• Title/Summary/Keyword: Macroeconomic variables

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Determinants of Corporate Bond Yield: Empirical Evidence from Indonesia

  • MEGANANDA, Danthi;ENDRI, Endri;OEMAR, Fahmi;HUSNA, Asmaul
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.1135-1142
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to examine the factors that determine bond yields in infrastructure companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The research sample used 31 bonds issued by the company during the 2015-2019 period. The data analysis method to estimate the determinant of bond yield uses multiple regression models. The results prove that the increase in the coupon rate causes bond yields to increase, while the inflation rate has the opposite effect of decreasing bond yield. Interest rate, exchange rate, duration, and bond rating variables cannot affect the bond yield. The results of this study imply that investors will be interested in investing in bonds with better yields if the company has to set a higher coupon rate, especially in economic conditions that experience low inflation rates. Interest rates and exchange rates as macroeconomic variables have not been considered by investors in purchasing bonds. Bond characteristic factors, namely, the duration and rating of the bonds, are considered less important factors in bond investment decisions because they are more oriented towards getting higher yields. Therefore, further research needs to be explored further related to the behavior of Indonesian bond investors who may have different characters from investors in other countries.

The Effect of Housing Price Changes on the Performance of Korean Regional Banks (주택가격변동이 지방은행의 경영성과에 미치는 영향)

  • Han, Myunghoon;Jung, Heonyong
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.165-170
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    • 2021
  • This study analyzed the effect of housing price changes on the performance of Korean regional banks using DOLS model. The analysis shows that housing price changes does not have a statistically significant effect on the loan growth, profitability and soundness of regional banks. Among macroeconomic variables, only short-term interest rates have a significant positive effect on any model. This means that a rise in short-term interest rates significantly increases loans by regional banks, which leads to a significant increase in profitability, but has a significant negative impact on soundness. On the other hand, bank characteristics variables are found to have a significant negative effect on the loan growth, profitability and soundness of Korean regional banks.

The Impact of Capital Account Openness on Income Inequality: Empirical Evidence from Asia

  • ULLAH, Imran;TUNIO, Fayaz Hussain;ULLLAH, Zia;NABI, Agha Amad
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.49-59
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    • 2022
  • The relationship between income inequality and capital account openness is empirically investigated in this study, where macroeconomic variables have opposing effects. Panel data used in the study from the KAOPEN Index and World Bank consists of 28 Asian countries and has been examined; it contains annual observations from 1970 to 2018. The data is examined using a random-effect model based on GMM estimates. Income inequality and capital account openness are positively and significantly related, according to our findings. Overall, the findings imply that increasing income gaps reduced capital investment in nations with large discrepancies. The growing economic discrepancy is being caused by the rich's increasing income share at the expense of the poor. In Asia, inward capital account openness exacerbates income inequality, while outward capital account openness exacerbates it. As a result, income inequality slows economic growth, leading to inflation, unemployment, and increased government spending in several Asian countries. Our control factors, GDP, and other secondary school enrolments, all had a statistically significant negative relationship with income inequality. Income disparity has a positive and statistically significant association with government spending, inflation, population, trade openness, and unemployment. Income disparity has a negative association with capital account openness, gross domestic product, and secondary school enrollment.

State Management of Transfer Pricing Activities of Foreign-Invested Enterprises in Vietnam

  • LE, Ha Thanh;PHAN, Nam Tien
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.133-140
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    • 2022
  • The impact of State management factors on transfer pricing activities of foreign direct investment enterprises in Vietnam is examined in this study. This adds to the empirical evidence on factors affecting transfer pricing activities of foreign-invested enterprises in Vietnam. A questionnaire survey of officials directly involved in the inspection of transfer pricing activities is used as the research method. The study yielded 226 questionnaires. The author chose 210 questionnaires after deleting those that were ineligible due to a large number of blank cells. The following procedures are used to process the data from the satisfied votes: Cronbach's Alpha test to measure the reliability of the scale; Exploratory factor analysis to break down data into smaller sets of variables to discover the underlying structure; Descriptive analysis to describe the underlying quantitative features of the data; Correlation and regression analysis to evaluate the relationship between variables with the support of SPSS 25 software. Inspection pressure, professional inspector qualifications, and inspector role, State control organization, inspector professionalism, legal corridor on transfer pricing control, macroeconomic situation, and investment environment have a positive impact on state management on transfer price operations, according to research findings. The author has provided solutions to increase the efficiency of State management on transfer pricing operations of foreign-invested businesses in Vietnam based on the research findings.

Legal Stability and Determinants of Insurance Development in the Middle East and North Africa Region (MENA)

  • BEN DHIAB, Lassad;DKHILI, Hichem
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.141-149
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    • 2022
  • Despite the importance of the insurance business for financial and economic development, few studies have looked at the factors that influence its growth. This research adds to the body of knowledge by empirically examining the impact of numerous factors on the development of the insurance business in 15 Middle East and North African (MENA) countries from 2000 to 2017. The study looks at macroeconomic, demographic, and institutional factors as potential drivers of the insurance industry's growth, with the insurance premium as a percentage of GDP as the dependent variable. All variables are stationary at the first difference, according to the IPS panel unit root test. The Pedroni residual cointegration test, Kao residual cointegration test, and Johansen-Fisher panel cointegration tests are then used to look for long-run associations. The cointegration tests strongly suggest that the insurance premium and the various variables have long-run correlations. Findings from the Fully-Modified OLS imply that GDP per capita, gross capital formation, and the KOF economic globalization index have a positive long-term impact on the insurance business. The insurance business is also driven by combating corruption and the rule of law. The population and regulatory quality, on the other hand, have no significant impact.

Labor Market and Business Cycles in Korea: Bayesian Estimation of a Business Cycle Model with Labor Market Frictions (노동시장과 경기변동: 노동시장 마찰을 도입한 경기변동 모형의 베이지안 추정을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Junhee
    • Economic Analysis
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.39-64
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    • 2020
  • Typical business cycle models have difficulties in explaining key macroeconomic labor market variables, such as employment and unemployment, as they usually consider labor hour choices only. In this paper, we introduce labor market search and matching frictions into a New Keynesian nominal rigidity model and estimate it by Bayesian methods to examine the dynamics of the key labor market variables and business cycles in Korea. The results show that unemployment rates are largely explained by technology shocks, which affect the labor demand side, as well as labor supply shocks. In addition, wage bargaining shocks originating from the bargaining process between firms and workers have non-negligible negative effects on output and employment growth, and careful measures need to be taken to limit their adverse effects.

A Study on the Effectiveness of Inter-temporal Reallocation of Fiscal Expenditure in Korea (재정지출의 시점 간 재원배분 조정에 따른 경기조절 효과성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, SeongTae;Hur, Seok-Kyun
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.71-105
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    • 2013
  • Now that fiscal soundness is increasingly important influenced by the euro area fiscal crisis, early budget execution has been under the spotlight as a tool for economy control, other than typical expansionary method, such as supplementary budget. Basically, early budget execution is a fiscal policy instrument that reponses to economic fluctuations through modifying the inter-temporal allocation of fiscal expenditure within budget, without affecting fiscal soundness. This study empirically examines how effective the intert-temporal reallocation of fiscal expenditure is in economy control. Using Korea's Consolidated Fiscal data, the size of inter-temporal reallocation of fiscal expenditure is defined as changes of fiscal expenditure for one year excluding seasonal factors and used to explain real economic growth rate, a dependent variable. The result shows that the macroeconomic effect of the inter-temporal reallocation turns out meaningful in general, though some policy time lag exists. Meanwhile, a simulation using macroeconomic model finds that overall effect on economic growth is not large because increase in fiscal expenditure allocation at a certain point of time is canceled by the opposite direction within the same fiscal year. However, the inter-temporal reallocation is found to reduce volatility of key macroeconomic variables so as to contribute to partially stabilizing macroeconomy. In particular, such effect of economic stabilization seems to be highly apparent at the time of financial crisis, but not very noticeable in normal economic cycle.

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An Economic Impact Analysis of the Post-2012 Policy Portfolio, Utilizing the Global Dynamic CGE Model (동태 글로벌 CGE 모형을 활용한 정책 포트폴리오의 Post-2012 경제적 파급효과 분석)

  • Kim, Suyi;Cho, Gyeong Lyeob;Yoo, Seung Jick
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.587-635
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study is to develop the Global Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium Model (Global CGE Model) in order to produce an economic impact analysis, including prospective obligations for the Post-2012 regime. This model explores the impact of an international emissions trading market and macroeconomic variables such as GNP, consumption, investment, imports and exports, in accordance with potential increased obligations on the Republic of Korea. Distinguishing it from existing studies, this Global CGE Model divides the global community into major economic groups, and in the capacity of the analyzed global model, reflecting the principle nations' macroeconomic indicators through the theoretical approach of endogenous growth theory. Policies such as an emissions trading scheme and carbon tax are reflected in the model. Also, in particular, the model reflects exogenous technological advances. According to this analysis, the stronger the greenhouse gas reductions, the greater the adverse effects on the economy; among macroeconomic indicators that appear, a significant decline is realized in the balance of trade, along with a significant decrease in investment and consumption. Energy dependence, in particular, plays a large role-varying in degree by industry type-, as greenhouse gas reductions would have a greater impact on energy-intensive industries. Furthermore, if Korea, currently recognized as a developing country, is given the obligation to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, competing countries such as China and other developing countries will be given an advantage.

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A Comparative Study on the Determinants of Bid Price Ratio Apartments and Factories in the Seoul Metropolitan Area (수도권 아파트와 공장 경매낙찰가율 결정요인에 관한 비교 연구)

  • Shin, Chang-gook;Chun, hae-jung
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.19 no.11
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    • pp.255-266
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    • 2021
  • Investment demand for factory facilities has increased due to the balloon effect caused by housing price regulation. This study investigated the impact of the real estate market and macroeconomic factors on the bid price ratio of apartment auctions and factory auctions, focusing on the metropolitan area. To this end, we reviewed theories and previous studies on real estate auctions, and examined how macroeconomic variables affect bid price ratio of apartments and factories using the panel vector autoregressive model. It was found that the increase in the apartment bid price ratio increases as the participation in apartment auctions increases. However, as the factory bid price ratio increases, the factory bid price ratio does not increase, it was confirmed that the positive (+) relationship between the successful bid price ratio and the bid price ratioe does not exist, unlike previous studies. Based on the analysis results, it is suggested that the real estate market and macroeconomic factors should be considered for the stable operation of the related relevant auction system. This study has limitations in that it is limited to the metropolitan area. In the future, research that expands the scope of research to the whole country and provinces should be conducted.

A Study on Effect Analysis of Macroeconomic Variables on the Amount of Overseas Construction Orders by Region (거시경제변수가 해외건설 지역별 수주금액에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Park, Jin-Yong;Yoo, Seung-Kyu;Kim, Ju-Hyung;Kim, Jae-Jun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2012.11a
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    • pp.143-145
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    • 2012
  • Overseas construction industry has performed the leading role in the economic development. In this study, effect of international oil prices, GDP and price index, on the regional international construction contract amount is compared and analyzed. Overseas construction market received a devastating effect due to the 1997's economic crisis. However, the market has remained stable since 1998, and since 2005, the trend has been a surge in new orders.

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