be classified into several groups which show similar patterns and that the fundamental characteristics of power systems can be more efficiently analyzed in electricity markets perspectives, for this classification can be widely applicable to other technical problems in power systems such as generation scheduling, power flow analysis, price forecasts, and so on.

Toward the Efficient Integration of Travel Demand Analysis with Transportation Network Design Models (교통수요예칙과 가로망설계의 효율화)

  • 이인원
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.28-42
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    • 1983
  • In recent years, significant advances have been made enabling travel demand analysis and network design methods to be used as increasingly realistic evaluation tools. What has been lacking is the integration of travel demand analysis with network design models. This paper reviews some of advanced (integrated) modeling approaches and presents future research directions of integrated modeling system. To design urban transportation networks, it is argued that the travelers' free choice of mode, destination and route should be introduced into transportation network design procedure instead of assuming that trips from a zone to a workplace are fixed or deriving them in a normative procedure to achieve hypothetical system optima.

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Modeling Generators Maintenance Outage Based on the Probabilistic Method (발전기 보수정지를 고려한 확률적 발전모델링)

  • Kim, Jin-Ho;Park, Jong-Bae;Park, Jong-Keun
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2005.07a
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    • pp.804-806
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, a new probabilistic generation modeling method which can address the characteristics of changed electricity industry is proposed. The major contribution of this paper can be captured in the development of a probabilistic generation modeling considering generator maintenance outage and in the classification of market demand into multiple demand clusters for the applications to electricity markets. Conventional forced outage rates of generators are conceptually combined with maintenance outage of generators and, consequently, effective outage rates of generators are new iy defined in order to properly address the probabilistic characteristic of generation in electricity markets. Then, original market demands are classified into several distinct demand clusters, which are defined by the effective outage rates of generators and by the inherent characteristic of the original demand. We have found that generators have different effective outage rates values at each classified demand cluster, depending on the market situation. From this, therefore, it can be seen that electricity markets can also be classified into several groups which show similar patterns and that the fundamental characteristics of power systems can be more efficiently analyzed in electricity markets perspectives, for this classification can be widely applicable to other technical problems in power systems such as generation scheduling, power flow analysis, price forecasts, and so on.

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Meta-Model Design Technique for Industrial Demand-Driven Curriculum (산업체 수요중심 커리큘럼을 위한 메타모델 설계 기법)

  • Cho, Eun Sook;Pak, Sue Hee;Chang, Jun O;Rho, Eun Ha
    • Journal of Korea Society of Digital Industry and Information Management
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.169-181
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    • 2011
  • The cooperation between universities and IT industry in producing IT manpower of quality is urgently called for to create the effective labor pool of supply and finally balance its supply and demand. Korean Government launched a program where industrial demand-driven curriculums are developed and applied to universities. This paper proposes a design technique of meta-modeling demand-driven curriculums and courses, based on the 3D software space and the software development process. This technique is proven to result in extensibility, flexibility and quality improvement in software design. Therefore, we expect that the proposed technique makes curriculums and courses possible to be continuously improved in many aspects.

Long-Term Demand Forecasting Using Agent-Based Model : Application on Automotive Spare Parts (Agent-Based Model을 활용한 자동차 예비부품 장기수요예측)

  • Lee, Sangwook;Ha, Chunghun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.110-117
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    • 2015
  • Spare part management is very important to products that have large number of parts and long lifecycle such as automobile and aircraft. Supply chain must support immediate procurement for repair. However, it is not easy to handle spare parts efficiently due to huge stock keeping units. Qualified forecasting is the basis for the supply chain to achieve the goal. In this paper, we propose an agent based modeling approach that can deal with various factors simultaneously without mathematical modeling. Simulation results show that the proposed method is reasonable to describe demand generation process, and consequently, to forecast demand of spare parts in long-term perspective.