• Title/Summary/Keyword: MSE for prediction

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Parameter Estimation and Prediction for NHPP Software Reliability Model and Time Series Regression in Software Failure Data

  • Song, Kwang-Yoon;Chang, In-Hong
    • Journal of Integrative Natural Science
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.67-73
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    • 2014
  • We consider the mean value function for NHPP software reliability model and time series regression model in software failure data. We estimate parameters for the proposed models from two data sets. The values of SSE and MSE is presented from two data sets. We compare the predicted number of faults with the actual two data sets using the mean value function and regression curve.

Multivariate Outlier Removing for the Risk Prediction of Gas Leakage based Methane Gas (메탄 가스 기반 가스 누출 위험 예측을 위한 다변량 특이치 제거)

  • Dashdondov, Khongorzul;Kim, Mi-Hye
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.11 no.12
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    • pp.23-30
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    • 2020
  • In this study, the relationship between natural gas (NG) data and gas-related environmental elements was performed using machine learning algorithms to predict the level of gas leakage risk without directly measuring gas leakage data. The study was based on open data provided by the server using the IoT-based remote control Picarro gas sensor specification. The naturel gas leaks into the air, it is a big problem for air pollution, environment and the health. The proposed method is multivariate outlier removing method based Random Forest (RF) classification for predicting risk of NG leak. After, unsupervised k-means clustering, the experimental dataset has done imbalanced data. Therefore, we focusing our proposed models can predict medium and high risk so best. In this case, we compared the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, accuracy, area under the ROC curve (AUC), and mean standard error (MSE) for each classification model. As a result of our experiments, the evaluation measurements include accuracy, area under the ROC curve (AUC), and MSE; 99.71%, 99.57%, and 0.0016 for MOL_RF respectively.

Comparison of Feature Selection Methods Applied on Risk Prediction for Hypertension (고혈압 위험 예측에 적용된 특징 선택 방법의 비교)

  • Khongorzul, Dashdondov;Kim, Mi-Hye
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.107-114
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    • 2022
  • In this paper, we have enhanced the risk prediction of hypertension using the feature selection method in the Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES) database of the Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The study identified various risk factors correlated with chronic hypertension. The paper is divided into three parts. Initially, the data preprocessing step of removes missing values, and performed z-transformation. The following is the feature selection (FS) step that used a factor analysis (FA) based on the feature selection method in the dataset, and feature importance (FI) and multicollinearity analysis (MC) were compared based on FS. Finally, in the predictive analysis stage, it was applied to detect and predict the risk of hypertension. In this study, we compare the accuracy, f-score, area under the ROC curve (AUC), and mean standard error (MSE) for each model of classification. As a result of the test, the proposed MC-FA-RF model achieved the highest accuracy of 80.12%, MSE of 0.106, f-score of 83.49%, and AUC of 85.96%, respectively. These results demonstrate that the proposed MC-FA-RF method for hypertension risk predictions is outperformed other methods.

CNN Architecture Predicting Movie Rating from Audience's Reviews Written in Korean (한국어 관객 평가기반 영화 평점 예측 CNN 구조)

  • Kim, Hyungchan;Oh, Heung-Seon;Kim, Duksu
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.17-24
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    • 2020
  • In this paper, we present a movie rating prediction architecture based on a convolutional neural network (CNN). Our prediction architecture extends TextCNN, a popular CNN-based architecture for sentence classification, in three aspects. First, character embeddings are utilized to cover many variants of words since reviews are short and not well-written linguistically. Second, the attention mechanism (i.e., squeeze-and-excitation) is adopted to focus on important features. Third, a scoring function is proposed to convert the output of an activation function to a review score in a certain range (1-10). We evaluated our prediction architecture on a movie review dataset and achieved a low MSE (e.g., 3.3841) compared with an existing method. It showed the superiority of our movie rating prediction architecture.

Using generalized regression neural network (GRNN) for mechanical strength prediction of lightweight mortar

  • Razavi, S.V.;Jumaat, M.Z.;Ahmed H., E.S.;Mohammadi, P.
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.379-390
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, the mechanical strength of different lightweight mortars made with 0, 5, 10, 15, 20, 25, 30, 35, 40, 45, 50, 55, 60, 65, 70, 75, 80, 85, 90, 95 and 100 percentage of scoria instead of sand and 0.55 water-cement ratio and 350 $kg/m^3$ cement content is investigated. The experimental result showed 7.9%, 16.7% and 49% decrease in compressive strength, tensile strength and mortar density, respectively, by using 100% scoria instead of sand in the mortar. The normalized compressive and tensile strength data are applied for artificial neural network (ANN) generation using generalized regression neural network (GRNN). Totally, 90 experimental data were selected randomly and applied to find the best network with minimum mean square error (MSE) and maximum correlation of determination. The created GRNN with 2 input layers, 2 output layers and a network spread of 0.1 had minimum MSE close to 0 and maximum correlation of determination close to 1.

Analysis of Training Method for Matrix Weighted Intra Prediction (MIP) in VVC (VVC 행렬가중 화면내 예측(MIP) 학습기법 분석)

  • Park, Dohyeon;Kwon, Hyoungjin;Jeong, Seyoon;Kim, Jae-Gon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Broadcast Engineers Conference
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    • 2020.11a
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    • pp.148-150
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    • 2020
  • 최근 VVC(Versatile Video Coding) 표준 완료 이후 JVET(Joint Video Experts Team)은 인공신경망 기반의 비디오 부호화를 위한 AhG(Ad-hoc Group) 구성하고 인공지능을 이용한 비디오 압축 기술들을 검증하고 있으며, MPEG(Moving Picture Experts Group)에서는 DNNVC(Deep Neural Network based Video Coding) 활동을 통해 딥러닝 기반의 차세대 비디오 부호화 표준 기술을 탐색하고 있다. 본 논문은 VVC 에 채택된 신경망 기반의 기술인 MIP(Matrix Weighted Intra Prediction)를 참조하여, MIP 모델의 학습에서 손실함수가 예측 성능에 미치는 영향을 분석한다. 즉, 예측의 왜곡(MSE)만을 고려한 경우와 예측오차의 부호화 비용도 함께 반영한 손실함수를 비교한다. 실험을 위해 HEVC(High Efficiency Video Coding) 화면내 예측 대비 평균적인 PSNR 향상 정도를 나타내는 성능 지표(��PSNR)를 정의한다. 실험결과 예측오차의 부호화 특성을 반영하는 손실함수를 이용한 학습이 MSE 만 고려한 학습 대비 ��PSNR 기준 평균 0.4dB 향상됨을 보였다.

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Linear interpolation and Machine Learning Methods for Gas Leakage Prediction Base on Multi-source Data Integration (다중소스 데이터 융합 기반의 가스 누출 예측을 위한 선형 보간 및 머신러닝 기법)

  • Dashdondov, Khongorzul;Jo, Kyuri;Kim, Mi-Hye
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.33-41
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    • 2022
  • In this article, we proposed to predict natural gas (NG) leakage levels through feature selection based on a factor analysis (FA) of the integrating the Korean Meteorological Agency data and natural gas leakage data for considering complex factors. The paper has been divided into three modules. First, we filled missing data based on the linear interpolation method on the integrated data set, and selected essential features using FA with OrdinalEncoder (OE)-based normalization. The dataset is labeled by K-means clustering. The final module uses four algorithms, K-nearest neighbors (KNN), decision tree (DT), random forest (RF), Naive Bayes (NB), to predict gas leakage levels. The proposed method is evaluated by the accuracy, area under the ROC curve (AUC), and mean standard error (MSE). The test results indicate that the OrdinalEncoder-Factor analysis (OE-F)-based classification method has improved successfully. Moreover, OE-F-based KNN (OE-F-KNN) showed the best performance by giving 95.20% accuracy, an AUC of 96.13%, and an MSE of 0.031.

Classification Prediction Error Estimation System of Microarray for a Comparison of Resampling Methods Based on Multi-Layer Perceptron (다층퍼셉트론 기반 리 샘플링 방법 비교를 위한 마이크로어레이 분류 예측 에러 추정 시스템)

  • Park, Su-Young;Jeong, Chai-Yeoung
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.534-539
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    • 2010
  • In genomic studies, thousands of features are collected on relatively few samples. One of the goals of these studies is to build classifiers to predict the outcome of future observations. There are three inherent steps to build classifiers: a significant gene selection, model selection and prediction assessment. In the paper, with a focus on prediction assessment, we normalize microarray data with quantile-normalization methods that adjust quartile of all slide equally and then design a system comparing several methods to estimate 'true' prediction error of a prediction model in the presence of feature selection and compare and analyze a prediction error of them. LOOCV generally performs very well with small MSE and bias, the split sample method and 2-fold CV perform with small sample size very pooly. For computationally burdensome analyses, 10-fold CV may be preferable to LOOCV.

Deep Learning Research on Vessel Trajectory Prediction Based on AIS Data with Interpolation Techniques

  • Won-Hee Lee;Seung-Won Yoon;Da-Hyun Jang;Kyu-Chul Lee
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2024
  • The research on predicting the routes of ships, which constitute the majority of maritime transportation, can detect potential hazards at sea in advance and prevent accidents. Unlike roads, there is no distinct signal system at sea, and traffic management is challenging, making ship route prediction essential for maritime safety. However, the time intervals of the ship route datasets are irregular due to communication disruptions. This study presents a method to adjust the time intervals of data using appropriate interpolation techniques for ship route prediction. Additionally, a deep learning model for predicting ship routes has been developed. This model is an LSTM model that predicts the future GPS coordinates of ships by understanding their movement patterns through real-time route information contained in AIS data. This paper presents a data preprocessing method using linear interpolation and a suitable deep learning model for ship route prediction. The experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method with an MSE of 0.0131 and an Accuracy of 0.9467.

The study of blood glucose level prediction model using ballistocardiogram and artificial intelligence (심탄도와 인공지능을 이용한 혈당수치 예측모델 연구)

  • Choi, Sang-Ki;Park, Cheol-Gu
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.19 no.9
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    • pp.257-269
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to collect biosignal data in a non-invasive and non-restrictive manner using a BCG (Ballistocardiogram) sensor, and utilize artificial intelligence machine learning algorithms in ICT and high-performance computing environments. And it is to present and study a method for developing and validating a data-based blood glucose prediction model. In the blood glucose level prediction model, the input nodes in the MLP architecture are data of heart rate, respiration rate, stroke volume, heart rate variability, SDNN, RMSSD, PNN50, age, and gender, and the hidden layer 7 were used. As a result of the experiment, the average MSE, MAE, and RMSE values of the learning data tested 5 times were 0.5226, 0.6328, and 0.7692, respectively, and the average values of the validation data were 0.5408, 0.6776, and 0.7968, respectively, and the coefficient of determination (R2) was 0.9997. If research to standardize a model for predicting blood sugar levels based on data and to verify data set collection and prediction accuracy continues, it is expected that it can be used for non-invasive blood sugar level management.