• 제목/요약/키워드: Linear predictive model

검색결과 288건 처리시간 0.021초

원형 콘크리트 충전 강관 (CFT)의 비선형 유한 요소 해석 기법 개발 (Development of Non-linear Finite Element Modeling Technique for Circular Concrete-filled Tube (CFT))

  • 문지호;고희중;이학은
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제32권3A호
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    • pp.139-148
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    • 2012
  • 원형 콘크리트 충전 강관 (CFT)은 강관과 콘크리트 내부채움재로 이루어진 합성구조로 급속 시공이 가능하고 치수 대비 강도의 효율성이 좋아 교량의 교각이나 건축물의 기둥으로 사용되고 있다. CFT에 대한 실험적 연구는 지난 수년간 꾸준히 연구되어 왔지만 이러한 실험 연구만으로 CFT의 거동을 파악하기는 충분하지 않다. 따라서, CFT의 실험 연구를 보완하고 보다 다양한 제원 및 하중 조건을 고려하여 CFT의 구조 거동을 파악하기 위해서는 수치해석 모델이 필요하다. 본 연구는 CFT의 비선형 유한 요소 해석 기법을 개발하는데 목표가 있다. 개발된 CFT의 유한 요소 해석 모델 기법은 다양한 하중이 작용하는 실험 결과들과 비교하여 그 타당성을 입증하였으며, 제안된 유한 요소 해석 모델은 CFT의 구속 효과 및 CFT의 구조 거동을 잘 모사할 수 있었다.

TT Mutant Homozygote of Kruppel-like Factor 5 Is a Key Factor for Increasing Basal Metabolic Rate and Resting Metabolic Rate in Korean Elementary School Children

  • Choi, Jung Ran;Kwon, In-Su;Kwon, Dae Young;Kim, Myung-Sunny;Lee, Myoungsook
    • Genomics & Informatics
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.263-271
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    • 2013
  • We investigated the contribution of genetic variations of KLF5 to basal metabolic rate (BMR) and resting metabolic rate (RMR) and the inhibition of obesity in Korean children. A variation of KLF5 (rs3782933) was genotyped in 62 Korean children. Using multiple linear regression analysis, we developed a model to predict BMR in children. We divided them into several groups; normal versus overweight by body mass index (BMI) and low BMR versus high BMR by BMR. There were no differences in the distributions of alleles and genotypes between each group. The genetic variation of KLF5 gene showed a significant correlation with several clinical factors, such as BMR, muscle, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and insulin. Children with the TT had significantly higher BMR than those with CC (p=0.030). The highest muscle was observed in the children with TT compared with CC (p=0.032). The insulin and C-peptide values were higher in children with TT than those with CC (p=0.029 vs. p=0.004, respectively). In linear regression analysis, BMI and muscle mass were correlated with BMR, whereas insulin and C-peptide were not associated with BMR. In the high-BMR group, we observed that higher muscle, fat mass, and C-peptide affect the increase of BMR in children with TT (p < 0.001, p < 0.001, and p=0.018, respectively), while Rohrer's index could explain the usual decrease in BMR (adjust $r^2$=1.000, p < 0.001, respectively). We identified a novel association between TT of KLF5 rs3782933 and BMR in Korean children. We could make better use of the variation within KLF5 in a future clinical intervention study of obesity.

Kubelka-Munk이론에 기반한 사염직물의 최적화된 구조-색채모델링 (Optimized Structural and Colorimetrical Modeling of Yarn-Dyed Woven Fabrics Based on the Kubelka-Munk Theory)

  • 채영주
    • 한국의류학회지
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    • 제42권3호
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    • pp.503-515
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    • 2018
  • In this research, the three-dimensional structural and colorimetrical modeling of yarn-dyed woven fabrics was conducted based on the Kubelka-Munk theory (K-M theory) for their accurate color predictions. In the K-M theory for textile color formulation, the absorption and scattering coefficients, denoted K and S, respectively, of a colored fabric are represented using those of the individual colorants or color components used. One-hundred forty woven fabric samples were produced in a wide range of structures and colors using red, yellow, green, and blue yarns. Through the optimization of previous two-dimensional color prediction models by considering the key three-dimensional structural parameters of woven fabrics, three three-dimensional K/S-based color prediction models, that is, linear K/S, linear log K/S, and exponential K/S models, were developed. To evaluate the performance of the three-dimensional color prediction models, the color differences, ${\Delta}L^*$, ${\Delta}C^*$, ${\Delta}h^{\circ}$, and ${\Delta}E_{CMC(2:1)}$, between the predicted and the measured colors of the samples were calculated as error values and then compared with those of previous two-dimensional models. As a result, three-dimensional models have proved to be of substantially higher predictive accuracy than two-dimensional models in all lightness, chroma, and hue predictions with much lower ${\Delta}L^*$, ${\Delta}C^*$, ${\Delta}h^{\circ}$, and the resultant ${\Delta}E_{CMC(2:1)}$ values.

공간예측모형에 기반한 산사태 취약성 지도 작성과 품질 평가 (Mapping Landslide Susceptibility Based on Spatial Prediction Modeling Approach and Quality Assessment)

  • 알-마문;박현수;장동호
    • 한국지형학회지
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.53-67
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to identify the quality of landslide susceptibility in a landslide-prone area (Jinbu-myeon, Gangwon-do, South Korea) by spatial prediction modeling approach and compare the results obtained. For this goal, a landslide inventory map was prepared mainly based on past historical information and aerial photographs analysis (Daum Map, 2008), as well as some field observation. Altogether, 550 landslides were counted at the whole study area. Among them, 182 landslides are debris flow and each group of landslides was constructed in the inventory map separately. Then, the landslide inventory was randomly selected through Excel; 50% landslide was used for model analysis and the remaining 50% was used for validation purpose. Total 12 contributing factors, such as slope, aspect, curvature, topographic wetness index (TWI), elevation, forest type, forest timber diameter, forest crown density, geology, landuse, soil depth, and soil drainage were used in the analysis. Moreover, to find out the co-relation between landslide causative factors and incidents landslide, pixels were divided into several classes and frequency ratio for individual class was extracted. Eventually, six landslide susceptibility maps were constructed using the Bayesian Predictive Discriminant (BPD), Empirical Likelihood Ratio (ELR), and Linear Regression Method (LRM) models based on different category dada. Finally, in the cross validation process, landslide susceptibility map was plotted with a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calculated the area under the curve (AUC) and tried to extract success rate curve. The result showed that Bayesian, likelihood and linear models were of 85.52%, 85.23%, and 83.49% accuracy respectively for total data. Subsequently, in the category of debris flow landslide, results are little better compare with total data and its contained 86.33%, 85.53% and 84.17% accuracy. It means all three models were reasonable methods for landslide susceptibility analysis. The models have proved to produce reliable predictions for regional spatial planning or land-use planning.

학령기 아동의 아동행동문제 예측모형 (Prediction Model of Child Behavioral Problems in the School Age Children)

  • 문영숙;박영옥;박인숙
    • Child Health Nursing Research
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    • 제12권4호
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    • pp.514-522
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    • 2006
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to identify the factors of child behavioral problems and construct a descriptive model that explains child behavioral problems for school age children. Method: The participants in the study were 586 4th, 5th, 6th graders and their mothers. The children attended 8 elementary schools located in Taejon city and their mothers. The tools used in this study was the Mother's Child Raising Behavior Scale by Park, Seong-Yeon and Yi, Sook(1990). To measure child's self esteem, the Self Esteem Scale by Kim(1987) was used; child perceived social support was measured with the Social Support Evaluation Scale by Dubow and Ullman(1989), and childhood behavioral problems were measured with the Korean standardized of version of the Korean-Child Behavior Checklist(K-CBCL)(1997). Descriptive statistics and linear structural relationship(LISREL) modeling were used to analyze the data. SAS and LISREL 8.12a programs were used. Results: The overall fit of the hypothetical model to the data was good $>X^2=103.07(p=0.00)$, GFI=0.96, AGFI=0.94, RMSR=0.04, RMSEA=0.07, NFI=0.94, NNFI=0.95< Maternal child raising behaviors(T=2.21) and child perceived social support(T=10.29) had a significant, direct effect on a child's self esteem. Maternal child raising behaviors(T=-3.87), and child self esteem(T=-2.04) and had a significant total effect on child behavioral problems. These variables accounted for 63% of the variance of the child behavioral problems in the school age children. Conclusion: These finding have provided support for maternal child raising behaviors, child perceived social support, and child self esteem as predictive variables of behavioral problems in school age children.

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Predictive models of hardened mechanical properties of waste LCD glass concrete

  • Wang, Chien-Chih;Wang, Her-Yung;Huang, Chi
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제14권5호
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    • pp.577-597
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    • 2014
  • This paper aims to develop a prediction model for the hardened properties of waste LCD glass that is used in concrete by analyzing a series of laboratory test results, which were obtained in our previous study. We also summarized the testing results of the hardened properties of a variety of waste LCD glass concretes and discussed the effect of factors such as the water-binder ratio (w/b), waste glass content (G) and age (t) on the concrete compressive strength, flexural strength and ultrasonic pulse velocity. This study also applied a hyperbolic function, an exponential function and a power function in a non-linear regression analysis of multiple variables and established the prediction model that could consider the effect of the water-binder ratio (w/b), waste glass content (G) and age (t) on the concrete compressive strength, flexural strength and ultrasonic pulse velocity. Compared with the testing results, the statistical analysis shows that the coefficient of determination $R^2$ and the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) were 0.93-0.96 and 5.4-8.4% for the compressive strength, 0.83-0.89 and 8.9-12.2% for the flexural strength and 0.87-0.89 and 1.8-2.2% for the ultrasonic pulse velocity, respectively. The proposed models are highly accurate in predicting the compressive strength, flexural strength and ultrasonic pulse velocity of waste LCD glass concrete. However, with other ranges of mixture parameters, the predicted models must be further studied.

입자 군집 최적화 알고리즘 기반 다항식 신경회로망의 설계 (Design of Particle Swarm Optimization-based Polynomial Neural Networks)

  • 박호성;김기상;오성권
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제60권2호
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    • pp.398-406
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we introduce a new architecture of PSO-based Polynomial Neural Networks (PNN) and discuss its comprehensive design methodology. The conventional PNN is based on a extended Group Method of Data Handling (GMDH) method, and utilized the polynomial order (viz. linear, quadratic, and modified quadratic) as well as the number of node inputs fixed (selected in advance by designer) at Polynomial Neurons located in each layer through a growth process of the network. Moreover it does not guarantee that the conventional PNN generated through learning results in the optimal network architecture. The PSO-based PNN results in a structurally optimized structure and comes with a higher level of flexibility that the one encountered in the conventional PNN. The PSO-based design procedure being applied at each layer of PNN leads to the selection of preferred PNs with specific local characteristics (such as the number of input variables, input variables, and the order of the polynomial) available within the PNN. In the sequel, two general optimization mechanisms of the PSO-based PNN are explored: the structural optimization is realized via PSO whereas in case of the parametric optimization we proceed with a standard least square method-based learning. To evaluate the performance of the PSO-based PNN, the model is experimented with using Gas furnace process data, and pH neutralization process data. For the characteristic analysis of the given entire data with non-linearity and the construction of efficient model, the given entire system data is partitioned into two type such as Division I(Training dataset and Testing dataset) and Division II(Training dataset, Validation dataset, and Testing dataset). A comparative analysis shows that the proposed PSO-based PNN is model with higher accuracy as well as more superb predictive capability than other intelligent models presented previously.

hERG 이온채널 저해제에 대한 2D-QSAR 분석 (2D-QSAR analysis for hERG ion channel inhibitors)

  • 전을혜;박지현;정진희;이성광
    • 분석과학
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    • 제24권6호
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    • pp.533-543
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    • 2011
  • hERG (human ether-a-go-go related gene) 이온채널은 심장 재분극의 중요 요소이며 이 채널의 저해제는 부정맥과 돌연사를 유발할 수 있다. 따라서, 신약개발과정에서 후보물질이 hERG 이온채널의 잠재적인 저해제일 경우에는 심장독성 부작용을 유발하므로, 이를 최소화하고자 많은 노력이 집중되고 있다. 본 연구는 HEK(인간 배아 신장)세포에서 얻은 202개 유기화합물의 $IC_{50}$ 데이터를 이용하여 2차원 구조-활성의 정량적 관계(2D-QSAR)방법으로 예측하는 모델을 개발하였다. hERG이온채널 저해제의 기계 학습방법으로는 다중선형회귀(Multiple Linear Regression), 서포트 벡터 머신(Support Vector Machine: SVM)방법과 인공신경망(Artificial Neural Network)방법이며, 교차검증을 적용한 모집단 기반 전진선택(forward selection)방법과 결합하여 각 학습모델에 적합한 최적의 표현자들을 결정하였다. 가장 우수한 방법은 14종의 표현자를 사용한 인공신경망방법($R^2_{CV}$=0.617, RMSECV=0.762, MAECV=0.583)이었고, 다중선형회귀방법을 통해서 hERG이온채널 저해물질의 구조적 특징과 수용체와의 상호작용을 설명할 수 있다. QSAR모델의 검증은 교차검증과 Y-scrambling test방법으로 수행하였다.

중선형 모형을 이용한 비선형 시계열 패널자료의 동질성검정에 대한 연구 (A Study on the Test of Homogeneity for Nonlinear Time Series Panel Data Using Bilinear Models)

  • 김인규
    • 디지털융복합연구
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    • 제12권7호
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    • pp.261-266
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    • 2014
  • 시계열 모형에서 모수의 수가 많으면 모수추정에 따르는 오차가 커지게 되므로 예측을 하는데 많은 어려움이 있다. 만약 여러개의 시계열 자료들이 동일한 모형에서부터 얻어졌다고 하는 동질성 가설이 채택되면 모수축약을 이룰 수 있고, 더 좋은 예측값을 얻을 수 있다. 비선형 시계열 패널 자료는 각각의 시계열마다 모수들이 있기 때문에 매우 많은 모수가 존재하게되고, 모수의 수가 많으면 모수추정에 따르는 오차가 커지게 되어 예측의 정확도가 떨어지게 된다. 패널내에 존재하는 독립적인 여러 시계열들의 동질성이 만족되면 시계열을 종합하여 모수를 추정하고 검정할 수 있다. m개의 독립적인 비선형 시계열 패널 자료의 동질성 검정을 알아보기 위하여 모형을 설정하고 이 모형에 대한 정상성 조건을 구하였고, 동질성 검정통계량을 유도했으며, 구한 검정 통계량의 극한분포가 ${\chi}^2$ 분포를 따르는 것을 보였다. 실증분석에 있어서는 비선형 시계열 자료중 중선형 시계열 모형의 동질성 검정을 하고, 실제 우리나라 주식자료를 2개의 집단으로 나누어 비선형 시계열 패널 자료의 동질성 검정에 대한 분석을 하였다.

통계적 모형을 통한 법주사와 선암사 목조건축물의 기상인자에 대한 상관성 분석 (Correlation Analysis of Meteorological Factors for Wooden Building in Beopjusa and Seonamsa Temples by Statistical Model)

  • 김영희;김명남;임보아;이정민;박지희
    • 보존과학회지
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    • 제34권5호
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    • pp.387-396
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    • 2018
  • 국내 목조건축문화재는 자연환경에 그대로 노출되어 있어 생물피해와 여러 환경요인에 의해 피해가 가속화되고 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 보은 법주사와 순천 선암사에 기상인자 모니터링을 위한 자동기상측정장비를 설치하여 기상데이터를 수집하였다. 이들 데이터에 통계 모형을 적용하여 기상인자를 예측하고 기상인자별 예측성능을 비교하였다. 그 결과, 법주사와 선암사 두 곳 모두에서 대기온도와 이슬점온도의 상관계수가 0.95 이상으로 가장 높게 나타났으며 상대습도의 상관계수는 0.65로 낮게 나타났다. 결과적으로 일반선형모형은 대기온도와 이슬점온도를 예측하기에 적합하다는 것을 확인하였다. 기상인자들 사이의 상관성을 분석한 결과, 법주사와 선암사 모두 대기온도와 이슬점온도, 일사량과 증발량 사이에 강한 양의 상관성을 보였으며, 법주사에서는 대기온도와 증발량이 약한 양의 상관성을 나타내었고 선암사에서는 풍속이 대기온도와 상대습도에 대하여 약한 음의 상관성을 나타내었다. 선암사의 풍속은 겨울에 높고 여름에 평균 이하로 낮아지는 패턴을 보이는데, 이것은 대기온도와 상대습도가 높은 여름철에 수분의 증발을 막고 정체시키는 역할을 하는 것으로 판단되며, 결과적으로 이것이 선암사의 목조건축물 피해를 가속화시키는 것으로 판단된다.