• Title/Summary/Keyword: Mean Precipitation Intensity

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Understanding Climate Change over East Asia under Stabilized 1.5 and 2.0℃ Global Warming Scenarios (1.5/2.0℃ 지구온난화 시나리오 기반의 동아시아 기후변화 분석)

  • Shim, Sungbo;Kwon, Sang-Hoon;Lim, Yoon-Jin;Yum, Seong Soo;Byun, Young-Hwa
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.391-401
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    • 2019
  • This study first investigates the changes of the mean and extreme temperatures and precipitation in East Asia (EA) under stabilized 1.5℃ and 2℃ warming conditions above preindustrial levels provided by HAPPI project. Here, five model with 925 members for 10-year historical period (2006~2015) and 1.5/2.0℃ future warming scenarios (2091~2100) have been used and monthly based data have been analyzed. The results show that the spatial distribution fields over EA and domain averaged variables in HAPPI 1.5/2.0℃ hindcast simulations are comparable to observations. It is found that the magnitude of mean temperature warming in EA and Korea is similar to the global mean, but for extreme temperatures local higher warming trend for minimum temperature is significant. In terms of precipitation, most subregion in EA will see more increased precipitation under 1.5/2.0℃ warming compared to the global mean. These attribute for probability density function of analyzed variables to get wider with increasing mean values in 1.5/2.0℃ warming conditions. As the result of vulnerability of 0.5℃ additional warming from 1.5 to 2.0℃, 0.5℃ additional warming contributes to the increases in extreme events and especially the impact over South Korea is slightly larger than EA. Therefore, limiting global warming by 0.5℃ can help avoid the increases in extreme temperature and precipitation events in terms of intensity and frequency.

Improvement in Seasonal Prediction of Precipitation and Drought over the United States Based on Regional Climate Model Using Empirical Quantile Mapping (경험적 분위사상법을 이용한 지역기후모형 기반 미국 강수 및 가뭄의 계절 예측 성능 개선)

  • Song, Chan-Yeong;Kim, So-Hee;Ahn, Joong-Bae
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.637-656
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    • 2021
  • The United States has been known as the world's major producer of crops such as wheat, corn, and soybeans. Therefore, using meteorological long-term forecast data to project reliable crop yields in the United States is important for planning domestic food policies. The current study is part of an effort to improve the seasonal predictability of regional-scale precipitation across the United States for estimating crop production in the country. For the purpose, a dynamic downscaling method using Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model is utilized. The WRF simulation covers the crop-growing period (March to October) during 2000-2020. The initial and lateral boundary conditions of WRF are derived from the Pusan National University Coupled General Circulation Model (PNU CGCM), a participant model of Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation Climate Center (APCC) Long-Term Multi-Model Ensemble Prediction System. For bias correction of downscaled daily precipitation, empirical quantile mapping (EQM) is applied. The downscaled data set without and with correction are called WRF_UC and WRF_C, respectively. In terms of mean precipitation, the EQM effectively reduces the wet biases over most of the United States and improves the spatial correlation coefficient with observation. The daily precipitation of WRF_C shows the better performance in terms of frequency and extreme precipitation intensity compared to WRF_UC. In addition, WRF_C shows a more reasonable performance in predicting drought frequency according to intensity than WRF_UC.

A Study on Feasibility of Cloud Seeding in Korea (한반도에서의 인공증우 가능성에 대한 연구)

  • Chung, Kwan-Young;Eom, Won-Geun;Kim, Min-Jeong;Jung, Young-Sun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.621-635
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    • 1998
  • The feasibility of cloud seeding in Korea is presented from analyses of precipitation, cloud amount, satellite data, and upper air data. The daily mean precipitation over Dae-Kwan-Ryong is the largest(~4.5 mm/day), while the intensity of precipitation (amount of yearly rainfall divided by the frequency of rain days) over Southern area is above 14 mm/day, which shows the largest in Korea. Both the daily mean and the intensity of precipitation over Andong area are the smallest with values of ~2.7 mm/day and ~11 mm/day, respectively. In the meanwhile, the occurrence frequency of appropriate cloud top temperature (-10'~-30') for cloud seeding over the region has a large value (~130 days/year). The precipitation patterns of the region vary with wind direction and intensity calculated from 43 AWSs(Automatic Weather Station) and the additional 7 rain guages which were installed along Northern and Southern part of the Sobaek mountain. The Sc(Stratocumulus) cloud type over Andong is frequently observed, and Cirrus and Altostratus next. From the results, it is estimated that the feasibility of cloud seeding over the area would be high if a proper strategy of cloud seeding is set up. LCL (Lifting Condensation Level) and CCL (Convective Condensation Level) have the most frequency in 1000-950 hPa being occupied 4/9 of total analysis period and in 400-500 hPa, respectively, with both small variations from season to season. The correlation between vapor mixing ratio and CCL is the highest in Summer and the lowest in Winter. It means that the height of cumulus in Summer is high with an abundant water vapor but vice versa in Winter, and that the strategy of cloud seeding should be different with seasons.

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The Impact of Meteorological Factors on Ulleung-do's Tourism Industry (울릉도의 기상이 지역 관광산업에 미치는 영향)

  • Gong, Sang-Min;Kim, In-Gyum;Kim, Sun;Jung, Jihoon;Kim, Baek-Jo
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.221-233
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    • 2013
  • Due to the fact that the speed of climate change in Republic of Korea exceeds the global average speed, sound conservation and tourism strategies should be prepared based on the comparison between the meteorological factors and the number of tourists. In this context, almost 70 percent of the industries in Ulleung-do are closely related to tourism; hence the significance of tourism is increasing. The annual precipitation variation does not show remarkable fluctuation, and most precipitation has a tendency to fall in summer and autumn However, for the years 2010 and 2011, a different trend was exhibited with higher winter precipitation than any other periods. Precipitation intensity is usually stronger in May (in the morning), June (in the afternoon), and no big difference is shown between morning and afternoon precipitation from July to September. The number of tourist is compared to both the precipitation at Ulleung-do and the number of advisories and warnings in the East Sea of Korea using correlation analysis. The results demonstrate that the meteorological factors that reduce the number of tourist are precipitation and the number of advisories and warnings.

Climatological Variability of Temperature and Precipitation in Jeju (제주지역 기온과 강수량의 기후 변동 특성)

  • Kim, Seong-Su;Jang, Seung-Min;Baek, Hee-Jeong;Choi, Heung-Yeon;Kwon, Won-Tae
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.188-197
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    • 2006
  • The characteristics of variability of temperature and precipitation in Jeju were investigated using data observed in Jeju station for from 1924 to 2004. Annual mean temperature change for the last 81 years is $0.02^{\circ}C$ increase per year. After 1980, the increase is $0.05^{\circ}C$ per year, larger than the former. The increase of the minimum temperature is larger than that of the maximum temperature in Jeju and has resulted in the increase of mean temperature. The frequency of climate extreme occurrence of temperature and rainfall was also investigated. The temporal variation of frequency of the extremely higher temperature has increased in the 1980's with global warming. The appearance of the extremely lower minimum temperature has decreased during the summers and winters. The facts that the frequencies of rainy days has decreased and heavy rainfall days of more than 80 mm per day in precipitation has increased indicate the increase of rainfall intensity.

A Study on the Analysis of Time-Regional Distribution of PRecipitation Frequency and Rainfall INternsity in Korea. (강수빈도 및 강우강도의 시공적 분포분석에 관한 연구)

  • 이재준;손광익
    • Water for future
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.53-72
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    • 1981
  • In this study, South Korea is divided into 5 zones and is studied about the analysis of time-regional distribution of previpitation frequency and rainfall intensity in Korea. In the previpitation frequency analysis, the basic data groups of 39 stations were selected. The diagram of previpitation frequency was drawn, and the time-regional distribution of precipitation frequency was analized. In the rainfall intensity analysis, the basic data groups of 36 stations were selected. The probable rainfall, I-D-F curve, and regression equation between 24hr. and 10min.-18hr. areal depth were obtained. The results of this study are following; 1) The precipitation class of max. recurrence probability in every season except summer was commonly (1) 1-5mm, (2) 0.1-1mm, (3) 5-10mm in order. 2) The zone of max. recurrence frequency owing to the precipitation class was zone II in precipitation frequency of below 20mm, zone IV in precipitation frequency of 30-40mm, zone I in precipitation frequency of above 70mm for a year. 3) The recurrence probability of precipitation in Korea can be represented to the equation of exponential function; $$W(x)=e^{\alpha+\beta}$$ 4) The first and third zones were expected heavy rain for the short and long duration. 5) The I.D.F. curves were drawn, and established that the time interval for the least deviation of I.D.F curve is 10~40min., 40min. -4hr., 4~24hr. 6) The regression equations of areal mean depth between 24hr. and 10min.-18hr. for each zone were obtained. 7)The probable rainfall of 36 points were calculated.

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Observed tropical cyclone wind flow characteristics

  • Schroeder, John L.;Edwards, Becca P.;Giammanco, Ian M.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.349-381
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    • 2009
  • Since 1998, several institutions have deployed mobile instrumented towers to collect research-grade meteorological data from landfalling tropical cyclones. This study examines the wind flow characteristics from seven landfalling tropical cyclones using data collected from eight individual mobile tower deployments which occurred from 1998-2005. Gust factor, turbulence intensity, and integral scale statistics are inspected relative to changing surface roughness, mean wind speed and storm-relative position. Radar data, acquired from the National Weather Service (NWS) Weather Surveillance Radar - 1988 Doppler (WSR-88D) network, are examined to explore potential relationships with respect to radar reflectivity and precipitation structure (convective versus stratiform). The results indicate tropical cyclone wind flow characteristics are strongly influenced by the surrounding surface roughness (i.e., exposure) at each observation site, but some secondary storm dependencies are also documented.

Past and Future Regional Climate Change in Korea

  • Kwon, Won-Tae;Park, Youngeun;Min, Seung-Ki;Oh, Jai-Ho
    • The Korean Journal of Quaternary Research
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.161-161
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    • 2003
  • During the last century, most scientific questions related to climate change were focused on the evidence of anthropogenic global warming (IPCC, 2001). There are robust evidences of warming and also human-induced climate change. We now understand the global, mean change a little bit better; however, the uncertainties for regional climate change still remains large. The purpose of this study is to understand the past climate change over Korea based on the observational data and to project future regional climate change over East Asia using ECHAM4/HOPE model and MM5 for downscaling. There are significant evidences on regional climate change in Korea, from several variables. The mean annual temperature over Korea has increased about 1.5∼$1.7^{\circ}C$ during the 20th century, including urbanization effect in large cities which can account for 20-30% of warming in the second half of the 20th century. Cold extreme temperature events occurred less frequently especially in the late 20th century, while hot extreme temperature events were more common than earlier in the century. The seasonal and annual precipitation was analyzed to examine long-term trend on precipitation intensity and extreme events. The number of rainy days shows a significant negative trend, which is more evident in summer and fall. Annual precipitation amount tends to increase slightly during the same period. This suggests an increase of precipitation intensity in this area. These changes may influence on growing seasons, floods and droughts, diseases and insects, marketing of seasonal products, energy consumption, and socio-economic sectors. The Korean Peninsular is located at the eastern coast of the largest continent on the earth withmeso-scale mountainous complex topography and itspopulation density is very high. And most people want to hear what will happen in their back yards. It is necessary to produce climate change scenario to fit forhigh-resolution (in meteorological sense, but low-resolution in socio-economic sense) impact assessment. We produced one hundred-year, high-resolution (∼27 km), regional climate change scenario with MM5 and recognized some obstacles to be used in application. The boundary conditions were provided from the 240-year simulation using the ECHAM4/HOPE-G model with SRES A2 scenario. Both observation and simulation data will compose past and future regional climate change scenario over Korea.

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Acid rain in Kwangiu, Korea (Precipitation intensity and persistent time) (남한의 광주광역시에서 산성비에 관한 연구)

  • 류찬수
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.5 no.5
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    • pp.663-676
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    • 1996
  • The analyzed results of observed precipitation and its pH in Kwangiu for 262 days from fan. 1, 1991 to Dec. 31, 1995 are as follows. The annual mean pH was 5.7, and the monthly mean pH values of January-May and November were less than 5.6 in Kwangiu. The ratio of acid rain for these periods was about 48.1%, almost half that of the total observed days. In March, the pH was 5.4 and the ratio of acid precipitation was 69%, an especially serious situation. In the spring, the pH value was 5.5, thus weakly acidic. The pH of precipitation tended to decrease with greater precipitation. The relation between persistent time and pH of precipitation is variable, but if the persistent time is long, the pH is constant and low. It is fortunate that there is an increasing trend of pH in interannual variation, but it is thought important that the amplitude of variation of pH in 1995 was high and the pH value was 4.1 in October and November. Because heavy and persistent precipitation effects the accumulation of acidity, more concern about acid rain is needed.

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A study on Compare Characteristics of Nonpoint Source in Storm-water versus Steepness of Field Slope (밭경사에 따른 강우유출수 내의 비점오염물질 특성 비교 분석)

  • Kim, Gi-Cheol;Choe, Yong-Hun;Won, Cheol-Hui;Choe, Jung-Dae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.1093-1102
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    • 2009
  • This study was focused on analyse Nonpoint source characteristics from Flat slope field and Steep slope field. We performed Storm-water monitering for obtain flow data and concentration data. Totally, eleven times Event was occurred. We calculated EMC(Event Mean Concentration) and Pollutants Loads using data we obtained. As a result, steep slope field has more discharge than flat field. SS value, one of the water quality contents, has largest variation and T-N has least variation. There is runoff differences even though events has same rainfall. We assume that not only amount of Rainfall, but also Rainfall Duration Times, Intensity, Number of Previous Non-precipitation days can affect to Run-off.

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