• Title/Summary/Keyword: Long-term persistence

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Effects of Operational Condition and Sea States on Wave-Induced Bending Moments of Large Merchant Vessels (운항조건 및 해상상태가 대형 화물선의 파랑 중 굽힘모멘트에 미치는 영향)

  • 김동문;백점기
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.40 no.5
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    • pp.60-67
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    • 2003
  • For risk or reliability assessment of ship structures against particular hazardous situations such as total loss or sinking due to hull girder collapse, the short-term based response analysis rather than the long-term response analysis is required to determine wave-induced bending moments when the ship encounters a storm of specific duration and with a specified small encounter probability. In the present study, the effects of operational condition and sea states on wave-induced bending moments of large merchant vessels are investigated. A series of the short-term response analyses for a hypothetical VLCC and a Capesize bulk carrier (CSBC) are carried out with varying operational condition and sea states which include ship speed, significant wave height and wave persistence time, using the linear-strip theory based program ABS/SHIPMOTION and the MIT sea-keeping tables. The computed results are also compared with the IACS design formula predictions. The results and insights developed from the present study are summarized.

Validating Iconic Memory According to the Phenomenological and Ecological Criticisms (현상학적, 생태학적 비판에 기초한 영상기억의 타당성)

  • Hyun, Joo-Seok
    • Korean Journal of Cognitive Science
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.239-268
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    • 2019
  • Since last several decades, iconic memory has been accepted theoretically valid for its role of the first storage mechanism in visual memory process. However, there have been relatively less interests in iconic memory among researchers than their interests in visual short- and long-term memory. Such little interests seem to arise from a lack of detailed understandings of theories and methodologies about iconic memory and visual persistence. This study aimed to achieve the understandings by reviewing theories and empirical studies of iconic memory and visual persistence. The study further discussed future direction of iconic memory research according to the essential aspects of phenomenological and ecological criticisms against the validity of iconic memory.

Signal Detection Using Wavelet Transform in Fractional Brownian Motion (Fractional Brownian Motion 잡음환경 하에서 웨이브렛 변환을 이용한 신호의 검출)

  • 김명진
    • Proceedings of the Korea Institute of Convergence Signal Processing
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    • 2000.08a
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    • pp.21-24
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    • 2000
  • Fractional Brownian motion(fBm)은 long-term persistence 특성을 가진 자연 현상, 1/f 잡음, 깊이가 낮은 해저에서의 배경음향잡음 등을 모델링하는데 많이 사용된다. 이 fBm은 nonstationary 유색잡음이다. 이러한 유색잡음 환경 하에서 신호를 검출하기 위한 한 방법은 Fredholm 적분방정식의 해를 구하는 것이다. 이 방정식을 이산화 하면 잡음의 공분산 행렬의 역행렬이 포함되어 계산량이 많다 본 논문에서는 fBm 잡음의 공분산 행렬을 웨이브렛 변환하여 얻어지는 행렬, 즉 fBm의 멀티스케일 성분들의 공분산행렬은 밴드화된 블록들로 근사화할 수 있다는 성질을 이용하여 적은 계산량으로 신호를 검출하는 알고리즘을 제안한다.

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Application to Evaluation of Hydrologic Time Series Forecasting for Long-Term Runoff Simulation (장기유출모의를 위한 수문시계열 예측모형의 적용성 평가)

  • Yoon, Sun-Kwon;Ahn, Jae-Hyun;Kim, Jong-Suk;Moon, Young-Il
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.42 no.10
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    • pp.809-824
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    • 2009
  • Hydrological system forecasting, which is the short term runoff historical data during the limited period in dam site, is a conditional precedent of hydrological persistence by stochastic analysis. We have forecasted the monthly hydrological system from Andong dam basin data that is the rainfall, evaporation, and runoff, using the seasonal ARIMA (autoregressive integrated moving average) model. Also we have conducted long term runoff simulations through the forecasted results of TANK model and ARIMA+TANK model. The results of analysis have been concurred to the observation data, and it has been considered for application to possibility on the stochastic model for dam inflow forecasting. Thus, the method presented in this study suggests a help to water resource mid- and long-term strategy establishment to application for runoff simulations through the forecasting variables of hydrological time series on the relatively short holding runoff data in an object basins.

A Comparative Study of the Long-Term and Short-Term Stochastic Models for Streamflow Generation (하천유량의 모의발생을 위한 장기 및 단기 추계학적 모형의 비교연구)

  • 이동렬;윤용남
    • Water for future
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.257-266
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    • 1987
  • The existing stochastic models for the data with hydrologic persistence can be classified into two categories; the short-term and long-term models.For the present study, the Hurst coefficients which are the dominant parameter in the Fast Fractional Gaussian Noise(FFGN)model, one of the long-term models. are estimated with historical annual and monthly streamflows. In order to verify the applicability of these estimators the statistical properties of the generated annual streamflows by FFGN model are compared with those of the historical annual streamflows. Then the generated annual streamflows by FFGN model are disaggregated into the monthly streamflows by disaggregation model at two sites, i.e. Waekman and Jindong, in the Nakdong River Basin. On the other hand, the monthly stream flows at the two sites were also generated by the two-site Matalas model which is one of the short-term models. To evaluate the applicability of the above models and to select the better model the statistical properties of the generated monthly streamflows by two models were compared with those of the historicals, respectively.

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Hurst's memory for SOI and tree-ring series (남방진동지수, 나이테 자료에 대한 허스트 기억)

  • Kim Byung Sik;Kim Hung Soo;Seoh Byung Ha;Yoon Kang Hoon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2005.05b
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    • pp.792-796
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    • 2005
  • The methods of times series analysis have been recognized as important tools for assisting in solving problems related to the management of water resources. Especially, After more than 40 years the so-called Hurst effect remains an open problem in stochastic hydrology. Until now, its existence has been explained fly R/S analysis that roots in early work of the British hydrologist H.E. Hurst(1951). Today, the Hurst analysis is mostly used for the hydrological studies for memory and characteristics of time series and many methodologies have been developed for the analysis. So, there are many different techniques for the estimation of the Hurst exponent(H). However, the techniques can produce different characteristics for the persistence of a time series each other. We found that DFA is the most appropriate technique for the Hurst exponent estimation for both the shot term memory and long term memory. We analyze the SOI(Southern Oscillations Index) and 6 tree-ring series for USA sites by means of DFA and the BDS statistic is used for nonlinearity test of the series. From the results, we found that SOI series is nonlinear time series which has a long term memory of H=0.92. Contrary to earlier work of Rao(1999), all the tree- ring series are not random from our analysis. A certain tree ring series show a long term memory of H=0.97 and nonlinear property. Therefore, we can say that the SOI and tree-ring series may show long memory and nonlinearity.

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Medication Adherence of Elderly with Hypertension and/or Diabetes-mellitus and its' Influencing Factors (고혈압과 당뇨병 노인의 복약순응도와 이에 영향을 미치는 요인)

  • Kim, Seong-Ok
    • Korean Journal of Clinical Pharmacy
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.81-89
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    • 2011
  • Medication adherence is an important public health issue. This study is conducted to explore non-adherence of elderly with hypertension and/or diabetes mellitus and to better understand its' influencing factors. To explore non-adherence, 605 elderly patients in community were surveyed with Modified Morisky Scale (MMS), from Aug 18 to Sept 19, 2008. MMS is designed to predict medication-taking behavior and outcomes, and also to explain persistence of the patient's long-term continuation of therapy, which is a significant factor in the long-term management of chronic diseases. Also, MMS is designed to classify patients into a high/low continuum for knowledge and motivation. Patients self reported medication adherence were average 4.66 with MMS (range 0-6), only 78% of patients hold high motivation of medication adherence although 95.5% of patients hold high knowledge of medication adherence. This study explores which factors influence to high motivation of medication adherence and it proved that patients' participation in work, education level, participation in private health insurance, number of medication and medication frequency per day, pharmacists' explanation, experience of non adherence due to cost are important factors to explain high motivation of medication adherence of elderly with hypertension and/or diabetes mellitus.

The Effects of Sustainable Tax Strategies on Value Relevance (조세전략의 지속가능성이 회계정보의 가치관련성에 미치는 영향)

  • Ma, Hee-Young
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.71-82
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    • 2018
  • This study verifies whether the sustainable tax strategy provides unique information on earnings persistence and brings about the difference of value relevance of accounting information. Sustainability is measured by the 5-year coefficient of variation in cash ETR, such as in McGuire et al.(2013), which measures variability in long-term performance of tax avoidance. The value relevance of accounting information in this study is modified by the Ohlson model(1995), which explains the value of the firm by using accounting information such as net assets and net income and other non-accounting information. The samples of this study are the firms listed on the securities market from 2004 to 2015 and the final samples are 3,133 firm-year. The results of this empirical analysis show that the value relevance of accounting information increases as firms have long-term and sustainable tax strategies. Most of the prior studies on tax strategies have examined the tax minimization strategy that minimizes the tax cost. However, this study is different in that the sustainability of the tax strategy affects the value relevance of accounting information. The results of this study will be useful for the users to make decision using the value relevance of accounting information.

Analysis about Effect for Stock Price of Korea Companies through volatility of price of USA and Korea (미국과 한국의 가격변수 변화에 따른 한국기업 주가에 대한 영향분석)

  • 김종권
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 2002.11a
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    • pp.321-339
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    • 2002
  • The result of variance decomposition through yield of Treasury of 30 year maturity of USA, S&P 500 index, stock price of KEPCO has 76.12% of impulse of KEPCO stock price at short-term horizon, but they have 51.40% at long-term horizon. After one year, they occupy 13.65%, and 33.25%. So their effects are increased. By the way, S&P 500 index and yield of Treasury of 30 year maturity of USA have relatively more effect for forecast of stock price oi KEPCO at short-term & long-term. The yield of Treasury of 30 year maturity of USA more than S&P 500 index have more effect for stock price of KEPCO. It is why. That foreign investors through fall of stock price of USA invest for emerging market is less than movement for emerging market of hedge funds through effect of fall of yield of Treasury of 30 year maturity of USA, according to relative effects for stock price of Korea companies. The result of variance decomposition through won/dollar foreign exchange rate, yield of corporate bond of 3 year maturity, Korea Stock Price index(KOSPI), stock price of KEPCO has 81.33% of impulse of KEPCO stock price at short-term horizon, but they have 41.73% at long-term horizon. After one year, they occupy 23.57% and 34.70%. So their effects are increased. By the way, KOSPI and won/dollar foreign exchange rate have relatively more effect for forecast of stock price of KEPCO at short-term & long-term. The won/dollar foreign exchange rate more than KOSPI have more effect for stock price of KEPCO. It is why. The recovery of economic condition through improvement of company revenue causes of rising of KOSPI. But, if persistence of low interest rate continues, fall of won/dollar foreign exchange rate will be more aggravated. And it will give positive effect for stock price of KEPCO. This gives more positive effect at two main reason. Firstly, through fall of won/dollar foreign exchange rate and rising of credit rating of Korea will be followed. Therefore, foreign investors will invest more funds to Korea. Secondly, inflow of foreign investment funds through profit of won/dollar foreign exchange rate and stock investment will be occurred. If appreciation of won against dollar is forecasted, foreign investors will buy won. Through this won, investors will do investment. Won/dollar foreign exchange rate is affected through external factors of yen/dollar foreign exchange rate, etc. Therefore, the exclusion of instable factors for foreign investors through rising of credit rating of Korea is necessary things.

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Impact of a Brand Image Matching with the Advertising Model on Price Fairness Perceptions: Focus on Sports Advertising (브랜드 이미지와 광고모델의 일치성이 가격공정성 지각에 미치는 영향 : 스포츠 광고를 중심으로)

  • Hwang, Hee-Joong;Shin, Seung-Ho
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.43-50
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    • 2012
  • This study sets out to examine how a brand image that matches the advertising model has a positive impact on brand attitude and price fairness perceptions. We reviewed the constructs on the basis of previous studies and each of the concepts has been redefined. One such concept, "image congruence," refers to the harmony, fitness, and matching quality of images. For example, how well celebrity advertising model is matches the brand image shows image congruence. Results are summarized as follows: First, the congruence of brand image and sports advertising model has no significant impact on brand attitude certainty and persistence. Second, the individual's brand attitude certainty and brand attitude persistence has a positive impact on the perceptions of price fairness. Third, the congruence of brand image and sports advertising model has a positive impact on the perceptions of price fairness. The first and the third results suggest that the positive impact on the price fairness perceptions is temporary but it has insignificant effects on the formation of brand attitude causing ongoing purchases. In other words, in order to influence consumers' long-term confidence on the brand, improving the quality of products or services has to precede promotional strategies such as advertising. When an advertising model is inappropriate for the brand image, consumers perceive product price changes as a negative issue in the short term. However, in the long term, attitude formation such as consumers' repurchase intentions and word of mouth will be not affected. The second result suggests that an already existing positive brand attitude can contribute more positively to change the perceptions of price fairness. In particular, attitude persistence has greater influence than attitude certainty on the price fairness. It suggests that persistence issues such as the trading period and the frequency of transactions must be managed and controlled because they are more important than the certainty issues such as strength of belief or trust. For example, when a commercial model for expensive sporting goods matches up with the brand image, consumer feels less pressure on the price changes. However, it does not determine the consumer's repeated purchases or sustainable transactions and it also has no absolute impact on the brand trust. In other words, consumer brand attitude should be recognized and approached as a routine strategy in view of the result that it is of great value as a causal variable in the process of consumer decision-making.

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