• 제목/요약/키워드: Long term change

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국제장기상거래계약에서의 재협상 및 계약변경에 관한 연구: 원계약 상 관련 조항이 포함되지 않은 계약을 중심으로 (A Study on the Renegotiation and Adaptation of International Long Term Commercial Contracts: Focusing on the Contracts without the Renegotiating Clauses)

  • 윤주영
    • 무역학회지
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    • 제45권5호
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    • pp.117-139
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    • 2020
  • In case of international long-term transactions, there are various risks of economic change of circumstances including skyrocketing price increase and shortage of raw material, as well as force majeure in a general sense. Nevertheless, pretty many of international long-term commercial contracts do not include the provisions of renegotiation and adaptation of the contract. In this case, possibility of renegotiation and adaptation depends mainly on the applicable law. Namely, it may be possible or not, according to choice of law. The reason is that national laws have nuances each other, and most of national courts are traditionally reluctant to accept hardship. and also, provisions of international uniform law (CISG) has ambiguity and inflexibility in relation to the problems of change of circumstances. Accordingly, this paper analyzes comparatively the doctrines and provisions related to renegotiation and adaptation of contracts of the most representative countries such as England, U.S.A., France, Germany as well as provisions CISG and soft law such as PICC. By doing so, the author makes clear which laws of instruments is more flexible or acceptable in allowing renegotiation and adaptation of long-term commercial contracts, and emphasizes on the importance of inclusion of express terms by using other alternative supplementing clauses, as a best solution for settling the problems of legal uncertainty of contract in relation to renegotiation and adaptation.

조위 및 수온, 염분 데이터를 이용한 동해 연안의 해수면 변화 (Long-term Change in Sea Level along the Eastern Coastal Waters of Korea using Tide Gauge, Water Temperature and Salinity)

  • 박세영;이충일
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제23권5호
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    • pp.801-806
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    • 2014
  • Long-term change in sea level along the eastern coast of Korea was illustrated using four tide-gauge station (Pohang, Mukho, Sokcho, Ulleung) data, water temperature and salinity. Seasonal variation in the sea level change was dominant. The sea level change by steric height derived from water temperature and salinity was relatively lower than that measured from the tide-gauge stations. Sea level rising rate per year by steric height increased with latitude. The effect of salinity(water temperature) on the sea level change is greater in winter(in summer).

아동 발달연구에 있어서 미시발생적 방법의 실과 허 (Merits and Limitations of Microgenetic Method as a Means of Studying Developmental Change)

  • 전명남
    • 아동학회지
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.97-107
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    • 2001
  • This study argues the nature of the microgenetic method in respect to child development research and explores its merits and limitations. The microgenetic method focuses on observations that span the entire period from the beginning of developmental change to the time it reaches a relatively stable state. This produces a high density of observations relative to the rate of change in the phenomenon. In this way, observed behavior may be used in intensive trial-by-trial analysis. The microgenetic method is superior to other methods in the possibilities for observing developmental changes as they occur, examining various aspects of change, detecting variability in behavior, and flexibility in application regardless of theoretical perspectives. Limitations of this method include reliability problems due to repeated observations, artificiality relative to the natural situation, inconsistency of short-and long-term change, and demands on children's motivation for participation in research.

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Long-term Sediment Discharge Analysis in Yongdam Dam Watershed due to Climate Change

  • Felix, Micah Lourdes;Kim, Joocheol;Choi, Mikyoung;Jung, Kwansue
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2020년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.327-327
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    • 2020
  • Increase in Earth's surface temperature, higher rainfall intensity rate, and rapid changes in land cover are just some of the most evident effects of climate change. Flooding, and river sedimentation are two inevitable natural processes in our environment, and both issues poses great risks in the dam industry when not addressed properly. River sedimentation is a significant issue that causes reservoir deposition, and thus causes the dam to gradually lose its ability to store water. In this study, the long-term effects of climate change on the sediment discharge in Yongdam Dam watershed is analyzed through the utilization of SWAT, a semi-distributed watershed model. Based from the results of this study, an abrupt increase on the annual sediment inflow trend in Yongdam Dam watershed was observed; which may suggests that due to the effects of climate change, higher rainfall intensity, land use and land cover changes, the sedimentation rate also increased. An efficient sedimentation management should consider the increasing trend in sedimentation rate due to the effects of climate change.

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장기보존시험에 따른 쌍화탕의 유통기한 설정 (Establishment of Shelf-life of Ssanghwa-tang by Long-term Storage Test)

  • 서창섭;김정훈;임순희;신현규
    • 생약학회지
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    • 제43권3호
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    • pp.257-264
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study was to estimate the shelf-life of Ssanghwa-tang by long-term storage test. Experiments were conducted to evaluate the stability such as the selected physicochemical, pH, identification, heavy metal, microbiological experiment under a long-term storage test of Ssanghwa-tang. The significant change was not showed in pH, heavy metal, microbiological, identification test and quantitative analysis based on long-term storage test. The contents of albiflorin, paeoniflorin, cinnamic acid, liquiritin, and glycyrrhizin in long-term storage test were 66.8-93.1 ${\mu}g/mL$, 429.0-495.0 ${\mu}g/mL$, 3.8-4.4 ${\mu}g/mL$, 32.0-38.1 ${\mu}g/mL$, and 66.8-71.7 ${\mu}g/mL$, respectively. Shelf-lifes by 5 compounds about 3 lots at room temperature were predicted 21-37, 14-21, and 16-72 months, respectively. The suggested shelf-life would be helpful on the storage and distribution of herbal medicine.

Relationship between Interannual Variability of Phytoplankton and Tropical Cyclones in the Western North Pacific

  • Park, Jong-Yeon;Kug, Jong-Seong;Park, Ji-Soo;Chang, Chan-Joo
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제34권1호
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    • pp.29-35
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    • 2012
  • We investigated the interannual relationship between chlorophyll concentrations in the western North Pacific and tropical cyclones (TCs) in the western North Pacific by analyzing data collected for >12 years. Despite the short-term scale (2~3 weeks) in the contribution of tropical cyclones to phytoplankton, the current study revealed that the long-term chlorophyll variability in the western North Pacific is profoundly related to long-term variability in the frequency of TCs. It was also found that the Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO) tends to control such relationships between the 2 bio-physical systems. This result suggests a significant climatic relationship between TC activity and marine phytoplankton, and also suggests the possibility of more accurate estimations of primary production in the western North Pacific.

요양병원 간병비 지급이 건강보험 진료이용량에 미치는 영향 (Is the amount of the medical care utilization affected by the cash benefits for patients in the geriatric hospital?)

  • 강임옥;한은정;이정석
    • 보건행정학회지
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.36-50
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    • 2009
  • Korean Government had performed three pilot programs to introduce the long term care insurance system. Persons aged 65 or older who are dependent on others for daily living could use long term care services in the pilot program. The long-term care insurance covered nursing home services, home care services and cash benefits. The cash benefits are included that for elderly at home and for patients in geriatric hospital. This study investigated whether there had been any change in the medical care utilization according to cash benefits for geriatric hospitalization. This study used National Health Insurance claims and Long term Care Insurance claims 2003 through 2006. Data were composed of subjects who undertook both insurance coverage. The subjects was divided into two groups. Case group included participants with the cash benefits of geriatric hospitalization. Control group included persons without the cash benefits selected by random sampling according to the distribution of case group. This study showed that the amount of medical care utilization of the case group is more significantly increased than the control group after adjusted their health condition and functional condition. This result will be helpful for making decisions on whether the cash benefit of geriatric hospitalization can be introduced into long term care insurance system.

노인장기요양보험제도가 노인진료비에 미치는 영향 (Effect of the Long-term Care Insurance Policy on Medical Expenditures for the Elderly)

  • 한남경;정우진;김노을;임승지;박종연
    • 보건행정학회지
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.132-144
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    • 2013
  • Background: The purpose of this study was to analyze the medical expense change and influencing factors after introducing longterm care insurance system. The study period was 2 years before and after introduction of the system. Methods: We analyzed data collected from two divided group lived in Incheon. Four hundred and eighty-five elderly who received long-term care wage for one year were selected for experimental group. For control group, 1,940 elderly were selected by gender and age stratified random sampling. Difference-In-difference analyses was used for evaluating policy effectiveness. Also multiple regression analyses were conducted to identify the factors associated with total medical expenditures. The control variables were demographic variables, economic status, diseases, and medical examination variables. Results: Difference-in-difference analyses showed that total average medical expenses among long-term patients has decreased by 61.85%. Of these, the hospitalization expenses have decreased by 91.63% and the drug expenses have increased by 31.85%. Multiple regression analyses results showed that total average medical expenses among long-term patients have significantly decreased by 46.5% after introducing the long-term care insurance. The hospitalization expenses have significantly decreased by 148.5%, whereas the drug expenses have increased by 53.6%. And outpatient expenses have increased by 10.4%, but the differences were not statistically significant. Conclusion: The results showed that total medical expenses and hospitalization expenses have decreased after introducing the long-term care insurance. These results could support the opinion that the health insurance spending among long-term patients will be reduced gradually by long-term care insurance through changing medical demand.

노인장기요양보험 급여비용의 중장기 추계 (Projecting Public Expenditures for Long-Term Care in Korea)

  • 윤희숙;권형준
    • 보건행정학회지
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.37-63
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    • 2010
  • Public expenditures on long-term care are a matter of concern for Korea as in many other countries. The expenditure is expected to accelerate and to put pressure on public budgets, adding to that arising from insufficient retirement schemes and other forms of social spending. This study tried to foresee how much health care spending could increase in the future considering demographic and non-demographic factors as the drivers of expenditure. Previous projections of future long-term expenditure were mainly based on a given relation between spending and age structure. However, although demographic factors will surely put upward pressure on long-term care costs, other non-demographic factors, such as labor cost increase and availability of informal care, should be taken into account as well. Also, the possibility of dynamic link between health status and longevity gains needs to be considered. The model in this study is cell-base and consists of three main parts. The first part estimated the numbers of elderly people with different levels of health status by age group, gender, household type. The second part estimated the levels of long-term care services required, by attaching a probability of receiving long-term care services to each cell using from the sample from current year. The third part of the model estimated long-term care expenditure, along the demographic and non-demographic factors' change in various scenarios. Public spending on long-term care could rise from the current level of 0.2~0.3% of GDP to around 0.44~2.30% by 2040.

활동적 노화의 관점에서 본 장기요양시설의 돌봄 유형 분석 (Analysis of Care Types in Long-term Care Facilities from the View of Active Ageing)

  • 김현정
    • 한국노년학
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    • 제41권1호
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    • pp.85-105
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    • 2021
  • 본 연구는 활동적 노화의 관점을 적용하여 장기요양시설에서의 돌봄 유형에 관한 다양한 인식유형을 분석하는 데 목적을 둔다. 이를 위해 Q방법론을 적용하였다. WHO의 활동적 노화를 위한 건강, 안전, 참여 세 영역에서 장기요양시설의 돌봄에 관한 다양한 생각을 파악하기 위해 심층면접을 진행하였다. 면접조사에는 장기요양시설 거주 노인, 거주 노인의 성인자녀, 지역사회 거주 노인, 서비스 제공자, 장기요양 전문가 등 35명이 참여하였다. 451개의 Q모집단 중 63개의 Q표본을 추출하였으며, 최종 자료분석에는 43개의 P표본 자료가 활용되었다. QUANL 프로그램을 활용하여 자료를 분석한 결과, 3개의 요인구조(4개 유형)가 적합하며 이는 전체 변량의 30.15%를 설명하는 것으로 나타났다. 현재 장기요양시설의 돌봄은 보호 중심 돌봄(1유형), 참여 중심 돌봄(2유형), 의료연계 중심 돌봄(3유형), 인간 중심 돌봄(4유형)으로 유형화할 수 있다. 본 연구결과를 바탕으로 장기요양시설에서 돌봄의 질적 변화를 위한 제도적, 실천적 함의를 제시하였다.