• Title/Summary/Keyword: Markov Chain Monte Carlo Method

Search Result 148, Processing Time 0.021 seconds

Bayesian Variable Selection in the Proportional Hazard Model with Application to DNA Microarray Data

  • Lee, Kyeon-Eun;Mallick, Bani K.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Bioinformatics Conference
    • /
    • 2005.09a
    • /
    • pp.357-360
    • /
    • 2005
  • In this paper we consider the well-known semiparametric proportional hazards (PH) models for survival analysis. These models are usually used with few covariates and many observations (subjects). But, for a typical setting of gene expression data from DNA microarray, we need to consider the case where the number of covariates p exceeds the number of samples n. For a given vector of response values which are times to event (death or censored times) and p gene expressions (covariates), we address the issue of how to reduce the dimension by selecting the significant genes. This approach enable us to estimate the survival curve when n < < p. In our approach, rather than fixing the number of selected genes, we will assign a prior distribution to this number. The approach creates additional flexibility by allowing the imposition of constraints, such as bounding the dimension via a prior, which in effect works as a penalty. To implement our methodology, we use a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method. We demonstrate the use of the methodology to diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) complementary DNA(cDNA) data.

  • PDF

Bayesian analysis of random partition models with Laplace distribution

  • Kyung, Minjung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.24 no.5
    • /
    • pp.457-480
    • /
    • 2017
  • We develop a random partition procedure based on a Dirichlet process prior with Laplace distribution. Gibbs sampling of a Laplace mixture of linear mixed regressions with a Dirichlet process is implemented as a random partition model when the number of clusters is unknown. Our approach provides simultaneous partitioning and parameter estimation with the computation of classification probabilities, unlike its counterparts. A full Gibbs-sampling algorithm is developed for an efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo posterior computation. The proposed method is illustrated with simulated data and one real data of the energy efficiency of Tsanas and Xifara (Energy and Buildings, 49, 560-567, 2012).

Bayesian Approach for Determining the Order p in Autoregressive Models

  • Kim, Chansoo;Chung, Younshik
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.8 no.3
    • /
    • pp.777-786
    • /
    • 2001
  • The autoregressive models have been used to describe a wade variety of time series. Then the problem of determining the order in the times series model is very important in data analysis. We consider the Bayesian approach for finding the order of autoregressive(AR) error models using the latent variable which is motivated by Tanner and Wong(1987). The latent variables are combined with the coefficient parameters and the sequential steps are proposed to set up the prior of the latent variables. Markov chain Monte Carlo method(Gibbs sampler and Metropolis-Hasting algorithm) is used in order to overcome the difficulties of Bayesian computations. Three examples including AR(3) error model are presented to illustrate our proposed methodology.

  • PDF

Multiple Comparisons for a Bivariate Exponential Populations Based On Dirichlet Process Priors

  • Cho, Jang-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.18 no.2
    • /
    • pp.553-560
    • /
    • 2007
  • In this paper, we consider two components system which lifetimes have Freund's bivariate exponential model with equal failure rates. We propose Bayesian multiple comparisons procedure for the failure rates of I Freund's bivariate exponential populations based on Dirichlet process priors(DPP). The family of DPP is applied in the form of baseline prior and likelihood combination to provide the comparisons. Computation of the posterior probabilities of all possible hypotheses are carried out through Markov Chain Monte Carlo(MCMC) method, namely, Gibbs sampling, due to the intractability of analytic evaluation. The whole process of multiple comparisons problem for the failure rates of bivariate exponential populations is illustrated through a numerical example.

  • PDF

Bayesian inference in finite population sampling under measurement error model

  • Goo, You Mee;Kim, Dal Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.23 no.6
    • /
    • pp.1241-1247
    • /
    • 2012
  • The paper considers empirical Bayes (EB) and hierarchical Bayes (HB) predictors of the finite population mean under a linear regression model with measurement errors We discuss how to calculate the mean squared prediction errors of the EB predictors using jackknife methods and the posterior standard deviations of the HB predictors based on the Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods. A simulation study is provided to illustrate the results of the preceding sections and compare the performances of the proposed procedures.

Bayesian curve-fitting with radial basis functions under functional measurement error model

  • Hwang, Jinseub;Kim, Dal Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.26 no.3
    • /
    • pp.749-754
    • /
    • 2015
  • This article presents Bayesian approach to regression splines with knots on a grid of equally spaced sample quantiles of the independent variables under functional measurement error model.We consider small area model by using penalized splines of non-linear pattern. Specifically, in a basis functions of the regression spline, we use radial basis functions. To fit the model and estimate parameters we suggest a hierarchical Bayesian framework using Markov Chain Monte Carlo methodology. Furthermore, we illustrate the method in an application data. We check the convergence by a potential scale reduction factor and we use the posterior predictive p-value and the mean logarithmic conditional predictive ordinate to compar models.

Geostatistics for Bayesian interpretation of geophysical data

  • Oh Seokhoon;Lee Duk Kee;Yang Junmo;Youn Yong-Hoon
    • 한국지구물리탐사학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 2003.11a
    • /
    • pp.340-343
    • /
    • 2003
  • This study presents a practical procedure for the Bayesian inversion of geophysical data by Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling and geostatistics. We have applied geostatistical techniques for the acquisition of prior model information, and then the MCMC method was adopted to infer the characteristics of the marginal distributions of model parameters. For the Bayesian inversion of dipole-dipole array resistivity data, we have used the indicator kriging and simulation techniques to generate cumulative density functions from Schlumberger array resistivity data and well logging data, and obtained prior information by cokriging and simulations from covariogram models. The indicator approach makes it possible to incorporate non-parametric information into the probabilistic density function. We have also adopted the MCMC approach, based on Gibbs sampling, to examine the characteristics of a posteriori probability density function and the marginal distribution of each parameter. This approach provides an effective way to treat Bayesian inversion of geophysical data and reduce the non-uniqueness by incorporating various prior information.

  • PDF

Bayesian Mode1 Selection and Diagnostics for Nonlinear Regression Model (베이지안 비선형회귀모형의 선택과 진단)

  • 나종화;김정숙
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.15 no.1
    • /
    • pp.139-151
    • /
    • 2002
  • This study is concerned with model selection and diagnostics for nonlinear regression model through Bayes factor. In this paper, we use informative prior and simulate observations from the posterior distribution via Markov chain Monte Carlo. We propose the Laplace approximation method and apply the Laplace-Metropolis estimator to solve the computational difficulty of Bayes factor.

Bayesian Approach for Software Reliability Models (소프트웨어 신뢰모형에 대한 베이지안 접근)

  • Choi, Ki-Heon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.10 no.1
    • /
    • pp.119-133
    • /
    • 1999
  • A Markov Chain Monte Carlo method is developed to compute the software reliability model. We consider computation problem for determining of posterior distibution in Bayseian inference. Metropolis algorithms along with Gibbs sampling are proposed to preform the Bayesian inference of the Mixed model with record value statistics. For model determiniation, we explored the prequential conditional predictive ordinate criterion that selects the best model with the largest posterior likelihood among models using all possible subsets of the component intensity functions. To relax the monotonic intensity function assumptions. A numerical example with simulated data set is given.

  • PDF

Elastic α-12C Scattering with the Ground State of 16O at Low Energies in Effective Field Theory

  • Ando, Shung-Ichi
    • Journal of the Korean Physical Society
    • /
    • v.73 no.10
    • /
    • pp.1452-1457
    • /
    • 2018
  • Inclusion of the ground state of $^{16}O$ is investigated for a study of elastic ${\alpha}-^{12}C$ scattering for the l = 0 channel at low energies in effective field theory. We employ a Markov chain Monte Carlo method for the parameter fitting and find that the uncertainties of the fitted parameters are significantly improved compared to those of our previous study. We then calculate the asymptotic normalization constants of the $0^+$ states of $^{16}O$ and compare them with the experimental data and the previous theoretical estimates. We discuss implications of the results of the present work.