• Title/Summary/Keyword: Logit분석

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LOGIT 분석과 AHP 분석을 이용한 부도예측모형의 비교연구

  • Woo, Chun-Sik;Kim, Kwang-Yong;Kang, Seong-Beom
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.229-252
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    • 1997
  • 본 연구에서는 실무 및 학계에 종사하는 45명의 전문가 집단을 대상으로 쌍별비교(pairwise comparision)에 의한 설문조사에서 얻어진 전문가들의 의견을 AHP 분석을 통하여 종합하는 과정을 거쳐 부도예측모형을 설계하여 검증한 뒤, LOGIT모형과 비교하였다. 본 연구에 의하면 부도예측모형에서 정량적인 정보보다 정성적인 정보가 더 중요한 역할을 한다는 D.Bunn-G.Wright(1991)의 연구와 일치하는 결과를 얻을 수 있었다. 본 연구에서 발견된 분석결과를 요약하면 다음과 같다. 첫째로 LOGIT 모형과 AHP 모형에서 모두 정량적인 정보만을 고려하는 경우보다 정성적인 정보를 함께 고려한 모형에서 부도예측율이 더 높은 것으로 나타나고 있어 부도가능성을 예측하는데 있어 정성적인 정보가 중요한 역할을 한다는 결론을 얻었다. 둘째로 AHP를 이용한 부도예측 모형을 설계할 때 각 속성에 대한 전문가(45명)들의 의견을 종합하는 방법으로 산술평균과 기하평균을 이용한 검증결과에 의하면 기하평균방법을 통하여 전문가들의 의견을 종합하는 것이 보다 합리적이라는 실증적 증거를 얻을 수 있었다. 셋째로 Akaike의 기준값을 분석한 결과에 의하면 LOGIT 모형은 정량적인 정보와 정성적인 정보를 모두 이용한 모형이 가장 우수한 것으로 판명되었고, 모형의 부도예측력도 가장 높은 것으로 밝혀졌다. AHP 모형은 정성적인 정보만을 이용한 모형에서 가장 높은 부도예측을을 나타내었으며, 기하평균을 이용한 AHP 모형은 LOGIT 모형보다 항상 높은 부도예측율을 보여주었다.

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Measuring Recreation Benefits of Dam Reservoirs in Korea - A Mixed Logit Approach - (댐호수의 특성별 휴양가치 분석)

  • Kwon, Oh Sang;Kim, Won Hee;Lee, Hae Jin;Heo, Jeong Hoi;Park, Doo-Ho
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.867-891
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this study is estimating the recreation benefits of the largest 10 dam reservoirs in Korea. A mixed logit or random parameters log it model is constructed and estimated. Not only the recreation value of each dam lake but also the values of the main characteristics of the lakes such as the amount of water reserved, and the availability of boating and fishing are estimated. It is shown that recreation value is not less than other benefit such as irrigation, industrial, municipal use, hydro power, or even flood control benefit.

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Construct Validation of the Short Sensory Profile-2 (SSP-2) for Children With Autism Spectrum Disorder (자폐스펙트럼 장애 아동에 대한 단축형 감각 프로파일-2(Short Sensory Profile-2)의 구성타당도 연구)

  • Bak, Ah-Ream;Yoo, Doo-Han;Hong, Deok-Gi
    • The Journal of Korean Academy of Sensory Integration
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.15-28
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    • 2020
  • Objective : The purpose of this study was to verify the construct validity of Short Sensory Profile-2 (SSP-2) for children with Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD). Methods : Data were collected from SSP-2 for 120 parents of ASD children. Raw data were analyzed by applying the Rasch analysis to the goodness fit of person and item, item difficulty, rating scale, and separation reliability of SSP-2. Results : 7 persons in sensory processing area and 8 persons in behavioral response area were inappropriate criteria and excluded from the analysis. Item goodness-of-fit analysis determined that the If the Mnsq value is between 0.6 and 1.4 and the Z value is outside the ±2 range for nonconformity. this study All items in the instrument were found to have appropriate criteria. Item difficulty analysis in sensory processing area was high in item 13 (.48 logit) and low in item 10 (-.54 logit). In the behavioral response area, item 25 (1.58 logit) was high and item 30 (-.68 logit) was low. In the rating scale analysis, it was found that the 3-point scale is more appropriate than the 5-point scale. The separation reliability of sensory processing area was .90 and the behavioral response area was .95. Conclusion : This study verified the construct validity of SSP-2 and expected to be applied as a useful evaluation tool for children with ASD.

A Study on Determinants of Use and Satisfaction of Reverse Mortgage Considering Socioeconomic Characteristics of the Elderly (고령층의 사회경제적 특성을 고려한 주택연금 이용 및 만족도 결정요인 분석)

  • Lee, Jae Song;Choi, Yeol
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.437-444
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the factors affecting the reverse mortgage utilization and satisfaction of the elderly. Based on the survey data of the reverse mortgage demand in 2016, we carried out empirical analysis using the binary logit model and the ordered logit model. First of all, as a result of the empirical analysis using the binary logit model, the determinants of using the reverse mortgage were age, region, assets, household member, children with financial help, and education level. As a result of the empirical analysis using the ordered logit model, the determinants of the satisfaction level of the reverse mortgage were estimated to be age, gender, and region. Based on the results of the empirical analysis, it is necessary to find a way to increase the participation rate of the reverse mortgage and to improve the satisfaction of the user.

A Unifying Model for Hypothesis Testing Using Legislative Voting Data: A Multilevel Item-Response-Theory Model

  • Jeong, Gyung-Ho
    • Analyses & Alternatives
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.3-24
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    • 2021
  • This paper introduces a multilevel item-response-theory (IRT) model as a unifying model for hypothesis testing using legislative voting data. This paper shows that a probit or logit model is a special type of multilevel IRT model. In particular, it is demonstrated that, when a probit or logit model is applied to multiple votes, it makes unrealistic assumptions and produces incorrect coefficient estimates. The advantages of a multilevel IRT model over a probit or logit model are illustrated with a Monte Carlo experiment and an example from the U.S. House. Finally, this paper provides a practical guide to fitting this model to legislative voting data.

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A Consideration of Logit Transformation for Estimating the Dosage-Mortality Regression Equation (약량 반응곡선의 추정에 있어서 Logit 변환법의 이용)

  • 송유한
    • Journal of Sericultural and Entomological Science
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.36-39
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    • 1978
  • With the current advances in insect toxicant bioassay, the need for easy methods of estimating the dosage-mortality regression equation has become vital. The Probit analysis seems to be not convenient for estimating the dosage-mortality regression equation and median lethal dose(LD50) because of its complexity in calculation. This study presents a comparision between Probit and Losit transformation for the estimation from bioassay results. Validation of the two methods is presented for the pathogenecity of nuclear polyhedrosis virus to the larva of fall web worm, Hyphantria cunea D.

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Bayesian logit models with auxiliary mixture sampling for analyzing diabetes diagnosis data (보조 혼합 샘플링을 이용한 베이지안 로지스틱 회귀모형 : 당뇨병 자료에 적용 및 분류에서의 성능 비교)

  • Rhee, Eun Hee;Hwang, Beom Seuk
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.131-146
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    • 2022
  • Logit models are commonly used to predicting and classifying categorical response variables. Most Bayesian approaches to logit models are implemented based on the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. However, the algorithm has disadvantages of slow convergence and difficulty in ensuring adequacy for the proposal distribution. Therefore, we use auxiliary mixture sampler proposed by Frühwirth-Schnatter and Frühwirth (2007) to estimate logit models. This method introduces two sequences of auxiliary latent variables to make logit models satisfy normality and linearity. As a result, the method leads that logit model can be easily implemented by Gibbs sampling. We applied the proposed method to diabetes data from the Community Health Survey (2020) of the Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency and compared performance with Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. In addition, we showed that the logit model using auxiliary mixture sampling has a great classification performance comparable to that of the machine learning models.

Evaluation of Distress Prediction Model for Food Service Industry in Korea : Using the Logit Analysis (국내 외식기업의 부실예측모형 평가 : 로짓분석을 적용하여)

  • Kim, Si-Joong
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.20 no.11
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    • pp.151-156
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    • 2019
  • This study aims to develop a distress prediction model and to evaluate distress prediction power for the food services industry by using 2017 food service industry financial ratios. Samples were collected from 46 food service industries, and we extracted 14 financial ratios from them. The results show that, first, there are eight ratios (financial ratio, current ratio, operating income to sales, net income to assets, ratio of cash flows, income to stockholders' equity, rate of operating income, and total asset turnover) that can discriminate failures in food service industries and the top-level food service industries. Second, by using these eight financial ratios, the logit function classifies the top-level food service industries, and failures in the food service industry can be estimated by using logit analysis. The verification results as to accuracy in the estimated logit analysis indicate that the model's distress-prediction power is 89.1%.

Application of Logit Model in Qualitative Dependent Variables (로짓모형을 이용한 질적 종속변수의 분석)

  • Lee, Kil-Soon;Yu, Wann
    • Journal of Families and Better Life
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    • v.10 no.1 s.19
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    • pp.131-138
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    • 1992
  • Regression analysis has become a standard statistical tool in the behavioral science. Because of its widespread popularity. regression has been often misused. Such is the case when the dependent variable is a qualitative measure rather than a continuous, interval measure. Regression estimates with a qualitative dependent variable does not meet the assumptions underlying regression. It can lead to serious errors in the standard statistical inference. Logit model is recommended as alternatives to the regression model for qualitative dependent variables. Researchers can employ this model to measure the relationship between independent variables and qualitative dependent variables without assuming that logit model was derived from probabilistic choice theory. Coefficients in logit model are typically estimated by the method of Maximum Likelihood Estimation in contrast to ordinary regression model which estimated by the method of Least Squares Estimation. Goodness of fit in logit model is based on the likelihood ratio statistics and the t-statistics is used for testing the null hypothesis.

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Development of Mode Choice Model and Applications Considering Connectivity of Express Way (고속도로 연계성을 반영한 고속철도 수단선택모형 개발 및 적용)

  • Cho, Hang-Ung;Chung, Sung-Bong;Kim, Si-Gon;Oh, Jae-Hak
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.383-389
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    • 2011
  • Until now, in planning and constructing KTX and the Express Way, the connectivity and transfer between these facilities have not been considered. In this study the effect of mode choice behavior by connecting KTX and the Express Way is analyzed through estimating Multinomial Logit Model and Binary Logit Model. The SP and RP surveys to develop these models were carried out and the data were selected from the passengers using the KTX station, Express Bus Terminals and Rest Areas in the Express Way. To test the effect of connectivity and transfer in the field, the case study for Dongtan KTX station was carried out. According to the results, connecting the KTX station and the Express Way has the effect of increasing the demand by 30%. And this is caused by saving about 120 minutes of traveling time from Seoul to Pusan. This study shows that the connectivity and transfer can increase the efficiency of transportation system and the improvement in the mobility and accessibility will maximize the usages of these two facilities.