• Title/Summary/Keyword: Life time prediction

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A Study on Improving the Precision of Quantitative Prediction of Cold Forging Die Life Cycle Through Real Time Forging Load Measurement (실시간 성형하중 계측을 통한 냉간단조 금형수명 정량예측 정밀도 향상 연구)

  • Seo, Y.H.
    • Transactions of Materials Processing
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.172-178
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    • 2021
  • The cold forging process induces material deformation in an enclosed space, generating a very high forging load. Therefore, it is mainly designed as a multi-stage process, and fatigue failure occurs in forging die due to cyclic load. Studies have been conducted previously to quantitatively predict the fatigue limit of cold forging dies, however, there was a limit to field application due to the large error range and the need for expert intervention. To solve this problem, we conducted a study on the introduction of a real-time forging load measurement technology and an automated system for quantitative prediction of die life cycle. As a result, it was possible to reduce the error range of the quantitative prediction of die life cycle to within ±7%, and it became possible to use the die life cycle calculation algorithm into an automated system.

Life Analysis and Reliability Prediction of Micro-Switches based on Life Prediction Method

  • Ji, Jung-Geon;Shin, Kun-Young;Lee, Duk-Gyu;Song, Moon-Shuk;Lee, Hi-Sung
    • International Journal of Railway
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2012
  • Reliability means that a product maintains its initial quality and performance at a certain period of time (time, distance, cycle etc) under given condition without failure. The given conditions include both environmental condition and operating condition. Environmental condition means a common natural environment such as temperature, humidity, vibration, and working condition means an artificial environment such as voltage, current load, place for installment, and hours of use, which occurs during the life of the product. In the field of railway vehicles, it is mandatory to use a part with the proved reliability as the extension of the life of vehicle become highly necessary. But the reliable assessment method for the reliability of the part is insufficient. If the reliability of the railway vehicle parts could be assessed by using the field data, the reliability of the entire system could also be evaluated reliably. In this study, life span of micro-switch for master controller is analyzed and prediction is performed based on its field data given by an operator considering the special circumstances of railway vehicles such as the operation of a large number of trains on the same line.

Life Analysis of Relays based on Life Prediction Method (수명예측 방법에 따른 계전기의 수명분석)

  • Shin, Kun-Young;Lee, Duk-Gyu;Lee, Hi Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.115-120
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    • 2012
  • In order to establish preventive maintenance standards through analysis & reliability prediction of about 60,000pcs of 20kindsof relays and contractors used for Seoul subway trains, several life prediction methodologies were applied. Firstly, Occurrence, Severity, Detection were defined and predicted by applying operation characteristic of EMU to the number of actions of relays & contactors which the manufacturers generally offer as the life cycle data. Secondly, failure distribution and average life of parts were analyzed through interpretation of field data based on a lot of experience which had built up in the field for a long time. Finally, using the 217PLUS standard as a reliability prediction program, comparative analysis of use reliability and inherent reliability was done through reliability prediction at the part level and system level.

Development of a Tool Life Prediction Program for Increasing Reliability of Cutting Tools (공구의 신뢰성 향상을 위한 수명 예측 프로그램 개발)

  • Kim Bong-Suk;Kang Tae-Han;Kang Jae-Hun;Song Jun-Yeob;Lee Soo-Hun
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2005
  • The prediction for tool life is one of the most important factors for increasing reliability, stability, and productivity of manufacturing system. This paper deals with a tool life prediction method in view of reliability assessment for cutting tools. In this study, flank wear was focused among multi-factors deciding the tool wear state. First, tool life was predicted by correlation between flank wear and cutting time, based on the extended Taylor tool life equation of turning, including parameters of cutting speed, feed rate, and cutting depth. Second, each of cutting conditions of end-milling was equivalently converted to apply ball end-mill data to the extended Taylor equation. The web-based prediction program for tool life was developed as one of reliability assessment programs for machine tools.

Rubber gaskets for fuel cells-Life time prediction through acid ageing

  • Kim, Mi-Suk;Kim, Jin-Kuk
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.47-51
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    • 2007
  • The present paper reports the life time prediction of Acrylonitrile-Butadiene rubber (NBR) fuel cell gasket materials as a function of operational variables like acid concentration, ageing time and temperature. Both material and accelerated acid-heat aging tests were carried out to predict the useful life of the NBR rubber gasket for use as a fuel cell stack. The acid ageing of the gasket compounds has been investigated at 120, 140 and $160^{\circ}C$, with aging times from 3 to 600 h and increasing acid ($H_2SO_4$) concentrations of 5, 6, 7 and 10 vol%. Material characteristics the gas compound such as cross-link density, tensile strength and elongation at break were studied. The hardness of the NBR rubber was found to decrease with decreasing acid concentration at both 120 and $140^{\circ}C$, but at $160^{\circ}C$ interestingly the hardness of the NBR rubber increased abruptly in a very short time at different acid concentrations. The tensile strength and elongation at break were found to decrease with increase in both the acid concentrate ion & temperature. The life time of the compounds were evaluated using the Arrhenius equation.

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Investigation of random fatigue life prediction based on artificial neural network

  • Jie Xu;Chongyang Liu;Xingzhi Huang;Yaolei Zhang;Haibo Zhou;Hehuan Lian
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.46 no.3
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    • pp.435-449
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    • 2023
  • Time domain method and frequency domain method are commonly used in the current fatigue life calculation theory. The time domain method has complicated procedures and needs a large amount of calculation, while the frequency domain method has poor applicability to different materials and different spectrum, and improper selection of spectrum model will lead to large errors. Considering that artificial neural network has strong ability of nonlinear mapping and generalization, this paper applied this technique to random fatigue life prediction, and the effect of average stress was taken into account, thereby achieving more accurate prediction result of random fatigue life.

Prediction of Creep Rupture Time and Strain of Steam Pipe Accounting for Material Damage and Grain Boundary Sliding (재료손상과 입계 미끄럼을 고려한 증기배관의 크리프 파단수명 및 변형률 예측)

  • 홍성호
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.1182-1189
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    • 1995
  • Several methods have been developed to predict the creep rupture time of the steam pipes in thermal power plant. However, existing creep life prediction methods give very conservative value at operating stress of power plant and creep rupture strain cannot be well estimated. Therefore, in this study, creep rupture time and strain prediction method accounting for material damage and grain boundary sliding is newly proposed and compared with the existing experimental data. The creep damage evolves by continuous cavity nucleation and constrained cavity growth. The results showed good correlation between the theoretically predicted creep rupture time and the experimental data. And creep rupture strain may be well estimated by using the proposed method.

Study on Accelerated Life-time Test of O-ring Rubber by Thermal Stress (열 스트레스에 의한 고무 오링의 가속수명시험에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Young-Ju;Chung, Yu-Kyung;Choi, Kil-Yeong;Shin, Sei-Moon
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.31-43
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    • 2007
  • The function of O-ring seals is to prevent leakage during the service life of the components in which they are installed. The life prediction of O-ring is very important at various industry fields. Generally, to evaluated the long-term performance of O-ring in severe environments has applied a life prediction technique based on accelerated life test (ALT). In this work, Accelerated thermal aging test(l20, 130, 140, $150^{\circ}C$) of O-ring was applied for life prediction of O-ring. The property changes after thermal aging test was measured using TGA, DSC, FT - IR, Video Microscope and SEM. Shape parameter and life prediction were obtained using MINITAB program.

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Prediction of life of SAPH45 steel with measured fracture time and strength (인장파단시간 및 응력측정에 의한 SAPH45의 수명예측)

  • 박종민
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers Conference
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    • 1998.03a
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    • pp.269-273
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    • 1998
  • The failure of material structures or mechanical system is considered as a direct or indirect result of fatigue. In the design of mechanical structure for estimating of reliability, the prediction of failure life is the most important failure mode to be considered. However, because of a complicated behavior of fatigue in mechanical structure, the analysis of fatigue is in need of much researches on life prediction. This document presents a prediction of fatigue life of the SAPH45 steel, which is extensively for vehicle frame. The method using lethargy coefficient and stress distribution factor at pediction of fatigue life based on the consideration of the failure characteristics from the tensile test should be provided in this study.

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Friction Welding of Dissimilar Hot Die Punch materials and Its Creep Life Prediction(II)-Creep Life Prediction by ISM (열간 금형재의 이종재 마찰용접과 크리프 수명예측 (II) -크리프 수명예측)

  • 박일동;공유식;오세규;전태언
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.53-60
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    • 2001
  • It was confirmed that the life predictive equation by LMP and LMP-ISM are effective only up to 10$^2$hours and can not be used for long times of $10^3~10^5$ hours, but that by ISM can be used for long times creep life prediction with more reliability. The predictive creep life equation of ISM has better reliability than those by LMP and LMP-ISM, and its realizably is getting better for long time creep prediction($10^3~10^5$ h).

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