• Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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• 1998.10a
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• pp.271-274
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• 1998

In this paper we examine long-term memory of the financial time-series by employing the R/S analysis, the Hurst exponent estimation, and the modified R/S analysis. The null hypothesis of white-noise is tested using the NYSE daily indexes from January 1966 to July 1998, and the results show that long-range dependence exists before the apparent structural break of the Black Monday in 1987.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• 2017.11a
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• pp.50-53
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• 2017

Not only growth of importance to understanding economic trends, but also the prediction to overcome the uncertainty is coming up for long-term maritime recession. This paper discussed about the prediction of BDI with artificial neural networks (ANN). ANN is one of emerging applications that can be the finest solution to the knotty problems that may not easy to achieve by humankind. Proposed a prediction by implementing neural networks that have recurrent architecture which are a Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM). And for the reason of comparison, trained Multi Layer Perceptron (MLP) from 2009.04.01 to 2017.07.31. Also made a comparison with conventional statistics, prediction tools; ARIMA. As a result, recurrent net, especially RNN outperformed and also could discover the applicability of LSTM to specific time-series (BDI).

• Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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• v.64 no.1
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• pp.39-50
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• 2022

In this study, we suggested the optimal training period for predicting the streamflow using the LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) model based on the deep learning and CMIP5 (The fifth phase of the Couple Model Intercomparison Project) future climate scenarios. To validate the model performance of LSTM, the Jinan-gun (Seongsan-ri) site was selected in this study. We comfirmed that the LSTM-based streamflow was highly comparable to the measurements during the calibration (2000 to 2002/2014 to 2015) and validation (2003 to 2005/2016 to 2017) periods. Additionally, we compared the LSTM-based streamflow to the SWAT-based output during the calibration (2000~2015) and validation (2016~2019) periods. The results supported that the LSTM model also performed well in simulating streamflow during the long-term period, although small uncertainties exist. Then the SWAT-based daily streamflow was forecasted using the CMIP5 climate scenario forcing data in 2011~2100. We tested and determined the optimal training period for the LSTM model by comparing the LSTM-/SWAT-based streamflow with various scenarios. Note that the SWAT-based streamflow values were assumed as the observation because of no measurements in future (2011~2100). Our results showed that the LSTM-based streamflow was similar to the SWAT-based streamflow when the training data over the 30 years were used. These findings indicated that training periods more than 30 years were required to obtain LSTM-based reliable streamflow forecasts using climate change scenarios.

• Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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• v.26 no.2
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• pp.119-124
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• 2022

The international gnss service (IGS) provides real-time service (RTS) orbit and clock correction applicable to the broadcast ephemeris of GNSS satellites. However, since the RTS correction cannot be received if the Internet connection is lost, the RTS correction should be predicted and used when a signal interruption occurs in order to perform stable precise point positioning (PPP). In this paper, PPP was performed by predicting orbit and clock correction using a long short-term memory (LSTM) algorithm in real-time during the signal loss. The prediction performance was analyzed by implementing the LSTM algorithm in RPI (raspberry pi), the processing speed of which is not high. Compared to the polynomial prediction model, LSTM showed excellent performance in long-term prediction.

• Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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• v.40 no.2
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• pp.65-79
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• 2024

This study employs traditional statistical auto-regressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) and deep learning-based long short-term memory (LSTM) models to predict the deformation of earth retaining walls using inclinometer data from excavation sites. It compares the predictive capabilities of both models. The ARIMA model excels in analyzing linear patterns as time progresses, while the LSTM model is adept at handling complex nonlinear patterns and long-term dependencies in the data. This research includes preprocessing of inclinometer measurement data, performance evaluation across various data lengths and input conditions, and demonstrates that the LSTM model provides statistically significant improvements in prediction accuracy over the ARIMA model. The findings suggest that LSTM models can effectively assess the stability of retaining walls at excavation sites. Additionally, this study is expected to contribute to the development of safety monitoring systems at excavation sites and the advancement of time series prediction models.

• Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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• v.36 no.5
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• pp.315-321
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• 2023

Long-span bridges are flexible structures with low natural frequencies and damping ratios, making them susceptible to vibrational serviceability problems. However, the current design guideline of South Korea assumes a uniform threshold of wind speed or vibrational amplitude to assess the occurrence of harmful vibrations, potentially overlooking the complex vibrational patterns observed in long-span bridges. In this study, we propose a pointwise vortex-induced vibration (VIV) detection method using a deep-learning-based signalsegmentation model. Departing from conventional supervised methods of data acquisition and manual labeling, we synthesize training data by generating sinusoidal waves with an envelope to accurately represent VIV. A Fourier synchrosqueezed transform is leveraged to extract time-frequency features, which serve as input data for training a bidirectional long short-term memory model. The effectiveness of the model trained on synthetic VIV data is demonstrated through a comparison with its counterpart trained on manually labeled real datasets from an actual cable-supported bridge.

• Journal of the Korean earth science society
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• v.26 no.6
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• pp.469-476
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• 2005

The objective of this study is to investigate the effects of a new learning method called, 'e-Learning,' by applying this method on a middle school science curriculum and study the influence it has on the students’ short and long term memory. The study was performed on two classes of sixth grade students at 'K middle school' in Yangsan. By handing out structured study assignment in e-Learning, I was able to observe how it affected the learners’ short and long term retention. The results of the study were as follows: First, classes that underwent studies using e-Learning did not show any influence on short term retention. Second, e-Learning had positive influence on long term retention. Third, learners who experienced e-Learning had positive cognition on e-Learning.

• Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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• v.34 no.4
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• pp.109-118
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• 2022

The data of the missing section among the vertex surface sea temperature observation data was imputed using the Bidirectional Recurrent Neural Network(BiRNN). Among artificial intelligence techniques, Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs), which are commonly used for time series data, only estimate in the direction of time flow or in the reverse direction to the missing estimation position, so the estimation performance is poor in the long-term missing section. On the other hand, in this study, estimation performance can be improved even for long-term missing data by estimating in both directions before and after the missing section. Also, by using all available data around the observation point (sea surface temperature, temperature, wind field, atmospheric pressure, humidity), the imputation performance was further improved by estimating the imputation data from these correlations together. For performance verification, a statistical model, Multivariate Imputation by Chained Equations (MICE), a machine learning-based Random Forest model, and an RNN model using Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) were compared. For imputation of long-term missing for 7 days, the average accuracy of the BiRNN/statistical models is 70.8%/61.2%, respectively, and the average error is 0.28 degrees/0.44 degrees, respectively, so the BiRNN model performs better than other models. By applying a temporal decay factor representing the missing pattern, it is judged that the BiRNN technique has better imputation performance than the existing method as the missing section becomes longer.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.29 no.7
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• pp.1213-1229
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• 2016

Cho and Shin (2016) recently demonstrated that an integrated HAR model has a forecast advantage over the HAR model of Corsi (2009). Recalling that realized volatilities of financial assets have asymmetries, we add a leverage term to the integrated HAR model, yielding the LIHAR model. Out-of-sample forecast comparisons show superiority of the LIHAR model over the HAR and IHAR models. The comparison was made for all the 20 realized volatilities in the Oxford-Man Realized Library focusing specially on the DJIA, the S&P 500, the Russell 2000, and the KOSPI. Analysis of the realized volatility data sets reveal apparent long-memory and asymmetry. The LIHAR model takes advantage of the long-memory and asymmetry and produces better forecasts than the HAR, IHAR, LHAR models.

• Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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• v.22 no.3
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• pp.37-58
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• 1997

An AI approach with tabu search is designed to solve multi-level knapsack problems. The approach performs intelligent actions with memories of historic data and learning effect. These action are developed ont only by observing the attributes of the optimal solution, the solution space, and its corresponding path to the optimal, but also by applying human intelligence, experience, and intuition with respect to the search strategies. The approach intensifies, or diversifies the search process appropriately in time and space. In order to create a good neighborhood structure, this approach uses two powerful choice rules that emphasize the impact of candidate variables on the current solution with respect to their profit contribution. "Pseudo moves", similar to "aspirations", support these choice rules during the evaluation process. For the purpose of visiting as many relevant points as possible, strategic oscillation between feasible and infeasible solutions around the boundary is applied. To avoid redundant moves, short-term (tabu-lists), intemediate-term (cycle-detection), and long-term (recording frequency and significant solutions for diversfication) memories are used. Test results show that among the 45 generated problems (these problems pose significant or insurmountable challenges to exact methods) the approach produces the optimal solutions in 39 cases.lutions in 39 cases.