• 제목/요약/키워드: Long-term Prediction

검색결과 942건 처리시간 0.028초

Use of mini-implants to avoid maxillary surgery for Class III mandibular prognathic patient: a long-term post-retention case

  • Suh, Hee-Yeon;Lee, Shin-Jae;Park, Heung Sik
    • 대한치과교정학회지
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    • 제44권6호
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    • pp.342-349
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    • 2014
  • Because of the potential morbidity and complications associated with surgical procedures, limiting the extent of orthognathic surgery is a desire for many orthodontic patients. An eighteen-year-old woman had a severe Class III malocclusion and required bi-maxillary surgery. By changing the patient's maxillary occlusal plane using orthodontic mini-implants, she was able to avoid the maxillary surgery; requiring only a mandibular setback surgery. To accurately predict the post-surgery outcome, we applied a new soft tissue prediction method. We were able to follow and report the long-term result of her combined orthodontic and orthognathic treatment. The changes to her occlusal plane continue to appear stable over 6 years later.

지역별,관리구별 중장기 부하밀도 예측 프로그램의 개발 (Development of Program for prediction of Mid-long term Load density in region and district respectively.)

  • 최상봉;김대경;정성환;배정효;하태현;이현구
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2000년도 하계학술대회 논문집 A
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    • pp.307-309
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    • 2000
  • This paper presents development of program for mid-tong term load forecasting in region and district respectively. In this program, at first, the region is classified by KEPCO branch which can be analyzed in light of curl·elation between load characteristics and economic indicator and then, prediction for load density in each region was performed by scenario of economic, population and city plan. Secondly, prediction for load density in each district is performed by methodology which is based on land use method. Finally efficiency for prediction work in each KEPCO branch could be identified by applying the developed program to the Seoul city in real.

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케이블볼트 충전재의 내구성 평가 (Durability Evaluation of Grout in Cablebolt System)

  • 최정인;김원근;전재현;이석원
    • 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지반공학회 2010년도 춘계 학술발표회
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    • pp.553-561
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    • 2010
  • Like the shotcrete can be deteriorated by chemical compounds as service years increase, the grout which is used to fasten the cablebolt(rockbolt) system in the underground structures also can be deteriorated by chemical compounds such as sulphate and/or chloride contained in groundwater during service years. This can induce issues on the long term durability of cablebolt(rockbolt) system and consequently on the stability of underground structures. In this study, the deteriorations of long term durability of cement mortar grout by each chemical compound of sulphate or chloride are studied experimentally and also complex deterioration by the mix of sulphate and chloride is investigated. Based on the results obtained in this study, the characteristics and prediction of deterioration of long term durability of cement mortar grout for cablebolt(rockbolt) system are suggested.

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Long-Term Forecasting by Wavelet-Based Filter Bank Selections and Its Application

  • Lee, Jeong-Ran;Lee, You-Lim;Oh, Hee-Seok
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.249-261
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    • 2010
  • Long-term forecasting of seasonal time series is critical in many applications such as planning business strategies and resolving possible problems of a business company. Unlike the traditional approach that depends solely on dynamic models, Li and Hinich (2002) introduced a combination of stochastic dynamic modeling with filter bank approach for forecasting seasonal patterns using highly coherent(High-C) waveforms. We modify the filter selection and forecasting procedure on wavelet domain to be more feasible and compare the resulting predictor with one that obtained from the wavelet variance estimation method. An improvement over other seasonal pattern extraction and forecasting methods based on such as wavelet scalogram, Holt-Winters, and seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average(SARIMA) is shown in terms of the prediction error. The performance of the proposed method is illustrated by a simulation study and an application to the real stock price data.

Two-Dimensional Attention-Based LSTM Model for Stock Index Prediction

  • Yu, Yeonguk;Kim, Yoon-Joong
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • 제15권5호
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    • pp.1231-1242
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    • 2019
  • This paper presents a two-dimensional attention-based long short-memory (2D-ALSTM) model for stock index prediction, incorporating input attention and temporal attention mechanisms for weighting of important stocks and important time steps, respectively. The proposed model is designed to overcome the long-term dependency, stock selection, and stock volatility delay problems that negatively affect existing models. The 2D-ALSTM model is validated in a comparative experiment involving the two attention-based models multi-input LSTM (MI-LSTM) and dual-stage attention-based recurrent neural network (DARNN), with real stock data being used for training and evaluation. The model achieves superior performance compared to MI-LSTM and DARNN for stock index prediction on a KOSPI100 dataset.

에너지인터넷에서 1D-CNN과 양방향 LSTM을 이용한 에너지 수요예측 (Prediction for Energy Demand Using 1D-CNN and Bidirectional LSTM in Internet of Energy)

  • 정호철;선영규;이동구;김수현;황유민;심이삭;오상근;송승호;김진영
    • 전기전자학회논문지
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.134-142
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    • 2019
  • 에너지인터넷 기술의 발전과 다양한 전자기기의 보급으로 에너지소비량이 패턴이 다양해짐에 따라 수요예측에 대한 신뢰도가 감소하고 있어 발전량 최적화 및 전력공급 안정화에 문제를 야기하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 고신뢰성을 갖는 수요예측을 위해 딥러닝 기법인 Convolution neural network(CNN)과 Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory(BLSTM)을 융합한 1Dimention-Convolution and Bidirectional LSTM(1D-ConvBLSTM)을 제안하고, 제안한 기법을 활용하여 시계열 에너지소비량대한 소비패턴을 효과적으로 추출한다. 실험 결과에서는 다양한 반복학습 횟수와 feature map에 대해서 수요를 예측하고 적은 반복학습 횟수로도 테스트 데이터의 그래프 개형을 예측하는 것을 검증한다.

촉진열화 및 장기폭로시험에 의한 고성능 PC패널의 내구성능 및 열화특성 (Characterization of Durability of PC panel by Accelerating Test in Deterioration Chamber and Long-Term Field Exposure Test)

  • 마상준;장필성;최재석;주정민
    • 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지반공학회 2008년도 추계 학술발표회
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    • pp.1549-1554
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, The evaluation of durability of the PC Panel lining for tunnel structure was examined through the rapid test by carbonation and freezing and thawing. Also for the purpose of improvement of durability. Namely, the durable characteristics of PC Panel lining by carbonation and freezing and thawing, was evaluated by rapid test and long-term field exposure test and main influence factors were derived. As a result of test, Correlation of accelerating test in deterioration chamber and long-term field exposure test, it will be expected that the proposed correlation well to the prediction of life expectancy of structure and is contributed greatly in the future.

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Radar Quantitative Precipitation Estimation using Long Short-Term Memory Networks

  • Thi, Linh Dinh;Yoon, Seong-Sim;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2020년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.183-183
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    • 2020
  • Accurate quantitative precipitation estimation plays an important role in hydrological modelling and prediction. Instantaneous quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) by utilizing the weather radar data is a great applicability for operational hydrology in a catchment. Previously, regression technique performed between reflectivity (Z) and rain intensity (R) is used commonly to obtain radar QPEs. A novel, recent approaching method which might be applied in hydrological area for QPE is Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Networks. LSTM networks is a development and evolution of Recurrent Neuron Networks (RNNs) method that overcomes the limited memory capacity of RNNs and allows learning of long-term input-output dependencies. The advantages of LSTM compare to RNN technique is proven by previous works. In this study, LSTM networks is used to estimate the quantitative precipitation from weather radar for an urban catchment in South Korea. Radar information and rain-gauge data are used to evaluate and verify the estimation. The estimation results figure out that LSTM approaching method shows the accuracy and outperformance compared to Z-R relationship method. This study gives us the high potential of LSTM and its applications in urban hydrology.

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NARX 신경회로망을 이용한 부하추종운전시의 울진 3호기 원자로 모델링 (Nuclear Reactor Modeling in Load Following Operations for UCN 3 with NARX Neural Network -)

  • 이상경;이은철
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2005년도 심포지엄 논문집 정보 및 제어부문
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    • pp.21-23
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    • 2005
  • NARX(Nonlinear AutoRegressive with eXogenous input) neural network was used for prediction of nuclear reactor behavior which was influenced by control rods in short-term period and also by xenon and boron in long-term period in load following operations. The developed model was designed to predict reactor power, xenon worth and axial offset with different burnup rates when control rod and boron were adjusted in load following operations. Data of UCN 3 were collected by ONED94 code. The test results presented exhibit the capability of the NARX neural network model to capture the long term and short term dynamics of the reactor core and seems to be utilized as a handy tool for the use of a plant simulation.

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