• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2016.05a
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• pp.153-153
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• 2016

최근 지구온난화 및 기후변화의 영향으로 수재해가 증가하고 있으며, 강우의 경향성이 변화하고 있다. 태풍 및 집중호우로 인한 피해보다 장기간의 연속적인 강우의 발생으로 인한 피해가 더욱 크며, 기존 수공구조물의 설계기준은 연속적인 호우로 인한 피해를 고려하지 못하고 있는 실정이다. 거대홍수란 집중호우, 태풍, 이상홍수 및 돌발홍수로 인한 홍수피해의 여파가 끝나기도 전에 또 다른 강우사상으로 인하여 거대한 홍수가 발생하는 시나리오적 상황을 의미한다. 본 연구에서는 기상청에서 제공하는 한강권역 30년 동안의 (1986 ${\infty}$ 2015년) 강우자료를 이용하여 거대홍수 발생횟수, 경향성, 설계기준을 초과하여 발생하는 거대홍수 초과빈도를 분석하였다. 최소 무강우 시간 정의(Inter Event Time Definition, IETD)를 이용하여 거대홍수를 산정하고, Mann-Kendall test 및 이중누가우량분석(double mass analysis)을 통하여 거대홍수의 경향성 분석을 실시하였다. 본 연구의 결과는 기존 수공구조물의 설계기준의 취약점을 보완할 수 있을 것이라 판단되며, 태풍, 집중호우, 거대홍수 등으로 발생하는 홍수피해를 줄이기 위한 방재 사업의 우선순위 결정에 대한 근거 자료로 활용할 수 있을 것이라 기대된다.

• Health Policy and Management
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• v.31 no.2
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• pp.217-224
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• 2021

The objective of this study is to investigate the healthcare status of South Korea and other member countries of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) using OECD health statistics 2020. We employed the position value for relative comparison index to measure the healthcare status in five following components: demand, supply, accessibility, quality, and cost. The Mann-Kendall test was used to analyze for increasing or decreasing trend of the position value for relative comparison values from 2000 to the recent year. Results showed that Korea was positioned above than the OECD median values in most of components, but lower than the median values in certain indices including healthcare employment, primary care, and mental health care. This study sheds some light on healthcare issues to be improved and the policy-makes can take into account for prior setting process.

• Health Policy and Management
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• v.32 no.1
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• pp.113-121
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• 2022

This study aims to compare the healthcare status of South Korea and other member of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) using the OECD health statistics 2021. We used the position value for relative comparison (PARC) index to measure the five elements of the healthcare system, demand, supply, accessibility, quality, and cost. For the statistical analysis, Mann-Kendall test was performed to examine the trend of the PARC values from 2000 to the most recent year. The results showed that supply, demand, accessibility, and quality were above median than the OECD median and the cost was below median. In sectors such as primary care, health employment and mental health care were below median average. With these result, necessary steps for a sustainable healthcare should be taken into effort by policy makers.

• Spatial Information Research
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• v.20 no.3
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• pp.39-50
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• 2012

The objective of this study is the quantitative analysis of climate change effects by performing several statistical analyses with hydrometeorological data sets for past 30 years in Geum river watershed. Temperature, precipitation, relative humidity data sets were collected from eight observation stations for 37 years(1973~2009) in Geum river watershed. River level data was collected from Gongju and Gyuam gauge stations for 36 years(1973~2008) considering rating curve credibility problems and future long-term runoff modeling. Annual and seasonal year-to-year variation of hydrometeorological components were analyzed by calculating the average, standard deviation, skewness, and coefficient of variation. The results show precipitation has the strongest variability. Run test, Turning point test, and Anderson Exact test were performed to check if there is randomness in the data sets. Temperature and precipitation data have randomness and relative humidity and river level data have regularity. Groundwater level data has both aspects(randomness and regularity). Linear regression and Mann-Kendal test were performed for trend test. Temperature is increasing yearly and seasonally and precipitation is increasing in summer. Relative humidity is obviously decreasing. The results of this study can be used for the evaluation of the effects of climate change on water resources and the establishment of future water resources management technique development plan.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.56 no.6
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• pp.381-392
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• 2023

Precipitation, runoff, and evapotranspiration are changing worldwide due to climate change and human activities. Because watershed runoff is an important component of the hydrological cycle, it is important to investigate the changes in watershed runoff for water resources management. This study collected observed data of runoff, precipitation, temperature, and evapotranspiration in the Geum River basin as well as their synthetic data according to Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) scenarios, investigated the trend of hydro-meteorological variables using the Mann-Kendall test, and quantitatively evaluated the effects of climate change and human activities on the watershed runoff using the climate elasticity approach and the Budyko framework. The results indicated that the relative contribution of climate change and human activity to changes in runoff varies from region to region. For example, the watershed with the greatest contribution from climate change and human activity were the Yongdam Dam (#3001) basin and the Daecheong Dam (#3008) basin, respectively. Future climate change showed an increase in precipitation and temperature in both RCP 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios, resulting in changes in runoff in the Geum River basin from 44.8% to 65.5%, respectively. We concluded that the effect on watershed runoff can be separated into climate change and human activities, which will be important information in establishing sustainable water resource management plans.

• Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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• v.11 no.2
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• pp.56-67
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• 2006

Trends of variation in groundwater levels, electrical conductivities and water temperatures obtained from the national groundwater monitoring stations (95 shallow and 169 deep wells) of Korea were evaluated. For the analysis, both parametric (linear regression) and non-parametric (Mann-Kendall test, Sen's test) methods were adopted. Results of linear regression analysis indicated that about 50% of the monitoring wells showed increasing trends of groundwater levels, electrical conductivities, and water temperatures and the others showed decreasing trends. However, the non-parametric analyses with monthly median values revealed that $14.8{\sim}20.0%$ of water levels were decreased, $24.2{\sim}36.9%$ of electrical conductivities were increased, and $27.4{\sim}32.5%$ of water temperatures were increased at a confidence level of 99%. Highly proportions of increasing or decreasing trends were unexpected and they resulted from the relatively short term of data collection (maximum 6 years). Meanwhile, the investigation of groundwater around the national groundwater monitoring stations showed that the decreasing or increasing trends of water levels, electrical conductivities, themselves, didn't indicate directly groundwater hazards such as groundwater depletion or groundwater contamination. Both the values and variation rates (slopes) of water level, electrical conductivity and temperature in the longer period are considered simultaneously. This study is the first comprehensive work in analyzing trends of groundwater data obtained from the national groundwater monitoring stations. Based on this study, the periodical and regular analysis of groundwater data is essentially required to grasp the overall variational trend of groundwater resources in the country.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2021.06a
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• pp.398-398
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• 2021

섬진강은 한국 주요 5대강 중 하나로 유량 변동계수가 가장 크다. 이로 인해, 극심한 가뭄이나 홍수의 발생 확률이 높을 뿐만 아니라, 가뭄에서 홍수 또는 홍수에서 가뭄으로 갑작스러운 극한 수문 기상 변화가 일어날 수 있다. 수자원의 안정적인 확보와 수재해로 인한 피해를 최소화하기 위한 수자원 관리와 장기적 수문분석이 필요하다. 이에 본 연구에서는 섬진강 유역의 수문 관측소(56개)에서 10년 이상 장기 관측된 일유량 자료(1997년~2020년)를 이용하여 비모수 검정 방법을 통한 추세 분석과 변동점을 탐색하였다. 우선, 일유량 관측 자료를 이용하여 누락된 일유량 관측값으로 생겨날 수 있는 불확실성을 배제하기 위해 관측 기간 중 누락된 일유량 관측값들의 월별 비율을 조사하였다. 그리고 월별 일유량 관측값 누락이 없는 관측소들의 월평균 하천 유량 값으로 연평균 하천 유량 값을 계산하였다. 관측 기간 동안 결측된 값이 없는 28개의 관측소를 대상으로 비모수 검정 방법을 통한 연별 추세 분석(Mann-Kendall Test)과 변동점 탐색(Pettitt Test)을 하였다. 연별 추세 분석 경우 28개의 관측소 중 8개의 관측소에서 통계적으로 의미 있는 추세(신뢰도> 99%)가 탐지되었다. 이들 중 3개의 관측소에서는 증가하는 추세를 보였고 5개의 관측소에서 감소하는 추세가 보였다. 7개의 관측소에서는 통계적으로 의미가 있는 변동점도 탐색되었고 그 변동점이 탐색된 연도는 2011년(4개), 2012년(3개)로 나타났다. 계절적 추세 분석에서는 28개의 관측소 중 각각 봄(MAM) 11개, 여름(JJA) 11개, 가을(SON) 9개, 겨울(DJF) 11개 관측소에서 통계적 추세(신뢰도> 99%)가 탐지되었다. 또한 봄 17개, 여름 7개, 가을 18개, 겨울 18개 관측소에서 변동점이 탐색되었고, 그 연도는 관측소마다 달랐다. 이러한 유량의 추세와 변동점의 원인(기후적/인위적 요소)을 더욱 잘 이해하기 위해, 계절별 유량과 강수량의 상관관계 분석이 연구될 필요가 있다. 이러한 장기 수문기후학적 추세와 변동성에 대한 이해는 농업이 중요한 섬진강 유역의 수자원 관리와 기후변화에 선제대응 할 수 있는 기초를 마련할 것이다.

• Korean Journal of Environmental Biology
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• v.39 no.2
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• pp.195-206
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• 2021

In 2020, South Korea initiated research and development of a longitudinal connectivity evaluation between upstream and downstream based on stream ecosystem health. This study analyzed the migration of upstream and downstream migratory fish species, fish distribution characteristics, trophic guilds, tolerance guilds, and species composition changes from 2015 to 2020 at Songrim weir in Yeongok stream, where the cross-structure of an ice harbor-type fishway for fish movement was recently improved. A total of 5,136 fish, including 36 species, were collected and three major migratory fishes were identified, namely, Tribolodon hakonensis, Plecoglossus altivelis altivelis, and Oncorhynchus keta. According to the comparative analysis before (Pre-I) and after (Post-I) improvement of the fishway, the relative abundance of primary freshwater fish increased in the upstream section, while the number of migratory fishes decreased. The fish species that used the fishway in the Songrim weir were Tribolodon hakonensis (58.4%) and Plecoglossus altivelis altivelis(11.8%). According to the Wilcoxon Signed-Rank Test migratory fish showed a statistically significant difference (p<0.05) in the upstream and downstream, showing a biological improvement effect of the crossstructure. On the other hand, the annual change of migratory fish based on the MannKendall trend test did not significantly increase or decrease (p>0.05). Therefore, in the fish passage improvement project, it is necessary not only for physical, hydrological, and structural tests, but also for pre- and post-biological tests on the use and improvement effect of fishway.

• Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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• v.47 no.3
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• pp.146-159
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• 2014

In this study, we evaluated the temporal changes of water quality in the 90 reservoirs in Korea and the relationships between water quality and their environmental factors in the reservoirs for effective management of reservoirs. The majority of study reservoirs were categorized as the eutrophic state based on Carlson's trophic index. Among 90 reservoirs, more than 55.0% were nutrient-rich based on $TSI_{TP}$ in each month, where more than 50.0% were nutrient-rich based on $TSI_{Chl-a}$ from June to November. Seasonal Mann-Kendall test was used to analyze temporal variation of water quality in the selected 60 reservoirs using monthly data from 2004 to 2008. The results showed that 27 (45.0%) reservoirs showed the improvement of water quality based on TP and Chl-a concentrations, while 14 (23.3%) and 11 (18.3%) reservoirs displayed the degradation of water quality based on TP and Chl-a concentrations, respectively. Meanwhile, a self-organizing map classified the study reservoirs into five groups based on differences of hydrogeomorphology (altitude, catchment area, bank height, lake age, etc.). Physicochemical factors and land use/cover types showed clear differences among groups. Finally, hydrogeomorphology of reservoirs were related to water quality, indicating that the hydrogeomorphological characters strongly affect water quality of reservoirs.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2012.05a
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• pp.352-356
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• 2012

본 연구는 최근 우리나라 4대강 중 한강의 기후변화로 인한 온도, 상대습도, 강우량의 관측자료를 통해 과거와 최근의 변동특성에 대해서 파악하고자 하였다. 이를 위해 기상청의 관측자료를 활용하였으며 한강의 상, 중, 하류로 나눠서 3개 지점에 대해 선정하였다. 선정 기준은 인위적인 영향을 많이 받는 도시지역을 제외한 도서 지역에 위치한 관측소를 기준으로 선정하였다. 분석을 실시한 항목으로는 최고, 최저, 평균기온 및 상대습도, 연강우량, 일 최고 강우량, 강우 집중률이 있으며 강우 집중률은 강우량에 의한 강우강도의 변동 특성을 파악하기 위해 분석하였다. 과거(~1994)와 최근(1995~2011)의 변동성을 파악하기 위해 각 항목별로 비모수적 검정을 실시하고, 상위 10개를 선정한 자료를 이용하여 분석하였다. 비모수적 검정으로는 Mann-Kendall, Hotelling-Pabst, Sen's Trend Test를 이용하였고, 표준정규변량을 통해 과거와 최근의 경향성을 비교하였다. 연구 지점 중 양평의 평균 기온은 상위 10개 중 9개가 최근 자료에서 선정되었고 경향성의 유의수준도 더 높게 나타났다. 최저 상대습도는 과거에 비해 최근에 더 높은 유의수준의 하강하는 경향성을 가지는 것으로 나타나, 기후변화로 인한 지구온난화가 진행되고 있다는 것을 보여주고 있다. 연강수량은 최근 자료에 상위 8개가 나타났고, 표준정규변량 또한 높은 유의수준을 가지며 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. 일 최고 강수량, 강우집중률 또한 상위 10개 관측자료 중 1995년 이후 7개가 관측되었고, 이는 강우강도가 증가하는 것으로 판단할 수 있다. 상대습도의 경우 평균 및 최소 상대습도에서 2개가 관측 되어 기온은 상승하고 강우는 집중되는 반면 상대습도는 온도의 영향 이외에도 낮아지는 경향을 보여 오난해지는 가운데 건조해지는 경향을 보임을 알 수 있었다.