• Title/Summary/Keyword: Make-to-forecast

Search Result 218, Processing Time 0.023 seconds

Forecasting the Diffusion of Microprocessor Technology Based on Bibliometrics (Bibliometrics를 이용한 마이크로프로세서의 기술확산 예측)

  • 손소영;안병주
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
    • /
    • v.28 no.1
    • /
    • pp.27-40
    • /
    • 2000
  • Technological forecasting for microprocessor market can provide timely insight into the prospects for significant technological changes in computer hardware as well as software. In this paper, we use bibliometrics to forecast R&D trend on microprocessor technology. Cumulative numbers of US Patents on several generations of microprocessor technology (pipeline, superpipeline, supersclar and VLIW) approved since 1980 are applied to fit diffusion models. Our study results provide both the maximum market potential and the maturity time for each generation of microprocessor technology. Such information is expected to make contribution on making better decisions with regard to strategic corporate planning, R&D management, product development and investment in new technology of microprocessor.

  • PDF

On the analysis of the impending crisis facing up in the early 21st century and its management strategies of Korean institutions of higher education (21세기초 한국 대학의 도태위기와 경영전략)

  • 유병우
    • Korean Management Science Review
    • /
    • v.10 no.2
    • /
    • pp.187-212
    • /
    • 1993
  • The purpose of this study is to deal with a forecast of probable failures facing up to the existing Korean universities and colleges in the early 21st century and with how each institution should cope with the situation before the failures actually take place. The methods used in this research are Scenario analysis, Factor and Cluster analyses in order to find out major factors having influence upon the operation and management of these universities and colleges. It's turned out that every institution is different from others and in fact unique in its make-up and so each will have different ways to deal with the impending failures and the crisis management problems strategically.

  • PDF

A Forecasting System for Lung Cancer Sensitivities Using SNP Data

  • Ryoo, Myung-Chun;Kim, Sang-Jin;Park, Chang-Hyeon
    • 한국정보컨버전스학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 2008.06a
    • /
    • pp.191-194
    • /
    • 2008
  • SNP(Single Nucleotide Polymorphism) refers to the difference in a base pair existed in DNAs of individuals. Each of it appears per 1,000 bases in human genome and it enables each gene to defer in junctions, interacts with each other to make different shapes of humans, and produces different disease sensitivities. In this paper, we propose a system to forecast lung cancer sensitivities using SNP data related with the lung cancer. A lung cancer sensitivity forecasting model is also constructed through analysis of genetic and non-genetic factors for squamous cell carcinomas, adeno carcinomas, and small cell carcinomas that may frequently appear in Korean. The proposed system with the model gives the probabilities of the onset of lung cancers in the experimental subjects.

  • PDF

A Study on the Changing Role of Librarian in the Information Society: Preparations to Receive the Role of Knowledgr Engineering and Knowledge Engineers (정보화사회에서 사서의 역할 변화에 관한 연구 -지식공학과 지식공학자의 역활 수용태세를 중심으로-)

  • 김성혁
    • Journal of the Korean Society for information Management
    • /
    • v.10 no.2
    • /
    • pp.69-85
    • /
    • 1993
  • The purpose of this papel 1s to forecast the llbra~y as an ~ntelligent library and the librarian as a knowledgeeng~neer's type librar~an In the coming '"1st century, and then analyze the [ole and function of the library andIlbrarian. In order to make an intelhgent lib~ary and educate a knowledge eng~neer's type librar~an. the paper 1smade a study of the preparation to recelve the role and funct~on of knowledge engineering and knowledge englneerand IS presented plans for accepting it into the l~hralv and ~ntormation science.tion science.

  • PDF

Research on Improving Schedule Forecasting Method for Delayed Defense Research & Development Project (지연된 국방 연구개발 프로젝트의 일정 예측방식 개선 연구)

  • Cho, Jungho;Lim, Jaesung
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
    • /
    • v.23 no.3
    • /
    • pp.286-293
    • /
    • 2020
  • Since Dr. Lipke announces earned schedule management(ESM) in 2002, it has been used in project management to make up for the insufficient schedule management function of earned value management technique. However, it is difficult to accurately forecast the schedule of delayed defense research and development(R&D) projects with the ESM technique. Therefore, this paper proposes a new schedule forecasting method considering the progress of delayed work in ESM technique. This concept can also be adopted to the traditional project progress management (PPM) technique. We verify the effectiveness of the proposed concept through several defense R&D projects and prove that it is possible to supplement the schedule forecasting of the ESM and PPM technique.

Numerical investigations on the effect of tortuosity on friction factor in superconducting CICC configuration

  • Vaghela, Hitensinh;Lakhera, Vikas;Bhatt, Kunal;Sarkar, Biswanath
    • Progress in Superconductivity and Cryogenics
    • /
    • v.23 no.4
    • /
    • pp.49-55
    • /
    • 2021
  • The Cable in Conduit Conductor (CICC) configurations are designed, tested and realized to make high field superconducting (SC) magnets. The evolution of CICC design makes it challenging to forecast thermo-hydraulic behavior. A common objective of thermo-hydraulic studies is to obtain the most reliable predictive correlation for friction factor in CICC geometries and to reduce the dependency on the experiment. So far, only the void fraction and Reynolds number have been considered in the predictive correlations in an explicit way. In the present paper, the CICC twisting pattern dependency, called tortuosity (τ), on the pressure drop prediction, has been assessed through a numerical simulation approach. The CICC twisting pattern with 6+1 petals (solid conductor in the present study) with different twisting pitches is mimicked in the numerical simulation for the range 100 ≤ Re ≤10000 and 1 < τ < 1.08 and a correlation for friction factor, f, has been proposed as a function of Re and τ.

Demand and Supply Forecast of Milk and the Consumer's Attitude for Milk Purchase (우유수급예측(牛乳需給豫測)과 소비자(消費者)의 우유구매태도(牛乳購買態度))

  • Park, Chong Soo;Ra, Chung Hee
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
    • /
    • v.16 no.1
    • /
    • pp.71-83
    • /
    • 1989
  • The purpose of this research are to forecast the demand and supply of milk in Korea, and to obtain information for attitudes affecting milk consumption, which is necessary to make a plan for increasing milk consumption in Korea. The estimation of the milk demand and production was made by the multiplicative decomposition method and the statistical function. Data on consumer were collected from 737 students who were attending primary school, middle school and university in Daejeon during the period of July 11 to July 21, 1988. The results obtained are as follows; 1. The prediction results showed that the production for milk will over supply 21,900 tons in 1,990, 70,800 tons in 1,995 by the multiplicative decomposition method and 45,400 tons in 1990, -51,500 tons in 1995 by the statistical function. 2. It was found that almost all the students awared milk as essential food-stuff of common food stuff for the Koreans. 3. Quite a few students were apt to believe that milk processors added water into fluid milk. 4. Most students showed obtaining information about the nutritional value of milk by school education and advertising of TV, Radio, and Printed media. 5. However, it was found that the advertising by TV, Radio, and Printed media did hardly give to consumers influences on the choice of a particular milk brand. Accordingly, the conclusions are as follows; 1. Need to provide consumers with well planned education programs on the nutritional value of milk. 2. Heavy brand advertising for fluid milk may mislead the understanding of consumer, since city milk is not much differentiated in Korea. Therefore the milk processors should put more efforts in generic milk promotion by reducing brand advertizement. 3. The milk processors should provide major portion of financing for generic milk promotion program.

  • PDF

Electric Power Load Forecasting using Fuzzy Prediction System (퍼지 예측 시스템을 이용한 전력 부하 예측)

  • Bang, Young-Keun;Shim, Jae-Sun
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
    • /
    • v.62 no.11
    • /
    • pp.1590-1597
    • /
    • 2013
  • Electric power is an important part in economic development. Moreover, an accurate load forecast can make a financing planning, power supply strategy and market research planned effectively. This paper used the fuzzy logic system to predict the regional electric power load. To design the fuzzy prediction system, the correlation-based clustering algorithm and TSK fuzzy model were used. Also, to improve the prediction system's capability, the moving average technique and relative increasing rate were used in the preprocessing procedure. Finally, using four regional electric power load in Taiwan, this paper verified the performance of the proposed system and demonstrated its effectiveness and usefulness.

High Brightness Prism Light-guide Plate for TFT-LCDs Using Optical Simulation and Novel Injection Mold Process (광학시뮬레이션과 새로운 사출성형법을 사용한 TFT-LCD용 고휘도 프리즘 도광판)

  • Han, Jeong-Min;Shon, Jin-Geun
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers P
    • /
    • v.61 no.2
    • /
    • pp.93-96
    • /
    • 2012
  • We have designed high performance prism light-guide plate (LGP) in 17 inch TFT-LCD. In test result to embody high brightness BLU in case of LGP of base and upper surface with 17 inch, thickness 8mm adding prism construct. Using optical simulation, we forecast the brightness and uniformity in LGP with prism structure. And we adopted novel injection mold method and Nickel stamper to make actual evolution sample. Novel injection mold process has steady heating time zone in heat cycle time of injection mold process. For this novel heat cycle control, we achieved above 90[%] height prism structure as our design. It is superior brightness improvement than previous that of printing form about some 20[%] and in this course to embody actual material it succeeded prism LGP production by 17 inch injection form process.

DESIGNING AN INTEGRATED STOCKING AND TIE-IN PROMOTION POLICY

  • Lee, Chang-Hwan
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
    • /
    • v.7 no.1
    • /
    • pp.1-26
    • /
    • 2001
  • Assume a company sells two products (a and B) in a retail market. the company adopts a specific promotion mechanism, Tie-in Promotion, in which product A's promotional discount coupon is distributed whenever a consumer purchases product B. Product A will later e sold at a markdown price when consumers eventually take the opportunity to redeem the coupon. in the integrated tie-in promotion and stocking policy, we assume managers of two products coordinate by sharing information on the demand forecast and deciding the order quantities and tie-in promotion program to maximize joint profits. The optimal integrated tie-in policy is analyzed. The integrated tie-in promotion model is then compared with two other base models: (1) a decentralized Newsboy model in which no promotion is considered, and (2) an individual promotion model in which managers design a promotion program to promote one of the two products directly. The factors that make an integrated tie-in promotion a better approach are studied.

  • PDF