• Title/Summary/Keyword: Life time estimation

Search Result 406, Processing Time 0.035 seconds

ESTIMATION OF VULNERABLE AREA IN KANGWONDO USING 2-PASS DINSAR TECHNIQUE

  • Jung, Jae-Hoon;Sohn, Hong-Gyoo;Yun, Kong-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
    • /
    • 2007.10a
    • /
    • pp.445-448
    • /
    • 2007
  • Korea Peninsula is exposed to landslide problems because large regions of Korea are composed of mountain. As a result, we have a great loss of life and property every year, such as road, bridge, and building. However, conventional survey has many restrictions of time and man power. In recent days, instead of field surveying, remote sensing has our attention for detecting damaged place. Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) provides the all-weather capability and complements information available. And through the 2-pass DInSAR technique, we can measure even very small displacement effect. In this study, we generated six interferograms of Kangwondo between 1992 and 1998, and estimated the vulnerable place for landslide.

  • PDF

최근 초혼연령의 변화에 관한 소고

  • 황대희;고갑석
    • Korea journal of population studies
    • /
    • v.6 no.1
    • /
    • pp.115-126
    • /
    • 1983
  • In order for handicapped people to maintain better humane life, it is necessary to get statistics of them in developing appropriate national policy. However, it is very difficult to obtain baseline statistics on regular or occasional basis. It's reason is mainly attributed to attitudes of their family's tendency to conceal any existence of such memeber in the household. As a result, the statis-tics on the handicapped population is very inaccurate and under satisfaction. We must produce such statistics periodically in time and with accuracy. Thus, this study porposes five methods which, we believe, can produce reliable statistics of thehandcapped population : 1) vitalization through enforcement of handicapped information into the registration system, 2) inclusion in population census of items related to handicapped information, 3) improvement of the physically handicapped population survey scheme, 4) utilization of hospital patients' records for development of the statistics, and 5) an estimation through the labor force survey.

  • PDF

Condition Diagnosis by the Complex Accelerating Degradation for fault Prediction & estimation of reliability on the traction motor - Insulation Resistance & Polarization Index Properties (견인전동기의 고장예측 및 신뢰성 평가를 위한 복합가속열화 상태진단 - 절연저항 및 성극지수 특성 연구)

  • Wang, Jong-Bae;Byun, Yoon-Sub;Baek, Jong-Hyen;Park, Hyun-Jun
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
    • /
    • 2000.07b
    • /
    • pp.1374-1376
    • /
    • 2000
  • In this paper, sample coils for stator form-wound winding of traction motor were tested by the accelerative thermal degradation, which composed of heat, vibration, moisture and overvoltage applying. Reliability and expected life were evaluated on the insulation system for 200 class traction motor. After aging of 10 cycles, insulation resistance and PI properties were investigated as diagnosis tests in the range of $20{\sim}160^{\circ}C$. Analysis of polarization properties was performed on the base of do current-time change.

  • PDF

Reliability of articulated tower joint against random base shear

  • Islam, Nazrul;Ahmad, Suhail
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
    • /
    • v.27 no.1
    • /
    • pp.33-48
    • /
    • 2007
  • An Articulated tower is one of the compliant offshore structures connected to the sea-bed through a universal joint which is the most vulnerable location of the tower that sustains the randomly fluctuating shear stresses. The time history response of the bottom hinge shear is obtained and presented in the spectral form. The fatigue and fracture reliability assessment of the tower joint against randomly varying shear stresses have been carried out. Non-linear limit state functions are derived in terms of important random variables using S-N curve and fracture mechanics approaches. Advanced First Order Reliability Method is used for reliability assessment. Sensitivity analysis shows the influence of various variables on the hinge safety. Fatigue life estimation has been made using probabilistic approach.

Analysis of DC Link Ripple Currents in Three-Phase AC/DC/AC PWM Converters (3상 AC/DC/AC PWM 컨버터의 직류링크 리플전류 해석)

  • Park Young-Wook;Lee Dong-Choon;Seok Jul-Ki
    • Proceedings of the KIPE Conference
    • /
    • 2001.07a
    • /
    • pp.223-226
    • /
    • 2001
  • In this paper, dc link ripple currents for three-phase ac/dc/ac PWM converters are analyzed in a frequency domain. The expression of the harmonic currents is developed by using switching functions and exponential Fourier series expansion. The dc link ripple currents with regard to power factor and modulation index are investigated. In addition, the effect of the displacement angle between the switching periods of line-side converters and load-side inverters on the do link ripple current is studied. The result of the do link current analysis is helpful in specifying the dc link capacitor size and its life time estimation.

  • PDF

A Study on Reliability Analysis & Determination of Replacement Cycle of the Railway Vehicle Contactor (철도차량 접촉기의 신뢰성 분석 및 교환주기 결정에 대한 연구)

  • Park, Minheung;Rhee, Sehun
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
    • /
    • v.17 no.4
    • /
    • pp.316-324
    • /
    • 2017
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to determine the replacement cycle applied age replacement policy by reliability analysis based on railway vehicle contactor's failure history data. Method: We performed reliability analysis based on railway vehicle contactor's failure history data. We found a suitable distribution by goodness of fit test and predicted the reliability through estimation of scale & shape parameter. Considering cost information we determined the replacement cycle that minimize the opportunity cost. Result: Suitable distribution was the Weibull and scale parameter & shape parameter are estimated by reliability analysis. The replacement cycle was predicted and MTTF, $B_6$ percentile life were suggested additionally. Conclusion: We confirmed that failure rate type of railway vehicle contactor is degradation model having a time dependent characteristic and examined the replacement cycle in our country's operating environment. We expect that this study result contribute to railway operation agency for maintenance policy decision.

Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio as a Prognostic Factor in Terminally Ill Cancer Patients (말기 암 환자에서 호중구-림프구 비가 예후인자로서 생존기간에 미치는 영향)

  • Cho, Wan-Je;Hwang, Hee-Jin;Lee, Yong-Jae;Son, Ga-Hyun;Oh, Seung-Min;Lee, Hye-Ree;Shim, Jae-Yong
    • Journal of Hospice and Palliative Care
    • /
    • v.11 no.4
    • /
    • pp.181-187
    • /
    • 2008
  • Purpose: In order to establish efficient palliative treatment plans. It is important to estimate the survival time of a terminally ill cancer patient as accurate as possible. Proper estimation of life expectancy aids not only in improving the quality of life of the patient, it also promotes productive communication between the medical staff and the patient. The aim of this study is to determine the efficacy of neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio as a predictor of survival time in terminally ill cancer patients. Methods: Between January 2004 and June 2007, 67 terminally ill cancer patients who were admitted or transferred for palliative care, were included. Patients were categorized into three groups by Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio. Demographic characteristics, clinical characteristics and blood samples were analyzed. Results: In univariate analysis, survival time of the highest Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio group (${\geq}12.5$) was significantly shorter than that of the others (hazard ratio (HR)=3.270, P=0.001). After adjustment for low performance status (ECOG score 4) and dyspnea, high Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio (${\geq}12.5$) was significantly and independently associated with short survival time (HR=2.907, P=0.007). Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio was also significantly increased before death (P=0.001). Conclusion: Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio can be useful in predicting life expectancy in terminally ill cancer patients.

  • PDF

The Characteristics of Probable Maximum Flood on Wi Stream Watersheds (위천유역(渭川流域)의 가능최대홍수량(可能最大洪水量) 특성(特性))

  • Choi, Kyung-Sook;Suh, Seung-Duk
    • Current Research on Agriculture and Life Sciences
    • /
    • v.16
    • /
    • pp.37-44
    • /
    • 1998
  • The estimation of PMP (Probable Maximum Precipitation) and the analysis of characteristics of PMF (Probable Maximum Flood) according to the types of time distribution of rainfall and variations of base flow for the determination of design flood of major hydraulic structures in the watershed area of Wi stream were analysed. The PMP was estimated by the hydro-meteorological method suggested by the guideline of the World Meteorological Organization(WMO). The Blocking method was cited to transpose from PMP to PMS (Probable Maximum Storm) with time distribution. The unit hydrograph, applied for the estimation of PMF was derived by Clark's method. The summaryzed results : (1) The 72 hrs duration PMP in the area is 477.3mm which is 80mm less than the PMP map in Korea and 134 mm lager than the maximum precipitation of 342.9mm in Taegu, near the Wi stream watershed. (2) According to the types of time distribution and variations of base flow, the ranges of PMF for advanced type, central type and delayed type are 3,145.3~3,348.3cms, 3,774.6~3,977.7cms and 3,814.6~4,017.3cms, respectively. Those mean that peak discharge of advanced type is 600cms less than the central type and delayed type. (3) Delayed type among three types by Blocking method has been estimated the largest PMF of 4,017.3cms, and the advanced type has been estimated the smallest PMF of 3,145.3cms. The mean value of the peak PMF of 3,653.6cms may probably be resonable PMF in the Wi stream watershed. The mean PMF could probably be 1.7 times lager than the result of Gajiyama's equation. It is equivalent to the flood of return period 1,000 to 10,000 yrs.

  • PDF

Mechanical Properties Assessment of Steels Obtained from an Aged Naval Ship (노후 함정 강재의 기계적 특성 평가)

  • Sang-Hyun Park;Young-Sik Jang;Su-Min Lee;Sang-Rai Cho;Sang Su Jeon;Ju Young Hwang;Nam-Ki Baek
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
    • /
    • v.60 no.2
    • /
    • pp.65-75
    • /
    • 2023
  • Ships operated at sea for a long time are subjected to various kinds of loads, which may cause various types of damage. Such damages will eventually reduce the strength of hull structures. Therefore, it is necessary to estimate and evaluate the residual strength and remaining fatigue life of aging ships in order to secure structural safety, establish a reasonable maintenance plan, and make a judgment of life extension. For this purpose, the corrosion damage and local denting damage should be measured, fatigue damage estimation should be performed, and material properties of aged steel should be identified. For this study, in order to investigate the mechanical properties of aged steel, steel plates were obtained from a naval ship that reached the end of her life span. The specimens were manufactured from the obtained steel plates, and static and dynamic tensile tests, fatigue tests, and metallographic tests were performed. The mechanical properties obtained from the aged steel plates were compared with those of new steel plates to quantify the aging effect on the mechanical properties of marine steel materials.

A Study on the estimation of shelf-life and assessment plan of illuminating cartridges for mortar (박격포용 조명탄의 저장수명 예측 및 평가방안 연구)

  • Lee, Jongchan;Lee, Junhyuk;Jung, Hyunsuk
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.21 no.9
    • /
    • pp.291-300
    • /
    • 2020
  • The cartridges used for illuminating a desired point or area are virtually limited in tests and evaluations because of limitations, such as noise during launch, the possibility of fires caused by illuminant charge, and the annual testable quantity. Therefore, to solve these problems, a ground fixed test, which replaces the firing test, or an evaluation method to perform limited tests, can be applied more efficiently. In this paper, the results of an 81mm illuminating cartridge, KM series performed in 2019 were analyzed comprehensively to identify the trends in reliability and quality characteristics and to estimate the shelf life. The shelf life was estimated to be at least 10 years based on the time when the lower confidence level reached 80% at a confidence level of 90%. Considering only major defects, the shelf life can be estimated to be approximately 23 years. On the other hand, the shelf life was estimated to be approximately 11 to 15 years and 25 to 28 years according to the effective illuminating time. Finally, an assessment plan of illuminating cartridges for the mortars was also presented as an improvement plan for an assessment method in the future.