• Title/Summary/Keyword: Meteorological Drought

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Comparison of Meteorological Drought and Hydrological Drought Index (기상학적 가뭄지수와 수문학적 가뭄지수의 비교)

  • Lee, Bo-Ram;Sung, Jang Hyun;Chung, Eun-Sung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.48 no.1
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    • pp.69-78
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    • 2015
  • In this study, meteorological drought indices were examined to simulate hydrological drought. SPI (Standardized Precipitation Index) and SPEI (Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index) was applied to represent meteorological drought. Further, in order to evaluate the hydrological drought, monthly total inflow and SDI (Streamflow Drought Index) was computed. Finally, the correlation between meteorological and hydrological drought indices were analyzed. As a results, in monthly correlation comparison, the correlation between meteorological drought index and monthly total inflow was highest with 0.67 in duration of 270-day. In addition, a meteorological drought index were correlated 0.72 to 0.87 with SDI. In compared to the annual extremes, the relationship between meteorological drought index and minimum monthly inflow was hardly confirmed. But SDI and SPEI showed a slightly higher correlation. There are limitation that analyze extreme hydrological drought using meteorological drought index. For the evaluation of the hydrological drought, drought index which included inflow directly is required.

Analysis of Drought Propagation from Meteorological to Hydrological Drought Considering Spatio-temporal Moving Pattern of Drought Events (가뭄사상의 시공간적 이동 패턴을 고려한 기상학적 가뭄에서 수문학적 가뭄으로의 전이 분석)

  • Yoo, Jiyoung;So, Byung-Jin;Lee, Joo-Heon;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.40 no.2
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    • pp.135-143
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    • 2020
  • Natural drought is a three-dimensional phenomenon that simultaneously evolves in time and space. To evaluate the link between meteorological and hydrological droughts, we defined a drought event from a three-dimensional perspective and analyzed the propagation characteristics in time and spaces. Overall results indicated that 77 % of the total cases of spatio-temporal droughts was propagated based on the single category relationship between meteorological and hydrological drought events, while 23 % was affected by multiple meteorological drought events to the occurrence of hydrological drougts. Especially, it turned out that the hydrological drought was caused by the spatio-temporal effects of the propagation of four meteorological drought events generated due to long-term lack of precipitation in 1994-1995. In addition, the meteorological drought caused by the lack of precipitation in the summer of 2001 lasted for several months, and was propagated to the hydrological drought in April 2002.

Decoupling of the Spatiotemporal Pattern of Agricultural Drought from that of Meteorological Drought in Korea (한국의 기상가뭄의 시공간 패턴으로부터 농업가뭄의 시공간 패턴 분리하기)

  • Kim, Dae-jun
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.140-152
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    • 2017
  • The Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) regularly publishes various drought indices. However, most of these are meteorological drought indices that are not only difficult but often inappropriate to apply to agriculture. In this study, the meteorological drought index and the agricultural drought index were calculated for the representative points of South Korea during the same period, and the differences in geographical distribution were analyzed according to the characteristics of drought. Although the overall drought patterns estimated by multiple drought indices were similar, the differences were also confirmed due to the different simulation methods depending on the character of drought. Especially, agricultural drought index (ADI) showed higher accuracy in the agricultural sector than that of meteorological drought index (e.g., SPI, PN). In addition, the drought patterns in recent years analyzed by ADI were more severe in spring and early summer compared with normal year. In autumn and winter, drought was weaker than normal year. For the recent periods, inland areas had more droughts than coastal areas. Considering the specific drought indices for the individual sectors, it will be helpful to take measures against drought according to the individual characteristics.

Probabilistic Monitoring of Effect of Meteorological Drought on Stream BOD Water Quality (기상학적 가뭄이 하천 BOD 수질에 미치는 영향의 확률론적 모니터링)

  • Jiyu Seo;Jeonghoon Lee;Hosun Lee;Sangdan Kim
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.39 no.1
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    • pp.9-19
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    • 2023
  • Drought is a natural disaster that can have serious social impacts. Drought's impact ranges from water supply for humans to ecosystems, but the impact of drought on river water quality requires careful investigation. In general, drought occurs meteorologically and is classified as agricultural drought, hydrological drought, and environmental drought. In this study, the BOD environmental drought is defined using the bivariate copula joint probability distribution model between the meteorological drought index and the river BOD, and based on this, the environmental drought condition index (EDCI-BOD) was proposed. The results of examining the proposed index using past precipitation and BOD observation data showed that EDCI-BOD expressed environmental drought well in terms of river BOD water quality. In addition, by classifying the calculated EDCI-BOD into four levels, namely, 'attention', 'caution', 'alert', and 'seriousness', a practical monitoring stage for environmental drought of BOD was constructed. We further estimated the sensitivity of the stream BOD to meteorological drought, and through this, we could identify the stream section in which the stream BOD responded relatively more sensitively to the occurrence of meteorological drought. The results of this study are expected to provide information necessary for river BOD management in the event of meteorological droughts.

Comparison of Meteorological Drought Indices Using Past Drought Cases of Taebaek and Sokcho (태백, 속초 과거 가뭄사례를 이용한 기상학적 가뭄지수의 비교 고찰)

  • Kang, Dong Ho;Nam, Dong Ho;Kim, Byung Sik
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.735-742
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    • 2019
  • Drought is a social phenomenon in which the degree of perception varies depending on the affected factors, and is defined as various relative concepts such as meteorological drought, hydrological drought, agricultural drought, and climatological drought. In this study, a comparative analysis of meteorological drought among variously defined droughts was conducted and the applicability of the drought index was examined by comparing the actual drought cases and the results of meteorological drought index analysis. In order to compare the drought index, we used standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), China-Z Index (CZI), Modified CZI (MCZI) and Z-Score Index Respectively. Four drought indices were used for the Taebaek and Sokcho areas. The drought index was analyzed using the meteorological data from 1986 to 2015 for a duration of 3 months. As a result of the analysis, the SPI drought index was analyzed to be highly reproducible for the case of drought with past limited water series. In the case of CZI and MCZI drought indices, the number of extreme dry occurrences is similar to that of the past cases, but the reproducibility is low for the actual drought years. In the case of ZSI drought index, it is analyzed that the number of occurrences and the comparison with the past cases are inferior in reproducibility. For the meteorological drought index using precipitation, it would be effective to use the SPI drought index with the highest reproducibility and the past drought case.

Classifying meteorological drought severity using a hidden Markov Bayesian classifier

  • Sattar, Muhammad Nouman;Park, Dong-Hyeok;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.150-150
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    • 2019
  • The development of prolong and severe drought can directly impact on the environment, agriculture, economics and society of country. A lot of efforts have been made across worldwide in the planning, monitoring and mitigation of drought. Currently, different drought indices such as the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI), Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) are developed and most commonly used to monitor drought characteristics quantitatively. However, it will be very meaningful and essential to develop a more effective technique for assessment and monitoring of onset and end of drought. Therefore, in this study, the hidden Markov Bayesian classifier (MBC) was employed for the assessment of onset and end of meteorological drought classes. The results showed that the probabilities of different classes based on the MBC were quite suitable and can be employed to estimate onset and end of each class for meteorological droughts. The classification results of MBC were compared with SPI and with past studies which proved that the MBC was able to account accuracy in determining the accurate drought classes. For more performance evaluation of classification results confusion matrix was used to find accuracy and precision in predicting the classes and their results are also appropriate. The overall results indicate that the MBC was effective in predicating the onset and end of drought events and can utilized for monitoring and management of short-term drought risk.

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Assessment of the Historical Variability of Meteorological Drought in Bangladesh (방글라데시의 기상학적 가뭄 변동성 평가)

  • Kamruzzaman, Mohammad;Hwang, Syewoon;Cho, Jaepil;Jang, Min-Won
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.61 no.3
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    • pp.77-88
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    • 2019
  • Drought is the recurrent natural disasters which harshly affect agricultural production and society in various parts in Bangladesh. Information on the spatiotemporal variability of drought events plays a vital role to take necessary action towards drought mitigation and sustainable development. This study aims to analyze the spatial and temporal variation of meteorological drought in Bangladesh during 1981-2015 using Effective Drought Index (EDI). Monthly precipitation data for 36 years (1980-2015) were obtained from 27 meteorological stations. Drought frequency (DF) and areal extent of drought were considered to investigate the spatiotemporal structure of drought. The DF analysis showed that the northern, southwestern and central regions of the country are comparatively vulnerable to meteorological drought. The frequency of drought in all categories has considerably increased during the recent five years from 2011 to 2015. Furthermore, the most significant increasing trend of the drought-affected area was found over the central region especially for pre-monsoon (March-May) season during this period while the decreasing trend of the affected area was found within the eastern region during the study period. To prevent and mitigate the damages of drought disasters in Bangladesh, agricultural and government managers should pay more attention to those regional drought events that occur in pre-monsoon season. The outcome of the present study can be used as explanatory data in building the strategies to drought monitoring and mitigation activities in Bangladesh.

Development of Real-Time Drought Monitoring and Prediction System on Korea & East Asia Region (한반도·동아시아 지역의 실시간 가뭄 감시 및 전망 시스템 개발)

  • Bae, Deg-Hyo;Son, Kyung-Hwan;Ahn, Joong-Bae;Hong, Ja-Young;Kim, Gwang-Soeb;Chung, Jun-Seok;Jung, Ui-Seok;Kim, Jong-Khun
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.267-277
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    • 2012
  • The objectives of this study are to develop a real-time drought monitoring and prediction system on the East Asia domain and to evaluate the performance of the system by using past historical drought records. The system is mainly composed of two parts: drought monitoring for providing current drought indices with meteorological and hydrological conditions; drought outlooks for suggesting future drought indices and future hydrometeorological conditions. Both parts represent the drought conditions on the East Asia domain (latitude $21.15{\sim}50.15^{\circ}$, longitude $104.40{\sim}149.65^{\circ}$), Korea domain (latitude $30.40{\sim}43.15^{\circ}$, longitude $118.65{\sim}135.65^{\circ}$) and South Korea domain (latitude $30.40{\sim}43.15^{\circ}$, longitude $118.65{\sim}135.65^{\circ}$), respectively. The observed meteorological data from ASOS (Automated Surface Observing System) and AWS (Automatic Weather System) of KMA (Korean Meteorological Administration) and model-driven hydrological data from LSM (Land Surface model) are used for the real-time drought monitoring, while the monthly and seasonal weather forecast information from UM (Unified Model) of KMA are utilized for drought outlooks. For the evaluation of the system, past historical drought records occurred in Korea are surveyed and are compared with the application results of the system. The results demonstrated that the selected drought indices such as KMA drought index, SPI (3), SPI (6), PDSI, SRI and SSI are reasonable, especially, the performance of SRI and SSI provides higher accuracy that the others.

Monitoring the Ecological Drought Condition of Vegetation during Meteorological Drought Using Remote Sensing Data (원격탐사자료를 활용한 기상학적 가뭄 시 식생의 생태학적 가뭄 상태 모니터링)

  • Won, Jeongeun;Jung, Haeun;Kang, Shinuk;Kim, Sangdan
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.38 no.5_3
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    • pp.887-899
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    • 2022
  • Drought caused by meteorological factors negatively affects vegetation in terrestrial ecosystems. In this study, the state in which meteorological drought affects vegetation was defined as the ecological drought of vegetation, and the ecological drought condition index of vegetation (EDCI-veg) was proposed to quantitatively monitor the degree of impact. EDCI-veg is derived from a copula-based bi-variate joint probability model between vegetation and meteorological drought information, and can be expressed numerically how affected the current vegetation condition was by the drought when the drought occurred. Comparing past meteorological drought events with their corresponding vegetation condition, the proposed index was examined, and it was confirmed that EDCI-veg could properly monitor the ecological drought of vegetation. In addition, it was possible to spatially identify ecological drought conditions by creating a high-resolution drought map using remote sensing data.

Drought analysis of Cheongmicheon watershed using meteorological, agricultural and hydrological drought indices (기상학적, 농업학적, 수문학적 가뭄지수를 이용한 청미천 유역의 가뭄 분석)

  • Won, Kwang Jai;Chung, Eun-Sung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.49 no.6
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    • pp.509-518
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    • 2016
  • This study assessed drought of Cheongmicheon watershed from 1985 to 2015 according to duration. In order to quantify drought, we used meteorological and hydrological drought index. Standardized Precipitation Index(SPI) based on precipitation and Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index(SPEI) based on precipitation and evapotranspiration were applied as meteorological drought index. Palmer Drought Severity Index(PDSI) and Stream Drought Index(SDI) based on simulation of Soil and Water Assessment Tool(SWAT) model were applied as agricultural and hydrological drought index. As a result, in case average of extreme and averaged drought, 2014 and 2015 have the most vulnerable in all drought indices. Variation of drought showed different trend with regard to analysis of frequency. Also, the extreme and averaged drought have high correlation between drought indices excluding between PDSIs. However, each drought index showed different occurrence year and severity of drought Therefore, drought indices with various characteristics were used to analysis drought.