• 제목/요약/키워드: Mean-Field Model

검색결과 681건 처리시간 0.022초

Maximizing Mean Time to the Catastrophic Failure through Burn-In

  • Cha, Ji-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.997-1005
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, the problem of determining optimal burn-in time is considered under a general failure model. There are two types of failure in the general failure model. One is Type I failure (minor failure) which can be removed by a minimal repair and the other is Type II failure (catastrophic failure) which can be removed only by a complete repair. In this model, when the unit fails at its age t, Type I failure occurs with probability 1 - p(t) and Type II failure occurs with probability p(t), $0{\leq}p(t)\leq1$. Under the model, the properties of optimal burn-in time maximizing mean time to the catastrophic failure during field operation are obtained. The obtained results are also applied to some illustrative examples.

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중립 대기 상태에서 이상 난류유동에 관한 수치적 연구 (A Numerical Analysis for Two-phase Turbulent Flow in the Neutral Atmosphere)

  • 강승규;윤준용;이도형
    • 대한기계학회논문집B
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    • 제26권6호
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    • pp.772-778
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    • 2002
  • A numerical analysis of turbulent gas-particle two-phase flow is performed in conjunction with the experiments of Fackrell & Robins and Raupach & Legg that considered ground-level source and/or elevated source flat plate flow. K-$\omega$ turbulence model is used in order to analyze fully turbulent flow field and the concentration equation with settling velocity is adopted for the concentration field. The model of Einstein and Chien is applied that couples the velocity field and the concentration field. Turbulent eddy viscosity is re-evaluated in this model. The present numerical results have good agreement between the simulation and the experimental data for the mean flow velocities and particle concentrations. While the previous study shows about 27% error in the vicinity of the source of particle concentration, the .present study allows about 14% error. A new turbulent gas-particle flow model developed by this study is able to cut down error by 13% at a near source.

라그랑지안 입자추적법에 의한 유출유 확산모델링 (The Application of Lagrangian Particle-Tracking Method to Modelling of Oil-Spill Dispersion)

  • 정연철
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.73-83
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    • 1997
  • To predict the oil-spill dispersion in marine waters, the oil-spill dispersion model based on Lagrangian particle-tracking method was developed and applied to Kwangyang and Jinju Bay. The tidal current movements to be required as input data of the oil-spill dispersion model were obtained by a two-dimensional numerical tidal model. Evaluation of tidal current movements using mean tide was successful. Modelling results were compared with the field data obtained at spill site. There were some descrepancies between modeling results and field data. However, the general pattern of modelling results was similar to that of field data. Provided the real-time tidal currents and more accurate wind data are supported, more favorable results can be obtained.

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Along-wind simplified analysis of wind turbines through a coupled blade-tower model

  • Spagnoli, Andrea;Montanari, Lorenzo
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제17권6호
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    • pp.589-608
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    • 2013
  • A model is proposed to analyse the along-wind dynamic response of upwind turbines with horizontal axis under service wind conditions. The model takes into account the dynamic coupling effect between rotor blades and supporting tower. The wind speed field is decomposed into a mean component, accounting for the well-known wind shear effect, and a fluctuating component, treated through a spectral approach. Accordingly, the so-called rotationally sampled spectra are introduced for the blades to account for the effect of their rotating motion. Wind forces acting on the rotor blades are calculated according to the blade element momentum model. The tower shadow effect is also included in the present model. Two examples of a large and medium size wind turbines are modelled, and their dynamic response is analysed and compared with the results of a conventional static analysis.

다방향 불규칙파가 투과성 잠제 주변의 3차원 파동장에 미치는 영향 (Effect of Multi-directional Random Waves on Characteristics of 3-D Wave Field around Permeable Submerged Breakwaters)

  • 허동수;이우동
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.68-78
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    • 2012
  • This study proposes an improved 3-D model that includes a new non-reflected wave generation system for oblique incident and multi-directional random waves, which enables us to estimate the effect of the various wave-types on 3-D wave fields in a coastal area with permeable submerged breakwaters. Then, using the numerical results,the three-dimensional wave field characteristics around permeable submerged breakwaters are examined in cases of oblique incident and multi-directional random waves. Especially, the wave height, mean surface elevation and mean flow around the submerged breakwaters are discussed in relation to the variation of incident wave condition.

Assessment of Water Quality Calibration Criteria for Field-Scale Water Quality Model

  • Seong, Choung-Hyun;Kim, Sang-Min;Park, Seung-Woo;Park, Tae-Yang;Kim, Sung-Jae;Jung, Ki-Woong
    • 농업생명과학연구
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    • 제44권5호
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    • pp.101-107
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    • 2010
  • The objective of this study was to assess the statistics and associated criteria for field-scale model used to simulate nutrient concentrations in paddy field. CREAMS-PADDY, a modified version of the field-scale CREAMS model, simulates the hydrologic, sediment, and nutrient cycles in paddy fields was applied in this study. The model was calibrated and validated using data from study rice paddy fields in Republic of Korea. The calibration statistics include mean and the minimum-maximum range associated with a "temporal window" that spans a period of several days. Because nutrient concentrations in paddy filed are typically sampled infrequently (on a weekly basis, at best) and represent only an instant in time, it is not reasonable to expect any model to simulate a daily average concentration equal to an observed value on a particular day. The 5-day window and related calibration statistics were applied in this study and the applicability of this concept was tested for field-scale water quality model. As a result of calibration and validation, the ponded water nutrient concentration values showed only small changes except the fertilization period. Because of the small changes in ponded water concentration, the size of 5-day window was too small to capture the observed values. Further study is required to establish the 5-day window calibration method for field-scale water quality modeling.

수명분포가 지수화-지수분포를 따르는 소프트웨어 신뢰모형 특성에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Characteristics of Software Reliability Model Using Exponential-Exponential Life Distribution)

  • 김희철;문송철
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.69-75
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    • 2020
  • In this paper, we applied the shape parameters of the exponentialized exponential life distribution widely used in the field of software reliability, and compared the reliability properties of the software using the non-homogeneous Poisson process in finite failure. In addition, the average value function is also a non-decreasing form. In the case of the larger the shape parameter, the smaller the estimated error in predicting the predicted value in comparison with the true value, so it can be regarded as an efficient model in terms of relative accuracy. Also, in the larger the shape parameter, the larger the estimated value of the coefficient of determination, which can be regarded as an efficient model in terms of suitability. So. the larger the shape parameter model can be regarded as an efficient model in terms of goodness-of-fit. In the form of the reliability function, it gradually appears as a non-increasing pattern and the higher the shape parameter, the lower it is as the mission time elapses. Through this study, software operators can use the pattern of mean square error, mean value, and hazard function as a basic guideline for exploring software failures.

A Lagrangian Based Scalar PDF Method for Turbulent Combustion Models

  • Moon, Hee-Jang;Borghi, Roland
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • 제18권8호
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    • pp.1470-1478
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, a new 'presumed' Probability Density Function (PDF) approach coupled with a Lagrangian tracking method is proposed for turbulent combustion modeling. The test and the investigation of the model are conducted by comparing the model results with DNS data for a premixed flame subjected in a decaying turbulent field. The newly constructed PDF, which incorporates the instantaneous chemical reaction term, demonstrates consistent improvement over conventional assumed PDF models. It has been found that the time evolution of the mean scalar, the variance and the mean reaction rate are strongly influenced by a parameter deduced by a Lagrangian equation which takes into account explicitly the local reaction rate. Tests have been performed for a moderate Damkohler number, and it is expected the model may cover a broader range of Damkohler number. The comparison with the DNS data demonstrates that the proposed model may be promising and affordable for implementation in a moment-equation solver.

Improving Forecast Accuracy of Wind Speed Using Wavelet Transform and Neural Networks

  • Ramesh Babu, N.;Arulmozhivarman, P.
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제8권3호
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    • pp.559-564
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    • 2013
  • In this paper a new hybrid forecast method composed of wavelet transform and neural network is proposed to forecast the wind speed more accurately. In the field of wind energy research, accurate forecast of wind speed is a challenging task. This will influence the power system scheduling and the dynamic control of wind turbine. The wind data used here is measured at 15 minute time intervals. The performance is evaluated based on the metrics, namely, mean square error, mean absolute error, sum squared error of the proposed model and compared with the back propagation model. Simulation studies are carried out and it is reported that the proposed model outperforms the compared model based on the metrics used and conclusions were drawn appropriately.

모델 가스터빈 연소기에서 등온 선회유동의 대 와동 모사 (Large Eddy Simulation of an Isothermal Swirling Flow in a Model Gas Turbine Combustor)

  • 황철홍;이창언
    • 유체기계공업학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 유체기계공업학회 2004년도 유체기계 연구개발 발표회 논문집
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    • pp.462-468
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    • 2004
  • Large eddy simulation(LES) methodology used to model isothermal non-swirling and swirling flows in a model gas turbine combustor. The LES solver was implemented on parallel computer consisting 16 processors. To verify the capability of LES code and characterize swirling flow, the results was compared with that of Reynolds Averaged Navier-Stokes(RANS) using k -$\epsilon$ model as well as experimental data. The results showed that the LES and RANS well predicted the mean velocity field of a non-swirling flow. Specially, the LES showed a very excellent prediction performance for the corner recirculation zone. In swirling flow, comparing with the results obtained by RANS, LES showed a better performance in predicting the mean axial and azimuthal velocities, and the central recirculation zone. Finally, unsteady phenomena of turbulent flow was examined with LES methodology.

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