• 한국농림기상학회지
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• 제6권3호
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• pp.164-169
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• 2004

A spatial interpolation scheme incorporating local geographic potential for cold air accumulation (TOPSIM) was used to test the feasibility of operational frost warning in Chatancheon basin in Yeoncheon County, where the introduction of new crops including temperate zone fruits is planned. Air temperature from April to June 2003 was measured at one-minute intervals at four locations within the basin. Cold-air accumulation potentials (CAP) at 4 sites were calculated for 3 different catchment scales: a rectangular area of 65 x 55 km which covers the whole county, the KOWACO (Korea Water Corporation) hydrologic unit which includes all 4 sites, and the sub-basins delineated by a stream network analysis of the digital elevation model. Daily minimum temperatures at 4 sites were calculated by interpolating the perfect prognosis (i.e., synoptic observations at KMA Dongducheon station) based on TOPSIM with 3 different CAPs. Mean error, mean absolute error, and root mean square error were calculated for 45 days with no precipitation to test the model performance. For the 3 flat locations, little difference was detected in model performance among 3 catchment areas, but the best performance was found with the CAPs calculated for sub-basins at one site (Oksan) on complex terrain. When TOPSIM loaded with sub-basin CAPs was applied to Oksan to predict frost events during the fruit flowering period in 2004, the goodness of fit was sufficient for making an operational frost warning system for mountainous areas.

• 대기
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• 제32권1호
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• pp.1-15
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• 2022

Recently, Japan's Meteorological Research Institute presented the d4PDF database (Database for Policy Decision-Making for Future Climate Change, d4PDF) through large-scale climate ensemble simulations to overcome uncertainty arising from variability when the general circulation model represents extreme-scale precipitation. In this study, the change of precipitation characteristics between the historical and future climate conditions in the Yongdam-dam basin was analyzed using the d4PDF data. The result shows that annual mean precipitation and seasonal mean precipitation increased by more than 10% in future climate conditions. This study also performed an analysis on the change of the return period rainfall. The annual maximum daily rainfall was extracted for each climatic condition, and the rainfall with each return period was estimated. In this process, we represent the extreme-scale rainfall corresponding to a very long return period without any statistical model and method as the d4PDF provides rainfall data during 3,000 years for historical climate conditions and during 5,400 years for future climate conditions. The rainfall with a 50-year return period under future climate conditions exceeded the rainfall with a 100-year return period under historical climate conditions. Consequently, in future climate conditions, the magnitude of rainfall increased at the same return period and, the return period decreased at the same magnitude of rainfall. In this study, by using the d4PDF data, it was possible to analyze the change in extreme magnitude of rainfall.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2005년도 학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.605-609
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• 2005

This study is to perform the rainfall-runoff analysis of the basin of Yongdam dam where is loacted in the Geumriver basin. The model used is the SAC-SMA model which was developed by U.S. National Weather Service. The Precipitation data used as the input data of the model are daily ones observed in 2002 and the mean of values recorded in 5 rainfall stations. The evaporation data are used observed in Daejeon meteorological station. The geographical data such as basin slope and stream gradient are elicited from the numerical map analysis. In the verification through the comparison of calculated daily inflow with observed one, parameters used in the model are estimated manually. As the result of verification, total annual calculated inflow is 13,547CMS and agree accurately with the observed one. During the period of one year of 2002, before 100 days and after 250 days, the soil moisture condition in the upper zone was significantly dry and in spite of the rainfall in this period, the runoff was not generated. Through this result, we can observe that the moisture condition in the soil affects strongly the runoff in a basin.

• Korean Journal of Hydrosciences
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• 제7권
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• pp.125-137
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• 1996

The subject of the paper is the selection of the number and location of raingauge stations among existing ones for the computation of mean areal precipitation and for use as input of real-time flow prediction models. The weighted average method developed by National Weather Service was used to compute MAP over the Boone River basin in Iowa with a 40 year daily data set. Two different searching methods were used to find local optimal solutions. An operational rainfall-runoff model was used to determine the optimal location and number of stations for flow prediction.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제44권9호
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• pp.721-730
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• 2011

본 연구는 기상청에서 실시간으로 생산하고 있는 레이더-AWS 강우강도(RAR) 자료의 유출모의 적용성을 평가하고자 하는데 그 목적이 있다. 춘천댐 상류유역(4859.73 $km^2$)을 대상유역으로 선정하고 5개소유역에 대한시단위 AWS와 RAR 유역평균강우량을 산정하였다. 미계측 유역에서는 AWS와 RAR의 상관성이 낮고 계측유역에서는 높은 것으로 나타났다. 시단위 AWS와 RAR 유역평균 강우량은 강우분포형태에 따라차이가 크게 발생하는 것으로 나타났다. 두 자료의 유역평균 강우량을 이용하여 2006∼2009년의 홍수기간에 대해 모의유량을 평가하였다. 계측유역에 해당하는 춘천댐에서는 RAR 모의유량이 AWS 결과에 비해 정확도가 낮게 나타나나 미계측유역이 존재하는 화천댐과 평화의댐에서 AWS 모의유량이 과대추정되는 경우에 한해서 RAR 모의유량은 정확하게 모의하는 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 시단위 RAR 자료는 미계측 유역의 실시간 유량예측을 위한 강우자료로 활용이 가능할 것으로 판단된다.

• 물과 미래
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• 제25권3호
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• pp.79-86
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• 1992

ARF(Areal Reduction Factor) have been developed and used to convert point I-D-F to areal I-D-F in many countries. In Korea, through ARF was calculated in Han river basin by several researchers, it has limit to apply to other regions \ulcorner 새 low density of rainfall gauge station and shortage of data. In this study ARF has developed in areas of high density of rainfall gauge station, Pyungchang river(han river), Wi stream(nakdong river), and Bochung stream(Guem river) basin by fixed-area method. And coefficient of variation of annual mean precipitation was presented to use ARF in othere areas and its applicability was analyzed.

• Korean Journal of Hydrosciences
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• 제4권
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• pp.105-116
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• 1993

Areal Reduction Factor(ARF) has been developed and used to convert point Rainfall intensity-Duration-Frequency(I-D-F) to areal I-D-F in many countries. In Korea, though ARF was estimated in Han river basin by several researchers, it has some limitations to apply to other regions due to low denisity of rainfall gauging station and shortage of data. In this study ARF has been developed in area of relatively high density of rainfall gauging station, i.e., Pyungchang river(Han river), Wi stream(Nakdong river), and Bochung stream(Guem river) basin by geographically fixed-area method. And coefficient of variation of mean annual precipitation was presented to use ARE in other areas and its applicability was analyzed.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제44권3호
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• pp.221-230
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• 2011

최근 우리나라뿐만 아니라 전 세계적으로 기후변화에 따른 국지성 호우의 증가로 피해가 증가하고 있고 그에 따른 대책으로 단기예보의 중요성이 높아지고 있다. 우리나라의 기상청에서는 전구 모형인 GDAPS와 지역 모델인 RDAPS를 이용하여 정량적 예보인 수치 예보를 하고 있다. RDAPS 모델을 이용하여 생성된 자료는 3시간의 누적 강수량으로 48시간에 대한 예측 자료를 12시간 간격으로 00UTC와 12UTC를 생성한다. 본 연구에서는 2005년의 RDAPS의 결과를 9가지의 경우에 대하여 일강수량으로 변환하였으며, 금강유역을 대상으로 면적평균강수량 (MAP)을 산정하였다. 또한, 기상청 강우관측소의 관측강우량과 절대상대오차평균 (AARE)을 산정하여 가장 정확한 변환의 방법을 제시하고 적용성을 검토하였다.

• 대한토목학회논문집
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• 제38권2호
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• pp.237-247
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• 2018

유역 특성은 유역과 하도망의 지형학적인 구성에 대한 특성을 반영하는 것으로 유출 특성에 영향을 준다. 본 연구에서는 유역의 형태학적 특성과 유출의 관계를 분석하기 위해 한강 유역의 19개 하천의 27개 지점을 대상으로 유역 형태학적 특성을 Arc-map을 이용하여 구하였다. 하천 형태학적 특성은 선형, 면적, 기복 측면으로 구분하여 산정하였고, 강우에 의한 유역의 반응인 연평균 유출률은 실측 강수량과 유출량 자료를 이용하여 산정하였다. 각각의 형태학적 매개변수에 대한 상관을 도식화하고, 상관특성을 분석하였다. 길이비, 형상계수, 형상인자, 면적비, 기복비, 함몰도에 의한 연간 유출률에 대한 다중 회귀분석식을 제시하였고, 결정계수는 0.691로 나타났다. 실측과 회귀분석식에 의해 계산된 연간 유출률과의 RMSE와 MAPE는 각각 0.09, 11.61%로 나타나 비교적 정확히 예측하였다.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2015년도 학술발표회
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• pp.233-233
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• 2015

Vu Gia - Thu Bon basin is located in central Vietnam between Truong Son mountain range on the border with Lao in the west and the East Sea in the east. The basin occupies about 10,350 km2 or roughly 90% of the Quang Nam Province and includes Da Nang, a very large city with about 876,000 inhabitants. Total annual rainfall ranges from about 2,000 mm in central and downstream areas to more than 4,000 mm in southern mountainous areas. Rainfall during the monsoon season accounts for 65 to 80% of total annual rainfall. The highest amount of rainfall occurs in October and November which accounts for 40 to 50% of the annual rainfall. Rainfall in the dry season represents about 20 to 35% of the total annual rainfall. The low rainfall season usually occurs from February to April, accounting for only 3 to 5% of the total annual rainfall. The mean annual flow volume in the basin is $19.1{\times}109m 3$. Similar to the distribution of rainfall, annual flows are distinguished by two distinct seasons (the flood season and the low-flow season). The flood season commonly starts in the mid-September and ends in early January. Flows during the flood season account for 62 to 69% of the total annual water volume, while flows in the dry season comprise 22 to 38% of total annual run-off. The water volume gauged in November, the highest flow month, accounts for 26 to 31% of the total annual run-off while the driest period is April with flows of 2 to 3% of the total annual run-off. There are some hydropower projects in the Vu Gia - Thu Bon basin as the cascade of Song Bung 2, Song Bung 4, and Song Bung 5, the A Vuong project currently under construction, the Dak Mi 1 and Dak Mi 4 projects on the Khai tributary, and the Song Con project on the Con River. Both the Khai tributary and the Song Con join the Bung River downstream of SB5, although the Dak Mi 4 project involves an inter-basin diversion to Thu Bon. Much attention has recently been focused on the effects that climate variability and human activities have had on runoff. In this study, data from the Vu Gia - Thu Bon River Basin in the central of Viet Nam were analyzed to investigate changes in annual runoff during the period of 1977-2010. The nonparametric Mann-Kendall test and the Mann-Kendall-Sneyers test were used to identify trend and step change point in the annual runoff. It was found that the basin had a significant increasing trend in annual runoff. The hydrologic sensitivity analysis method was employed to evaluate the effects of climate variability and human activities on mean annual runoff for the human-induced period based on precipitation and potential evapotranspiration. This study quantitatively distinguishes the effects between climate variability and human activities on runoff, which can do duty for a reference for regional water resources assessment and management.