• 한국항공운항학회지
• /
• 제31권3호
• /
• pp.59-70
• /
• 2023

In order to predict low-level wind shear at Incheon International Airport (RKSI), a Low-Level Wind Shear prediction system (KMAP-LLWS) along the runway take-off and landing route at RKSI was established using Korea Meteorological Administration Post-Processing (KMAP). For the performance evaluation, the case of low-level wind shear cases calculated from Aircraft Meteorological Data Relay (AMDAR) from July 2021 to June 2022 was used. As a result of verification using the performance evaluation index, POD, FAR, CSI, and TSS were 0.5, 0.85, 0.13, and 0.34, respectively, and the prediction performance was improved by POD, CSI, and TSS compared to the Low-Level Wind Shear prediction system (LDPS-LLWS) calculated using the Korea Meteorological Administration's Local Data Assimilation and Prediction System (LDAPS). This means that the use of high-resolution numerical models improves the predictability of wind changes. In addition, to improve the high FAR of KMAP-LLWS, the threshold for low-level wind shear strength was adjusted. As a result, the most effective low-level wind shear threshold at 8.5 knot/100 ft was derived. This study suggests that it is possible to predict and respond to low-level wind shear at RKSI. In addition, it will be possible to predict low-level wind shear at other airports without wind shear observation equipment by applying the KMAP-LLWS.

• 한국항공운항학회지
• /
• 제29권4호
• /
• pp.88-95
• /
• 2021

In aviation meteorology, the low level wind shear is defined as a sudden change of head windbelow 1600 feet that can affect the departing and landing of the aircraft. Jeju International Airport is an area where low level wind shear is frequently occurred by Mt. Halla. Forecasting of such wind shear would be useful in providing early warnings to aircraft. In this study, we investigated the performance of statistical downscaling model, called Korea Meteorological Administration Post-processing (KMAP) with a 100 m resolution in forecasting wind shear by the complex terrain. The wind shear forecasts was produced by calculating the wind differences between stations aligned with the runways. Two typical wind shear cases caused by complex terrain are validated by comparing to Low Level Wind Shear Alert System (LLWAS). This has been shown to have a good performance for describing air currents caused by terrain.

• 한국항공운항학회지
• /
• 제31권3호
• /
• pp.50-58
• /
• 2023

Sudden wind changes at low altitudes pose a significant threat to aircraft operations. In particular, airports located in regions with complex terrain are susceptible to frequent abrupt wind variations, affecting aircraft takeoff and landing. To mitigate these risks, Low Level Wind shear Alert System (LLWAS) have been implemented at airports. This study focuses on understanding the characteristics of wind shear and developing a prediction model for Jeju International Airport, which experiences frequent wind shear due to the influence of Halla Mountain and its surrounding terrain. Using two years of LLWAS data, the study examines the occurrence patterns of wind shear at Jeju International Airport. Additionally, high-resolution numerical model is utilized to produce forecasted information on wind shear. Furthermore, a comparison is made between the predicted wind shear and LLWAS observation data to assess the prediction performance. The results demonstrate that the prediction model shows high accuracy in predicting wind shear caused by southerly winds.

• 한국항공운항학회지
• /
• 제29권1호
• /
• pp.1-8
• /
• 2021

Low level wind shear, which often occurs at Jeju International Airport, is a phenomenon that occurs when the topological location and topographical characteristics of Jeju Island are combined with weather characteristics. Low level wind shears, which are caused by rapid changes in wind direction and wind speed, pose a threat to aircraft safety and also cause abnormal situations, such as aircraft go-around, diversion, and cancellation. Many meteorological studies have been conducted on weather patterns, occurrence periods and frequency of low level wind shears. However, researches related to aircraft operations are limited where here we study the similarities and differences between strong southwest winds and bidirectional tailwind type low level wind shears based on aircraft go-around cases at Jeju International Airport. The results are expected to be used to enhance safety when operating to Jeju International Airport, which includes pilot training that reflects the characteristics generated by wind changes, pilot prior notification, providing pilots with latest trends, and increasing extra fuel.

• 한국항공운항학회지
• /
• 제32권3호
• /
• pp.69-78
• /
• 2024

This study evaluates the detection and utilization of wind shear using data from the Low-Level Wind Shear Alert System (LLWAS) and the Aerodrome Meteorological Observation System (AMOS) for the year 2023 at Incheon International Airport. A comparison of wind shear occurrence days revealed that LLWAS recorded 57 days, the reproduced LLWAS recorded 84 days, and AMOS recorded 163 days, with AMOS and the reproduced LLWAS showing higher occurrences. Performance metrics, including Probability of Detection (POD), False Alarm Ratio (FAR), Critical Success Index (CSI), and True Skill Statistic (TSS), were analyzed to evaluate detection capabilities. For the reproduced LLWAS, most wind shear events were detected, but the FAR was high, indicating lower performance. AMOS detected about 50% of actual wind shear events, with a lower FAR than the reproduced LLWAS but still relatively high. To improve detection performance, optimal thresholds for wind shear warnings were analyzed and adjusted, resulting in an increase in the CSI from 0.53 to 0.68 for the reproduced LLWAS and from 0.25 to 0.28 for AMOS. By adjusting the wind shear warning thresholds, the balance between POD and FAR was improved, confirming the potential for ground-based equipment to issue wind shear warnings effectively.

• 대기
• /
• 제30권3호
• /
• pp.277-291
• /
• 2020

Low-level wind shear (LLWS) events on glide path at Jeju International Airport (CJU) are evaluated using the Aircraft Meteorological Data Relay (AMDAR) and Korea Meteorological Administration Post-Processing (KMAPP) with 100 m spatial resolution. LLWS that occurs in the complex terrains such as Mt. Halla on the Jeju Island affects directly aircraft approaching to and/or departing from the CJU. For this reason, accurate prediction of LLWS events is important in the CJU. Therefore, the use of high-resolution Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)-based forecasts is necessary to cover and resolve these small-scale LLWS events. The LLWS forecasts based on the KMAPP along the glide paths heading to the CJU is developed and evaluated using the AMDAR observation data. The KMAPP-LLWS developed in this paper successfully detected the moderate-or-greater wind shear (strong than 5 knots per 100 feet) occurred on the glide paths at CJU. In particular, this wind shear prediction system showed better performance than conventional 1-D column-based wind shear forecast.

• 통합자연과학논문집
• /
• 제8권3호
• /
• pp.221-232
• /
• 2015

In this study, the vertical characteristics of wind were analyzed using the horizontal wind, vertical wind, and vertical wind shear, which are generated from a wind profiler during concentrated heavy rain, and the quantitative characteristics of concentrated heavy rain were analyzed using CAPE, SWEAT, and SRH, among the stability indexes. The analysis of the horizontal wind showed that 9 cases out of 10 had a low level jet of 25 kts at altitudes lower than 1.5 km, and that the precipitation varied according to the altitude and distribution of the low-level jet. The analysis of the vertical wind showed that it ascended up to about 3 km before precipitation. The analysis of the vertical wind shear showed that it increased up to a 1 km altitude before precipitation and had a strong value near 3 km during heavy rains. In the stability index analysis, CAPE, which represents thermal buoyancy, and SRH, which represents dynamic vorticity, were used for the interpretation of the period of heavy rain. As SWEAT contains dynamic upper level wind and thermal energy, it had a high correlation coefficient with concentrated-heavy-rain analysis. Through the case studies conducted on August 12-13, 2012, it was confirmed that the interpretation of the prediction of the period of heavy rain was possible when using the intensive observation data from a wind profiler and the stability index.

• 한국해양학회지
• /
• 제19권2호
• /
• pp.210-216
• /
• 1984

5년간의 시간별 풍속 자료를 이용하여 연안 표층풍의 일변화가 분석되었다. 특히 내륙으로 부는 바람 (onshore flow)이 지배적인 계절에는 야간 최대풍의 최대 출현 빈도가 자정에 나타났다. 연평균 남풍 계열을 갖는 야간 최대풍은 북풍 계열 보다 약 3배이상의 출현을 보여준다. 중림의 대기 안정도가 연안에 지배적이므로 바람이 해양에서 내륙으로 불 경우는 (offshore flow) 상승된 전선역전층과 지표역전층에 의해 형성된 전단력(shear flow)이 연안경계층으로 전이되어 야간 연안 최대표층풍이 형성된다.

• 대기
• /
• 제34권4호
• /
• pp.397-415
• /
• 2024

Reported tornado event occurred in Dangjin, Chungcheongnam-do at 0650~0730 UTC on 15 March 2019 was examined using Weather Research and Forecasting model with four nested domains (dx = 5, 1, 0.2, and 0.05 km). From synoptic analysis in ERA5 reanalysis data, eastward moving upper-level trough was developed rapidly in the Yellow Sea. Strong tropopause folding with Potential Vorticity Unit (PVU) higher than 1.5 PVU moved downward to 600-hPa level in mid troposphere following the trough over the location of tornado event. Under this large-scale background condition, surface front developed very intensively in the west coast of Korea along with strong low-level jet and moisture band at 850-hPa level. In domain 2, the maximum Bulk wind shear at Dorido point was 12.86 m s^-1. Cold front evolved to be a comma cloud with upper-level trough and strong bulk vertical shear near Dangjin, which include eastward moving gust front revealed as a strong horizontal temperature gradient and convergence near the surface. In domains 3 and 4, the local maximum value of the simulated vertical vorticity (24 × 10^-2 s^-1) with strong updraft (8.18 m s^-1) near the observed tornado event along with the surface gust front was found to be a possible area for tornadogenesis from the x-z and time-z cross-sections near the simulated tornado event. In the vorticity budget analysis, the local maximum of vertical vorticity during this event was generated significantly by tilting and stretching forcings.

• International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics Korean Journal of Geophysical Research
• /
• 제23권1호
• /
• pp.34-38
• /
• 1995

A diagnostic study on the summertime air mass thunderstorms occurring in the middle region of South Korea was made by analyzing the data of surface and upper air observations as well as the surface and upper level weather charts. The key parameters used in the present study are the amount of precipitable water below 850 hPa level, the vertical profiles of water vapor content and wind, and both the temperature difference and the equivalent potential temperature difference between 850 hPa and 700 hPa levels. It is found from this study that the summertime air mass thunderstorms in the middle region of South Korea can be classified into two distinct types, type I and type II. The thunderstorms of type I occur under the atmospheric conditions of high moisture content, low vertical wind shear in low levels, and conditional instability between 850 hPa and 700 hPa levels. On the other hand, the thunderstorms of type II occur under the atmospheric conditions of less moisture content, higher wind shear and conditional instability. Furthermore, our study suggests that atmospheric instability and the amount of water vapor below 850 hPa level are complementary in the development of air mass thunderstorms. The complementary nature between these two parameters may be an explanation for the thunderstorm development in the areas of low atmospheric water vapor content such as the plains of eastern Colorado.