• Title/Summary/Keyword: Method for Supply & Demand

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Estimating the Demand Function for Industrial Natural Gas Use in Korea : A Cross-sectional Analysis (횡단면 분석을 활용한 한국 산업용 도시가스 수요함수 추정)

  • Lee, Bok-Hee;Lee, Hye-Jeong;Yoo, Seung-Hoon;Huh, Sung-Yoon
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.34-46
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    • 2020
  • In order to supply stable natural gas in the future, it is necessary to forecast the demand in advance and secure the quantity of supply. In this paper, we propose a method of estimating the demand function of industrial natural gas, which is the core of the increase of domestic natural gas demand in the future. The cross-sectional data of 304 domestic industries were used to estimate the demand function of the industrial natural gas, and the effect of industry specific characteristics such as capital investment, manufacturing cost. Finally, the least absolute deviation estimation method which is robust to outliers and does not assume the homogeneity of the error term and the normality, And the results were derived. In addition, the economic value of industrial city gas was estimated using the price elasticity of industrial city gas. Therefore, it can be seen that the continuous expansion and supply of city gas to the industrial sector is beneficial at the national level, and the government needs to promote expansion through the industrial city gas support policy.

Study on the Strategy for Managing Aggregate Supply and Demand in Gyeongsangbuk-do, South Korea (경상북도 골재수요-공급 관리 전략 연구)

  • Jin-Young Lee;Sei Sun Hong;Chul Seoung Baek
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.57 no.2
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    • pp.161-175
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    • 2024
  • Aggregate typically refers to sand and gravel formed by the transportation of rocks in rivers or artificially crushed, constituting a core resource in the construction industry. Gyeongsangbuk-do, the largest administrative area in South Korea, produces various sources of gravel, including forest, land (excluding other sources), river, and crushed stone. As of 2022, it has extracted approximately 6.96 million cubic meters of aggregate, with permitted production totaling around 4.07 million cubic meters and reported production of about 2.88 million cubic meters. The aggregate demand in Gyeongsangbuk-do is estimated to be 12.39 million cubic meters according to the estimation method in Ready-Mix Concrete. From the supply perspective, about 120 extraction sites are operational, with most municipalities maintaining an appropriate balance between aggregate demand and supply. However, in some areas, there is inbound and outbound transportation of aggregate to neighboring regions. Regions with significant inbound and outbound aggregate transportation in Gyeongsangbuk-do are areas connected to Daegu Metropolitan City and Pohang City along the Gyeongbu rail line, showing a high correlation with population distribution. Gyeongsangbuk-do faces challenges such as population decline, aging rural areas, and insufficient balanced regional development. Analysis using GIS reveals these trends in gravel demand and supply. Currently in this study, Gyeongsangbuk-do meets its demand for aggregate through the supply of various aggregate sources, maintaining stable aggregate procurement. River and terrestrial aggregates may be sustained as short-term supply strategies due to the difficulty of longterm development. Considering the reliance on raw material supply for selective crushing, it suggests the need for raw material management to maintain stability. Gyeongsangbuk-do highlights quarries in the forest as an important resource for sustainable aggregate supply, advocating for the development of large-scale aggregate quarries as a long-term alternative. These research findings are expected to provide valuable insights for formulating strategies for sustainable management and stable utilization of aggregate resources.

Generation Mix Analysis based on the Screening Curve and WASP-IV Techniques (탐색곡선법과 WASP-IV 모형을 이용한 국내 적정 전원구성 분석)

  • Jang, Se-Hwan;Park, Jong-Bae;Roh, Jae-Hyung
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.61 no.4
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    • pp.534-541
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    • 2012
  • This paper tries to elicit an optimal generation mix of Korea. Two approaches, using the screening curve method and taking advantage of a generation expansion planning tool, WASP-IV, are applied in getting the mix. The data used in this study is based on the 5th basic plan for long-term electricity supply and demand. The Load Duration Curve, that is needed for applying Screening Curve Method(SCM), is made based on the load profile in 2010. In our using SCM, the nuclear plant's operation characteristic, carbon emission cost and spinning reserve are considered. In using WASP-IV to get the adequate generation mix, the base and target demand forecasts in the 5th basic plan are used and the carbon emission cost is also considered. In this paper, It introduces the domestic adequacy generation mix in 2024 though SCM and WASP-IV.

Reevaluation of Design Frequency of Drought and Water Supply Safety for Agricultural Reservoirs under Changing Climate and Farming Methods in Paddy Field (기상 및 영농방식 변화에 따른 농업용 저수지의 설계한발빈도 및 이수안전도 재평가)

  • Nam, Won-Ho;Kwon, Hyung Joong;Choi, Kyung-Sook
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.60 no.1
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    • pp.121-131
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    • 2018
  • Past climate change influences multiple environmental aspects, certain of which are specifically related to agricultural water resources such as water supply and demand. Changes on rainfall and hydrologic patterns can increases the occurrence of reservoir water shortage and affect the future availability of agricultural water resources. It is a main concern for sustainable development in agricultural water resources management to evaluate adaptation capability of water supply under the changing climate and farming methods in paddy field. The purpose of this study is an evaluation method of design frequency of drought and water supply safety for agricultural reservoirs to investigate evidence of climate change occurrences at a local scale. Thus, it is a recommended practice in the development of water supply management strategies on reservoir operation under changing climate and farming methods in paddy field.

RAM Study for LNG Fuel Supply System (액화천연가스 연료 공급 장치에 대한 신뢰성 분석)

  • Park, Yongtae;Lee, Jaeik;Kwon, Donghyun;Lee, Changheon
    • Special Issue of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • 2013.12a
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    • pp.90-93
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    • 2013
  • RAM study has been used for various range of industry such as chemical, electronics, defense industry. Recently, in the offshore & shipbuilding industry, demand of owners to analysis risk has been increased. RAM study is a quantitative pointer to risk based design and provides effective method for improvements. This article shows the result of RAM study for LNG fuel supply system. The result provides information to improve design. This study shows how result of risk assessment affects the design of LNG fuel supply system.

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Estimation of Available Permit Water for Considering the Evaporation of Multipurpose Dams in Nakdong River Basin (증발량을 고려한 낙동강유역 다목적댐의 가용허가수량 추정)

  • Kim, Sun Joo;Park, Ki Chun;Park, Hee Seong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.55 no.3
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2013
  • The dam plan quantity of constructive and water supply quantity of present time are showing a difference with change in climate and augmentation of water demand for multipurpose dams in Nakdong river basin. But revaluates a water supply ability the method or the process is official for is not taking a position, so actual condition applies the plan quantity of dam constructive. Considers various situation of actual multipurpose dam from research sees consequently and in K-WEAP is an integrated water resources evaluation plan model applies as water permit availability multipurpose dam, currently water permit availability comparison, analyzed. In this study, the natural daily flow data and apply the dimensions of the reservoir, and for more than 30 years of the long-term water balance analysis conducted by Date Nakdong river basin can supply reservoirs are large quantity of permits available is presented.

Analysis of the Affecting Factors to the Peak Factor in Water Supply Facilities (우리나라 상수도시설의 첨두부하 영향요소 분석)

  • Hyun, In-hwan;Lee, Che-in
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.49-58
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    • 2004
  • This study is to analyze the affecting factors to the peak factor in the drinking water supply Facilities. The peak factor is a very important element to determine the capacity of the water supply facllities. Several factors such as Population served, average day water demand, ratio of domestic water use, ratio of affairs & business water use and water use per capital per day were selected as the affecting factors in this study. In this study, peak factor characteristics for Korean facilities were compared with those for Japanese ones. As a result, non-exceedance probability was suggested as the designing method for the peak factor. Also, the 50% non-exceedance probability values and the 90% values based on the 1998-1999 data were suggested in this study.

The Development of High-Current Power Supply System for Electrolytic Copper Foil

  • Luo, An;Ma, Fujun;Xiong, Qiaopo;He, Zhixing
    • Journal of Power Electronics
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.399-410
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    • 2015
  • A 6.5 V/50 kA high-frequency switching power supply (HSPS) system composed of 10 power modules is developed to meet the requirements of copper-foil electrolysis. The power module is composed of a two-leg pulse width modulation (PWM) rectifier and a DC/DC converter. The DC/DC converter adopts two full-wave rectifiers in parallel to enhance the output. For the two-leg PWM rectifier, the ripple of the DC-link voltage is derived. A composite control method with a ripple filter is then proposed to effectively improve the performance of the rectifier. To meet the process demand of copper-foil electrolysis, the virtual impedance-based current-sharing control method with load current full feedforward is proposed for n-parallel DC/DC converters. The roles of load current feedforward and virtual impedance are analyzed, and the current-sharing control model of the HSPS system is derived. Virtual impedance is used to adjust the current-sharing impedance without changing the equivalent output impedance, which can effectively reduce current-sharing errors. Finally, simulation and experimental results verify the structure and control method.

Estimation of irrigation return flow from paddy fields based on the reservoir storage rate

  • An, Hyunuk;Kang, Hansol;Nam, Wonho;Lee, Kwangya
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.47 no.1
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    • pp.19-28
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    • 2020
  • This study proposed a simple estimation method for irrigation return flow from paddy fields using the water balance model. The merit of this method is applicability to other paddy fields irrigated from agricultural reservoirs due to the simplicity compared with the previous monitoring based estimation method. It was assumed that the unused amount of irrigation water was the return flow which included the quick and delayed return flows. The amount of irrigation supply from a reservoir was estimated from the reservoir water balance with the storage rate and runoff model. It was also assumed that the infiltration was the main source of the delayed return flow and that the other delayed return flow was neglected. In this study, the amount of reservoir inflow and water demand from paddy field are calculated on a daily basis, and irrigation supply was calculated on 10-day basis, taking into account the uncertainty of the model and the reliability of the data. The regression rate was calculated on a yearly basis, and yearly data was computed by accumulating daily and 10-day data, considering that the recirculating water circulation cycle was relatively long. The proposed method was applied to the paddy blocks of the Jamhong and Seosan agricultural reservoirs and the results were acceptable.

New reliquefaction system of Boil-Off-Gas by LNG cold energy (LNG냉열이용 BOG 재액화긍정 해석연구)

  • 윤상국;최형식
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.256-263
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    • 2002
  • The Boil-Off-Gases(BOG) in the LNG production terminal are continuously generated during the unloading, storage and supply processes by the heat penetration. In order to use these gases as useful fuel, the reliquefaction process should be installed to put the reliquefied BOG in the main LNG supply line before the secondary pump in terminal. The current reliquefaction method of BOG in LNG terminal is the direct contact one between LNG and BOG in the absorption column. But the system has severe disadvantage, which is the 10 times of LNG circulation needed for unit mass of BOG reliquefaction. It causes, therefore, high power consumption of LNG circulation pump and excessive city-gas supply, even if short demand of NG is needed in the summer time. In this paper, the new reliquefaction system of BOG by using LNG cold energy with indirect contact in precooler was suggested and analysed. The result showed new indirect contact method of BOG reliquefaction system between LNG cold energy and BOG is much more effective than the current direct contact one because of only about 1.3 times of LNG circulation needed and higher energy saving by pump power reduction.