• Title/Summary/Keyword: Maximum Probability

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Steel frame fragility curve evaluation under the impact of two various category of earthquakes

  • Wang, Feipeng;Miao, Jie;Fang, Zhichun;Wu, Siqi;Li, Xulong;Momeni, Younes
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.15-23
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    • 2022
  • One of the key tools in assessing the seismic vulnerability of the structures is the use of fragile functions, which is the possibility of damage from a particular damage surface for several levels of risk from the seismic movements of the earth. The aim of this study is to investigate the effect of two categories of earthquake events on the fragile curve (FRC) of the steel construction system. In this study, the relative lateral displacement of the structures is considered as a damage criterion. The limits set for modifying the relative lateral position in the HAZUS instruction are used to determine the failure modes, which include: slight, moderate, extensive and complete. The results show, as time strong-motion increases, the probability of exceeding (PoE) increases (for Peak ground acceleration (PGA) less than 0.5). The increase in seismic demand increases the probability of exceeding. In other words, it increases the probability of exceeding, if the maximum earthquake acceleration increases. Also, 7-storey model in extensive mode has 20 and 26.5% PoE larger than 5- and 3-storey models, respectively.

Variation of probability of sonar detection by internal waves in the South Western Sea of Jeju Island (제주 서남부해역에서 내부파에 의한 소나 탐지확률 변화)

  • An, Sangkyum;Park, Jungyong;Choo, Youngmin;Seong, Woojae
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.31-38
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    • 2018
  • Based on the measured data in the south western sea of Jeju Island during the SAVEX15(Shallow Water Acoustic Variability EXperiment 2015), the effect of internal waves on the PPD (Predictive Probability of Detection) of a sonar system was analyzed. The southern west sea of Jeju Island has complex flows due to internal waves and USC (Underwater Sound Channel). In this paper, sonar performance is predicted by probabilistic approach. The LFM (Linear Frequency Modulation) and MLS (Maximum Length Sequence) signals of 11 kHz - 31 kHz band of SAVEX15 data were processed to calculate the TL (Transmission Loss) and NL (Noise Level) at a distance of approximately 2.8 km from the source and the receiver. The PDF (Probability Density Function) of TL and NL is convoluted to obtain the PDF of the SE (Signal Excess) and the PPD according to the depth of the source and receiver is calculated. Analysis of the changes in the PPD over time when there are internal waves such as soliton packet and internal tide has confirmed that the PPD value is affected by different aspects.

Structural Analysis on Durability of Pedal (페달의 내구성에 대한 구조 해석)

  • Cho, Jae-Ung;Han, Moon-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.88-95
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    • 2011
  • In this study, the deformation, stress, vibration, fatigue life and the probability of damage are analyzed at the pedal applied by the force of 300N. The maximum stress at the lower of pedal is shown as 20.801MPa. And the maximum displacement is 0.85mm at the maximum response frequency as 3800Hz. Among the cases of nonuniform fatigue loads, 'SAE bracket history' with the severest change of load becomes most unstable but 'Sample history' becomes most stable. In case of 'Sample history' with the average stress of 0 to $-10^{5}MPa$ and the amplitude stress of 0 to $10^{5}MPa$, the possibility of maximum damage becomes 0.6%. This stress state can be shown with 5 times more than the damage possibility of 'SAE bracket history' or 'SAE transmission'. The structural result of this study can be effectively improved with the design of pedal by investigating durability against its damage.

On Maximum Diversity Order over Doubly-Selective MIMO-OFDM Channes

  • Yang Qinghai;Kwak Kyung Sup
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.30 no.7A
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    • pp.628-638
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    • 2005
  • The analysis of maximum diversity order and coding gain for multiple-input multiple-output orthogonal frequency division multiplexing (MIMO-OFDM) systems over time-and frequency-selective (or doubly-selective) channels is addressed in this paper. A novel channel time-space correlation function is developed given the spatially correlated doubly-selective Rayleigh fading channel model. Based on this channel-model assumption, the upper-bound of pairwise error probability (PEP) for MIMO-OFDM systems is derived under the maximum likelihood (ML) detection. For a certain space-frequency code, we quantify the maximum diversity order and deduce the expression of coding gain. In this wort the impact of channel time selectivity is especially studied and a new definition of time diversity is illustrated correspondingly

Maximum Force Limit of velocity-dependent Damping Devices Using Response Estimation Models (응답예측모델을 이용한 속도의존형 감쇠장치의 최대제어력 산정)

  • Lee, Sang-Hyun;Park, Ji-Hun;Min, Kyung-Won
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.60-65
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    • 2003
  • In this study, for estimating responses of a controlled structure and determining the maximum control force of velocity-dependent damping devices, three estimation models such as Fourier envelope convex model, probability model, and Newmark design spectrum are used. For this purpose, a procedure proposed by Gupta (1990) for estimating spectral velocity using pseudo-spectral velocity which is given by the estimation models is used and modified to consider the effects of increased damping ratio by the damping device. Time history results indicate that Newmark design spectrum gives the best estimation of maximum control force for over all period structures.

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Different estimation methods for the unit inverse exponentiated weibull distribution

  • Amal S Hassan;Reem S Alharbi
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.191-213
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    • 2023
  • Unit distributions are frequently used in probability theory and statistics to depict meaningful variables having values between zero and one. Using convenient transformation, the unit inverse exponentiated weibull (UIEW) distribution, which is equally useful for modelling data on the unit interval, is proposed in this study. Quantile function, moments, incomplete moments, uncertainty measures, stochastic ordering, and stress-strength reliability are among the statistical properties provided for this distribution. To estimate the parameters associated to the recommended distribution, well-known estimation techniques including maximum likelihood, maximum product of spacings, least squares, weighted least squares, Cramer von Mises, Anderson-Darling, and Bayesian are utilised. Using simulated data, we compare how well the various estimators perform. According to the simulated outputs, the maximum product of spacing estimates has lower values of accuracy measures than alternative estimates in majority of situations. For two real datasets, the proposed model outperforms the beta, Kumaraswamy, unit Gompartz, unit Lomax and complementary unit weibull distributions based on various comparative indicators.

Assesment of Water Quality Standards using Stochastic Distribution Characteristics between Dynamic Modeling Results and Observed Data (동적수질예측결과의 확률분포특성을 이용한 목표수질 달성가능성 평가)

  • Ha, Sung-Ryong;Lee, Ji-Heon;Seo, Se-Deok;Lee, Seung-Chul;Park, Jung-Ha
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.47-56
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    • 2008
  • Total Maximum Daily Load(TMDL) is a core basin management system to assign total emissions of pollutants to unit basin and emission source within a limit of the target water quality and to secure sustainability. considering "Environment and development" together. By current technical guidance of TMDL, the water quality in the riverbed of which the target water quality is noticed, must achieve the target; and the water quality standard for evaluating achievement of the target should be prescribed as non-excessive probability quality of water on the basis of the pertinent water quality documents. Therefore, the study calculated the target water quality by each unit basin which the target water quality must be noticed through the analysis of probability for water quality documents in rivers at the time of establishing a plan, and the study evaluated the achievement possibility of the target water quality by analyzing and comparing the target water quality plan with the standard water quality to evaluate the achievement of the target water quality. As the result, applying the proposed method to Mihocheon River system, it is concluded that selected the target water quality (Each BOD 3.3mg/1 and BOD 3.0mg/1) in Miho A and Musim A is available. Of course, it showed that the target water quality: BOD 2.5mg/1 in Miho A and BOD 3.0mg/1 in Musim A, could be achieved if the small reduction in B unit area was implemented.

Estimation on the Turbulence Characteristics of Daily Instantaneous Maximum Wind Velocity (일순간최대풍속의 난류특성에 관한 평가)

  • Oh, Jong Seop
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.75-84
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    • 2017
  • This study is concerned with the estimation of daily instantaneous maximum wind velocity in the meteorological major cities (selected each 17 points) during the yearly 1973-2016. The purpose of this paper is to present the turbulence statistic characteristics (probability distribution, correlation coefficient, turbulency intensity, shear velocity, roughness length, turbulence integral length, skewness, and kurtosis) of the daily instantaneous maximum wind velocity. In the processes of analysis, used observations data obtained at Korea Meteorological Adminstration (KMA). The estimation of non-Gaussian load effects for design applications has often been treated tacitly by invoking a conventional wind design load on the basis of Gaussian processes. This assumption breaks down when the instantaneous wind velocity processes exhibits non-Gaussianity. From the analysis results, the probability distribution of the daily instantaneous maximum wind velocity shows a very closed with non-Gaussian in the ensemble population 748, the correlation coefficient shows larger at inland area more than coastal area.

On the determination of the maximum water requirement Stage and the net unit duty of water in the rice fields (논벼의 최대용수시기와 순단위용수량의 결정에 대하여)

  • 김철기;김재휘
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.37-51
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    • 1984
  • The purpose of this study is to find out the determination method of designed duty of water in the rice fields through the comparison of the net unit duty of water at the late reduction division to heading stage with that at the planting stage. The data used for analysing this problem are the data of precipitation and gauge evaporation observed by Cheong-ju Meterological Center, the coefficient of evapotranspiration by College of Agriculture, Chung Buk University and the data of transplanting progressing in Boun area. The results obtained from this analysis are summarized as follows. 1.The occurring year of 1/10 probability value for available precipitation, gauge evaporation and mean maximum daily evapotranspiration during growing season is the year of 1977. 2.The 1/10 probability values of mean maximum evapotranspiration per day under the production rate of 1, 400kg/l0a and 1, 500kg/10a based on the weight of dry matters are 9. 2mm/day and 9. 6mm/day, respectively. 3.The net unit duty of water required in the fields that the maximum planting rate exists is more than the one in the fields that the planting rate is uniform in the planting stage. 4.The determination of net unit duty of water in the late reduction division to heading stage or the planting stage depends upon the daily evapotranspiration and percolation rate in the late reduction division to heading stage or the water depth required for planting and daily consumptive use of water after planting at the planting stage. Therefore the use of figure 5-(1) to figure 5-(6) can easily make the determination of the designed net unit duty of water out of above two kinds of net unit duty of water.

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Jackknife Parametric Estimations in a Truncated Arcsine Distribution

  • Kim, Jung-Dae;Lee, Chang-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.91-97
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    • 1997
  • Maximum likelihood and jackknife estimators of the location and scale parameters and right-tail probability in the truncated arcsine distribution are proposed, and we shall compare the performances of the proposed estimators in terms of bias and mean squared error.

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