• 제목/요약/키워드: Loss Estimation

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A comparative study on rapid seismic risk prioritization for reinforced concrete buildings in Antalya, Türkiye

  • Engin Kepenek;Kasim A. Korkmaz;Ziya Gencel
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.185-195
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    • 2023
  • Antalya is located south part of minor Asia, one of the biggest cities in Türkiye. As a result of population growth and vast migration to Antalya, many parts of the city that were not suitable for construction due to its geological conditions have become urban areas, and most of these urban areas are full of poorly engineered buildings. Poor engineering has been combined with unplanned urbanization, that causes utter vulnerability to disasters in Antalya. When an earthquake-prone city, Antalya faces with an earthquake risk, fear arises in society. To overcome this problem, it has become necessary to investigate the building stock, expressed in hundreds of thousands, in a fast and reliable way and then perform an urban transformation to create the perception of structural safety. However, the excessive building stock, labor, and economic problems made the implementation stage challenging and revealed the necessity of finding alternative solutions in the field. The present study presents a novel approach for assessment and model based on a rapid visual inspection method to transform areas under earthquake risk in Türkiye. The approach aimed to rank the interventions for decision-making mechanisms by making comparisons in the scale hierarchy. In the present study, to investigate the proposed approach, over 26,000 buildings were examined in Antalya, which is the fifth largest city in Türkiye that has a population of over 2.5 Million. In the results of the study, the risk classification was defined in the framework of building, block, street, neighborhood, and district scales.

Tunnel wall convergence prediction using optimized LSTM deep neural network

  • Arsalan, Mahmoodzadeh;Mohammadreza, Taghizadeh;Adil Hussein, Mohammed;Hawkar Hashim, Ibrahim;Hanan, Samadi;Mokhtar, Mohammadi;Shima, Rashidi
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.545-556
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    • 2022
  • Evaluation and optimization of tunnel wall convergence (TWC) plays a vital role in preventing potential problems during tunnel construction and utilization stage. When convergence occurs at a high rate, it can lead to significant problems such as reducing the advance rate and safety, which in turn increases operating costs. In order to design an effective solution, it is important to accurately predict the degree of TWC; this can reduce the level of concern and have a positive effect on the design. With the development of soft computing methods, the use of deep learning algorithms and neural networks in tunnel construction has expanded in recent years. The current study aims to employ the long-short-term memory (LSTM) deep neural network predictor model to predict the TWC, based on 550 data points of observed parameters developed by collecting required data from different tunnelling projects. Among the data collected during the pre-construction and construction phases of the project, 80% is randomly used to train the model and the rest is used to test the model. Several loss functions including root mean square error (RMSE) and coefficient of determination (R2) were used to assess the performance and precision of the applied method. The results of the proposed models indicate an acceptable and reliable accuracy. In fact, the results show that the predicted values are in good agreement with the observed actual data. The proposed model can be considered for use in similar ground and tunneling conditions. It is important to note that this work has the potential to reduce the tunneling uncertainties significantly and make deep learning a valuable tool for planning tunnels.

A Ppoisson Regression Aanlysis of Physician Visits (외래이용빈도 분석의 모형과 기법)

  • 이영조;한달선;배상수
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.159-176
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    • 1993
  • The utilization of outpatient care services involves two steps of sequential decisions. The first step decision is about whether to initiate the utilization and the second one is about how many more visits to make after the initiation. Presumably, the initiation decision is largely made by the patient and his or her family, while the number of additional visits is decided under a strong influence of the physician. Implication is that the analysis of the outpatient care utilization requires to specify each of the two decisions underlying the utilization as a distinct stochastic process. This paper is concerned with the number of physician visits, which is, by definition, a discrete variable that can take only non-negative integer values. Since the initial visit is considered in the analysis of whether or not having made any physician visit, the focus on the number of visits made in addition to the initial one must be enough. The number of additional visits, being a kind of count data, could be assumed to exhibit a Poisson distribution. However, it is likely that the distribution is over dispersed since the number of physician visits tends to cluster around a few values but still vary widely. A recently reported study of outpatient care utilization employed an analysis based upon the assumption of a negative binomial distribution which is a type of overdispersed Poisson distribution. But there is an indication that the use of Poisson distribution making adjustments for over-dispersion results in less loss of efficiency in parameter estimation compared to the use of a certain type of distribution like a negative binomial distribution. An analysis of the data for outpatient care utilization was performed focusing on an assessment of appropriateness of available techniques. The data used in the analysis were collected by a community survey in Hwachon Gun, Kangwon Do in 1990. It was observed that a Poisson regression with adjustments for over-dispersion is superior to either an ordinary regression or a Poisson regression without adjustments oor over-dispersion. In conclusion, it seems the most approprite to assume that the number of physician visits made in addition to the initial visist exhibits an overdispersed Poisson distribution when outpatient care utilization is studied based upon a model which embodies the two-part character of the decision process uderlying the utilization.

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Performance Evaluation of ResNet-based Pneumonia Detection Model with the Small Number of Layers Using Chest X-ray Images (흉부 X선 영상을 이용한 작은 층수 ResNet 기반 폐렴 진단 모델의 성능 평가)

  • Youngeun Choi;Seungwan Lee
    • Journal of radiological science and technology
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    • v.46 no.4
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    • pp.277-285
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    • 2023
  • In this study, pneumonia identification networks with the small number of layers were constructed by using chest X-ray images. The networks had similar trainable-parameters, and the performance of the trained models was quantitatively evaluated with the modification of the network architectures. A total of 6 networks were constructed: convolutional neural network (CNN), VGGNet, GoogleNet, residual network with identity blocks, ResNet with bottleneck blocks and ResNet with identity and bottleneck blocks. Trainable parameters for the 6 networks were set in a range of 273,921-294,817 by adjusting the output channels of convolution layers. The network training was implemented with binary cross entropy (BCE) loss function, sigmoid activation function, adaptive moment estimation (Adam) optimizer and 100 epochs. The performance of the trained models was evaluated in terms of training time, accuracy, precision, recall, specificity and F1-score. The results showed that the trained models with the small number of layers precisely detect pneumonia from chest X-ray images. In particular, the overall quantitative performance of the trained models based on the ResNets was above 0.9, and the performance levels were similar or superior to those based on the CNN, VGGNet and GoogleNet. Also, the residual blocks affected the performance of the trained models based on the ResNets. Therefore, in this study, we demonstrated that the object detection networks with the small number of layers are suitable for detecting pneumonia using chest X-ray images. And, the trained models based on the ResNets can be optimized by applying appropriate residual-blocks.

ABS Ratio Estimation Considering the Number of UEs in CRE Regions for LTE-A Heterogeneous Networks (LTE-A 기반 이종 네트워크에서 CRE 영역내 단말들의 수를 고려한 ABS 비율 산출 방법)

  • Sun, Jong-Suk;Roh, Byeong-hee
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Next Generation Computing
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    • v.13 no.5
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    • pp.104-112
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    • 2017
  • The CRE (Cell Range Expansion) that selects the small cell with more efficient uplink resources has been developed by 3GPP to relieve the problem of the traffic imbalance due to the power differences between macro and small cells in HetNet. In addition, ABS (Almost Blank Subframes) has been proposed to resolve the signal interference problem due to the operation CREs. This paper proposes an effective method to calculate the ABS ratio by considering the proportion of the number of UEs in CRE and macro cell ranges, as well as the number of small cells in a macro cell. The proposed method has been implemented on the LTESim simulator, and compared with previously proposed methods. The experimental results show that the proposed method can improve the throughput and packet loss ratio performances. In particular, it is also shown that CRE bias values affect those performances, and there exist effective CRE bias values to derive the best performances.

An ICI Canceling 5G System Receiver for 500km/h Linear Motor Car

  • Suguru Kuniyoshi;Rie Saotome;Shiho Oshiro;Tomohisa Wada
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.27-34
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    • 2023
  • This paper proposed an Inter-Carrier-Interference (ICI) Canceling Orthogonal Frequency Division Multiplexing (OFDM) receiver for 5G mobile system to support 500 km/h linear motor high speed terrestrial transportation service. A receiver in such high-speed train sees the transmission channel which is composed of multiple Doppler-shifted propagation paths. Then, a loss of sub-carrier orthogonality due to Doppler-spread channels causes ICI. The ICI Canceler is realized by the following three steps. First, using the Demodulation Reference Symbol (DMRS) pilot signals, it analyzes three parameters such as attenuation, relative delay, and Doppler-shift of each multi-path component. Secondly, based on the sets of three parameters, Channel Transfer Function (CTF) of sender sub-carrier number 𝒏 to receiver sub-carrier number 𝒍 is generated. In case of 𝒏≠𝒍, the CTF corresponds to ICI factor. Thirdly, since ICI factor is obtained, by applying ICI reverse operation by Multi-Tap Equalizer, ICI canceling can be realized. ICI canceling performance has been simulated assuming severe channel condition such as 500 km/h, 2 path reverse Doppler Shift for QPSK, 16QAM, 64QAM and 256QAM modulations. In particular, for modulation schemes below 16QAM, we confirmed that the difference between BER in a 2 path reverse Doppler shift environment and stationary environment at a moving speed of 500 km/h was very small when the number of taps in the multi-tap equalizer was set to 31 taps or more. We also confirmed that the BER performance in high-speed mobile communications for multi-level modulation schemes above 64QAM is dramatically improved by the use of a multi-tap equalizer.

Analysis and Estimation of Loss-Rainfall due to Change in evapotranspiration (Target Seomjin Upper bassin) (증발산량 변화에 따른 손실량 추정 및 원인분석 (섬진강 상류유역을 대상으로))

  • Lee, Dae Wung;Lee, Chung Dae;Kim, Chi Young
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.257-257
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    • 2020
  • 오늘날 지구촌은 1880년 이후 지구온난화로 인해 빈번해진 이상기후로 평균기온이 약 0.85℃ 상승하였으며, 강우특성의 변화로 초과홍수가 빈번하게 발생하고 단기간의 집중호우 증가 및 강우일수가 감소하였다. 특히 우리나라는 홍수기(7월~9월)에 집중되었던 태풍 및 강우사상이 가을까지(2019년 11월 태풍 횟수 : 6회) 지속되고 있으며, 용수수요가 집중되는 관개기간에 기후변화 영향으로 무강우기간 동안 증발산량이 증가하여 이용 가능한 수자원량 감소가 심화되고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 섬진강 유역의 갈수예보 활용지점인 곡성군(금곡교) 관측소의 실측된 수문자료를 바탕으로 유출검토를 실시하였고 취수시설물의 영향을 고려한 순유출률을 산정하였다. 5개년 유출특성을 분석한 결과 강수량 대비 년도별 유사한 순유출을 나타내는 반면에 손실량에서 큰 차이가 발생하였다. 특히 2018년의 경우 6월 말~7월 초에 발생한 약 300mm의 강우사상 이후 32일간의 무강우기간(평년 기준 : 18일)의 증발산량 영향으로 많은 손실량이 발생하였다. 이는 기후변화의 영향으로 일조시간, 평균기온, 무강우기간의 증가를 예견하고 있으며 강수량 뿐 아니라 기상조건이 유역 내 유출특성에 지배적인 영향을 미치는 것을 반증하고 있다. 본 연구에서 활용된 증발산량 산정공식 수정 Blaney-criddle Method는 평균기온, 일조시간을 활용한 잠재 증발산량 산정방법으로 정확한 유역 특성을 고려하지는 못하지만 연구결과에서 보여주듯이 한정된 기상자료를 통한 증발산량 산정방법으로 활용이 가능할 것으로 판단된다. 향후 다양한 증발산량 산정방법과 비교 및 증발산량 관측장비의 활용방안 검토를 통해 분석된 증발산량자료의 품질개선이 필요할 것으로 판단된다.

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Evaluation of Rainfall Erosivity Factor Estimation Using Machine and Deep Learning Models (머신러닝 및 딥러닝을 활용한 강우침식능인자 예측 평가)

  • Lee, Jimin;Lee, Seoro;Lee, Gwanjae;Kim, Jonggun;Lim, Kyoung Jae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.450-450
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    • 2021
  • 기후변화 보고서에 따르면 집중 호우의 강도 및 빈도 증가가 향후 몇 년동안 지속될 것이라 제시하였다. 이러한 집중호우가 빈번히 발생하게 된다면 강우 침식성이 증가하여 표토 침식에 더 취약하게 발생된다. Universal Soil Loss Equation (USLE) 입력 매개 변수 중 하나인 강우침식능인자는 토양 유실을 예측할때 강우 강도의 미치는 영향을 제시하는 인자이다. 선행 연구에서 USLE 방법을 사용하여 강우침식능인자를 산정하였지만, 60분 단위 강우자료를 이용하였기 때문에 정확한 30분 최대 강우강도 산정을 고려하지 못하는 한계점이 있다. 본 연구의 목적은 강우침식능인자를 이전의 진행된 방법보다 더 빠르고 정확하게 예측하는 머신러닝 모델을 개발하며, 총 월별 강우량, 최대 일 강우량 및 최대 시간별 강우량 데이터만 있어도 산정이 가능하도록 하였다. 이를 위해 본 연구에서는 강우침식능인자의 산정 값의 정확도를 높이기 위해 1분 간격 강우 데이터를 사용하며, 최근 강우 패턴을 반영하기 위해서 2013-2019년 자료로 이용했다. 우선, 월별 특성을 파악하기 위해 USLE 계산 방법을 사용하여 월별 강우침식능인자를 산정하였고, 국내 50개 지점을 대상으로 계산된 월별 강우침식능인자를 실측 값으로 정하여, 머신러닝 모델을 통하여 강우침식능인자 예측하도록 학습시켜 분석하였다. 이 연구에 사용된 머신러닝 모델들은 Decision Tree, Random Forest, K-Nearest Neighbors, Gradient Boosting, eXtreme Gradient Boost 및 Deep Neural Network을 이용하였다. 또한, 교차 검증을 통해서 모델 중 Deep Neural Network이 강우침식능인자 예측 정확도가 가장 높게 산정하였다. Deep Neural Network은 Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) 와 Coefficient of determination (R2)의 결과값이 0.87로서 모델의 예측성을 입증하였으며, 검증 모델을 테스트 하기 위해 국내 6개 지점을 무작위로 선별하여 강우침식능인자를 분석하였다. 본 연구 결과에서 나온 Deep Neural Network을 이용하면, 훨씬 적은 노력과 시간으로 원하는 지점에서 월별 강우침식능인자를 예측할 수 있으며, 한국 강우 패턴을 효율적으로 분석 할 수 있을 것이라 판단된다. 이를 통해 향후 토양 침식 위험을 지표화하는 것뿐만 아니라 토양 보전 계획을 수립할 수 있으며, 위험 지역을 우선적으로 선별하고 제시하는데 유용하게 사용 될 것이라 사료된다.

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A Taekwondo Poomsae Movement Classification Model Learned Under Various Conditions

  • Ju-Yeon Kim;Kyu-Cheol Cho
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.28 no.10
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    • pp.9-16
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    • 2023
  • Technological advancement is being advanced in sports such as electronic protection of taekwondo competition and VAR of soccer. However, a person judges and guides the posture by looking at the posture, so sometimes a judgment dispute occurs at the site of the competition in Taekwondo Poomsae. This study proposes an artificial intelligence model that can more accurately judge and evaluate Taekwondo movements using artificial intelligence. In this study, after pre-processing the photographed and collected data, it is separated into train, test, and validation sets. The separated data is trained by applying each model and conditions, and then compared to present the best-performing model. The models under each condition compared the values of loss, accuracy, learning time, and top-n error, and as a result, the performance of the model trained under the conditions using ResNet50 and Adam was found to be the best. It is expected that the model presented in this study can be utilized in various fields such as education sites and competitions.

Method for Spectral Enhancement by Binary Mask for Speech Recognition Enhancement Under Noise Environment (잡음환경에서 음성인식 성능향상을 위한 바이너리 마스크를 이용한 스펙트럼 향상 방법)

  • Choi, Gab-Keun;Kim, Soon-Hyob
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.29 no.7
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    • pp.468-474
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    • 2010
  • The major factor that disturbs practical use of speech recognition is distortion by the ambient and channel noises. Generally, the ambient noise drops the performance and restricts places to use. DSR (Distributed Speech Recognition) based speech recognition also has this problem. Various noise cancelling algorithms are applied to solve this problem, but loss of spectrum and remaining noise by incorrect noise estimation at low SNR environments cause drop of recognition rate. This paper proposes methods for speech enhancement. This method uses MMSE-STSA for noise cancelling and ideal binary mask to compensate damaged spectrum. According to experiments at noisy environment (SNR 15 dB ~ 0 dB), the proposed methods showed better spectral results and recognition performance.