• Communications of the Korean Mathematical Society
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• v.13 no.3
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• pp.603-627
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• 1998

The leaky bucket scheme is a promising method that regulates input traffics for preventive congestion control. In the ATM network, the input traffics are bursty and transmitted at high-speed. In order to get the low loss probability for bursty input traffics, it is known that the leaky bucket scheme with static leaky rate requires larger data buffer and token pool size. This causes the increase of the mean waiting time for an input traffic to pass the policing function, which would be inappropriate for real time traffics such as voice and video. We present the leaky bucket scheme with dynamic leaky rate in which the token generation period changes according to buffer occupancy. In the leaky bucket scheme with dynamic leaky rate, the cell loss probability and the mean waiting time are reduced in comparison with the leaky bucket scheme with static leaky rate. We analyze the performance of the proposed leaky bucket scheme in discrete-time case by assuming arrival process to be Markov-modulated Bernoulli process (MMBP).

• Transactions of the Korean hydrogen and new energy society
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• v.31 no.5
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• pp.436-443
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• 2020

The performance prediction model of a solid oxide fuel cell stack has been developed using deep neural network technique, one of the machine learning methods. The machine learning has been received much interest in various fields, including energy system mo- deling. Using machine learning technique can save time and cost requried in developing an energy system model being compared to the conventional method, that is a combination of a mathematical modeling and an experimental validation. Results reveal that the mean average percent error, root mean square error, and coefficient of determination (R2) range 1.7515, 0.1342, 0.8597, repectively, in maximum. To improve the predictability of the model, the pre-processing is effective and interpolative machine learning and application is more accurate than the extrapolative cases.

• New & Renewable Energy
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• v.10 no.2
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• pp.19-28
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• 2014

Wind power generation of 5 MW wind turbine was predicted by using wind measurement data from HeMOSU-1 which is at south west coast of Korea. Time histories of turbulent wind was generated from 10-min mean wind speed and then they were used as input to Bladed to estimated electric power. Those estimated powers are used in both polynominal regression and neural network training. They were compared with each other for daily production and yearly production. Effect of mean wind speed and turbulence intensity were quantitatively analyzed and discussed. This technique further can be used to assess lifetime power of wind turbine.

• Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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• v.1 no.1
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• pp.87-92
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• 1975

Three approximation methods for generating outcomes on Poisson random variables are discussed. A comparison is made to determine which method requires the least computer execution time and to determine which is the most robust approximation. Results of the comparison study suggest the method to choose for the generating procedure depends on the mean value of Poisson random variable which is being generated.

• The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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• v.41 no.7
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• pp.802-808
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• 1992

To investigate degradation procedure and life time of the oxidized PE and the unoxidized PE, alternative voltage is applied to the CIGRE Method-II (CM-II) electrode system, which is loaded artificial void, and measures the distribution of partial discharging generation. From the results, the samples etched by oxidation had wide degradation area of dielectric strength. Furthermore, discharge starting voltage was shifted to low voltage, the discharge generation frequency was high and consequently, the quantity of mean charge becomes small. Also, life time of the oxdized sample is shortened according as the oxidation time is longer.

• Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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• v.39 no.3
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• pp.59-66
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• 2019

New and renewable energy forecasts are key technology to reduce the annual operating cost of new and renewable facilities, and accuracy of forecasts is paramount. In this study, we intend to build a model for the prediction of short-term solar power generation for 1 hour to 3 hours. To this end, this study applied two time series technique, ARIMA model without considering seasonality and SARIMA model with considering seasonality, comparing which technique has better predictive accuracy. Comparing predicted errors by MAE measures of solar power generation for 1 hour to 3 hours at four locations, the solar power forecast model using ARIMA was better in terms of predictive accuracy than the solar power forecast model using SARIMA. On the other hand, a comparison of predicted error by RMSE measures resulted in a solar power forecast model using SARIMA being better in terms of predictive accuracy than a solar power forecast model using ARIMA.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2011.05a
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• pp.252-252
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• 2011

Rainfall-runoff models are calibrated and validated by using a same data set such as observations. The past climate change effects the present rainfall pattern and also will effect on the future. To predict rainfall-runoff more preciously we have to consider the climate change pattern in the past, present and the future time. Thus, in this study, the climate change represents changes in mean precipitation and standard deviation in different patterns. In some river basins, there is no enough length of data for the analysis. Therefore, we have to generate the synthetic data using proper distribution for calculation of precipitation based on the observed data. In this study, Kajiyama model is used to analyze the runoff in the dry and the wet period, separately. Mean and standard deviation are used for generating precipitation from the gamma distribution. Twenty hypothetical scenarios are considered to show the climate change conditions. The mean precipitation are changed by -20%, -10%, 0%, +10% and +20% for the data generation with keeping the standard deviation constant in the wet and the dry period respectively. Similarly, the standard deviations of precipitation are changed by -20%, -10%, 0%, +10% and +20% keeping the mean value of precipitation constant for the wet and the dry period sequentially. In the wet period, when the standard deviation value varies then the mean NSE ratio is more fluctuate rather than the dry period. On the other hand, the mean NSE ratio in some extent is more fluctuate in the wet period and sometimes in the dry period, if the mean value of precipitation varies while keeping the standard deviation constant.

• Journal of the korean academy of Pediatric Dentistry
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• v.32 no.2
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• pp.293-299
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• 2005

It is important to reduce chair time and procedure in restorative treatment for children. Composite resin is not only used in esthetic restoration of anterior teeth but also posterior teeth by its improved physical property. The 7th generation dentin bonding system was recently developed in order to simplify three steps which is needed to bond composite resin to tooth surface-etchant, primer, adhesive. We compared shear bond strengths of 4, 5, 6, 7th generations dentin bonding systems. The primary dentin was pretreated with 4, 5, 6, 7th generation dentin bonding systems. Then composite resin was cured to the specimen using molds 2.5mm in diameter and 2mm in height. Thermocycling was performed and shear bond strength was finally measured. The results were as follow; 1. The mean values of shear bond strengths in 5th generation dentin bonding system(group 2) were greater than those of 4, 6, 7th generation dentin bonding system(group 1, 3, 4). The differences were statistically significant. 2. The mean values of shear bond strengths in 4th generation dentin bonding system(group 2) were greater than those of 6, 7th generation dentin bonding system(group 1, 3, 4). But, the differences were not statistically significant. 3. Between the mean values of shear bond strengths in 6, 7th generation dentin bonding system(group 3, 4) were similar.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.34 no.5
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• pp.723-734
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• 2021

Wind energy is one of the rapidly developing renewable energies which is being developed and invested in response to climate change. As renewable energy policies and power plant installations are promoted, the supply of wind power in Korea is gradually expanding and attempts to accurately predict demand are expanding. In this paper, the ARIMA and ARIMAX models which are Time series techniques and the SVR, Random Forest and XGBoost models which are machine learning models were compared and analyzed to predict wind power generation in the Jeonnam and Gyeongbuk regions. Mean absolute error (MAE) and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) were used as indicators to compare the predicted results of the model. After subtracting the hourly raw data from January 1, 2018 to October 24, 2020, the model was trained to predict wind power generation for 168 hours from October 25, 2020 to October 31, 2020. As a result of comparing the predictive power of the models, the Random Forest and XGBoost models showed the best performance in the order of Jeonnam and Gyeongbuk. In future research, we will try not only machine learning models but also forecasting wind power generation based on data mining techniques that have been actively researched recently.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.31 no.6
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• pp.785-799
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• 2018

With the development of renewable energy sector, the importance of solar energy is continuously increasing. Solar radiation forecasting is essential to accurately solar power generation forecasting. In this paper, we used time series models (ARIMA, ARIMAX, seasonal ARIMA, seasonal ARIMAX, ARIMA GARCH, ARIMAX-GARCH, seasonal ARIMA-GARCH, seasonal ARIMAX-GARCH). We compared the performance of the models using mean absolute error and root mean square error. According to the performance of the models without exogenous variables, the Seasonal ARIMA-GARCH model showed better performance model considering the problem of heteroscedasticity. However, when the exogenous variables were considered, the ARIMAX model showed the best forecasting accuracy.