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Homogeneity of Climate Aridity Index Trends Using Mann-Kendall Trend Test (Mann-Kendall 추세분석을 이용한 건조지수 추세의 동질성)

  • Rim, Chang-Soo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.47 no.7
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    • pp.643-656
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    • 2014
  • The homogeneity analysis of temporal (monthly, seasonal and annual) climate aridity index trend was accomplished for 43 climate measurement stations in South Korea. Furthermore, 43 stations were grouped into 9 different regions and the temporal and regional homogeneity of climate aridity index trends in each region and entire 9 regions were analyzed. For analysis, monthly, seasonal and annual climate aridity indexes of 43 study stations were estimated using precipitation and potential evapotranspiration calculated from FAO Penman-Monteith equation. The Mann-Kendall statistical test for significant trend was accomplished using the estimated climate aridity indexes and the results of trend test (Z scores) were used to analyze the temporal and regional homogeneity of climate aridity index trends. The study results showed the temporal and regional homogeneity of climate aridity index trends for individual and entire 9 regions. However, the homogeneity and the extent of aridity index trend showed different patterns temporally and regionally.

Effect of Air Temperature Changes on Water Temperature and Hysteresis Phenomenon in Lake Paldang (기온 변화에 따른 팔당호 수온 영향 및 이력현상)

  • Yu, Soonju;Im, Jongkwon;Lee, Bomi
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.323-337
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    • 2020
  • Long-term continuous data were used to investigate changes in air and water temperature and temperature hysteresis at Lake Paldang, the largest source of drinking water in South Korea. Based on the temperatures at Yangpyeong, near Lake Paldang, using a seasonal Mann-Kendall test, the rate of change of increase in temperature over the last 27 years (0.060℃/yr, 1993-2019) was higher than that of during 47 years (0.048℃/yr, 1973-2019). The air and water temperatures in Lake Paldang and its influent rivers had a high correlation (R > 0.9, p < 0.005); however, the water temperature increased at rate slower than the river water temperature, and the water temperature decreased slowly as the air temperature fell. The depth-averaged water temperature also changed more slowly than the surface water of the lake both when the air temperature was high and when it was low. This is likely because the lake has a larger area and a longer heat retention time than rivers, resulting in a greater hysteresis of water temperature at lake.

Long-Term Trend Analysis and Exploratory Data Analysis of Geumho River based on Seasonal Mann-Kendall Test (계절 맨-켄달 기법을 이용한 금호강 본류 BOD의 장기 경향 분석 및 탐색적 자료 분석)

  • Jung, Kang-Young;Lee, In Jung;Lee, Kyung-Lak;Cheon, Se-Uk;Hong, Jun Young;Ahn, Jung-Min
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.217-229
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    • 2016
  • The government has conducted a plan of total maximum daily loads(TMDL), which divides with unit watershed, for management of stable water quality target by setting the permitted total amount of the pollutant. In this study, BOD concentration trends over the last 10 years from 2005 to 2014 were analyzed in the Geumho river. Improvement effect of water quality throughout the implementation period of TMDL was evaluated using the seasonal Mann-Kendall test and a LOWESS(locally weighted scatter plot smoother) smooth. As a study result of the seasonal Mann-Kendall test and the LOWESS smooth, BOD concentration in the Geumho river appeared to have been reduced or held at a constant. As a result of quantitatively analysis for BOD concentration with exploratory data analysis(EDA), the mean and the median of BOD concentration appeared in the order of GH8 > GH7 > GH6 > GH5 > GH4 > GH3 > GH2 > GH1. The monthly average concentration of BOD appeared in the order of Apr > Mar > Feb >May > Jun > Jul > Jan > Aug > Sep > Dec > Nov > Oct. As a result of the outlier, its value was the most frequent in February, which is estimated 1.5 times more than July, and was smallest frequent in July. The outlier in terms of water quality management is necessary in order to establish a management plan for the contaminants in watershed.

Trend Analysis of the COD and Nutrients Concentrations in the Yongwon Channel, Chinhae (진해 용원수로의 COD 및 영양염류 농도 추세분석)

  • Cho, Hong-Yeon;Chae, Jang-Won;Park, Joung-Guy;Koo, Myung-Seo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.421-428
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    • 2008
  • Youngwon channel located in Chinhae city and formed by the Busan New Port Construction Project has been concerned about the water quality degradation problems because of the flow and pollutants stagnation due to its long-narrow shape. In this study, the water quality(hereafter WQ) variation is analysed by using the monthly WQ data measured in Yongwon channel from 2003 to 2007. The analysis shows that the TN and TP concentration in the inside Yongwon channel is definitely worse than the TN and TP concentration in the entrance of the Yongwon channel based on the 95% confidence level. The COD, TN, and TP concentrations in the Yongwon channel are 1.34, 2.08, and 1.80 times larger than that in the entrance of the Yongwon channel, respectively. It has been found that only the TP concentration in SW-26 station has an increasing trend based on the Mann-Kendall test with respect to 95% confidence level. The other stations and the other WQ constituent changes do not have the any significant trends.

A Study on the Psychological Characteristics of Sasang Constitution with TAS-20K (TAS-20K를 이용한 사상체질의 심리적 특징에 대한 연구)

  • Kim Gwang-Ho;Kim Bo-Gyun;Kim Jong-Woo;Whang Wei-Wan
    • Journal of Oriental Neuropsychiatry
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.113-122
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    • 2000
  • In order to understand the psychological charateristics of Sasang Constitution. the Korean version of 20-item Toronto Alexithymia Scale(TAS-20K) was completed by 59 sixth grade students of oriental medical college of KyungHee university who defined as one of Sasang constitution from June 2000 to August, and the mean scores of Yangin versus Eumin and Sasang constitution on TAS-20K was compared. The results of this study were as follows.1. Comparison between male and female on Means of TAS-20K ScoreMann-Whitney U test detected no significant differences between mean ranks of TAS-20K scores of male and those of female in F1, F2 and Total, but significant difference in F3(Mann-Whitney U test, t=2.493. p=.018)2. Comparison between Yangin and Eumin on Means of TAS-20K ScoreMann-whitney U test detected no significant differences between mean ranks of TAS-20K scores of Yangin and those of Eumin in F1. F3 and Total, but significant difference in F2(Mann-Whitney U test. t=-2.805. p=.008)3. Comparison among Sasang constitution on Means of TAS-20K ScoreAlthough mean of TAS-20K score of Taeyangin. Soyangin and Soeumin, there were no significant differences among Sasang constitution in F1, F2 and F3 as well as Total when mean ranks of TAS-20K scores of Sasang constitution were compaed by one-way ANOVA.

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Trend Detection of Serially Correlated Hydrologic Series (상관성을 가진 시계열 자료의 경향성 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Oh, Je Seung;Kim, Byung Sik;Kim, Hung Soo;Seoh, Byung Ha
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.35-43
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    • 2004
  • The non-parametric Mann-Kendall(MK) statistical test has been widely used to assess the significance of trend in hydrologic time series. The test requires sample data should be serially independent. If sample data is serially correlated, the presence of serial correlation in a time series will affect the test ability for trend analysis. So, we would like to use the modified MK test which uses the effective sample size(ESS) to eliminate the effect of serial correlation in a series. This study investigates the ability of ESS to eliminate the influence of serial correlation of MK test by Monte Carlo simulation and by real series. As the results, MK test shows the increase of trend rate as the serial correlation is increased but the modified MK test shows ESS can eliminate the serial correlation for trend analysis. Therefore we confirmed the modified MK test is a very useful tool for trend analysis.

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Comparison of Statistical Methods for the Trend Analysis of Rainfall Data (강우자료의 경향성 분석을 위한 통계기법의 비교)

  • Kim, Soo-Young;Shin, Hong-Joon;Ahn, Hyun-Jun;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.153-153
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    • 2012
  • 기후변화는 강우량, 기온, 해수면온도 등 많은 수문기상학적 요소에 영향을 끼치고 있으며 이러한 영향에 대한 연구가 활발하게 진행되고 있다. 그 중에서도 수공구조물의 설계에 직접적으로 영향을 끼치는 강우특성에 대한 연구는 기후변화로 야기되는 강우의 비정상성(non-stationary)을 중심으로 이루어지고 있다. 현재 수문설계량은 강우량의 빈도해석을 통해 산정되는데, 이러한 빈도해석은 기본적으로 연최대강우자료의 정상성(stationary)과 독립성(independent)을 가정하고 이루어진다. 그러나 기후변화로 연최대강우자료에 경향성이나 변동성이 나타남에 따라 경향성과 변동성을 고려할 수 있는 빈도해석 기법의 개발에 대한 필요성이 증가하고, 실제로 2000년대에 들어서면서부터 우리나라뿐만 아니라 전 세계적으로 이루어지고 있다. 연최대강우자료의 정상성을 판단하기 위해 강우자료에 대한 경향성 분석을 수행하게 되는데, 경향성 분석을 위해 다양한 통계적 기법들이 적용되고 있다. 그러나 현재 경향성 분석방법의 적용에 대한 뚜렷한 기준이 없어 여러 가지의 경향성 분석 방법을 적용하여 다수의 분석방법별 결과를 종합하여 경향성 유무를 판단하고 있는 실정이며, 동일자료에 대해서도 연구에 따라 다른 결과가 나타나고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 경향성 분석방법의 기각력을 비교검토하여 경향성 분석방법의 적용에 필요한 기준을 제시하고자 한다. 이를 위해 경향성 분석을 위해 널리 사용되고 있는 t-test, Mann-Kendall test, Hotelling-Pabst test를 비교하고자 한다. 여기에서 t-test는 매개변수를 사용하는 매개변수적 방법이고, Mann-Kendall test와 Hotelling-Pabst test는 비매개변수적 방법이다. 귀무가설의 경우 t-test는 경향성이 없다고 가정하고 있는데 반해, Mann-Kendall test와 Hotelling-Pabst test는 경향성이 있다고 가정하고 있다. 기각력 검토를 위해서는 Monte Carlo simulation을 이용하였다.

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Analysis of Spatial-temporal Variability of NOAA/AVHRR NDVI in Korea (NOAA/AVHRR 정규식생지수의 시공간 변화도 분석)

  • Kim, Gwangseob;Kim, Jong Pil
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.3B
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    • pp.295-303
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    • 2010
  • The variability of vegetation is strongly related to the variability of hydrometeorological factors such as precipitation, temperature, runoff and so on. Analysis of the variability of vegetation will aid to understand the regional impact of climate change. Thus we analyzed the spatial-temporal variability of NOAA(National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration)/AVHRR(Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer) NDVI(Normalized Difference Vegetation Index). In the results from Mann-Kendall test, there is no significant linear trend of annual NDVI from 1982 to 2006 in the most area except the downward trend on the significance level 90% in the Guem-river basin area. In addition, using EOF(Empirical Orthogonal Function) analysis, the variability of NDVI in the region of higher latitude and altitude is higher than that in the other region since the spatial variability of NDVI follows the latitudinal gradient. Also we could get higher NDVI in June, July, August and September. We had the highest NDVI in Han-river basin area and the lowest in Je-Ju island.