• 제목/요약/키워드: Long-term rainfall-runoff analysis

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장기유출 모의를 통한 도시유역 불투수율에 따른 유출계수 변화 (Estimation of runoff coefficient through impervious covers analysis using long-term outflow simulation)

  • 김영란;황성환
    • 상하수도학회지
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    • 제28권6호
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    • pp.635-645
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    • 2014
  • The changes of rainfall pattern and impervious covers have increased disaster risks in urbanized areas. Impervious covers such as roads and building roofs have been dramatically increased. So, it is falling the ability safety of flood defense equipments to exist. Runoff coefficient means ratio of runoff by whole rainfall which is able to directly contribute at surface runoff during rainfall event. The application of accurate runoff coefficients is very important in sewer pipelines design. This study has been performed to estimate runoff characteristics change which are applicable to the process of sewer pipelines design or various public facilities design. It has used the SHER model, a long-term runoff model, to analyze the impact of a rising impervious covers on runoff coefficient change. It thus analyzed the long-term runoff to analyze rainfall basins extraction. Consequently, it was found that impervious surfaces could be a important factor for urban flood control. We could suggest the application of accurate runoff coefficients in accordance to the land Impervious covers. The average increase rates of runoff coefficients increased 0.011 for 1% increase of impervious covers. By having the application of the results, we could improve plans for facilities design.

영산강의 장기유출량에 관한 고찰 (An Analysis on the Long-Term Runoff of the Yong San River)

  • 한상욱;정종수
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.4184-4194
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    • 1976
  • Located in the southwestern part of Korea, the Yong San Gang river flows generally northeast to southwest, and because of the specific location, topography and climate, the basin area is subject to recurrent drought and flood damages. To eliminate the cause of such damages and ensure an increase in the farm income by means of effective irrigation supply and increased cropping intensity, efforts are being made to speed up implementation of an integrated agricultural development project which would include construction. of an estuary dam and irrigation facilities as well as land development and tidal reclarnation. In formulating a basin development project plan, it is necessary to study a series of long-term runoff data. The catchment area at the proposed estuary damsite is 3,471$\textrm{km}^2$ with the total length of the river channel up to this point reaching 138km. An analysis of runoff in this area was carried out. Rainfall was estimated by the Thiessen Network based on records available from 15 of the rainfall observation stations within the area. Out of the 15 stations, Kwang Ju and Mok Po stations were keeping long-term precipitation records exceeding some 60 years while the others were in possession of only 5-10 years records. The long-term records kept by those stations located in the center of the basin were used as base records and records kept by the remaining stations were supplemented using the coefficient of correlation between the records kept by the base stations and the remainder. The analyses indicate that the average annual rainfall measured at Kwang Ju during 1940-1972 (33 years) amounts to 1,262mm and the areal rainfall amounts to 1,236mm. For the purpose of runoff analysis, 7 observatories, were set up in the middle and lower reaches of the river and periodic measurements made by these stations permitted analysis of water levels and river flows. In particular, the long-term data available from Na Ju station significantly contributed to the analysis. The analysis, made by 4-stage Tank method, shows that the average annual runoff during 1940-1972 amounts to 2,189 million ㎥ at the runoff rate of 51%. As for the amount of monthly runoff, the maximum is 484.2 million ㎥ in July while the minimum is 48.3 million ㎥ in January.

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SWAT-SWMM 결합모형의 개발 (I) 모형의 개발 (Development of Coupled SWAT-SWMM Model (I) Model Development)

  • 김남원;원유승
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제37권7호
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    • pp.589-598
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    • 2004
  • 장기적 유출 측면에서 유역의 도시화는 불투수면적의 확대로 인한 토지이용변화, 인위적 구조물의 설치여부, 하천 환경의 변화를 유발하며 따라서 도시화되기 이전과 매우 다른 형태의 유출거동 특성을 가진다. 따라서 자연적인 유출 성분변화 특성은 물론 도시화 유역 특성변화요소를 적절히 반영함으로써 지표수, 하천수, 지하수 등의 수문순환 요소를 장기적인 측면에서 정량적으로 평가할 수 있는 유출모의모형이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 준 분포형 장기 유출모형인 SWAT모형과 도시지역의 유출해석에 주로 이용되는 SWMM 모형의 RUNOFF 블록을 결합함으로써 자연유역은 물론 도시유역의 제반 유역특성을 충분히 고려할 수 있는 장기유출모형인 SWAT-SWMM 모형을 개발하였다. SWAT-SWMM 결합모형의 구정방법 및 모형의 한계 그리고 결합모형의 모식을 중심으로 두 모형의 결합상황을 기술하였다.

저류함수를 이용한 일단위 장기유출모의 모형 구축 (Long term Rainfall-Runoff Modeling Using Storage Function Method)

  • 성영두;정구열;신철균;박진혁
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제41권7호
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    • pp.737-746
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    • 2008
  • 강우-유출 및 저수지운영 모형의 최종 개발 목적은 가용한 관측자료를 이용하여 실무자가 하천의 유량예측 및 저수지운영 업무를 쉽고 정확하게 수행할 수 있도록 분석도구를 제공하는데 있다. 본 연구에서는 물관리 실무에서 홍수량 예측업무에 활용중인 단기 강우-유출 저류함수 모형을 확장하여 장기유출에 모의에 기여도가 높은 유효우량 및 침투량 산정기법을 개선하여 장기 유출분석이 가능하도록 저류함수기반의 장기 유출모형을 구축하였다. 개발된 모형의 적용가능성을 검토하기 위하여 낙동강 유역내 3개 댐유역(안동,합천,밀양)을 대상으로 연간 유출모의를 실시 하였으며, 현재 물관리 실무에서 장기유출모형으로 활용중인 SSARR모형과의 성능을 비교하였다. 수문곡선 비교 결과, SSARR 모형이 상대적으로 재현성 높은 결과를 보여주었지만, 본 연구에서 개발한 모형은 관측 가용한 자료만으로도 비교적 신뢰성 있는 장기유출모의가 가능하다는 점에서 향후 실무에서 유용하게 활용할 수 있을 것으로 사료된다.

제수원공 설계를 위한 장기간 연속수수량 추정모형의 개발 - 중심유역을 중심으로 (A Developmont of Numerical Mo del on the Estimation of the Log-term Run-off for the Design of Riverheads Works -With Special Reference to Small and Medium Sijed Catchment Areas-)

  • 엄병현
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제29권4호
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    • pp.59-72
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    • 1987
  • Although long-term runoff analysis is important as much as flood analysis in the design of water works, the technological level of the former is relatively lower than that of the latter. In this respect, the precise estimation model for the volume of successive runoff should he developed as soon as possible. Up to now, in Korea, Gajiyama's formula has been widely used in long-term runoff analysis, which has many problems in applying in real situation. On the other hand, in flood analysis, unit hydrograph method has been exclusively used. Therefore, this study aims at trying to apply unit hydrograph method in long-term runoff analysis for the betterment of its estimation. Four test catchment areas were selected ; Maesan area in Namlum river as a representative area of Han river system, Cheongju area in Musim river as one of Geum river system, Hwasun area in Hwasun river as one of Yongsan river system, and Supyung area in Geum river as one of Nakdong river system. In the analysis of unit hydrograph, seperation of effective rainfall was carried out firstly. Considering that effective rainfall and moisture condition of catchrnent area are inside and outside of a phenomenon respectively and the latter is not considered in the analysis, Initial base flow(qb)was selected as an index of moisture condition. At the same time, basic equation(Eq.7) was established, in which qb can take a role as a parameter in relating between cumulative rainfall(P) and cumulative loss of rainfall(Ld). Based on the above equation, computer program for estimation model of qbwas seperately developed according to the range of qb, Developed model was applied to measured hydrographs and hyetographs for total 10 years in 4 test areas and effective rainfall was estimated. Estimation precision of model was checked as shown in Tab- 6 and Fig.8. In the next stage, based on the estimated effective rainfall(R) and runoff(Qd), a runoff distribution ratio was calculated for each teat area using by computerised least square method and used in making unit hydrographs in each test area. Significance of induced hydrographs was tested by checking the relative errors between estimated and measured runoff volume(Tab-9, 10). According to the results, runoff estimation error by unit hydrograph itself was merely 2 or 3 %, but other 2 or 3 % of error proved to be transferred error in the seperation of effective rainfall. In this study, special attentioning point is that, in spite of different river systems and forest conditions of test areas, standardized unit hydrographs for them have very similar curve shape, which can be explained by having similar catchinent characteristics such as stream length, catchinent area, slope, and vegetation intensity. That fact should be treated as important factor ingeneralization of unit hydrograph method.

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산림소유역(山林小流域)의 장(長)·단기(短期) 유출(流出) 해석(解析)을 위(爲)한 강우(降雨)-유출모형(流出模型)의 개발(開發) (Development of Rainfall-Runoff Model for a Long and Short Term Runoff Analysis in Small Forested Mountain Watersheds)

  • 우보명;김재수;이헌호;최형태
    • 한국산림과학회지
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    • 제87권1호
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    • pp.11-19
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    • 1998
  • 산림소유역의 유출현상을 정량적으로 분석 평가하기 위한 개념적(槪念的)인 강우(降雨)-유출(流出) 수문모형(水文模型) 개발하기 위한 목적으로 산림소유역에서의 유출성분을 2단의 직렬저류탱크로 구성하고 여기에 산림수관에 의한 차단량과 집중호우 발생시의 지표유출성분을 재현하는 각각 1개씩의 탱크를 조합하여 총 4단의 탱크를 가진 강우-유출모형을 개발하였다. 또한, 본 모형의 적용성을 검증하기 위하여 전남 광양시 소재 서울대 농생대 부속 남부연습림 추산 시험장내 두 개소의 산림소유역을 시험유역으로 선정하고 1994년 1월부터 1996년 8월까지의 실측된 강우량, 유출수량 및 수관차단우량 자료로써 모형의 매개변수의 보정 및 적용성을 검증하였다. 보정 매개변수를 이용한 본 모형의 일유출량 모의발생치를 시험유역의 일별 실측치와 비교한 결과, 두 시험유역에서 모두 장기간 및 단기간에 있어서 실측치와 비교적 정확하게 일치하는 것으로 분석되었다.

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LONG-TERM STREAMFLOW SENSITIVITY TO RAINFALL VARIABILITY UNDER IPCC SRES CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIO

  • Kang, Boo-sik;Jorge a. ramirez, Jorge-A.-Ramirez
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.81-99
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    • 2004
  • Long term streamflow regime under virtual climate change scenario was examined. Rainfall forecast simulation of the Canadian Global Coupled Model (CGCM2) of the Canadian Climate Center for modeling and analysis for the IPCC SRES B2 scenario was used for analysis. The B2 scenario envisions slower population growth (10.4 billion by 2010) with a more rapidly evolving economy and more emphasis on environmental protection. The relatively large scale of GCM hinders the accurate computation of the important streamflow characteristics such as the peak flow rate and lag time, etc. The GCM rainfall with more than 100km scale was downscaled to 2km-scale using the space-time stochastic random cascade model. The HEC-HMS was used for distributed hydrologic model which can take the grid rainfall as input data. The result illustrates that the annual variation of the total runoff and the peak flow can be much greater than rainfall variation, which means actual impact of rainfall variation for the available water resources can be much greater than the extent of the rainfall variation.

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제주도 도심하천 유역의 유출특성 해석 (Characteristics of Runoff on Urban Watershed in Jeju island, Korea)

  • 정우열;양성기;이준호
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제22권5호
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    • pp.555-562
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    • 2013
  • Jeju Island, the heaviest raining area in Korea, is a volcanic Island located at the southernmost of Korea, but most streams are of the dry due to its hydrological/geological characteristics different from those of inland areas. Therefore, there are limitations in applying the results from the mainland to the studies on stream run-off characteristics analysis and water resource analysis of Jeju Island. In this study, the SWAT(soil & water assessment tool) model is used for the Hwabuk stream watershed located east of the downtown to calculate the long-term stream run-off rate, and WMS(watershed modeling system) and HEC-HMS(hydrologic modeling system) models are used to figure out the stream run-off characteristics due to short-term heavy rainfall. As the result of SWAT modelling for the long-term rainfall-runoff model for Hwabuk stream watershed in 2008, 5.66% of the average precipitation of the entire basin was run off, with 3.47% in 2009, 8.12% in 2010, and root mean square error(RMSE) and determination coefficient($R^2$) was 496.9 and 0.87, respectively, with model efficient(ME) of 0.72. From the results of WMS and HEC-HMS models which are short-term rainfall-runoff models, unless there was a preceding rainfall, the runoff occurred only for rainfall of 40mm or greater, and the run-off duration averaged 10~14 hours.

강우-유출모형의 매개변수 보정을 위한 최적화 기법의 비교분석 (The Comparative Analysis of Optimization Methods for the Parameter Calibration of Rainfall-Runoff Models)

  • 김선주;지용근;김필식
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제47권3호
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    • pp.3-13
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    • 2005
  • The conceptual rainfall-runoff models are used to predict complex hydrological effects of a basin. However, to obtain reliable results, there are some difficulties and problems in choosing optimum model, calibrating, and verifying the chosen model suitable for hydrological characteristics of the basin. In this study, Genetic Algorithm and SCE-UA method as global optimization methods were applied to compare the each optimization technique and to analyze the application for the rainfall-runoff models. Modified TANK model that is used to calculate outflow for watershed management and reservoir operation etc. was optimized as a long term rainfall-runoff model. And storage-function model that is used to predict real-time flood using historical data was optimized as a short term rainfall-runoff model. The optimized models were applied to simulate runoff on Pyeongchang-river watershed and Bocheong-stream watershed in 2001 and 2002. In the historical data study, the Genetic Algorithm and the SCE-UA method showed consistently good results considering statistical values compared with observed data.

강우시 고속도로 노면 유출 오염부하 발생 특성 분석 (Relationship between Pollutant and Influence Factors in Highway runoff)

  • 강희만;이두진;배우근;강혜진
    • 상하수도학회지
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.47-54
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    • 2012
  • This study analyzed influence factors and the correlation among pollutants which affect occurrence of leaked pollution based on the long-term runoff flow and water quality investigation results to understand the characteristics of highway rainfall runoff pollution load. According to the result of correlation analysis on TSS (Total Suspended Solid) concentration, anteceded dry days, rainfall intensity, traffic volume and etc. as major influence factors of highway rainfall runoff pollution loads, the correlations were weak or scarce in most items. These results might be attributed that runoff pollutant concentration changes vary severely on changes of rainfall intensity and rainfall duration within rainfall and it is affected by disturbances of vehicles and street cleaning and etc. as characteristics of the highway. While Cu, Fe and Zn which are discharged with high concentrations out of heavy metals showed high correlation with particulate matter, organic matter(COD), nutrient(TN, TP), Ni and Pb showed relatively low correlation in a correlation evaluation by pollutant. Significant correlation with traffic volumes was not shown and TSS concentration even decreased in accordance with increase of the traffic volume. In the comparison with precedent studies, it was considered necessary additional analysis of the effects of rainfall section analysis, road type, disturbances of surface contaminants by vehicles, rainfall and climate conditions, surrounding terrains etc.