• Title/Summary/Keyword: Linear predictive model

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A novel smart criterion of grey-prediction control for practical applications

  • Z.Y. Chen;Ruei-yuan Wang;Yahui Meng;Timothy Chen
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.69-78
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this paper is to develop a scalable grey predictive controller with unavoidable random delays. Grey prediction is proposed to solve problems caused by incorrect parameter selection and to eliminate the effects of dynamic coupling between degrees of freedom (DOFs) in nonlinear systems. To address the stability problem, this study develops an improved gray-predictive adaptive fuzzy controller, which can not only solve the implementation problem by determining the stability of the system, but also apply the Linear Matrix Inequality (LMI) law to calculate Fuzzy change parameters. Fuzzy logic controllers manipulate robotic systems to improve their control performance. The stability is proved using Lyapunov stability theorem. In this article, the authors compare different controllers and the proposed predictive controller can significantly reduce the vibration of offshore platforms while keeping the required control force within an ideal small range. This paper presents a robust fuzzy control design that uses a model-based approach to overcome the effects of modeling errors. To guarantee the asymptotic stability of large nonlinear systems with multiple lags, the stability criterion is derived from the direct Lyapunov method. Based on this criterion and a distributed control system, a set of model-based fuzzy controllers is synthesized to stabilize large-scale nonlinear systems with multiple delays.

Using Mechanical Learning Analysis of Determinants of Housing Sales and Establishment of Forecasting Model (기계학습을 활용한 주택매도 결정요인 분석 및 예측모델 구축)

  • Kim, Eun-mi;Kim, Sang-Bong;Cho, Eun-seo
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.50 no.1
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    • pp.181-200
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    • 2020
  • This study used the OLS model to estimate the determinants affecting the tenure of a home and then compared the predictive power of each model with SVM, Decision Tree, Random Forest, Gradient Boosting, XGBooest and LightGBM. There is a difference from the preceding study in that the Stacking model, one of the ensemble models, can be used as a base model to establish a more predictable model to identify the volume of housing transactions in the housing market. OLS analysis showed that sales profits, housing prices, the number of household members, and the type of residential housing (detached housing, apartments) affected the period of housing ownership, and compared the predictability of the machine learning model with RMSE, the results showed that the machine learning model had higher predictability. Afterwards, the predictive power was compared by applying each machine learning after rebuilding the data with the influencing variables, and the analysis showed the best predictive power of Random Forest. In addition, the most predictable Random Forest, Decision Tree, Gradient Boosting, and XGBooost models were applied as individual models, and the Stacking model was constructed using Linear, Ridge, and Lasso models as meta models. As a result of the analysis, the RMSE value in the Ridge model was the lowest at 0.5181, thus building the highest predictive model.

A Study on Predictive Models based on the Machine Learning for Evaluating the Extent of Hazardous Zone of Explosive Gases (기계학습 기반의 가스폭발위험범위 예측모델에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Yong Jae;Lee, Chang Jun
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.58 no.2
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    • pp.248-256
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    • 2020
  • In this study, predictive models based on machine learning for evaluating the extent of hazardous zone of explosive gases are developed. They are able to provide important guidelines for installing the explosion proof apparatus. 1,200 research data sets including 12 combustible gases and their extents of hazardous zone are generated to train predictive models. The extent of hazardous zone is set to an output variable and 12 variables affecting an output are set as input variables. Multiple linear regression, principal component regression, and artificial neural network are employed to train predictive models. Mean absolute percentage errors of multiple linear regression, principal component regression, and artificial neural network are 44.2%, 49.3%, and 5.7% and root mean square errors are 1.389m, 1.602m, and 0.203 m respectively. Therefore, it can be concluded that the artificial neural network shows the best performance. This model can be easily used to evaluate the extent of hazardous zone for explosive gases.

Multi-step Predictive Control of LMTT using DR-FNN

  • Lee, Jin-Woo;Lee, Young-Jin;Lee, Kwon-Soon
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.392-395
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    • 2003
  • In the maritime container terminal, LMTT (Linear Motor-based Transfer Technology) is horizontal transfer system for the yard automation, which has been proposed to take the place of AGV (Automated Guided Vehicle). The system is based on PMLSM (Permanent Magnetic Linear Synchronous Motor) that is consists of stator modules on the rail and shuttle car (mover). Because of large variant of mover's weight by loading and unloading containers, the difference of each characteristic of stator modules, and a stator module's trouble etc., LMCPS (Linear Motor Conveyance Positioning System) is considered as that the system is changed its model suddenly and variously. In this paper, we will introduce the soft-computing method of a multi-step prediction control for LMCPS using DR-FNN (Dynamically-constructed Recurrent Fuzzy Neural Network). The proposed control system is used two networks for multi-step prediction. Consequently, the system has an ability to adapt for external disturbance, cogging force, force ripple, and sudden changes of itself.

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Performance of Vocal Tract Area Estimation from Deaf and Normal Children's Speech (청각장애아동과 건청아동의 성도면적 추정 성능)

  • Kim Se-Hwan;Kim Nam;Kwon Oh-Wook
    • MALSORI
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    • no.56
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    • pp.159-172
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    • 2005
  • This paper analyzes the vocal tract area estimation algorithm used as a part of a speech analysis program to help deaf children correct their pronunciations by comparing their vocal tract shape with normal children's. Assuming that a vocal tract is a concatenation of cylinder tubes with a different cross section, we compute the relative vocal tract area of each tube using the reflection coefficients obtained from linear predictive coding. Then, we obtain the absolute vocal tract area by computing the height of lip opening with a formula modified for children's speech. Using the speech data for five Korean vowels (/a/, /e/, /i/, /o/, and /u/), we investigate the effects of the sampling frequency, frame size, and model order on the estimated vocal tract shape. We compare the vocal tract shapes obtained from deaf and normal children's speech.

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Prediction of plasma etching using genetic-algorithm controlled backpropagation neural network

  • Kim, Sung-Mo;Kim, Byung-Whan
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.1305-1308
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    • 2003
  • A new technique is presented to construct a predictive model of plasma etch process. This was accomplished by combining a backpropagation neural network (BPNN) and a genetic algorithm (GA). The predictive model constructed in this way is referred to as a GA-BPNN. The GA played a role of controlling training factors simultaneously. The training factors to be optimized are the hidden neuron, training tolerance, initial weight magnitude, and two gradients of bipolar sigmoid and linear functions. Each etch response was optimized separately. The proposed scheme was evaluated with a set of experimental plasma etch data. The etch process was characterized by a $2^3$ full factorial experiment. The etch responses modeled are aluminum (A1) etch rate, silica profile angle, A1 selectivity, and dc bias. Additional test data were prepared to evaluate model appropriateness. The GA-BPNN was compared to a conventional BPNN. Compared to the BPNN, the GA-BPNN demonstrated an improvement of more than 20% for all etch responses. The improvement was significant in the case of A1 etch rate.

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Sampled-Data MPC for Leader-Following of Multi-Mobile Robot System (다중모바일로봇의 리더추종을 위한 샘플데이타 모델예측제어)

  • Han, Seungyong;Lee, Sangmoon
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.67 no.2
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    • pp.308-313
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, we propose a sampled-data model predictive tracking control deign for leader-following control of multi-mobile robot system. The error dynamics of leader-following robots is modeled as a Linear Parameter Varying (LPV) model. Also, the Lyapunov function is presented to guarantee stability of the networked control system. Based on the stabilization condition using a quadratic Lyapunov function approach, model predictive sampled-data controller is designed. Finally, the leader-following control of multi mobile robots is simulated to show effectiveness of the proposed method.

Bankruptcy Prediction Model with AR process (AR 프로세스를 이용한 도산예측모형)

  • 이군희;지용희
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.109-116
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    • 2001
  • The detection of corporate failures is a subject that has been particularly amenable to cross-sectional financial ratio analysis. In most of firms, however, the financial data are available over past years. Because of this, a model utilizing these longitudinal data could provide useful information on the prediction of bankruptcy. To correctly reflect the longitudinal and firm-specific data, the generalized linear model with assuming the first order AR(autoregressive) process is proposed. The method is motivated by the clinical research that several characteristics are measured repeatedly from individual over the time. The model is compared with several other predictive models to evaluate the performance. By using the financial data from manufacturing corporations in the Korea Stock Exchange (KSE) list, we will discuss some experiences learned from the procedure of sampling scheme, variable transformation, imputation, variable selection, and model evaluation. Finally, implications of the model with repeated measurement and future direction of research will be discussed.

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The Finite Control Set Model Predictive Torque Control Method for Surface Mounted Permanent Magnetic Synchronous Motor of Electric Vehicle (전기자동차용 표면 부착형 영구자석 동기 전동기의 토크제어를 위한 유한 제어 요소 모델 예측제어(FCS-MPC) 기법)

  • Park, Seong Hwan;Lee, Young Il
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.453-462
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    • 2016
  • This paper proposes a torque control method for surface mounted permanent magnetic synchronous motor (PMSM) driven by a 2-level voltage source driven inverter, which has fast torque response and small torque ripple. The proposed torque control method follows the finite control set model predictive control (FCS-MPC) strategy. A reference state is derived at each time step for the given time varying torque reference and the cost index is defined so that the tracking error for this reference state should be penalized. The choice of an optimal output voltage vector is made first from the 6 possible active voltage vectors of the 2-level voltage source inverter. Then a modulation factor for the chosen optimal voltage vector is obtained so that the torque ripple can be reduced further. It is shown that the proposed FCS-MPC control method yields fast torque tracking response and small torque ripple through simulation and experiments.

A novel multi-feature model predictive control framework for seismically excited high-rise buildings

  • Katebi, Javad;Rad, Afshin Bahrami;Zand, Javad Palizvan
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.83 no.4
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    • pp.537-549
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    • 2022
  • In this paper, a novel multi-feature model predictive control (MPC) framework with real-time and adaptive performances is proposed for intelligent structural control in which some drawbacks of the algorithm including, complex control rule and non-optimality, are alleviated. Hence, Linear Programming (LP) is utilized to simplify the resulted control rule. Afterward, the Whale Optimization Algorithm (WOA) is applied to the optimal and adaptive tuning of the LP weights independently at each time step. The stochastic control rule is also achieved using Kalman Filter (KF) to handle noisy measurements. The Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) is then adopted to develop a data-driven and real-time control algorithm. The efficiency of the developed algorithm is then demonstrated by numerical simulation of a twenty-story high-rise benchmark building subjected to earthquake excitations. The competency of the proposed method is proven from the aspects of optimality, stochasticity, and adaptivity compared to the KF-based MPC (KMPC) and constrained MPC (CMPC) algorithms in vibration suppression of building structures. The average value for performance indices in the near-field and far-field (El earthquakes demonstrates a reduction up to 38.3% and 32.5% compared with KMPC and CMPC, respectively.