• Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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• v.11 no.3
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• pp.45-52
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• 2001

In this paper, we examine the method for evaluating the security of SPN structures against differential cryptanalysis and linear cryptanalysis. We present an example of SPN structures in which there is a considerable difference between the differential probabilities and the characteristic probabilities. Then we 7pose an algorithm for estimating the maximum differential probabilities and the maximum linear hull probabilities of SPN structures and an useful method for accelerating the proposed algorithm. By using this method, we obain the maximum differential probabilities and the maximum linear probabilities of round function F of block cipher E2.

• The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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• v.9 no.2
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• pp.190-195
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• 2016

In this paper, we are comparative analysis both class method and proposal method in order to estimation of incident signal direction on uniform array antenna system. Proposal method of this paper decrease error probability for a signal direction of arrival estimation using maximum posterior probability estimator. If it decrease to signal estimation direction error probability, signal direction of arrival can correctly estimate. Through simulation, we were comparative analysis proposed method and class method. Also, we were comparative analysis about signal estimation error probability with increasing array antenna element. We show the superior performance of the proposed method relative to the class method to decrease of signal estimation error probability about 12%.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.18 no.1
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• pp.71-77
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• 2011

In this paper, asymptotic results are investigated when a parametric transformation is applied to ARMA models. The conditions are determined to ensure the strong consistency and the asymptotic normality of maximum likelihood estimators and the correct coverage probability of the forecast interval obtained by the transformation and backtransformation approach.

• The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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• v.18 no.1E
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• pp.3-6
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• 1999

In digital mobile communication system, the transmission errors affect the quality of output speech seriously. There are many error concealment techniques using a posteriori probability which provides information about any transmitted parameter. They need knowledge about channel transition probability as well as the 1st order Markov transition probability of codec parameters for estimation of transmitted parameters. However, in applications of mobile communication systems, the channel transition probability varies depending on nonstationary channel characteristics. The mismatch of designed channel transition probability of the estimator to actual channel transition probability degrades the performance of the estimator. In this paper, we proposed a new parameter estimator which adapts to the channel characteristics using short time average of maximum a posteriori probabilities(MAPs). The proposed scheme, when applied to the LSP parameter estimation, performed better than the conventional estimator which do not adapt to the channel characteristics.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.14 no.1
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• pp.1-9
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• 2007

A three-state Markov logistic regression model is suggested to forecast the probability of tomorrow's precipitation based on the current meteorological situation. The suggested model turns out to be better than Markov regression model in the sense of the mean squared error of forecasting for the rainfall data of Seoul area.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• v.27 no.4
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• pp.471-483
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• 1998

The influence of observations on the misclassification probability in multiple discriminant analysis under the equal covariance assumption is investigated by the local influence method. Under an appropriate perturbation we can get information about influential observations and outliers by studying the curvatures and the associated direction vectors of the perturbation-formed surface of the misclassification probability. We show that the influence function method gives essentially the same information as the direction vector of the maximum slope. An illustrative example is given for the effectiveness of the local influence method.

• Water for future
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• v.28 no.2
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• pp.145-154
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• 1995

The various analyses of the historical rainfall data need to be utilized in a hydraulic engineering project. The probability distributions of the rainfall events according to annual maximum continuous rainfall depths are studied for the hydrologic frequency analysis. The bivariate normal distribution, the bivariate lognormal distribution, and the bivariate gamma distribution are applied to the rainfall events composed of rainfall depths and its durations at Kangnung, Seoul, Incheon, Chupungnyung, Teagu, Jeonju, Kwangju, and Busan. These rainfall events are fitted to the the bivariate normal distribution and the bivariate lognormal distribution, but not fitted to the bivariate gamma distribution. Frequency curves of probability rainfall events are suggested from the probability distribution selected by the goodness-of-fit test.

• Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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• v.30 no.4
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• pp.369-379
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• 2016

It was confirmed that the extreme value distribution model applies to probability of exceeding more than once a day monthly the facility capacities using data of daily maximum inflow rate for 7 wastewater treatment plant. The result of applying the extreme value model, A, D, E wastewater treatment plant has a problem compared to B, C, F, G wastewater treatment plant. but all the wastewater treatment plant has a problem except C, F wastewater treatment plant based 80% of facility capacity. In conclusion, if you make a standard in statistical aspects probability exceeding more than once a day monthly can be 'exceed day is less than a few times annually' or 'probability of exceeding more than once a day monthly is less than what percent'.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• v.19 no.3
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• pp.347-359
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• 2005

This paper attempts to develop the analytical model of estimating the fatigue damage using a linear elastic fracture mechanics method. The stress history on a welding member, when a truck passed over a bridge, was defined as a block loading and the crack closure theory was used. These theories explain the influence of a load on a structure. This study undertook an analysis of the stress range frequency considering both dead load stress and crack opening stress. A probability method applied to stress range frequency distribution and the probability distribution parameters of it was obtained by Maximum likelihood Method and Determinant. Monte Carlo Simulation which generates a probability variants (stress range) output failure block loadings. The probability distribution of failure block loadings was acquired by Maximum likelihood Method and Determinant. This can calculate the fatigue reliability preventing the fatigue failure of a welding member. The failure block loading divided by the average daily truck traffic is a predictive remaining life by a day. Fatigue reliability analysis was carried out for the welding member of the bottom flange of a cross beam and the vertical stiffener of a steel box bridge by the proposed model. Results showed that the primary factor effecting failure time was crack opening stress. It was important to decide the crack opening stress for using the proposed model. Also according to the 50% reliability and 90%, 99.9% failure times were indicated.

• Wind and Structures
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• v.33 no.6
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• pp.423-435
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• 2021

Although existing algorithms can predict wind speed using historical observation data, for engineering feasibility, most use moment methods and probability density functions to estimate fitted parameters. However, extreme wind speed prediction accuracy for long-term return periods is not always dependent on how the optimized frequency distribution curves are obtained; long-term return periods emphasize general distribution effects rather than marginal distributions, which are closely related to potential extreme values. Moreover, there are different wind speed parent sample types; how to theoretically select the proper extreme value distribution is uncertain. The influence of different sampling time intervals has not been evaluated in the fitting process. To overcome these shortcomings, updated steps are introduced, involving parameter sensitivity analysis for different sampling time intervals. The extreme value prediction accuracy of unknown parent samples is also discussed. Probability analysis of mean wind is combined with estimation of the probability plot correlation coefficient and the maximum likelihood method; an iterative estimation algorithm is proposed. With the updated steps and comparison using a Monte Carlo simulation, a fitting policy suitable for different parent distributions is proposed; its feasibility is demonstrated in extreme wind speed evaluations at Longhua and Chuansha meteorological stations in Shanghai, China.