• Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
• /
• v.15 no.2
• /
• pp.236-244
• /
• 2005

In this study, we introduce a new topology of Fuzzy Polynomial Neural Networks(FPNN) that is based on fuzzy relation and evolutionally optimized Multi-Layer Perceptron, discuss a comprehensive design methodology and carry out a series of numeric experiments. The construction of the evolutionally optimized FPNN(EFPNN) exploits fundamental technologies of Computational Intelligence. The architecture of the resulting EFPNN results from a synergistic usage of the genetic optimization-driven hybrid system generated by combining rule-based Fuzzy Neural Networks(FNN) with polynomial neural networks(PNN). FNN contributes to the formation of the premise part of the overall rule-based structure of the EFPNN. The consequence part of the EFPNN is designed using PNN. As the consequence part of the EFPNN, the development of the genetically optimized PNN(gPNN) dwells on two general optimization mechanism: the structural optimization is realized via GAs whereas in case of the parametric optimization we proceed with a standard least square method-based learning. To evaluate the performance of the EFPNN, the models are experimented with the use of several representative numerical examples. A comparative analysis shows that the proposed EFPNN are models with higher accuracy as well as more superb predictive capability than other intelligent models presented previously.

• The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
• /
• v.15 no.3
• /
• pp.513-520
• /
• 2020

Recently, the development of a vision inspection system using machine learning has become more active. This study seeks to develop a defect inspection model using machine learning. Defect detection problems for images correspond to classification problems, which are the method of supervised learning in machine learning. In this study, defect detection models are developed based on algorithms that automatically extract features and algorithms that do not extract features. One-dimensional CNN and two-dimensional CNN are used as algorithms for automatic extraction of features, and MLP and SVM are used as algorithms for non-extracting features. A defect detection model is developed based on four models and their accuracy and AUC compare based on AUC. Although image classification is common in the development of models using CNN, high accuracy and AUC is achieved when developing SVM models by converting pixels from images into RGB values in this study.

• Transactions of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering
• /
• v.20 no.11
• /
• pp.1009-1017
• /
• 2010

As rotating machines play an important role in industrial applications such as aeronautical, naval and automotive industries, many researchers have developed various condition monitoring system and fault diagnosis system by applying various techniques such as signal processing and pattern recognition. Recently, fault diagnosis systems using artificial neural network have been proposed. For effective fault diagnosis, this paper used MLP(multi-layer perceptron) network which is widely used in pattern classification. Since using obtained signals without preprocessing as inputs of neural network can decrease performance of fault classification, it is very important to extract significant features of captured signals and to apply suitable features into diagnosis system according to the kinds of obtained signals. Therefore, this paper proposes the decision method of the proper feature vectors about each fault signal for neural-network-based fault diagnosis system. We applied LPC coefficients, maximum magnitudes of each spectral section in FFT and RMS(root mean square) and variance of wavelet coefficients as feature vectors and selected appropriate feature vectors as comparing error ratios of fault diagnosis for sound, vibration and current fault signals. From experiment results, LPC coefficients and maximum magnitudes of each spectral section showed 100 % diagnosis ratios for each fault and the method using wavelet coefficients had noise-robust characteristic.

• The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
• /
• v.15 no.4
• /
• pp.43-49
• /
• 1996

This research proposes a system for speaker independent Korean continuous speech recognition with 247 DDD area names using keyword spotting technique. The applied recognition algorithm is the Dynamic Programming Neural Network(DPNN) based on the integration of DP and multi-layer perceptron as model that solves time axis distortion and spectral pattern variation in the speech. To improve performance, we classify word model into keyword model and non-keyword model. We make an experiment on postprocessing procedure for the evaluation of system performance. Experiment results are as follows. The recognition rate of the isolated word is 93.45% in speaker dependent case. The recognition rate of the isolated word is 84.05% in speaker independent case. The recognition rate of simple dialogic sentence in keyword spotting experiment is 77.34% as speaker dependent, and 70.63% as speaker independent.

• Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
• /
• v.14 no.2
• /
• pp.534-539
• /
• 2010

In genomic studies, thousands of features are collected on relatively few samples. One of the goals of these studies is to build classifiers to predict the outcome of future observations. There are three inherent steps to build classifiers: a significant gene selection, model selection and prediction assessment. In the paper, with a focus on prediction assessment, we normalize microarray data with quantile-normalization methods that adjust quartile of all slide equally and then design a system comparing several methods to estimate 'true' prediction error of a prediction model in the presence of feature selection and compare and analyze a prediction error of them. LOOCV generally performs very well with small MSE and bias, the split sample method and 2-fold CV perform with small sample size very pooly. For computationally burdensome analyses, 10-fold CV may be preferable to LOOCV.

• Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
• /
• v.47 no.3
• /
• pp.497-508
• /
• 2019

Purpose: The purpose of this study is to overcome limitations of conventional studies that to predict Baltic Dry Index (BDI). The study proposed applications of Artificial Neural Network (ANN) named Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) to predict BDI. Methods: The BDI time-series prediction was carried out through eight variables related to the dry bulk market. The prediction was conducted in two steps. First, identifying the goodness of fitness for the BDI time-series of specific ANN models and determining the network structures to be used in the next step. While using ANN's generalization capability, the structures determined in the previous steps were used in the empirical prediction step, and the sliding-window method was applied to make a daily (one-day ahead) prediction. Results: At the empirical prediction step, it was possible to predict variable y(BDI time series) at point of time t by 8 variables (related to the dry bulk market) of x at point of time (t-1). LSTM, known to be good at learning over a long period of time, showed the best performance with higher predictive accuracy compared to Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) and Recurrent Neural Network (RNN). Conclusion: Applying this study to real business would require long-term predictions by applying more detailed forecasting techniques. I hope that the research can provide a point of reference in the dry bulk market, and furthermore in the decision-making and investment in the future of the shipping business as a whole.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
• /
• 2019.05a
• /
• pp.35-35
• /
• 2019

본 연구에서는 분포형 수문 모형 Drying Stream Assessment Tool and Water Flow Tracking (DrySAT-WTF)을 활용해 우리나라의 1976년부터 2015년까지의 유출량을 산정하고, 이를 다층퍼셉트론(Multi Layer Perceptron) 인경신경망 모형(Artificial Neural Network Model)에 적용해 미래 유출을 예측하였다. DrySAT-WFT은 전국 표준 유역을 대상으로 하천 건천화 원인 추적 및 평가를 위해 개발된 모형으로 유출모의를 위한 기상자료 외에 건천화 영향 요소를 고려하기 위한 산림 높이, 도로망, 지하수 이용량, 토지이용, 토심 변화에 대한 DB를 적용 가능한 것이 특징이다. DrySAT-WFT를 위한 기상자료로 모의 기간에 대한 일별 강우량, 상대습도, 평균풍속, 평균 및 최고, 최저 기온, 일조시간을 구축하였으며, 연대별 건천화 영향 요소 DB를 구축하여 적용하였다. 전국 다목적 댐 보 12지점의 유량을 활용해 모형의 보정(2005-2010) 및 검증(2011-2015)을 실시한 결과, 평균 결정계수(Coefficient of determination, $R^2$)는 0.76, 모형효율성계수(Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency, NSE)는 0.62, 평균제곱근오차(average root mean square error, RMSE)는 3.09로 신뢰성 있는 유출 모의 결과를 나타내었다. 미래 유출량 예측을 위한 MLP-ANN은 1976년부터 2015년까지의 유출 모의 결과를 Training Set으로 훈련하여 $R^2$가 0.5 이상이 되어 신뢰성을 확보하였고, 2016년부터 2018년까지의 기간을 1개월 단위로 실제 유출량과 예측 유출량을 비교하며 적용성을 검증 및 향상시켰다.

• Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
• /
• v.50 no.4
• /
• pp.701-716
• /
• 2022

Purpose: This study aims to predict the dry cargo transportation market economy. The subject of this study is the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) time-series, an index representing the dry cargo transport market. Methods: In order to increase the accuracy of the BDI time-series, we have pre-processed the original time-series via time-series decomposition and data augmentation techniques and have used them for ANN learning. The ANN algorithms used are Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP), Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) to compare and analyze the case of learning and predicting by applying time-series decomposition and data augmentation techniques. The forecast period aims to make short-term predictions at the time of t+1. The period to be studied is from '22. 01. 07 to '22. 08. 26. Results: Only for the case of the MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error) indicator, all ANN models used in the research has resulted in higher accuracy (1.422% on average) in multivariate prediction. Although it is not a remarkable improvement in prediction accuracy compared to uni-variate prediction results, it can be said that the improvement in ANN prediction performance has been achieved by utilizing time-series decomposition and data augmentation techniques that were significant and targeted throughout this study. Conclusion: Nevertheless, due to the nature of ANN, additional performance improvements can be expected according to the adjustment of the hyper-parameter. Therefore, it is necessary to try various applications of multiple learning algorithms and ANN optimization techniques. Such an approach would help solve problems with a small number of available data, such as the rapidly changing business environment or the current shipping market.

• Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
• /
• v.29 no.3
• /
• pp.361-381
• /
• 2023

Research on corporate bankruptcy prediction has been focused on financial information. Since the company's financial information is updated quarterly, there is a problem that timeliness is insufficient in predicting the possibility of a company's business closure in real time. Evaluated companies that want to improve this need a method of judging the soundness of a company that uses information other than financial information to judge the soundness of a target company. To this end, as information technology has made it easier to collect non-financial information about companies, research has been conducted to apply additional variables and various methodologies other than financial information to predict corporate bankruptcy. It has become an important research task to determine whether it has an effect. In this study, we examined the impact of electronic payment-related information, which constitutes non-financial information, when predicting the closure of business operators using electronic payment service and examined the difference in closure prediction accuracy according to the combination of financial and non-financial information. Specifically, three research models consisting of a financial information model, a non-financial information model, and a combined model were designed, and the closure prediction accuracy was confirmed with six algorithms including the Multi Layer Perceptron (MLP) algorithm. The model combining financial and non-financial information showed the highest prediction accuracy, followed by the non-financial information model and the financial information model in order. As for the prediction accuracy of business closure by algorithm, XGBoost showed the highest prediction accuracy among the six algorithms. As a result of examining the relative importance of a total of 87 variables used to predict business closure, it was confirmed that more than 70% of the top 20 variables that had a significant impact on the prediction of business closure were non-financial information. Through this, it was confirmed that electronic payment-related information of non-financial information is an important variable in predicting business closure, and the possibility of using non-financial information as an alternative to financial information was also examined. Based on this study, the importance of collecting and utilizing non-financial information as information that can predict business closure is recognized, and a plan to utilize it for corporate decision-making is also proposed.

• Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
• /
• v.10 no.5
• /
• pp.179-186
• /
• 2006

In this study, Multi-Layer Perceptron(MLP) among models of Artificial Neural Network(ANN) is used for the development of a model that evaluates the bending capacities of reinforced concrete beams strengthened by FRP Rebar. And the data of the existing researches are used for materials of ANN model. As the independent variables of input layer, main components of bending capacities, width, effective depth, compressive strength, reinforcing ratio of FRP, balanced steel ratio of FRP are used. And the moment performance measured in the experiment is used as the dependent variable of output layer. The developed model of ANN could be applied by GFRP, CFRP and AFRP Rebar and the model is verified by using the documents of other previous researchers. As the result of the ANN model presumption, comparatively precise presumption values are achieved to presume its bending capacities at the model of ANN(0.05), while observing remarkable errors in the model of ANN(0.1). From the verification of the ANN model, it is identified that the presumption values comparatively correspond to the given data ones of the experiment. In addition, from the Sensitivity Analysis of evaluation variables of bending performance, effective depth has the highest influence, followed by steel ratio of FRP, balanced steel ratio, compressive strength and width in order.