• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• v.55 no.12
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• pp.4607-4616
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• 2023

We implement machine learning regression models to predict peak pressures of primary and secondary systems, a major safety concern in Loss Of Condenser Vacuum (LOCV) accident. We selected the Multi-dimensional Analysis of Reactor Safety-KINS standard (MARS-KS) code to analyze the LOCV accident, and the reference plant is the Korean Optimized Power Reactor 1000MWe (OPR1000). eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) is selected as a machine learning tool. The MARS-KS code is used to generate LOCV accident data and the data is applied to train the machine learning model. Hyperparameter optimization is performed using a simulated annealing. The randomly generated combination of initial conditions within the operating range is put into the input of the XGBoost model to predict the peak pressure. These initial conditions that cause peak pressure with MARS-KS generate the results. After such a process, the error between the predicted value and the code output is calculated. Uncertainty about the machine learning model is also calculated to verify the model accuracy. The machine learning model presented in this paper successfully identifies a combination of initial conditions that produce a more conservative peak pressure than the values calculated with existing methodologies.

• The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Power Electronics
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• v.27 no.6
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• pp.507-514
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• 2022

This study proposes an optimal design process for a high-frequency transformer that has a large leakage inductance for dual-active-bridge converters. Notably, conventional design processes have large errors in designing leakage transformers because mathematically modeling the leakage inductance of such transformers is difficult. In this work, the geometric parameters of a shell-type transformer are identified, and finite element analysis(FEA) simulation is performed to determine the magnetization inductance, leakage inductance, and copper loss of various shapes of shell-type transformers. Regression models for magnetization and leakage inductances and copper loss are established using the simulation results and the machine learning technique. In addition, to improve the regression models' performance, the regression models are tuned by adding featured parameters that consider the physical characteristics of the transformer. With the regression models, optimal high-frequency transformer designs and the Pareto front (in terms of volume and loss) are determined using NSGA-II. In the Pareto front, a desirable optimal design is selected and verified by FEA simulation and experimentation. The simulated and measured leakage inductances of the selected design match well, and this result shows the validity of the proposed design process.

• The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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• v.18 no.2
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• pp.299-304
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• 2023

Among artificial intelligence techniques, deep learning is a model that has been used in many places and has proven its effectiveness. However, deep learning models are not used effectively in everywhere. In this paper, we will show the limitations of deep learning models through comparison of regression analysis and deep learning models, and present a guide for effective use of deep learning models. In addition, among various techniques used for optimization of deep learning models, data normalization and data shuffling techniques, which are widely used, are compared and evaluated based on actual data to provide guidelines for increasing the accuracy and value of deep learning models.

• Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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• v.13 no.2
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• pp.249-255
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• 2022

This study proposed an analysis framework for real-time prediction of CNC processing defects using machine learning-based models that are recently attracting attention as processing defect prediction methods, and applied it to CNC machines. Analysis shows that the XGBoost, CatBoost, and LightGBM models have the same best accuracy, precision, recall, F1 score, and AUC, of which the LightGBM model took the shortest execution time. This short run time has practical advantages such as reducing actual system deployment costs, reducing the probability of CNC machine damage due to rapid prediction of defects, and increasing overall CNC machine utilization, confirming that the LightGBM model is the most effective machine learning model for CNC machines with only basic sensors installed. In addition, it was confirmed that classification performance was maximized when an ensemble model consisting of LightGBM, ExtraTrees, k-Nearest Neighbors, and logistic regression models was applied in situations where there are no restrictions on execution time and computing power.

• Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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• v.12 no.6
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• pp.9-16
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• 2021

In the past, there have been various studies on predicting the stock market by machine learning techniques using stock price data and financial big data. As stock index ETFs that can be traded through HTS and MTS are created, research on predicting stock indices has recently attracted attention. In this paper, machine learning models for KOSPI's up and down predictions are implemented separately. These models are optimized through a grid search of their control parameters. In addition, a hybrid machine learning model that combines individual models is proposed to improve the precision and increase the ETF trading return. The performance of the predictiion models is evaluated by the accuracy and the precision that determines the ETF trading return. The accuracy and precision of the hybrid up prediction model are 72.1 % and 63.8 %, and those of the down prediction model are 79.8% and 64.3%. The precision of the hybrid down prediction model is improved by at least 14.3 % and at most 20.5 %. The hybrid up and down prediction models show an ETF trading return of 10.49%, and 25.91%, respectively. Trading inverse×2 and leverage ETF can increase the return by 1.5 to 2 times. Further research on a down prediction machine learning model is expected to increase the rate of return.

• Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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• v.16 no.3
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• pp.73-86
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• 2021

The primary purpose of this paper is to explore the advanced models that predict entrepreneurial innovativeness most accurately. For the first time in the field of entrepreneurship research, it presents a model that predicts entrepreneurial innovativeness based on machine learning corresponding to data scientific approaches. It uses 22,099 the Global Entrepreneurship Monitor (GEM) data from 62 countries to build predictive models. Based on the data set consisting of 27 explanatory variables, it builds predictive models that are traditional statistical methods such as multiple regression analysis and machine learning models such as regression tree, random forest, XG boost, and artificial neural networks. Then, it compares the performance of each model. It uses indicators such as root mean square error (RMSE), mean analysis error (MAE) and correlation to evaluate the performance of the model. The analysis of result is that all five machine learning models perform better than traditional methods, while the best predictive performance model was XG boost. In predicting it through XG boost, the variables with high contribution are entrepreneurial opportunities and cross-term variables of market expansion, which indicates that the type of entrepreneur who wants to acquire opportunities in new markets exhibits high innovativeness.

• The Korean Journal of Ecology
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• v.28 no.6
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• pp.405-415
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• 2005

This paper considers the advantage of Machine Learning (ML) implemented to freshwater ecosystem research. Currently, many studies have been carried out to find the patterns of environmental impact on dynamics of communities in aquatic ecosystems. Ecological models popularly adapted by many researchers have been a means of information processing in dealing with dynamics in various ecosystems. The up-to-date trend in ecological modelling partially turns to the application of ML to explain specific ecological events in complex ecosystems and to overcome the necessity of complicated data manipulation. This paper briefly introduces ML techniques applied to freshwater ecosystems in Korea. The manuscript provides promising information for the ecologists who utilize ML for elucidating complex ecological patterns and undertaking modelling of spatial and temporal dynamics of communities.

• International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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• v.21 no.8
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• pp.247-253
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• 2021

The outbreak of the deadly virus COVID-19 is said to infect 17.3Cr people around the globe since 2019. This outbreak is continuously affecting a lot of new people till this day and, most of it is said to under control. However, vaccines introduced around the world can help mitigate the risk of the virus. Apart from medical professionals, prediction models are also said to combinedly help predict the risk of infection based on given datasets. This paper is based on publication of a machine learning approach using regression models to predict the output based on dataset which have indictors grouped based on active, tested, recovered and critical cases along with regions and cities covering most of it from Dubai. Hence, the active cases are tested based on the other indicators and other attributes. The coefficient of the determination (r²) is 0.96, which is considered promising. This model can be used as an frame work, among others, to predict the resources related to the dangerous outbreak.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2023.05a
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• pp.29-29
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• 2023

To mitigate the damaging impacts of floods, accurate prediction of runoff, streamflow and flood inundation is needed. Conventional approach of simulating hydrology and hydraulics using loosely coupled models cannot capture the complex dynamics of surface and sub-surface processes. Additionally, the scarcity of data in ungauged basins and quality of data in gauged basins add uncertainty to model predictions, which need to be quantified. In this presentation, first the role of integrated modeling on creating accurate flood simulations and inundation maps will be presented with specific focus on urban environments. Next, the use of machine learning in producing streamflow predictions will be presented with specific focus on incorporating covariate shift and the application of theory guided machine learning. Finally, a framework to quantify the uncertainty in flood models using Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling Averaging will be presented. Overall, this presentation will highlight that creating accurate information on flood magnitude and extent requires innovation and advancement in different aspects related to hydrologic predictions.

• IEMEK Journal of Embedded Systems and Applications
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• v.18 no.2
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• pp.59-65
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• 2023

Currently, polysomnography is essential to diagnose sleep-related breathing disorders. However, there are several disadvantages to polysomnography, such as the requirement for multiple sensors and a long reading time. In this paper, we propose a system for predicting the severity of sleep-related breathing disorders at home utilizing measurable elements in a wearable device. To predict severity, the variables were refined through a three-step variable selection process, and the refined variables were used as inputs into three machine-learning models. As a result of the study, random forest models showed excellent prediction performance throughout. The best performance of the model in terms of F1 scores for the three threshold criteria of 5, 15, and 30 classified as the AHI index was about 87.3%, 90.7%, and 90.8%, respectively, and the maximum performance of the model for the three threshold criteria classified as the RDI index was approx 79.8%, 90.2%, and 90.1%, respectively.