• 제목/요약/키워드: Meterological parameters

검색결과 22건 처리시간 0.03초

장단기유출 양용저유 탱크 모델의 개발에 관한 연구 (II) (Studies on the Development of Storage Tank Model for both Long and Short Terms Runoff (II))

  • 이순혁;박명근
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제33권2호
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    • pp.51-60
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    • 1991
  • The main objective of this study is to examine the adaptability for the large watershed of the storage tank model which can be applied for the analysis of both long and short terms runoff developed on the basis of hydrologic data for a smaH mountaineous watershed. The results obtained in this study are summarized as follows ; 1. Areal rainfalls of the Dae Chong watershed were calculated by Thiessen method composed of 9 Thiessen networks. 2. Optimal parameters for two types, Model A and Model B of tank models were derived through calibration procedure by standardized Powell method. 3. Monthly simulated flows of Model B are seemed to be closer to the monthly observed than those of Model A during calibration period in the long terms runoff. 4. Relative errors for the simulated flood flows of Model B were apperaed as lower percentage to the observed than those of Model A during calibration period in the short terms runoff. 5. Daily simulated hydrographs of Model B are seemed to be closer to the daily observed than those of Model A during verification period in the long terms runoff. Significance of Model B was highly acknowledged in comparison with Model A in the correlation analysis between annual observed and annual simulated runoff. 6. Reproducibility of simulated flows for Model B is generally seemed to be better than that of Model A during calibration period in the short terms runoff. 7. It can be concluded that reproducibility of Model B is superior to that of Model A in the long and short terms runoff even a large watershed like the result of the small one. 8. It was verified that adaptability for the large watershed of Model B is superior to that of Model A between the two models which were developed by a small watershed characteristics for both long and short terms runoff. 9. Further study for getting a suitable tank model is desirable to be established by the decision, calibration method of initial parameters of tank model and by additional application of another watershed with different watersheds and meterological characteristics.

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중회귀 모형을 이용한 울산지역 오존 포텐셜 모형의 설계 및 평가 (Design and Assessment of an Ozone Potential Forecasting Model using Multi-regression Equations in Ulsan Metropolitan Area)

  • 김유근;이소영;임윤규;송상근
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.14-28
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    • 2007
  • This study presented the selection of ozone ($O_3$) potential factors and designed and assessed its potential prediction model using multiple-linear regression equations in Ulsan area during the springtime from April to June, $2000{\sim}2004$. $O_3$ potential factors were selected by analyzing the relationship between meterological parameters and surface $O_3$ concentrations. In addition, cluster analysis (e.g., average linkage and K-means clustering techniques) was performed to identify three major synoptic patterns (e.g., $P1{\sim}P3$) for an $O_3$ potential prediction model. P1 is characterized by a presence of a low-pressure system over northeastern Korea, the Ulsan was influenced by the northwesterly synoptic flow leading to a retarded sea breeze development. P2 is characterized by a weakening high-pressure system over Korea, and P3 is clearly associated with a migratory anticyclone. The stepwise linear regression was performed to develop models for prediction of the highest 1-h $O_3$ occurring in the Ulsan. The results of the models were rather satisfactory, and the high $O_3$ simulation accuracy for $P1{\sim}P3$ synoptic patterns was found to be 79, 85, and 95%, respectively ($2000{\sim}2004$). The $O_3$ potential prediction model for $P1{\sim}P3$ using the predicted meteorological data in 2005 showed good high $O_3$ prediction performance with 78, 75, and 70%, respectively. Therefore the regression models can be a useful tool for forecasting of local $O_3$ concentration.

도시 생태공원의 풍환경 평가 적용에 관한 고찰 (Consideration for Application of Wind Environment Assement on Ecological Parks in Cities)

  • 김원술;정일원;권지혜
    • 한국습지학회지
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    • 제21권spc호
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    • pp.117-122
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    • 2019
  • 도시공원은 지구온난화와 대기오염을 줄여주고 열섬현상을 완화시켜주는 중추적인 역학을 하고 있다. 그러나 도시공원 일몰제에 따른 2020년 7월 이후 도시공원 제한이 일부 해제될 예정이다. 이에 따라 정부와 지자체는 공원부지 확보와 더불어 생태공원 조성 등 공원 활성화를 위한 노력을 기울이고 있다. 그러나 도시공원 주변에 건설되고 있는 고층건축물에 의해 발생하는 빌딩풍은 보행자에게 불쾌감을 유발할 수 있고, 생태공원에 서식하고 있는 동·식물의 생태계를 위협할 수 있다. 우리나라의 풍환경 평가에 대한 기준은 명확하게 제안된 바가 없으며, 관련 연구 또한 찾아보기 힘들다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 국외풍환경 평가기준 및 관련 연구를 검토하여, 풍환경 평가 기준의 중요 인자를 도출하고, 국내 기상관측자료를 이용한 풍환경 평가에 적용 가능성을 검토하였다.

기상레이더를 이용한 최적화된 Type-2 퍼지 RBFNN 에코 패턴분류기 설계 (Design of Optimized Type-2 Fuzzy RBFNN Echo Pattern Classifier Using Meterological Radar Data)

  • 송찬석;이승철;오성권
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제64권6호
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    • pp.922-934
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, The classification between precipitation echo(PRE) and non-precipitation echo(N-PRE) (including ground echo and clear echo) is carried out from weather radar data using neuro-fuzzy algorithm. In order to classify between PRE and N-PRE, Input variables are built up through characteristic analysis of radar data. First, the event classifier as the first classification step is designed to classify precipitation event and non-precipitation event using input variables of RBFNNs such as DZ, DZ of Frequency(DZ_FR), SDZ, SDZ of Frequency(SDZ_FR), VGZ, VGZ of Frequency(VGZ_FR). After the event classification, in the precipitation event including non-precipitation echo, the non-precipitation echo is completely removed by the echo classifier of the second classifier step that is built as Type-2 FCM based RBFNNs. Also, parameters of classification system are acquired for effective performance using PSO(Particle Swarm Optimization). The performance results of the proposed echo classifier are compared with CZ. In the sequel, the proposed model architectures which use event classifier as well as the echo classifier of Interval Type-2 FCM based RBFNN show the superiority of output performance when compared with the conventional echo classifier based on RBFNN.

다변량 통계기법을 활용한 실시간 수질이상 유무 판단 시스템 개발 (Development of Real-Time Water Quality Abnormality Warning System for Using Multivariate Statistical Method)

  • 허태영;전항배;박상민;이영주
    • 대한환경공학회지
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    • 제37권3호
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    • pp.137-144
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구는 다변량 통계기법 중 하나인 주성분분석을 활용하여 실시간으로 수질이상 유무를 판단할 수 있는 경보시스템 개발을 목적으로 하였다. 본 연구에서는 다변량 분석 방법 중 수질항목 간의 상관성을 고려한 주성분 분석 방법을 실시간으로 수질이상 유무를 판단하는 알고리즘에 적용시켰다. K-water에서 제공하는 실제 자료를 이용하여 수질 이상에 대한 실시간 감시 알고리즘의 활용성을 검증하였으며, 집중호우 등과 같은 기후변화에 따른 수질이상에 대해서는 기상청 자료와의 비교를 통해 검증하였다.

TOPMODEL의 단일유역 홍수예보능에 관한 연구 (A Feasibility Study of TOPMODEL for a Flood Forecasting Model on a Single Watershed)

  • 배덕효;김진훈;권원태
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제33권1호
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    • pp.87-98
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    • 2000
  • 본 연구의 목적은 물리적 분포형 모형인 TOPMODEL의 국내 단일 유역에서의 홍수예보 능력을 검토하는데 있다. 이를 위해서 소양강댐 상류유역을 선정하였으며, 1990~1996년의 일 및 시 홍수사상을 선택하였다. 모형의 매개변수는 1990년의 일 호우사상을 이용하여 수동보정법으로 추정하였으며, 지형지수의 분포가 유출에 미치는 영향을 해석하였다. 모형의 매개변수 추정에 이용하지 않은 95년 및 96년 일 호우사상 및 90년, 95년, 96년 시 호우사상을 이용하여 TOPMODEL의 홍수예보능을 검토한 결과 관측유량과 계산유량의 상관계수가 일 홍수사상의 경우 0.77 이상, 시 홍수사상의 경우 0.87 이상으로 우수한 결과를 나타내었다. 국내의 홍수유출 특성과 모형의 개념 및 유량 산정 결과 등을 고려할 때 TOPMODEL의 홍수예보능은 우수한 것으로 판단된다.

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부산지역 고농도 오존일의 선행 기상 특성 연구 (A Study on the Characteristics of Antecedent Meteorologic Conditions on High Ozone Days in Busan)

  • 도우곤;정우식
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제24권8호
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    • pp.993-1001
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    • 2015
  • Comparing to the other air pollutants like $SO_2$, CO, the number of exceedance of the ozone national ambient air quality standard(NAAQS) and the ozone warning increased recently in Busan. The purpose of this study is to find out the preliminary symptoms for high ozone days in Busan area. In order to find out the preliminary symptoms, the hourly ozone data at air quality monitoring stations and the hourly meterological parameters at Busan regional meteorological 2007 to 2013 were used for the analysis. Averaged daily max ozone concentration was the highest(0.055 ppm) at Noksan and Youngsuri in the ozone season from 2007 to 2013. The horizontal distributions of daily max. ozone including all stations in Busan at high ozone days(the day exceeding 0.1 ppm of ozone concentration at least one station) were classified from two to five clusters by hierarchial cluster analysis. The meteorological variables showing strong correlation with daily max. ozone were the daily mean dew point temperature, averaged total insolation, the daily mean relative humidity and the daily mean cloud amount. And the most frequent levels were $19-23^{\circ}C$ in dew point temperature, $21-24 MJ/m^2$ in total insolation on the day before, $2.6-3.0 MJ/m^2$ on the very day, 67-80% in relative humidity and 0-3 in cloud amount.

인명.재해 피해 저감을 위한 폭염특보기준 검토 및 보완에 관한 연구 (Study on the examination and revision about the standard level of the Extreme heat watch warning system for reduction of personal or property injury)

  • 박종길;정우식;송정희;김은별
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국방재학회 2008년도 정기총회 및 학술발표대회
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    • pp.89-92
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    • 2008
  • The extreme heat watch warning system(EHWWS) that Korea Meterological Administration carried out a preliminary from July 1, 2007, considered both daily maximum temperature and daily maximum heat index simultaneously. It was requested revision of the standard level of EHWWS to solve the difficulty of forecasting occurred when we were considering two parameters simultaneously and we did not considering heat index according to areas. For this, we established three type standard, such as type 1 that considered both daily maximum temperature and daily maximum heat index, Under the extreme heat day that daily minimum temperature was more than $25^{\circ}C$, type 2 that considered daily maximum temperature and type 3 that considered only daily maximum heat index and then analyzed whether these 3 types satisfies the excess mortality of the extreme heat warning or not. As a results, type 1 and 2 were more explain away excess mortality each warning step than type 3. type 2 could also apply case of not to consider heat index according to areas and had a merit for extreme heat forecasting easily because the standard was simple. Therefore we think type 2 is more suitable and reasonable standard for Korea extreme heat watch warning system(KEHWWS) than type 1. In addition, we need to develop model that exactly predicts the excess mortality will be take place during the extreme heat warning and construct KEHWWS.

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Quantification of future climate uncertainty over South Korea using eather generator and GCM

  • Tanveer, Muhammad Ejaz;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2018년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.154-154
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    • 2018
  • To interpret the climate projections for the future as well as present, recognition of the consequences of the climate internal variability and quantification its uncertainty play a vital role. The Korean Peninsula belongs to the Far East Asian Monsoon region and its rainfall characteristics are very complex from time and space perspective. Its internal variability is expected to be large, but this variability has not been completely investigated to date especially using models of high temporal resolutions. Due to coarse spatial and temporal resolutions of General Circulation Models (GCM) projections, several studies adopted dynamic and statistical downscaling approaches to infer meterological forcing from climate change projections at local spatial scales and fine temporal resolutions. In this study, stochastic downscaling methodology was adopted to downscale daily GCM resolutions to hourly time scale using an hourly weather generator, the Advanced WEather GENerator (AWE-GEN). After extracting factors of change from the GCM realizations, these were applied to the climatic statistics inferred from historical observations to re-evaluate parameters of the weather generator. The re-parameterized generator yields hourly time series which can be considered to be representative of future climate conditions. Further, 30 ensemble members of hourly precipitation were generated for each selected station to quantify uncertainty. Spatial map was generated to visualize as separated zones formed through K-means cluster algorithm which region is more inconsistent as compared to the climatological norm or in which region the probability of occurrence of the extremes event is high. The results showed that the stations located near the coastal regions are more uncertain as compared to inland regions. Such information will be ultimately helpful for planning future adaptation and mitigation measures against extreme events.

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대기오염집중측정소별 2013~2015년 사이의 PM2.5 화학적 특성 차이 및 유발인자 조사 (Difference in Chemical Composition of PM2.5 and Investigation of its Causing Factors between 2013 and 2015 in Air Pollution Intensive Monitoring Stations)

  • 유근혜;박승식;김영성;신혜정;임철수;반수진;유정아;강현정;서영교;강경식;조미라;정선아;이민희;황태경;강병철;김효선
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제34권1호
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    • pp.16-37
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    • 2018
  • In this study, difference in chemical composition of $PM_{2.5}$ observed between the year 2013 and 2015 at six air quality intensive monitoring stations (Bangryenogdo (BR), Seoul (SL), Daejeon (DJ), Gwangju (GJ), Ulsan (US), and Jeju (JJ)) was investigated and the possible factors causing their difference were also discussed. $PM_{2.5}$, organic and elemental carbon (OC and EC), and water-soluble ionic species concentrations were observed on a hourly basis in the six stations. The difference in chemical composition by regions was examined based on emissions of gaseous criteria pollutants (CO, $SO_2$, and $NO_2$), meteorological parameters (wind speed, temperature, and relative humidity), and origins and transport pathways of air masses. For the years 2013 and 2014, annual average $PM_{2.5}$ was in the order of SL ($${\sim_=}DJ$$)>GJ>BR>US>JJ, but the highest concentration in 2015 was found at DJ, following by GJ ($${\sim_=}SJ$$)>BR>US>JJ. Similar patterns were found in $SO{_4}^{2-}$, $NO_3{^-}$, and $NH_4{^+}$. Lower $PM_{2.5}$ at SL than at DJ and GJ was resulted from low concentrations of secondary ionic species. Annual average concentrations of OC and EC by regions had no big difference among the years, but their patterns were distinct from the $PM_{2.5}$, $SO{_4}^{2-}$, $NO_3{^-}$, and $NH_4{^+}$ concentrations by regions. 4-day air mass backward trajectory calculations indicated that in the event of daily average $PM_{2.5}$ exceeding the monthly average values, >70% of the air masses reaching the all stations were coming from northeastern Chinese polluted regions, indicating the long-range transportation (LTP) was an important contributor to $PM_{2.5}$ and its chemical composition at the stations. Lower concentrations of secondary ionic species and $PM_{2.5}$ at SL in 2015 than those at DJ and GJ sites were due to the decrease in impact by LTP from polluted Chinese regions, rather than the difference in local emissions of criteria gas pollutants ($SO_2$, $NO_2$, and $NH_3$) among the SL, DJ, and GJ sites. The difference in annual average $SO{_4}^{2-}$ by regions was resulted from combination of the difference in local $SO_2$ emissions and chemical conversion of $SO_2$ to $SO{_4}^{2-}$, and LTP from China. However, the $SO{_4}^{2-}$ at the sites were more influenced by LTP than the formation by chemical transformation of locally emitted $SO_2$. The $NO_3{^-}$ increase was closely associated with the increase in local emissions of nitrogen oxides at four urban sites except for the BR and JJ, as well as the LTP with a small contribution. Among the meterological parameters (wind speed, temperature, and relative humidity), the ambient temperature was most important factor to control the variation of $PM_{2.5}$ and its major chemical components concentrations. In other words, as the average temperature increases, the $PM_{2.5}$, OC, EC, and $NO_3{^-}$ concentrations showed a decreasing tendency, especially with a prominent feature in $NO_3{^-}$. Results from a case study that examined the $PM_{2.5}$ and its major chemical data observed between February 19 and March 2, 2014 at the all stations suggest that ambient $SO{_4}^{2-}$ and $NO_3{^-}$ concentrations are not necessarily proportional to the concentrations of their precursor emissions because the rates at which they form and their gas/particle partitioning may be controlled by factors (e.g., long range transportation) other than the concentration of the precursor gases.