• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2010년도 학술발표회
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• pp.591-595
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• 2010

Conventional methods of model evaluation usually rely only on model performance based on a comparison of simulated variables to corresponding observations. However, this type of model evaluation has been criticized because of its insufficient consideration of the various uncertainty sources involved in modeling processes. This study aims to propose an extended model evaluation method using multiple assesment indices (MAIs) that consider not only the model performance but also the model structure and parameter uncertainties in rainfall-runoff modeling. A simple reservoir model (SFM) and distributed kinematic wave models (KWMSS1 and KWMSS2 using topography from 250m, 500m, and 1km digital elevation models) were developed and assessed by three MAIs for model performance, model structural stability, and parameter identifiability. All the models provided acceptable performance in terms of a global response, but the simpler SFM and KWMSS1 could not accurately represent the local behaviors of hydrographs. In addition, SFM and KWMSS1 were structurally unstable; their performance was sensitive to the applied objective functions. On the other hand, the most sophisticated model, KWMSS2, performed well, satisfying both global and local behaviors. KMSS2 also showed good structural stability, reproducing hydrographs regardless of the applied objective functions; however, superior parameter identifiability was not guaranteed. Numerous parameter sets could lead to indistinguishable hydrographs. This result supports that while making a model complex increases its performance accuracy and reduces its structural uncertainty, the model is likely to suffer from parameter uncertainty. The proposed model evaluation process can provide an effective guideline for identifying a reliable hydrologic model.

• 한국지반환경공학회 논문집
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• 제16권5호
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• pp.13-25
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• 2015

This paper proposes an extended model evaluation method that considers not only the model performance but also the model structure and parameter uncertainties in hydrologic modeling. A simple reservoir model (SFM) and distributed kinematic wave models (KWMSS1 and KWMSS2 using topography from 250-m, 500-m, and 1-km digital elevation models) were developed and assessed by three evaluative criteria for model performance, model structural stability, and parameter identifiability. All the models provided acceptable performance in terms of a global response, but the simpler SFM and KWMSS1 could not accurately represent the local behaviors of hydrographs. Moreover, SFM and KWMSS1 were structurally unstable; their performance was sensitive to the applied objective functions. On the other hand, the most sophisticated model, KWMSS2, performed well, satisfying both global and local behaviors. KMSS2 also showed good structural stability, reproducing hydrographs regardless of the applied objective functions; however, superior parameter identifiability was not guaranteed. A number of parameter sets could result in indistinguishable hydrographs. This result indicates that while making hydrologic models complex increases its performance accuracy and reduces its structural uncertainty, the model is likely to suffer from parameter uncertainty.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제33권2호
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• pp.63-71
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• 2010

The existing reliability evaluation models which have already developed by the corporations are so various because of using Maximum Likelihood Method. The existing models are very complicated owing to using system designing methods. Therefore, it is very difficult to utilize the existing models in business fields of many corporations. The purposes of this paper are as follows: The first purpose is to study the simple estimated Parameter to be easily utilized in the business fields of the corporations. The second purpose is to testify the simplification of the developed Parameter of estimated method by comparing the developed reliability evaluation model with the existing reliability evaluation models which are used in the business fields of the corporations.

• Journal of Power Electronics
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• 제17권2호
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• pp.501-513
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• 2017

The fundamental small-signal modeling of lithium-ion (Li-ion) batteries and a parameter evaluation approach are investigated in this study to describe the dynamic behaviors of small signals accurately. The main contributions of the study are as follows. 1) The operational principle of the small signals of Li-ion batteries is revealed to prove that the sinusoidal voltage response of a Li-ion battery is a result of a sinusoidal current stimulation of an AC small signals. 2) Three small-signal measurement conditions, namely stability, causality, and linearity, are proved mathematically proven to ensure the validity of the frequency response of the experimental data. 3) Based on the internal structure and electrochemical operational mechanism of the battery, an AC small-signal model is established to depict its dynamic behaviors. 4) A classical least-squares curve fitting for experimental data, referred as Levy's method, are introduced and developed to identify small-signal model parameters. Experimental and simulation results show that the measured frequency response data fit well within reading accuracy of the simulated results; moreover, the small-signal parameters identified by Levy's method are remarkably close to the measured parameters. Although the fundamental and parameter evaluation approaches are discussed for Li-ion batteries, they are expected to be applicable for other batteries.

• International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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• 제21권7호
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• pp.93-102
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• 2021

This study aimed to test method on the accuracy of estimating the items parameters and ability, using the Three Parameter Logistic. To achieve the objectives of the study, an achievement test in chemistry was constructed for third-year secondary school students in the course of "natural sciences". A descriptive approach was employed to conduct the study. The test was applied to a sample of (507) students of the third year of secondary school in the "Natural Sciences Course". The study's results revealed that the (EAP) method showed a higher degree of accuracy in the estimation of the difficulty parameter and the abilities of persons higher than the MML method. There were no statistically significant differences in the accuracy of the parameter estimation of discrimination and guessing regarding the difference of the two methods: (MML) and (EAP).

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2018년도 학술발표회
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• pp.448-448
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• 2018

In this study, the regression models (Load ESTimator and eight-parameter model) were evaluated to estimate instantaneous pollutant loads under various criteria and optimization methods. As shown in the results, LOADEST commonly used in interpolating pollutant loads could not necessarily provide the best results with the automatic selected regression model. It is inferred that the various regression models in LOADEST need to be considered to find the best solution based on the characteristics of watersheds applied. The recently developed eight-parameter model integrated with Genetic Algorithm (GA) and Gradient Descent Method (GDM) were also compared with LOADEST indicating that the eight-parameter model performed better than LOADEST, but it showed different behaviors in calibration and validation. The eight-parameter model with GDM could reproduce the nitrogen loads properly outside of calibration period (validation). Furthermore, the accuracy and precision of model estimations were evaluated using various criteria (e.g., $R^2$ and gradient and constant of linear regression line). The results showed higher precisions with the $R^2$ values closed to 1.0 in LOADEST and better accuracy with the constants (in linear regression line) closed to 0.0 in the eight-parameter model with GDM. In hence, based on these finding we recommend that users need to evaluate the regression models under various criteria and calibration methods to provide the more accurate and precise results for pollutant load estimations.

• 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국철도학회 2004년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.1559-1565
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• 2004

Railway system is consisted of various resources such as rail-line, signal, and railcar. It is necessary to efficiently utilize these limited and expensive resources as much as possible up to given line capacity. So far, we treat the line capacity as the criteria for evaluating investment alternatives or for restricting train frequencies, and this criteria is calculated statical and experimental numerical formula. But, line capacity has special attribute that changes dynamically according to operational conditions, so there is a need of new line capacity estimation system. In this paper, we present an improved systematic line capacity model. The proposed model has three main components ; TPS(tain performance simulator), PES (parameter evaluation simulator), LCS(line capacity simulator). The concept of each sub-component is described, including the evaluation method of capacity parameters. And capacity parameter evaluation and estimation results using sample line section data are presented.

• 한국농공학회논문집
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• 제61권1호
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• pp.95-105
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• 2019

Evapotranpiration (ET) is one of the important factor in Hydrological cycle and irrigation planning. In this study, temperature-based artificial neural network (ANN) model for daily reference crop ET estimation was developed and compared with reference crop evapotranpiration ($ET_0$) from FAO-56 Penman-Monteith method (FAO-56 PM) and parameter regionalized Hargreaves method. The ANN model was trained and tested for 10 weather stations (5 inland stations and 5 costal stations) and two input climate factors, maximum temperature ($T_{max}$), minimum temperature ($T_{min}$), and extraterrestrial radiation (RA) were used for training and validation of temperature-based ANN model. Monthly reference ET by the ANN model also compared with parameter regionalized Hargreaves method for ANN model applicability evaluation. The ANN model evapotranspiration demonstrated more accordance to FAO-56 PM evapotranspiration than the $ET_0$ from parameter regionalized Hargreaves method(R-Hargreaves). The results of this study proposed that daily reference crop ET estimated by the ANN model could be used in the condition of no sufficient climate data.

• Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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• 제18권1호
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• pp.55-64
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• 2004

Many researchers have made a lot of progress in studying the evaluation of fracture probability of brittle materials. However, studies of fracture probability for elastic-plasticity have not been made yet. An evaluation method for fracture probability which is grafted onto a 2-parameter criterion and statistical probability analysis is not only introduced in this study, but also applied to the simple 2-dimensional model and carbon steel piping to vealuate the effect of statistical variables.

• 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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• 제10권6호
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• pp.177-186
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• 2005

본 논문에서는 DEM(Digital Elevation Model)과 산 영상을 매핑하여 3차원 정보를 생성하고 이를 이용한 비전기반 카메라 위치인식방법을 제안한다. 일반적으로 인식에 사용된 영상의 특징들은 카메라뷰에 따라 내용이 변해 정보양이 증가하는 단점이 있다. 본 논문에서는 카메라뷰에 무관한 기하학의 불변특징을 추출하고 제안하는 유사도 평가함수와 Graham 탐색방법을 사용한 정확한 대응점을 산출하여 카메라 외부인수를 계산하였다. 또한 그래픽이론과 시각적 단서를 이용한 3차원 정보생성 방법을 제안하였다. 제안하는 방법은 불변 점 특징 추출단계, 3차원 정보 생성단계, 외부인수 산출단계의 3단계로 구성된다. 실험에서는 제안한 방법과 기존방법을 비교, 분석함으로써 제안한 방법의 우월성을 입증하였다.