• Wind and Structures
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• v.6 no.4
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• pp.307-324
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• 2003

The paper presents results of studies concerning wind-induced aeolian vibration and fatigue of a 110 kV covered conductor overhead line. Self-damping measurement techniques are discussed: power method is found to be the most reliable technique. A method for compensating tension variations during the self-damping test is presented. Generally used empirical self-damping power models are enhanced and the different models are compared with each other. The Energy Balance Analysis (EBR) is used to calculate the aeolian vibration amplitudes, which thereafter are converted to bending stress for the calculation of conductor lifetime estimate. The results of EBA are compared with field measurements, Results indicate that adequate lifetime estimates are produced by EBA as well as field measurements. Generally the EBA gives more conservative lifetime expectancy. This is believed to result from the additional damping existing in true suspension structures not taken into account by EBA. Finally, the correctness of the line design is verified using Cigre's safe design tension approach.

• KIEE International Transactions on Electrophysics and Applications
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• v.3C no.1
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• pp.1-4
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• 2003

This paper presents an attempt to develop probabilistic multistress life models to evaluate the lifetime characteristics of epoxy-encapsulated magnet wire with heavy build polyurethane enamel. A set of accelerated life tests were conducted over a wide range of pulsating voltages, temperatures, and frequencies. Samples of fine gauge twisted pairs of the encapsulated magnet wire were tested us-ing a pulse endurance dielectric test system. An electrical-thermal lifetime function was combined with the Weibull distribution of lifetimes. The parameters of the combined Weibull-electrical-thermal model were estimated using maximum likelihood estimation. Likewise, a generalized electrical-thermal-frequency life model was also developed. The parameters of this new model were estimated using multiple linear regression technique. It was found in this paper that lifetime estimates of the two proposed probabilistic multistress life models are good enough. This suggests the suitability of using the general electrical-thermal-frequency model to estimate the lifetime of the encapsulated magnet wire over a wide range of voltages, temperatures and pulsating frequencies.

• The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Power Electronics
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• v.25 no.6
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• pp.496-502
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• 2020

The reliability of a solid-state transformer (SST) is one of the important aspects to consider when replacing a conventional low-frequency passive transformer with SST for urban railway vehicles. Lifetime evaluation of SST in the design phase is therefore essential in guaranteeing a certain SST reliability. In this study, a lifetime evaluation of power semiconductor devices in SST is performed with respect to temperature stress. For a case study, a 3 MW SST with three kinds of power modules (one IGBT module and two SiC-MOSFET modules) is used for the lifetime estimation under the operation profile of urban railway vehicles.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• v.2 no.3
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• pp.189-197
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• 2001

The estimation of mean lifetimes in presence of interval censoring with mixed replacement procedure is examined when the distributions of lifetimes are exponential. It is assumed that, due to physical restrictions and/or economic constraints, the number of failures is investigated only at several inspection times during the lifetime test; thus there is interval censoring. The maximum likelihood estimator is found in an implicit form. The Cramor-Rao lower bound, which is the asymptotic variance of the estimator, is derived. The estimation of mean lifetimes for competing failures model has been expanded.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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• v.11 no.6
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• pp.1802-1811
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• 2016

A novel battery SOH estimation algorithm based on outlier detection has been presented. The Battery state of health (SOH) is one of the most important parameters that describes the usability state of the power battery system. Firstly, a battery system model with lifetime fading characteristic was established, and the battery characteristic parameters were acquired from the lifetime fading process. Then, the outlier detection method based on angular distribution was used to identify the outliers among the battery behaviors. Lastly, the functional relationship between battery SOH and the outlier distribution was obtained by polynomial fitting method. The experimental results show that the algorithm can identify the outliers accurately, and the absolute error between the SOH estimation value and true value is less than 3%.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.26 no.4
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• pp.385-410
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• 2019

This paper proposes a new class of distribution using the concept of exponentiated of distribution function that provides a more flexible model to the baseline model. It also proposes a new lifetime distribution with different types of hazard rates such as decreasing, increasing and bathtub. After studying some basic statistical properties and parameter estimation procedure in case of complete sample observation, we have studied point and interval estimation procedures in presence of type-II censored samples under a classical as well as Bayesian paradigm. In the Bayesian paradigm, we considered a Gibbs sampler under Metropolis-Hasting for estimation under two different loss functions. After simulation studies, three different real datasets having various nature are considered for showing the suitability of the proposed model.

• The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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• v.66 no.8
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• pp.1278-1284
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• 2017

As of December 2016, there are 608,828 elevators in operation in Korea and 179,790 elevators in more than 15 years. 30.4% of all elevator are aging. Improved maintenance of the elevator and proactive replacement of the parts of the elevator can extend the lifetime of the elevator and ensure safety. An unclean environment reduces the lifetime of elevator parts. If you do not clean the environment and prevent preventive parts replacement, eventually shortening the lifetime of the parts connected to the failed part or causing more damage will result in greater economic loss. Also, the risk of elevator safety accidents due to failures of elevator parts will be increased accordingly. The study of optimum replacement time of elevator parts will contribute to prevention of safety accident of elevator and prolongation of lifetime of elevator through preventive replacement of elevator parts.

• Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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• v.33 no.1
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• pp.52-60
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• 2007

Estimating parameters of the lifetime distribution is investigated when field failure data are not completelyreported. To take into account the reality and the accuracy of the estimates in such a case, the failure reportingprobability is incorporated in estimating parameters, Firstly, method of maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) isused to estimate parameters of the lifetime distribution when failure reporting probability is known, Secondly,Expectation and Maximization (EM) algorithm is used to estimate the failure reporting probability and parame-ters of the lifetime distribution simultaneously when failure reporting probability is unknown. For both cases,procedures of estimation are illustrated for single Weibull distribution and mixed Weibull distribution. Simula-tion results show that MLE obtained by the proposed method is more accurate than the conventional MLE.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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• v.32 no.5
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• pp.430-436
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• 2008

This paper proposes a way to predict electrical lifetime of a relay using Accelerated Life Testings (ALTs). The relay of interest mounting on printed circuit boards is usually under an inrush current stress. The inrush current is generated and accelerated through controlling a lamp switching device in the ALT. We find that the dominant failure mechanism under high levels of inrush current would be contact welding in the contact surface of the relay and the contact welding process is accelerated according to increase in inrush current. The electrical lifetime model based on Inverse Power Law in term of inrush current is proposed, and parameters characterizing relay's lifetime distribution are statistically estimated using ALTA 6 PRO software.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers Conference
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• 2017.05a
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• pp.154-156
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• 2017

Constant variance of degradation data over time has been generally assumed to estimate storage lifetime using destructive, accelerated degradation data over time. However, performance data of ammunitions deteriorate over time, and the standard deviation would tend to increase over time. This paper shows storage lifetime comparison results for constant variance and time-variant variance assumptions of degradation data over time, and proposes that time-variant variance assumption should be considered to increase accuracy in lifetime estimation.