• Title/Summary/Keyword: Log-Pearson Type III 분포

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Separation Effect of Rainfall Data Based on Parameter Estimation Methods (매개변수 추정방법에 따른 강우자료의 분리효과)

  • 김경덕;배덕효
    • Water for future
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.129-139
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    • 1996
  • It is very important to select appropriate distributions for hydrological data in planning and designing hydraulic structures. Also, it is necessary to check whether the selected distribution reproduces the statistical characteristics of the real data. In this study, the parameters of the two- and three-parameter gamma, two- and three-parameter lognormal, Gumbel, two- and three-parameter log-Gumbel, GEV, log-Pearsonn type III, two- and three-parameter Weibull, four- and five-parameter Wakeby distributions were estimated for the rainfall data of 22 sites in Korea with 7 different durations based on the methods of moments, probability weighted moments, and maximum likelihood. And the validity conditions were checked for the estimated parameters. The separation effect for each distribution was examined throught 10,000 simulations using the estimated parameters. As results, the separation effect was the smallest: log-Pearson type III for moment method, log-Pearson type III and GEV for probability weighted moment method, and GEV for maximum likelihood method. However, it is large for the two-parameter distributions.

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Comparative Studies on the Design Floods Derived by Different Methods for the Parameters of the Log Pearson Type III Distribution (Log Pearson Type III 분포 모형에 의한 매개변수 유도방법별 설계홍수량의 비교 고찰)

  • Lee Soon-hyuk;Jong Youn-su;Maeng Sung-jin;Ryoo Kyong-sik
    • KCID journal
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.34-50
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    • 1997
  • This study was conducted to derive optimal design floods by Log Pearson Type III distribution model of the annual maximum series at five watersheds along Geum, Yeong San and Seom Jin river systems. Design floods obtained by different methods for evaluatio

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Analysis of Soil Erosion Hazard Zone by R Factor Frequency (빈도별 R인자에 의한 토양침식 위험지역 분석)

  • Kim, Joo-Hun;Oh, Deuk-Keun
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.47-56
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    • 2004
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate soil loss amount according to the rainfall-runoff erosivity factor frequency and to analyze the hazard zone that has high possibilities of soil erosion in the watershed. RUSLE was used to analyze soil loss quantity. The study area is Gwanchon that is part of Seomjin river basin. To obtain the frequency rainfall-runoff erosivity factor, the daily maximum rainfall data for 39 years was used. The probability rainfall was calculated by using the Normal distribution, Log-normal distribution, Pearson type III distribution, Log-Pearson type III distribution and Extreme-I distribution. Log-Pearson type III was considered to be the most accurate of all, and used to estimate 24 hours probabilistic rainfall, and the rainfall-runoff erosivity factor by frequency was estimated by adapting the Huff distribution ratio. As a result of estimating soil erosion quantity, the average soil quantity shows 12.8 and $68.0ton/ha{\cdot}yr$, respectively from 2 years to 200 years frequency. The distribution of soil loss quantity within a watershed was classified into 4 classes, and the hazard zone that has high possibilities of soil erosion was analyzed on the basis of these 4 classes. The hazard zone represents class IV. The land use area of class IV shows $0.01-5.28km^2$, it ranges 0.02-9.06% of total farming area. Especially, in the case of a frequency of 200 years, the field area occupies 77.1% of total fanning area. Accordingly, it is considered that soil loss can be influenced by land cover and cultivation practices.

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Comparative Analysis of regional and at-site analysis for the design rainfall by Log-Pearson Type III and GEV Distribution (Log-Pearson Type III 및 GEV분포모형에 의한 강우의 지점 및 지역빈도 비교분석)

  • Ryoo, Kyong-Sik;Lee, Soon-Hyuk
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.443-446
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    • 2003
  • This study was conducted to draw design rainfall for the regional design rainfall derived by the optimal distribution and method of frequency analysis. The design rainfalls were calculated by the regional and at-site analysis for Log-Pearson type III and GEV distributions and were compared with Relative efficiency(RE) which is ratio of Relative root-mean-square error(RRMSE) by the regional and at-site analysis for Log-Pearson type III and GEV distributions. Consequently, optimal design rainfalls following the regions and consecutive durations were derived by the regional frequency analysis for GEV distribution and design rainfall maps were drawn by GIS techniques.

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Separation Effect Analysis for Rainfall Data (강우자료의 분리효과)

  • 김양수;허준행
    • Water for future
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.73-83
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    • 1993
  • This study focuses on the separation effect analysis of rainfall data for 2-parameter log-normal, 3-parameter log-normal, type-extreme value, 2-parameter gamma, 3-parameter gamma, log-Pearson type-III, and general extreme value distribution functions. Difference in the relationship between the mean and standard deviation of skewness for historical data and relations derived from 7 distribution functions are analyzed suing the Monte Carlo experiment. The results show that rainfall data has the separation effect for 6 distribution functions except 3-parameter gamma distribution function.

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Comparative Analysis of regional and at-site frequency for the design rainfall by Log-Pearson Type III Distribution (Log-Pearson Type III 분포형에 의한 강우의 점빈도 및 지역빈도 비교분석)

  • Ryoo, Kyong-Sik;Lee, Soon-Hyuk;Maeng, Sung-Jin;Song, Ki-Hurn;Kim, Gi-Chang
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.475-478
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    • 2003
  • This study was conducted to compare the design rainfall derived by the at-site and regional frequency analysis based on the regionalization of the precipitation. The regional and at-site design rainfalls were calculated by Log-Pearson type III distribution using Indirect Methods of Moments(WRC). The regional and at-site analysis for the design rainfall were tested by Monte Carlo simulation. Relative root-mean-square error(RRMSE), Relative bias(RBIAS) and Relative reduction(RR) in RRMSE were computed and compared between design rainfalls resulted from observed and simulated data using the regional and at-site analysis. It was shown that the regional analysis procedure can substantially reduce the RRMSE, RBIAS in comparison with those of at-site analysis. Consequently, optimal design rainfalls following the regions and consecutive durations were derived by the regional frequency analysis.

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Characteristics on the Extreme Value Distributions of Deepwater Design ave Heights off the Korean Coast (한국 연안 심해 설계파고의 극치분포 특성)

  • Shin Taek Jeong;Jeong Dae Kim;Cho Hong Yeon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.130-141
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    • 2004
  • For a coastal or harbor structure design, one of the most important environmental factors is the appropriate design wave condition. Especially, the information of deepwater wave height distribution is essential for reliability design. In this paper, a set of deep water wave data obtained from KORDI(2003) were analyzed for extreme wave heights. These wave data at 67 stations off the Korean coast from 1979 to 1998 were arranged in the 16 directions. The probability distributions considered in this research were the Weibull, the Gumbel, the Log-pearson Type-III, and Lognormal distribution. For each of these distributions, three parameter estimation methods, i.e. the method of moments, maximum likelihood and probability weighted moments, were applied. Chi-square and Kolmogorov-Smirnov goodness-of-fit tests were performed, and the assumed distribution was accepted at the confidence level 95%. Gumbel distribution which best fits to the 67 station was selected as the most probable parent distribution, and optimally estimated parameters and 50 year design wave heights were presented.

Point Frequency Analysis for Determining the Design Flood at Indogyo Site (한강 인도교 지점의 계획홍수량 산정을 위한 지점빈도해석)

  • Yun, Yong-Nam;Won, Seok-Yeon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.469-481
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    • 1998
  • A point frequency analysis is carried out for the Indogyo site at the Han river using 68 annual maximun flood data for the period of 1918-1992. Computed frequency discharges using the three parameter log-normal, type-I extreme value, type-III extreme value, and Pearson type-III computed as 35,500 m3/sec and 39,000 m3/sec, respectively, 33,500 m3/sec and 37,500 m3/sec of corresponding return periods are computed when the flood control effect of the dams are taken into account. The resulting flood discharge of 37,500 m3/sec is similar to the current design flood of 37,000 m3/sec in downstream reach of Han river, so, it could be desirable to keep the the current design flood, considering the increasing tendency of the flood due to the climate change. Keywords : frequency analysis, flood discharge, Han river.

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Selection of Appropriate Probability Distribution Types for Ten Days Evaporation Data (순별증발량 자료의 적정 확률분포형 선정)

  • 김선주;박재흥;강상진
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 1998.10a
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    • pp.338-343
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    • 1998
  • This study is to select appropriate probability distributions for ten days evaporation data for the purpose of representing statistical characteristics of real evaporation data in Korea. Nine probability distribution functions were assumed to be underlying distributions for ten days evaporation data of 20 stations with the duration of 20 years. The parameter of each probability distribution function were estimated by the maximum likelihood approach, and appropriate probability distributions were selected from the goodness of fit test. Log Pearson type III model was selected as an appropriate probability distribution for ten days evaporation data in Korea.

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