• Title/Summary/Keyword: Meteorological Parameter

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Availability Assessment of Meteorological Drought Index for Agricultural Drought Estimation in Ungauged Area of Agricultural Drought Parameter (농업가뭄인자 미계측 지역의 농업가뭄 추정을 위한 기상학적 가뭄지수의 활용성 평가)

  • Park, Min Woo;Kim, Sun Joo;Kwon, Hyung Joong;Kim, Phil Shik;Kang, Seung Mook;Lee, Jae Hyuk
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.59 no.5
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    • pp.127-136
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    • 2017
  • The object of this study was to assess availability of meteorological drought index for agricultural dorught estimation in ungauged area of agricultural drought parameters which are reservoir water level and soil moisture. The IADI (Integrated Agricultural Drought Index) and the SPI (Standard Precipitation Index), which are the criteria for determining agricultural drought and meteorological drought, were calculated and compared. For this purpose, the droughts that occurred in the Baeksan reservoir in Gimje and the Edong reservoir in Suwon were evaluated by using the IADI and SPI drought indecies. In addition, we compared and analyzed the depth of drought based on the two drought indices. Evaluations derived form the IADI and SPI showed that the standard precipitation index tended to indicate the occurrence of drought earlier than the integrated agricultural drought index. However, the integrated agricultural drought index was better than the standard precipitation index at evaluating the severity of drought during the period of irrigation. The relationship between these two drought indices seems to be useful for decision making in the case of drought, and it is considered that more studies are needed to examine the applicability of these drought indexes.

The Qualitative Evaluation of Seismic Characteristics using the KMA Seismological Bulletin (1978-2001) (기상청 지진관측보고(1978-2001)를 이용한 지진 특성의 정성적 평가)

  • 박동희;연관희;최원학;장천중
    • Proceedings of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea Conference
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    • 2002.03a
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    • pp.12-19
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    • 2002
  • A high frequency level of Fourier amplitude relates with stress drop and seismic moment. When we can not use this relation owing to absence of digital earthquake data, stress drop and seismic moment can be determined from Peak Ground Velocity(PGV) and felt area. We have qualitatively evaluated the seismic characteristics using PGV, and Magnitude from the well determined felt area in seismological records of Korea(1978~2001) by Korea Meteorological Administration(KMA). Observed relations between felt area and magnitude in the Korean Peninsula are explained by attenuation(Q), and stress drops comparing with the previous researches on stress parameter. This results are preliminary work for the study of stress parameter using the relationship of high frequency lavel, PGV, and felt area.

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Evaluation of Pasquill Stability Class with Monin-Obukhov Length and Estimation Scheme of Stability Parameter (Pasquill 安定度階級의 評價와 安定度 Parameter 測定方法의 開發)

  • Lee, Chong Bum;Kim, Yong Goog
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.168-175
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    • 1990
  • Pasquill stability class (PSC) was evaluated with Monin-Obukhov length (L) using the data observed at a height of 213m meteorological tower in Tsukuba, Japan. PSC was determined with wind speed and insolation (net radiation at night), and L was calculated with the heat flux and the friction velocity obtained at 25m by the eddy correlation method. To evaluate PSC with L, for every class of Pasquill stability (from A to F class), percentiles and median of L were used. Results show that for every class of Pasquill stability, L varies so widely that PSC does not adequately represent the atmospheric stability conditions. The scheme which estimates L using air temperature at two levels and wind speed at single level was developed. Comparison between estimated L by the scheme and observed L reveals that the scheme is better than PSC. Furthermore, the scheme is more advantageous than PSC because it uses air temperature at two levels instead of insolation which is more difficult to observe in the field than air temperature.

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Characteristics of Spread Parameter of the Extreme Wave Height Distribution around Korean Marginal Seas (한국 연안 극치 파고 분포의 확산모수 특성)

  • Jeong, Shin-Taek;Kim, Jeong-Dae;Ko, Dong-Hui;Kim, Tae-Heon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.480-494
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    • 2009
  • Long term extreme wave data are essential for planning and designing coastal structures. Since the availability of the field data for the waters around Korean peninsula is limited to provide a reliable wave statistics, the wave climate information has been generated by means of long-term wave hindcasting using available meteorological data. KORDI(2005) has proposed extreme wave data at 106 stations off the Korean coast from 1979 to 2003. In this paper, extreme data sets of wave(KORDI, 2005) have been analyzed for best-fitting distribution functions, for which the spread parameter proposed by Goda(2004) is evaluated. The calculated values of the spread parameter are in good agreement with the values based on method of moment for parameter estimation. However, the spread parameter of extreme wave data has a representative value ranging from about 1.0 to 2.8 which is larger than some foreign coastal waters, it is necessary to review deep water design wave.

Frequency analysis of nonidentically distributed large-scale hydrometeorological extremes for South Korea

  • Lee, Taesam;Jeong, Changsam;Park, Taewoong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.537-537
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    • 2015
  • In recent decades, the independence and identical distribution (iid) assumption for extreme events has been shown to be invalid in many cases because long-term climate variability resulting from phenomena such as the Pacific decadal variability and El Nino-Southern Oscillation may induce varying meteorological systems such as persistent wet years and dry years. Therefore, in the current study we propose a new parameter estimation method for probability distribution models to more accurately predict the magnitude of future extreme events when the iid assumption of probability distributions for large-scale climate variability is not adequate. The proposed parameter estimation is based on a metaheuristic approach and is derived from the objective function of the rth power probability-weighted sum of observations in increasing order. The combination of two distributions, gamma and generalized extreme value (GEV), was fitted to the GEV distribution in a simulation study. In addition, a case study examining the annual hourly maximum precipitation of all stations in South Korea was performed to evaluate the performance of the proposed approach. The results of the simulation study and case study indicate that the proposed metaheuristic parameter estimation method is an effective alternative for accurately selecting the rth power when the iid assumption of extreme hydrometeorological events is not valid for large-scale climate variability. The maximum likelihood estimate is more accurate with a low mixing probability, and the probability-weighted moment method is a moderately effective option.

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Uncertainty assessment of ensemble streamflow prediction method (앙상블 유량예측기법의 불확실성 평가)

  • Kim, Seon-Ho;Kang, Shin-Uk;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.6
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    • pp.523-533
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    • 2018
  • The objective of this study is to analyze uncertainties of ensemble-based streamflow prediction method for model parameters and input data. ESP (Ensemble Streamflow Prediction) and BAYES-ESP (Bayesian-ESP) based on ABCD rainfall-runoff model were selected as streamflow prediction method. GLUE (Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation) was applied for the analysis of parameter uncertainty. The analysis of input uncertainty was performed according to the duration of meteorological scenarios for ESP. The result showed that parameter uncertainty was much more significant than input uncertainty for the ensemble-based streamflow prediction. It also indicated that the duration of observed meteorological data was appropriate to using more than 20 years. And the BAYES-ESP was effective to reduce uncertainty of ESP method. It is concluded that this analysis is meaningful for elaborating characteristics of ESP method and error factors of ensemble-based streamflow prediction method.

Estimation and Analysis of Wave Spectrum Parameter using HeMOSU-2 Observation Data (HeMOSU-2 관측 자료를 이용한 파랑 스펙트럼 매개변수 추정 및 분석)

  • Lee, Uk-Jae;Ko, Dong-Hui;Kim, Ji-Young;Cho, Hong-Yeon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.217-225
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    • 2021
  • In this study, wave spectrum data were calculated using the water surface elevation data observed at 5Hz intervals from the HeMOSU-2 meteorological tower installed on the west coast of Korea, and wave parameters were estimated using wave spectrum data. For all significant wave height ranges, the peak enhancement parameter (γopt) of the JONSWAP spectrum and the scale parameter (α) and shape parameter (β) of the modify BM spectrum were estimated based on the observed spectrum, and the distribution of each parameter was confirmed. As a result of the analysis, the peak enhancement parameter (γopt) of the JONSWAP spectrum was calculated to be 1.27, which is very low compared to the previously proposed 3.3. And in the range of all significant wave heights, the distribution of the peak enhancement parameter (γopt) was shown as a combined distribution of probability mass function (PMF) and probability density function (PDF). In addition, the scale parameter (α) and shape parameter (β) of the modify BM spectrum were estimated to be [0.245, -1.278], which are lower than the existing [0.300, -1.098], and the result of the linear correlation analysis between the two parameters was β = -3.86α.

LAS-Derived Determination of Surface-Layer Sensible Heat Flux over a Heterogeneous Urban Area (섬광계를 이용한 비균질 도시 지표에서의 현열속 산정)

  • Lee, Sang-Hyun
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.193-203
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    • 2015
  • A large aperture scintillometer (LAS) was deployed with an optical path length of 2.1 km to estimate turbulent sensible heat flux (${\mathcal{Q}}_H$) over a highly heterogeneous urban area. Scintillation measurements were conducted during cold season in November and December 2013, and the daytime data of 14 days were used in the analysis after quality control processes. The LAS-derived ${\mathcal{Q}}_H$ show reasonable temporal variation ranging $20{\sim}160W\;m^{-2}$ in unstable atmospheric conditions, and well compare with the measured net radiation. The LAS footprint analysis suggests that ${\mathcal{Q}}_H$ can be relatively high when the newly built-up urban area has high source contribution of the turbulent flux in the study area ('northwesterly winds'). Sensitivity tests show that the LAS-derived ${\mathcal{Q}}_H$ are highly sensitive to non-dimensional similarity function for temperature structure function parameter, but relatively less sensitive to surface aerodynamic parameters and meteorological variables (temperature and wind speed). A lower Bowen ratio also has a significant influence on the flux estimation. Overall uncertainty of the estimated daytime ${\mathcal{Q}}_H$ is expected within about 20% at an upper limit for the analysis data. It is also found that stable atmospheric conditions can be poorly determined when the scintillometry technique is applied over the highly heterogeneous urban area.

A Study on the Roughness Length Spatial Distribution in Relation to the Seoul Building Morphology (서울시 건물형태에 따른 거칠기길이 분포특성 연구)

  • Yi, Chaeyeon;Kwon, Tae Heon;Park, Moon-Soo;Choi, Young Jean;An, Seung Man
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.339-351
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study is for the fundamental understandings about building morphological parameters and aerodynamic roughness parameters of Seoul, Korea using the detailed urban geographic information datasets. Applied roughness parameter calculations are based on a digital map of buildings with lot area polygons. The quality of the developed roughness length ($z_0$) of Seoul was evaluated with densely installed 107 automatic weather stations. The correlation coefficient results between averaged wind speeds of AWS data and averaged $z_0$ is -0.303 in night and -0.398 in day (200 m radii circles case). Further $z_0$ enhancement should follow by considering other surface features such as high tree and orography of Seoul. However, this study would meet the needs to for local- or meso-scale meteorological modeling applications of Seoul. However, further studies would require for enhancing the $z_0$ applications of Seoul.

Estimation of High Resolution Gridded Temperature Using GIS and PRISM (GIS와 PRISM을 이용한 고해상도 격자형 기온자료 추정)

  • Hong, Ki-Ok;Suh, Myoung-Seok;Rha, Deuk-Kyun;Chang, Dong-Ho;Kim, Chansoo;Kim, Maeng-Ki
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.255-268
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    • 2007
  • This study generated and evaluated the high resolution (5 km) gridded data of monthly mean, maximum and minimum temperature from 2002 to 2005 over South Korea using a modified PRISM(Parameter-elevation Regressions on Independent Slopes Model: K-PRISM) developed by Daly et al. (2003). The performance of K-PRISM was evaluated by qualitative and quantitative ways using the observations and gridded data derived by inverse distance weighting (IDW) and hypsometric methods (HYPS). For the generation of high resolution gridded data, geographic informations over South Korea, such as the digital elevation, topographic facet and coastal proximity, are derived from the 1 km digital elevation data. The spatial patterns of temperature derived by K-PRISM were more closely linked to topography and coastal proximity than those by IDW. The K-PRISM performed much better than IDW for all months and temperatures, but it was equal to or slightly better than the HYPS. And the performances of K-PRISM were better in the minimum and mean temperature (winter) than the in maximum temperature (summer).