• Title/Summary/Keyword: Meteorological disaster

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Long-term runoff simulation using rainfall LSTM-MLP artificial neural network ensemble (LSTM - MLP 인공신경망 앙상블을 이용한 장기 강우유출모의)

  • An, Sungwook;Kang, Dongho;Sung, Janghyun;Kim, Byungsik
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.57 no.2
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    • pp.127-137
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    • 2024
  • Physical models, which are often used for water resource management, are difficult to build and operate with input data and may involve the subjective views of users. In recent years, research using data-driven models such as machine learning has been actively conducted to compensate for these problems in the field of water resources, and in this study, an artificial neural network was used to simulate long-term rainfall runoff in the Osipcheon watershed in Samcheok-si, Gangwon-do. For this purpose, three input data groups (meteorological observations, daily precipitation and potential evapotranspiration, and daily precipitation - potential evapotranspiration) were constructed from meteorological data, and the results of training the LSTM (Long Short-term Memory) artificial neural network model were compared and analyzed. As a result, the performance of LSTM-Model 1 using only meteorological observations was the highest, and six LSTM-MLP ensemble models with MLP artificial neural networks were built to simulate long-term runoff in the Fifty Thousand Watershed. The comparison between the LSTM and LSTM-MLP models showed that both models had generally similar results, but the MAE, MSE, and RMSE of LSTM-MLP were reduced compared to LSTM, especially in the low-flow part. As the results of LSTM-MLP show an improvement in the low-flow part, it is judged that in the future, in addition to the LSTM-MLP model, various ensemble models such as CNN can be used to build physical models and create sulfur curves in large basins that take a long time to run and unmeasured basins that lack input data.

An Analysis of the Korean Peninsula Damages Vulnerabilities for a Natural Disaster Mitigation : Focus on Public Facilities Damages (자연재해저감을 위한 한반도 피해 취약성 분석 : 공공시설피해를 중심으로)

  • Park, Jong-Kil;Jung, Woo-Sik;Choi, Hyo-Jin
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.413-422
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    • 2008
  • This study aims to find out a state of the damages and vulnerable areas from natural disasters in the Korean peninsula using the prevention meteorological database information made by Park(2007b). Through the correlation analysis between damage elements and total property losses, we investigate the damages of public facilities, which have high correlation coefficient, and the cause of disasters and want to propose the basic information to set up the disaster prevention measures in advance. As a result, because most of the total property losses is the damages of public facilities, we can reduce the damages of natural disasters if we can predict the damages of public facilities or carry out the prevention activities in advance. The most vulnerable area for the natural disasters are Cangwon-do and Gyeongsangnam-do provinces. The vulnerable areas for the damages of public facilities by typhoon are Daegu metropolitan city, Cangwon-do, and Gyeongsangbuk-do provinces. These vulnerable areas will take place more frequently due to the climate change including Gyeongsangnam-do province so that we need to set up the disaster prevention measures and natural disaster mitigation plan. Also, we think that it has effect on reducing the damages of natural disasters to predict the damage scale and strongly perform the prevention activities in advance according to typhoon track and intensity.

Meteorological Disasters and Prevention Measures (기상재해와 대책)

  • Park, Gwan-Yeong
    • Journal of the Korean Professional Engineers Association
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    • v.41 no.4
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    • pp.43-46
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    • 2008
  • The extreme weather events have increased around the world this century. One of the main reasons of frequent occurrence is the change of atmospheric circulation by El nino. also Korea Peninsular is not exception. The 97 % of death toll and 89 % of property loss of total are related with extreme-weather events for the last 10 years. for example the heavy rainfall (1998-4999) and Typhoon Rusa and Mamie. In spite of the percent of death toll by extreme-weather disaster is increasing and the total population is growing. but the number of death toll from natural disasters is decreasing. It shows that the loss of property and life can be minimize by preparing the proper disaster prevention measures. There are several preparations to reduce the damage by extreme-weather events: Public facilities have overall check up, to recognize the weather alert, the awareness of the escape route and the art of measures

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Researches Related to Seismic Hazard Mitigation in Taiwan

  • Loh, Chin-Hsiung;Yeh, Chin-Hsun
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.2 no.3
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    • pp.13-26
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    • 1998
  • In view of the rapid development of economics and technology, perilous meteorological and geological conditions often cause natural disasters and result in severe loss of lives and properties in Taiwan. To promote multi-hazard mitigation strategies in an integrated a, pp.oach, the National Science Council established a National Science and Technology Program for Disaster Mitigation in January 1998. This program emphasizes on the implementation of research results in the National Disaster Management System. This paper describes the earthquake loss estimation methodology that is currently developed in Taiwan. Topics of potential earth science hazards (PESH) and building vulnerability analysis are described in detail.

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Establishment of an Operational Oceanographic System for Regional Seas around Korea (한반도 주변 해역 운용해양시스템 구축 방향)

  • Lee, Dong-Young;Park, Kwang-Soon;Shi, Jun
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.361-368
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    • 2009
  • An operational oceanographic system needs to be established for the preservation and management of marine environments and resources, and also to secure the safety and efficiency of marine operations in Korea. One of the major roles of operational oceanography is to deliver ocean science products which can meet the requirements of users such as marine industries, the general public, government agencies, and scientific research communities. Technical issues in relation to development of an effective operational oceanographic system in Korea are identified and discussed. Among others, cooperation among the agencies in ocean, meteorology, hydrology and environment, and also among those of neighboring countries is important for the development of an effective operational oceanographic system. The strategy for building a system that meets the demands of users, with consideration to potential problems, are explored.

Analysis of administration system for lightning damage in developed countries (선진국의 낙뢰피해 관리운영체제 분석)

  • Cho, Sung-Chul;Lee, Tae-Hyung;Eom, Ju-Hong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of IIIuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.340-343
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    • 2009
  • Recently, the lightning damage to human and structure is increasing steadily and many countries try to reduce lightning-caused casualties and economical loss through special disaster management system. The organization of warning system and management system for lightning damage in developed countries were investigated in this paper. The organization of central government for disaster management and cooperation system with local government in USA, Japan, the Britain, and Germany were introduced and the division of roles with meteorological administration were described.

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A Case Study of Application of Preventing disaster system for Conventional Railroad in Domestic (국내 일반철도 강우방재시스템 현황 및 적용사례)

  • Lee, Jin-Wook;Park, Chang-Woo
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2007.02a
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    • pp.487-491
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    • 2007
  • Recently, rainfall induced hazard has been increased gradually, for example, typhoon Rusa in 2002 and Maemi in 2003. In addition, localized heavy rainfall has been also caused tremendous damage to railroad systems. Measured data from the Meteorological Adminstration sometimes, However, are not in accordance with those of rain gauges in local area, because of its good distance. This study develop automatic alarming software to estimate and prevent these kind of rainfall induced hazards in railroad system with online transportation.

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Structural Design of Plastic Greenhouse for Prevention of Meteorological Disaster (기상재해방지를 위한 플라스틱하우스의 구조설계)

  • 이현우;이석건
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Bio-Environment Control Conference
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    • 1995.04a
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    • pp.39-42
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    • 1995
  • 최근 재배면적, 생산량 및 농가 소득면에서 시설재배의 비중이 증대되고 있는 실정이며, 그 규모도 확대되어 재배작물별 단지화 경향이 현저해 지고 있다. 이와 함께 재배 및 관리기술은 체계적인 발전을 하고 있다고 볼 수 있으나 터널재배용 하우스구조의 경제적인 설계에 관한 구체적인 연구자료는 미비하여 하우스의 설치가 관행과 모방에 의존하고 있기 때문에 자재의 낭비는 물론 폭설이나 강풍 등 기상재해로 인한 하우스의 파손으로 막대한 피해가 예상되는 바 이에 관한 적극적인 연구가 절실하게 요청된다. (중략)

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Agro-meteorological Disaster Features Occurred during 1904-2000 in Korea (최근 우리나라의 농업기상재해 발생현황)

  • 심교문;이정택;이양수;김건엽
    • Proceedings of The Korean Society of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology Conference
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    • 2003.09a
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    • pp.42-45
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    • 2003
  • 작물의 생산성은 재배작물의 품종이 갖는 유전적 특성과 재배기술 및 재배환경에 의해 결정되는 것으로, 이중 품종과 기술은 육종가와 재배기술자의 노력으로 많은 발전을 가져오고 있지만, 재배환경은 인위적으로 조절할 수 없는 부분이 많고 특히 기상환경은 자연기상조건에 의존하고 있다. 그러므로, 특정 지역에서 재배하는 작물과 품종은 그 지방 기후에 적응되는 과정을 거쳐 그 지역의 풍토에 알맞게 진화되어 왔다고 볼 수 있다.(중략)

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